Search Climate Insights Directory

The report details a national survey of 2,219 Canadians showing strong public demand for urgent government action on water infrastructure, with 72.5% viewing it as an urgent priority. While awareness of the term 'natural infrastructure' is low (47% have not heard it), there is high support (71.1%) for its implementation as a cost-effective alternative or supplement to grey infrastructure. The findings highlight significant regional disparities, such as high rates of water main breaks in the Prairies and seasonal shortages in British Columbia, and underscore a persistent infrastructure gap for Indigenous communities who experience disproportionately higher rates of boil-water advisories and water shortages.

The briefing identifies household energy consumption as a source of nearly 20% of Canada's greenhouse gas emissions and proposes a transition from fossil fuels to electricity via electric vehicles (EVs), heat pumps, and efficient appliances. Modeling suggests that by 2050, electricity should cover 73% to 91% of residential heating needs and over 96% of passenger vehicle kilometers. While electrification is generally cost-effective, regional differences exist; for example, natural gas remains cheaper than electric heating in the Prairies under current policies. The document emphasizes that energy efficiency—such as better building insulation—will reduce overall household energy consumption by 26% by 2050 despite population growth. To accelerate this, the author recommends government policies to lower initial costs for low-income households, mandate EV-readiness in multi-unit buildings, and double or triple clean electricity production to meet rising demand.

The Canadian Climate Institute calls for urgent federal action to address climate threats to health, security, and economic competitiveness. The organization proposes six policy priorities: modernizing industrial carbon pricing, enacting the Clean Electricity Investment Tax Credit, maintaining the Electric Vehicle Availability Standard, finalizing oil and gas methane regulations, establishing a climate investment taxonomy, and applying resilience criteria for federally supported housing.

The document details the link between rising global temperatures and the intensification of extreme weather events in Canada, such as hail, windstorms, and hurricanes. It highlights significant insured losses in provinces like Alberta, Quebec, and Ontario, and notes a trend of tornado-prone areas shifting eastward. The text emphasizes the need for improved early warning systems, resilient building codes, and nature-based coastal protections to adapt to these increasing risks.

Climate change is intensifying extreme weather globally, with warmer temperatures providing more energy for storms. In Canada, this manifests as more frequent and severe convective storms, including hailstorms, windstorms, and hurricanes. Significant economic losses have already occurred, such as a $3.2 billion hailstorm in Calgary in 2024. Regional projections indicate increased storm intensity in the Prairies, eastern Canada, and Atlantic Canada, while the Pacific coast faces a higher likelihood of extreme atmospheric river events. Adaptation needs include improved forecasting, updated building codes for wind and hail resilience, and revised land-use policies to move development away from high-risk areas.

The Canadian Climate Institute asserts that continuing the expansion of gas infrastructure for building heating creates financial risks for ratepayers and hinders climate targets. It advocates for an incremental transition to electric heat pumps and updated regulatory frameworks that consider alternatives to gas expansion, arguing that low-carbon gases like hydrogen and biomethane cannot realistically replace fossil gas for building heat due to cost and supply constraints.

The Canadian Climate Institute responds to criticisms from the Canadian Gas Association, asserting that a gradual transition to electric heating is necessary to avoid costly stranded assets. The Institute argues that continuing to expand gas infrastructure by default risks burdening taxpayers for decades, as these assets may become obsolete before their 40-year lifespan ends. It dismisses the idea that low-carbon gases like hydrogen and biomethane can fully replace fossil gas due to limited supply and high costs, advocating instead for energy-efficient electric heat pumps and better regulatory planning to ensure a just transition.

The analysis finds that while exempting heating oil has a negligible effect on emissions, adding a natural gas exemption would increase 2030 emissions by 4.5 megatonnes. Furthermore, such exemptions would reduce the carbon rebate payments available to most households, negatively impacting affordability, particularly for lower-income groups.

The Canadian Climate Institute argues that exemptions to carbon pricing, particularly for home heating in Atlantic Canada, would undermine emission reduction incentives and increase the long-term cost of meeting climate targets. It contends that the existing rebate system already supports low-income households and proposes that any additional affordability needs be met through temporary, targeted rebates rather than policy exemptions that create market uncertainty.

The author contends that carbon pricing exemptions, such as those proposed for rural home-heating fuel in Atlantic Canada, are counterproductive because they eliminate incentives for cleaner energy adoption and create policy uncertainty for investors. While acknowledging energy affordability concerns, the text asserts that the existing rebate system already benefits most low-income households. As an alternative to exemptions, the document suggests implementing temporary, targeted rebates for low-income households to address cost-of-living pressures without weakening the overall carbon pricing framework.

Canada's current electricity grid is 84 per cent non-emitting, providing a competitive advantage for low-carbon industrial production. To maintain this lead and meet the G7 goal of a net zero grid by 2035, the federal government has introduced the Clean Electricity Regulations and investment tax credits covering 15 to 30 per cent of project costs. While some provinces like Alberta have resisted these measures, the document notes that wind and solar are already cheaper than natural gas in Alberta and Ontario. The transition is expected to reduce household energy costs through technologies like heat pumps and electric vehicles while insulating the economy from fossil fuel price volatility.

The report analyzes the viability of first-of-a-kind clean fuel projects in Canada, finding that most are currently unprofitable without public support. It distinguishes between standard market risks, which investors can manage, and systemic failures—such as policy uncertainty, infrastructure deficits, and regulatory delays—that require government action. Through financial modeling of five project archetypes, the report highlights that only blue ammonia in Alberta shows consistent viability, while others struggle with high costs and technological immaturity. It emphasizes the need for Canada to rapidly implement a permissive policy environment to compete with the United States' Inflation Reduction Act and to foster equitable partnerships with Indigenous communities.

The report examines the investment landscape for first-of-kind clean fuel projects in Canada, distinguishing between standard market risks and systemic market or policy failures. Through financial modelling of five project archetypes, the study finds that most are currently uneconomic and require targeted government intervention to become bankable. Key barriers include policy uncertainty, infrastructure deficits, skilled labour shortages, and the complexities of establishing equitable Indigenous partnerships.

The policy brief advocates for a shift from short-term competitive grants to 5-year core funding for community-based water monitoring (CBWM) in Canada. It highlights that 100 of Canada's 167 watersheds lack sufficient data for health scores and warns that a lack of long-term monitoring threatens insurance actuarial models and ESG scores for Canadian businesses. The author proposes that the Canada Water Agency coordinate a horizontal initiative to integrate monitoring across federal, provincial, and local levels to reduce redundancy and improve data interoperability.

The Canadian Association of Physicians for the Environment (CAPE) argues that Canada's post-COVID-19 economic recovery should prioritize decarbonization to protect human health and ensure economic stability. The report outlines a path to net-zero emissions by 2050, projecting that meeting climate targets would save approximately 112,000 lives between 2030 and 2050 due to air quality improvements and increase clean jobs from 210,000 in 2020 to 1.5 million by 2050. Key recommendations include legislating a net-zero 2050 target, decarbonizing electricity and transit by 2040, and transitioning buildings and healthcare to net-zero by 2050. The report also emphasizes the health risks of fossil fuel investments, the need for a just transition for workers, and the importance of nature-based solutions for climate mitigation and mental health.

The report examines how climate hazards—such as permafrost degradation, sea-level rise, and extreme weather—threaten Canadian infrastructure, including transportation, buildings, and water systems. It finds that while significant economic costs are already being incurred and research is extensive, policy and regulatory responses remain nascent and investment decisions are not yet substantially driven by adaptation needs. The document details regional vulnerabilities and explores enabling factors such as updated building codes, insurance incentives, and industry-led sustainability initiatives to strengthen long-term resilience.

The research develops MARKAL-Equity to assess how different income terciles in Canada respond to the energy price increases associated with meeting Kyoto targets. Findings indicate that low-income households are the most vulnerable, experiencing the greatest reductions in energy service demand and consumption, and lacking the financial capacity to switch to more efficient technologies compared to middle- and high-income groups.

The document outlines how climate change increases health risks in Canada, including heat-related illness, respiratory diseases, and mental health issues, while detailing specific regional threats from the North to British Columbia.

Atlantic Canada faces significant fiscal and economic risks due to its reliance on oil, gas, and coal, particularly in Newfoundland and Labrador and New Brunswick. While the region shows momentum in clean technology—led by Nova Scotia—and possesses strong natural resource advantages in wind, hydro, and tidal energy, scaling these opportunities is hindered by a lack of capital, a shortage of skilled STEM labour, and a mismatch between the location of new growth and transition-vulnerable rural communities.

The report identifies Atlantic Canada as a leader in decoupling GDP growth from greenhouse gas emissions, though it faces significant fiscal risks due to a reliance on oil, gas, and coal. While Nova Scotia is a hub for transition-related innovation in batteries, smart grids, and low-carbon shipping, regional companies generally remain small and undercapitalized. Vulnerabilities are concentrated in rural areas and specific provinces, notably Newfoundland and Labrador, where oil and gas sectors are critical to government revenue.