LA TRAJECTOIRE DE LA SASKATCHEWAN VERS UNE ÉLECTRICITÉ CARBONEUTRE

The report concludes that Saskatchewan can comply with a revised version of the federal Clean Electricity Regulations (CER) without compromising grid reliability and with only a marginal increase in residential electricity rates (6% to 9% by 2035) compared to SaskPower's reference scenario. Using the COPPER model, the analysis shows that while the CER would require additional capital investments of $4 billion to $6.5 billion by 2035, it would significantly reduce cumulative greenhouse gas emissions between 2025 and 2050 compared to the province's current plans. The report emphasizes the central role of wind power and the importance of federal investment tax credits in maintaining affordability during the transition to net-zero electricity by 2050.

• Compliance with a revised version of the Clean Electricity Regulations (CER) is technically and logistically feasible for SaskPower without risking electricity reliability.
• The impact of the revised CER on residential electricity rates is marginal, estimated at a 6% to 9% increase by 2035 relative to SaskPower's reference scenarios, contradicting provincial government claims that rates would double.
• The CER would lead to significantly lower cumulative greenhouse gas emissions between 2025 and 2050: the 'flexible' CER scenario would produce 95.9 Mt eq. CO2 and the 'strict' scenario 86.4 Mt eq. CO2, compared to 126.3 Mt eq. CO2 under SaskPower's reference plan.
• Wind energy will be a cornerstone of the province's energy mix regardless of the scenario, with projected capacity reaching between 3,633 and 4,100 MW by 2050, representing 42.5% to 47% of total grid capacity.
• Implementing the CER would require additional capital investments by 2035: $4 billion under the flexible scenario and $6.5 billion under the strict scenario, compared to the reference plan.
• Federal investment tax credits are critical for affordability; increasing the credit for Crown corporations from 15% to 30% could provide an additional $600 million to $662 million in support.
• SaskPower's current capacity as of March 31, 2023, was 5,437 MW, with non-polluting sources accounting for 34.7% (1,888 MW), including imports from Manitoba Hydro.

APA

Dolter, B. (2024). LA TRAJECTOIRE DE LA SASKATCHEWAN VERS UNE ÉLECTRICITÉ CARBONEUTRE. Canadian Climate Institute. https://institutclimatique.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Trajectoire-Saskatchewan-electricite-carboneutre.pdf

Chicago

Dolter, Brett. LA TRAJECTOIRE DE LA SASKATCHEWAN VERS UNE ÉLECTRICITÉ CARBONEUTRE. Canadian Climate Institute, 2024. https://institutclimatique.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Trajectoire-Saskatchewan-electricite-carboneutre.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Dolter |first1=Brett |title=LA TRAJECTOIRE DE LA SASKATCHEWAN VERS UNE ÉLECTRICITÉ CARBONEUTRE |publisher=Canadian Climate Institute |date=September 2024 |url=https://institutclimatique.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Trajectoire-Saskatchewan-electricite-carboneutre.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{dolter2024trajectoire, author = {Dolter, Brett}, title = {{LA TRAJECTOIRE DE LA SASKATCHEWAN VERS UNE ÉLECTRICITÉ CARBONEUTRE}}, institution = {Canadian Climate Institute}, year = {2024}, month = sep, url = {https://institutclimatique.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Trajectoire-Saskatchewan-electricite-carboneutre.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }