THE ROAD TO NET ZERO ELECTRICITY IN SASKATCHEWAN

The analysis finds that complying with revised Clean Electricity Regulations (CER) is technically achievable for SaskPower without jeopardizing grid reliability. While the Saskatchewan government previously claimed rates would double by 2035, this modelling indicates that residential electricity rates would only increase by 6–9% relative to a baseline scenario. The CER would significantly reduce cumulative greenhouse gas emissions between 2025 and 2050 by accelerating the adoption of carbon capture and storage and increasing imports of clean electricity from Manitoba.

• Compliance with the Clean Electricity Regulations, incorporating flexibilities proposed by Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) in February 2024, is technically and logistically achievable for SaskPower without compromising electricity reliability.
• Residential electricity rate increases by 2035 under revised CER scenarios are estimated at 6–9% (1.5 to 2.1 cents/kWh) relative to SaskPower's supply plans, contradicting provincial government claims that rates would more than double.
• The Clean Electricity Regulations would significantly lower cumulative greenhouse gas emissions from 2025 to 2050, reducing them from 126.3 megatonnes of CO2 equivalent in the baseline scenario to between 86.4 and 95.9 megatonnes.
• All modelled scenarios indicate significant growth in wind energy, with projected total system capacity between 3,633 and 4,100 megawatts by 2050, representing 42.5% to 47% of the total capacity.
• The CER scenarios achieve lower domestic emissions intensity by reducing the use of gas plants and accelerating the deployment of carbon capture and storage, as well as increasing imports from Manitoba.
• Additional capital investment required by 2035 to meet CER requirements is estimated at $4 billion for the flexible scenario and $6.5 billion for the strict scenario relative to the SaskPower Supply Plan.
• Federal Investment Tax Credits, particularly if increased to 30% for Crown Corporations, could significantly mitigate electricity rate pressures in Saskatchewan.

APA

Dolter, B. (2024). THE ROAD TO NET ZERO ELECTRICITY IN SASKATCHEWAN. Canadian Climate Institute. https://climateinstitute.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/The-Road-to-Net-Zero-Electrcity-in-Saskatchewan.pdf

Chicago

Dolter, Brett. THE ROAD TO NET ZERO ELECTRICITY IN SASKATCHEWAN. Canadian Climate Institute, 2024. https://climateinstitute.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/The-Road-to-Net-Zero-Electrcity-in-Saskatchewan.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Dolter |first1=Brett |title=THE ROAD TO NET ZERO ELECTRICITY IN SASKATCHEWAN |publisher=Canadian Climate Institute |date=September 2024 |url=https://climateinstitute.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/The-Road-to-Net-Zero-Electrcity-in-Saskatchewan.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{dolter2024road, author = {Dolter, Brett}, title = {{THE ROAD TO NET ZERO ELECTRICITY IN SASKATCHEWAN}}, institution = {Canadian Climate Institute}, year = {2024}, month = sep, url = {https://climateinstitute.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/The-Road-to-Net-Zero-Electrcity-in-Saskatchewan.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }