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Anti-migrant violence distracts from the real causes of SA’s economic crisis
The Institute for Economic Justice (IEJ) denounces the surge of anti-migrant rhetoric and violence in South Africa, attributing the social unrest to systemic economic crises rather than migration. The document highlights the role of vigilante groups and political actors in scapegoating migrants to deflect from government failures, including high unemployment and failing public services. It calls for a shift toward regional integration, the regularisation of undocumented migrants, and a pro-employment economic strategy to address the root causes of community despair.
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Document type: Statement
The Governance Scenario
The document outlines a hypothetical 'Governance scenario' for Africa, defined by reductions in state failure and corruption, and improvements in democracy and gender empowerment. It argues that such improvements would lead to a significantly larger African economy by 2043, with substantial gains in GDP per capita and a reduction of 45.5 million people living in extreme poverty. The analysis highlights the role of digital technology in implementing efficient cash grant programs as a tool for inclusion, citing Egypt's Takaful and Karama program as an example.
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Document type: Research paper
Saving Rands, Costing Lives: It’s Time for Universal Basic Income
The Institute for Economic Justice criticizes the South African government for prioritizing fiscal restraint over human wellbeing, specifically citing the removal of 35,000 people from social grants to achieve savings. The statement calls for the transition of the Social Relief of Distress (SRD) grant into a permanent, non-means-tested universal basic income set at or above the food poverty line to protect vulnerable populations from rising food costs and economic instability.
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Document type: Statement
The USD 1.2 Trillion Problem: Energy Crisis Strengthens Case for Clean Public Finance
In 2024, global public financial support for fossil fuels reached USD 1.2 trillion, nearly five times the USD 254 billion provided to clean energy. The analysis highlights a cycle where energy price shocks lead to regressive blanket subsidies that entrench fossil fuel dependency. While international public finance is trending toward clean energy, G20 state-owned enterprises (SOEs) remain heavily invested in fossil fuels, with 81% of their 2024 capital expenditure funding fossil infrastructure. The authors advocate for replacing blanket subsidies with targeted social protection and aligning SOE investments with transition goals to build resilient, low-carbon energy systems.
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Document type: Research paper
Supplementary SAHRC Submission: Just Transition in the Food System Group
The document outlines structural causes of food insecurity in South Africa, advocating for a just transition through agroecology, a Universal Basic Income Grant, and improved land access for women. It highlights systemic failures in land reform and calls for state budgeting and policy to align with the constitutional right to food.
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Document type: Report
Supplementary submission by the Just Transition in the Food System Group: SA Human Rights Commission (SAHRC) National Inquiry into the Food Systems of South Africa
The document argues that food insecurity in South Africa is a result of policy and market failures, specifically citing the casualisation of agricultural labour and the failure of land redistribution models. It advocates for a Universal Basic Income Grant (UBIG), the adoption of agroecological farming to improve resilience and yields, and the removal of legal and practical barriers to women's land access. The authors suggest that the state must move beyond market-led food security and implement active industrial policy, land reform, and a dedicated food affordability framework.
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Document type: Report
AGENDA 2063: THEMATIC FUTURES
The document outlines a projected shift in Africa's labour market from 2023 to 2043, where a 'Combined scenario' envisions a significant decrease in informal employment from 58% to 40%. This transition is expected to be driven by a resurgence in manufacturing, digital innovation, and targeted investments in infrastructure and skills, leading to improved social protection and government revenue.
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Document type: Research paper
Operationalisation of the Just Transition Mechanism
The IEJ argues that the Just Transition Mechanism must be equity-oriented, grant-based, and non-prescriptive to support developing countries' national priorities. It emphasizes the need for technical assistance that covers labour markets and social protection, and calls for governance that ensures the participation of affected stakeholders and avoids exacerbating debt burdens.
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Document type: Statement
Fiscal Framework and Revenue Proposals
The IEJ argues that the 2026 Budget fails to reverse a decade of austerity, instead implementing further cuts to non-interest spending and underinvesting in infrastructure and social services. The report criticizes the National Treasury's reliance on private sector investment and 'trickle-down economics,' noting that projected growth of 1.8% is insufficient to keep pace with labour force growth. The IEJ proposes increasing revenue through a net wealth tax and redirecting tax breaks for high-income earners, while calling for the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) to provide concessional debt for strategic industries, including green industrialisation. Additionally, the document critiques the Targeted and Responsible Savings (TARS) initiative and the Gender Budget Statement for failing to address structural inequalities and food insecurity.
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Document type: Report
Submission on the draft Social Relief of Distress grant regulations
The IEJ criticizes the 2026 draft SRD grant regulations for ignoring long-standing systemic flaws, such as the inadequate grant value of R370 and restrictive online-only applications. While welcoming the extension of the grant to March 2027, the IEJ warns that this period expires before the planned introduction of the Basic Income Support (BIS) policy in March 2027. The submission advocates for a transition to a universal basic income, the use of self-declarations over inaccurate database verifications, and an increase in the grant value to meet the food poverty line of R855.
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Document type: Statement
STATEMENT: Vulnerable people will lose their grants so National Treasury can meet its R3 billion “savings” projection
The Universal Basic Income Coalition (UBIC) argues that the 2026 Budget prioritises the wealthy and middle class over the vulnerable, leaving critical social grants like the Child Support Grant (CSG) and the Covid-19 Social Relief of Distress (SRD) grant below the food poverty line. The coalition specifically warns that National Treasury's Targeted and Responsible Savings (TARS) programme, which aims for R3 billion in savings through intensified grant reviews, is based on flawed assumptions about beneficiary fraud and risks excluding millions of eligible people due to SASSA's capacity constraints.
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Document type: Statement
What Does the International Court of Justice Advisory Opinion on Climate Change Mean for Environmentally Harmful Subsidies?
The briefing examines the legal implications of the 2025 ICJ Advisory Opinion on climate change, arguing that the provision of fossil fuel subsidies may constitute an internationally wrongful act. It extends this reasoning to other harmful subsidies, such as those in agriculture and plastics, and provides recommendations for states to reduce legal risk through transparent, phased reforms and international coordination via the Coalition on Phasing Out Fossil Fuel Incentives Including Subsidies (COFFIS).
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Document type: Briefing
Que signifie l’avis consultatif de la Cour internationale de Justice sur le changement climatique pour les subventions nuisibles à l’environnement?
The document argues that the ICJ's 2025 advisory opinion transforms the removal of fossil fuel subsidies from a political commitment into a legal imperative, as such subsidies may constitute an 'internationally wrongful act'. It suggests this reasoning extends to other harmful subsidies, such as those in agriculture and plastics, increasing the legal risk for states. The briefing recommends that governments implement transparent, gradual phase-out plans, prioritize social protection over production subsidies, and coordinate internationally through initiatives like the Coalition on Phasing Out Fossil Fuel Incentives including Subsidies (COFFIS).
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Document type: Briefing
A Measure of Care
The report analyzes the systemic invisibility of the care economy in national statistics, specifically how GDP overlooks unpaid care work disproportionately performed by women. It reviews five primary measurement approaches: time-use surveys, economic valuation (opportunity and replacement costs), policy indices/scorecards, quality-of-life metrics, and household satellite accounts. Using case studies from Canada, Bangladesh, the UK, and Africa, the document demonstrates that unpaid care can represent a significant portion of national wealth—for example, estimated at 25% to 37% of Canada's GDP in 2021. The report concludes that moving beyond GDP requires a cohesive, integrated system of measurement to recognize care as a structural pillar of development and a fundamental investment in human capabilities.
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Document type: Report
Written submission to the South African Human Rights Commission (SAHRC): National investigative hearing into the food systems of South Africa
The Universal Basic Income Coalition (UBIC) submits that food insecurity in South Africa is primarily a result of income poverty and landlessness rather than food scarcity. The submission highlights that while social grants have historically improved nutrition, their current adequacy and coverage are declining due to food inflation and fiscal austerity. UBIC proposes transforming the Social Relief of Distress (SRD) grant into a universal, unconditional, and redistributive basic income for all adults aged 18-59, pegged to the food poverty line (FPL) and eventually the upper-bound poverty line (UBPL).
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Document type: Report
Latest budget benefits the better-off, squeezes the poor
The 2026 National Budget is criticized for maintaining austerity measures, reducing non-interest spending by R5.2 billion in 2026/27, and failing to address chronic food insecurity and unemployment. The document highlights that real spending on public services, including education and healthcare, is declining, while tax relief is skewed toward higher-income earners. It further critiques the second Gender Budget Statement for being peripheral to fiscal decision-making and failing to address the structural vulnerabilities of female-headed households.
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Document type: Statement
A Just Transition Framework for CARICOM Trade
The policy brief argues that for the Caribbean Community (CARICOM), a Just Transition must be a multi-sectoral regional transformation strategy rather than a narrow focus on fossil fuel phase-out. It introduces a framework based on six guiding principles—social justice, effective governance, inclusive participation, economic resilience, alignment with climate goals, and green financing—to mitigate risks in sectors like energy, tourism, and transport, while leveraging growth opportunities in the blue and orange economies. The author recommends institutionalizing social dialogue, strengthening regional policy coherence, and mobilizing scaled concessional finance to ensure the transition is equitable and supports long-term economic diversification.
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Document type: Policy brief
Safeguarding a Successful Just Transition in Uganda: Supporting Frameworks with Data and Governance
Uganda has developed a Just Transition Framework (JTF) to ensure that structural economic changes toward sustainability do not marginalize vulnerable groups, particularly informal workers and smallholder farmers. The framework is integrated into national planning cycles, including the Fourth National Development Plan (NDP IV), and emphasizes distributive, procedural, and restorative justice. While Uganda has established multi-stakeholder coordination and project screening tools, it faces significant barriers such as a lack of a national resettlement policy, high labor market informality (over 80%), and severe data gaps. The document calls for international grant-based support for labor economy modeling, the creation of a national resettlement policy, and programmatic finance for re-skilling and livelihood restoration.
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Document type: Policy brief
Implementing a Just Transition in Indonesia: Challenges and Opportunities
The document examines Indonesia's Just Transition (JT) agenda, primarily driven by the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP). While a comprehensive framework exists on paper, implementation is hindered by governance restructuring, a narrow focus on the energy sector, inadequate financing for social components, and significant data gaps. The author argues for expanding JT principles across all economic sectors, strengthening subnational capacity, and increasing grant-based financing to ensure an equitable shift to a low-carbon economy.
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Document type: Policy brief
Just Transition Framework: Connecting International Support with National Implementation
The report identifies seven recurring patterns where international climate support reproduces structural barriers in the Global South, such as prioritising technical infrastructure over social protection and centralising decision-making power. Based on analysis of Chile, Indonesia, Kenya, South Africa, Uganda, and Vietnam, it argues that Just Transition efforts are hindered by labour informality, contested land rights, and a lack of subnational delivery capacity. The framework recommends that the JTWP embed social requirements in finance, strengthen subnational institutions, develop justice-aligned data systems, shift from consultation to co-decision, and address the extractive dynamics of green supply chains.
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Document type: Report