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A Time of Transition: Why Lamenting the Lack of Political Will at COP18 Misses the Point
The author contends that COP18 achieved modest but real progress, including the EU's acceptance of a second Kyoto Protocol commitment period and the continuation of the Durban Platform. The text posits that the period following the 'disastrous failure' of COP15 has been a transitional phase used to clarify political positions and move toward a more flexible system where emerging economies like China, India, and Brazil also commit to emission reductions. The author argues that 'political will' is insufficient for breakthroughs; instead, 'enabling conditions'—such as social stability and the mitigation of income inequality—are required for national leaders to build domestic support for bold international climate action.
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Document type: Briefing
A Mirage in the Deserts of Doha? Assessing the outcomes of COP 18
The document evaluates COP 18 as a procedural success for securing a second Kyoto Protocol commitment period and advancing the Durban Platform, but as a failure regarding concrete progress on mitigation, financing, and the post-2020 agreement architecture.
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Document type: Report
COUNTRY SNAPSHOT
The document details CDKN's support for Bangladesh in advancing the 'Loss and Damage' agenda within the UNFCCC, including the creation of case studies and training for officials. It also highlights the development of a participatory monitoring and evaluation (M&E) tool for community-based adaptation (CBA) by the ARCAB partnership, which has been scaled up to Somalia and Ethiopia. Additionally, it mentions research on climate-induced displacement in Bangladesh conducted by the University of Sussex and the University of Bangladesh.
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Document type: Fact sheet
COUNTRY SNAPSHOT December 2012 News from CDKN: How much does climate change cost Nepal?
The document outlines several CDKN-supported initiatives in Nepal, most notably a project launched in October 2012 to calculate the economic costs of climate change within the water and agriculture sectors. It also highlights efforts to strengthen Nepal's strategic engagement with the UNFCCC, including the training of a Core Negotiating Team and Nepal's election as chair of the LDC Group. Other mentioned projects include the integration of climate indicators into the Food Security Monitoring System (NeKSAP), the development of the Nepal Climate Change Knowledge Management Centre (NCCKMC), and research on disaster risk reduction in the Koshi River Basin.
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Document type: Fact sheet
The BRICS in the Emerging Global Economic Architecture
The document argues that South Africa's inclusion in the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) is justified by its influence in shaping the global economic agenda rather than just its GDP. It highlights how the BRICS, and specifically the BASIC group (Brazil, South Africa, India, and China), have challenged the dominance of advanced economies in the WTO and UNFCCC. The author notes the group's role in promoting South-South cooperation, increasing trade and investment with low-income countries, and pushing for reforms in the IMF and other Bretton Woods Institutions to better reflect current global economic realities.
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Document type: Research paper
Values Versus Interests in the G-20’s Global Economic Governance Effort: A South African Perspective
The document examines South Africa's role in global economic governance, analyzing the tension between liberal democratic values and domestic political pressures. It evaluates South Africa's alignment with the KAS guidelines, concluding that while current policies are generally compatible, future trajectories are uncertain due to internal factional battles within the ruling tripartite alliance and a potential shift toward state capitalism.
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Document type: Research paper
Policy paper: Standardized baselines for the CDM – are we on the right track?
The document critiques the CDM's standardized baseline framework, arguing that its one-size-fits-all approach to performance thresholds and benchmarks may lead to both under-crediting and over-crediting of projects. It highlights risks to environmental integrity, particularly because the voluntary nature of these baselines may encourage developers to select them only when they yield more credits than project-based baselines.
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Document type: Policy brief
How to build consensus in climate change negotiations
The document explores methods to overcome stalemates in international climate negotiations, suggesting a shift from unanimous consensus to qualified majority voting, the creation of interest-based coalitions, and the integration of climate justice and diverse representation in national delegations.
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Document type: Policy brief
Climate Change and UNFCCC Negotiation Process
The document serves as a technical and strategic manual for Nepal's delegation to the UNFCCC. It explains the institutional structure of the climate regime, analyzes Nepal's high vulnerability to climate change—particularly in the Himalayas—and outlines national policies like the National Adaptation Programme of Action (NAPA). It details Nepal's engagement with mechanisms such as the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and REDD+, while advocating for a 1.5°C global warming limit and increased, direct climate finance for Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and mountain nations.
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Document type: Guide
Meeting Emerging MRV Needs in China, Germany, Italy, and the United States: Are Countries Prepared?
The report evaluates the capacity of China, Germany, Italy, and the United States to meet evolving international and domestic MRV requirements for greenhouse gas emissions and mitigation actions. While most countries are well-positioned for emissions reporting, significant gaps exist in tracking the impact of specific mitigation policies and coordinating sub-national data.
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Document type: Report
Blue Carbon: The Opportunity of Coastal Sinks for Africa
The policy brief highlights the significant potential of Africa's coastal ecosystems, including mangroves, seagrasses, and tidal marshes, to act as carbon sinks. It argues that these 'Blue Carbon' sources are currently undervalued and under-accounted for in international frameworks like the UNFCCC. The author recommends that African nations advocate for the expansion of IPCC guidelines and the integration of coastal sinks into REDD+ and NAMA frameworks to attract conservation financing and meet national emission targets.
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Document type: Policy brief
South Africa must be pragmatic about BRICS
The author contends that while South Africa does not meet the original economic criteria for BRICS, it possesses significant political influence in global forums. The paper suggests that BRICS members should focus on mutual learning regarding economic development, facilitating trade by removing non-tariff barriers, and ensuring any proposed BRICS development bank complements existing institutions. It advises South African policymakers to prioritize pragmatism over ideology, maintaining strong bilateral ties with BRICS members and acting as a political gateway to the African continent.
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Document type: Research paper
Draft Report of the Green Climate Fund to the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
The draft report outlines the initial administrative and operational steps taken by the Green Climate Fund (GCF) Board, including the election of Co-Chairs, the selection process for a host country, and the establishment of an Interim Secretariat. It details the role of the World Bank as Interim Trustee and provides a financial snapshot of the Fund's trust fund as of September 2012. The report also maps GCF's progress against specific guidance provided by the Conference of the Parties (COP) to the UNFCCC.
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Document type: Report
Open letter to Environment Council to tackle gigantic Kyoto unit surplus
The letter warns that a surplus of over 13 billion tonnes of CO2-equivalent in Kyoto emission units (AAUs) threatens the environmental integrity of future climate deals. It calls on EU ministers to support the G-77 proposal to contain these surpluses and urges the Council to act by qualified majority at the October 25, 2012 meeting to ensure the EU's commitment to meaningful emission cuts.
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Document type: Statement
The Technology Mechanism under the UNFCCC: Ways Forward
The document argues that the Technology Mechanism, comprising the Technology Executive Committee (TEC) and the Climate Technology Centre and Network (CTC&N), must move beyond a linear view of technology transfer to a systemic approach. It recommends balancing 'push factors' from industrialised countries and 'pull factors' in developing countries to create enabling environments. Key proposals include promoting cooperative research, development and demonstration (RD&D) to bridge the 'valley of death' in financing and establishing a dedicated technology funding window within the Green Climate Fund (GCF).
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Document type: Policy brief
The EU and the progressive alliance negotiating in Durban: saving the climate?
The document analyses the EU's negotiating strategy at the 2011 Durban Summit, arguing that a combination of realist bargaining and normative alliance-building with vulnerable developing nations was key to preventing the collapse of the UNFCCC process. It examines the internal complexities of the EU as a negotiating bloc and the shifting dynamics of developing country coalitions, such as the BASIC group and the Cartagena Dialogue. The author concludes that while the Durban roadmap was a success, significant challenges remain regarding climate finance, emission targets, and the willingness of major emitters like the US and China to commit to legally binding agreements.
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Document type: Research paper
Designing Effective REDD+ Safeguard Information Systems: Building on existing systems and country experiences
The document outlines recommendations for designing REDD+ Safeguard Information Systems (SIS), emphasizing the need to harmonize reporting requirements across the UNFCCC and various funders to reduce complexity for developing countries. It suggests coordinating data collection with existing processes like the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) and the Global Forest Resource Assessment (FRA) to avoid duplication. The authors advocate for country-driven, flexible systems supported by international guidance, financial aid, and capacity-building, while leveraging existing stakeholder groups to improve implementation.
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Document type: Executive summary
Designing Effective REDD+ Safeguard Information Systems: Building on existing systems and country experiences
The document examines eight existing reporting processes and early actions in five countries to identify how they can support REDD+ safeguard reporting. It argues for a harmonized, country-driven approach that leverages existing data from biodiversity and forest governance systems to reduce burdens on developing nations.
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Document type: Briefing
From ‘Crowding Out to Crowding In’: Towards an Institutional Analysis of Adaptation Funds
The paper examines the fragmented landscape of climate change adaptation finance, analyzing the roles of the UNFCCC, the Adaptation Fund, the Global Environment Facility (GEF), and Overseas Development Assistance (ODA). It argues that the current system is a 'non-system' characterized by inefficiencies, double counting of funds, and a lack of standardized metrics for success. The author explores the potential for regional banks, such as the African Development Bank, to provide more effective, decentralized management of funds. The document concludes by offering lessons for the Green Climate Fund (GCF), emphasizing the need for direct access modalities, clear ring-fencing of assets, and a transparent trustee selection process to avoid conflicts of interest, particularly regarding the World Bank.
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Document type: Research paper
What’s the Mind Got To Do With It?
The author proposes a cognitive approach to analyze the persistent failure of global climate governance, arguing that human behavior in negotiations is driven by underlying mental representations. The paper introduces cognitive-affective mapping (CAM) as a qualitative tool to visualize these belief systems, including their emotional valences. By applying CAM to UNFCCC participants, the research aims to identify cognitive barriers to cooperation and explore how these mental structures differ between individuals and groups, potentially offering new pathways for diplomatic breakthroughs.
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Document type: Research paper