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How Can Indonesia Foster Sustainable Infrastructure Solutions That Deliver Low-Carbon Development and Bring Additional Benefits?
The document introduces the Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) methodology, a simulation-based tool designed to calculate environmental, social, governance, and climate risks, as well as externalities in infrastructure projects. It details the three-pronged modelling approach—system dynamics, project finance, and spatially explicit models—to provide a more comprehensive cost-benefit analysis than traditional financial valuations. The report provides sector-specific examples (energy, buildings, roads, wastewater, irrigation, and natural infrastructure) and outlines how these modules can be integrated into Indonesia's Vision 2045 (IV2045) system dynamics model to bridge top-down national strategy with bottom-up project implementation.
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Document type: Report
Advancing the Climate Resilience of Canadian Infrastructure
The report identifies significant climate risks to Canadian infrastructure, including permafrost degradation in the North and flooding in coastal and urban areas. It recommends a whole-of-society approach combining climate-informed planning, structural changes, and natural infrastructure solutions. While federal initiatives like the Climate Lens and the Disaster Mitigation and Adaptation Fund provide a foundation, the report argues for greater investment to close an infrastructure gap estimated up to CAD 1 trillion and the adoption of more diverse sustainable finance mechanisms.
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Document type: Report
Toward a National Adaptation Strategy for Canada: Key insights from global peers
The report analyzes 12 adaptation policy instruments from 11 countries to inform Canada's development of its first national adaptation strategy. It identifies global trends, such as increasing legislative backing and iterative planning, and proposes 13 considerations for Canada across four areas: the development process, federal action mobilization, implementation, and global leadership.
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Document type: Report
PUBLIC FAST-INFRA SUSTAINABLE INFRASTRUCTURE LABEL: FRAMEWORK FOR CONSULTATION
The FAST-Infra Sustainable Infrastructure Label (SI Label) is a voluntary, globally applicable framework designed to certify infrastructure assets that demonstrate positive sustainability outcomes. To qualify, assets must meet baseline 'do no significant harm' requirements—primarily based on IFC Performance Standards—and demonstrate a positive contribution to at least one of 14 sustainability criteria across environmental, social, governance, and adaptation and resilience dimensions. The framework mandates minimum safeguards, including Environmental and Social Impact Assessments (ESIA) and Climate Risk and Resilience Assessments, alongside rigorous disclosure and annual reporting. While self-declaration is permitted, the framework strongly encourages independent external reviews to ensure market trust. Governance is managed by a Secretariat, an Executive Committee, and a Steering Committee, with a broad membership of private investors, governments, and NGOs.
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Document type: Report
Toward a National Adaptation Strategy for Canada: Key insights from global peers
The report outlines a framework for Canada's first National Adaptation Strategy (NAS), drawing on a review of 12 policy instruments from 11 countries. It identifies a global trend where adaptation planning is increasing and regularly updated, but implementation and monitoring and evaluation (M&E) remain weak. For Canada, the authors recommend establishing clear institutional arrangements, a unified climate risk assessment approach, and a robust M&E system. The report emphasizes the need for deep engagement with Indigenous Peoples to advance reconciliation and the integration of gender equality and social inclusion through Gender-Based Analysis Plus (GBA+). It also suggests bridging the gap between climate adaptation and disaster risk reduction (DRR) and elevating nature-based solutions.
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Document type: Report
Aligning Financial Intermediary Investments with the Paris Agreement
The paper argues that while DFIs have focused on aligning direct project financing, they must also address 'indirect' investments via financial intermediaries to meet global climate goals. It proposes a four-pillar framework—mitigation, adaptation, governance, and transparency—implemented in two phases over a maximum of five years. The framework suggests sector-specific exclusion lists, physical climate risk screenings, institutional climate governance, and TCFD-aligned reporting. It also recommends a risk-tailored approach to investment instruments, suggesting that general purpose loans and equity be restricted to FIs already meeting alignment criteria, while special purpose vehicles (SPVs) can be used for clients committed to the principle of alignment but lacking immediate capacity.
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Document type: Research paper
COASTAL FLOODING AND EROSION UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE: A RISK ASSESSMENT FOR DAKAR
The report assesses coastal risks in the Dakar region, specifically within the departments of Dakar, Pikine, and Guédiawaye. It identifies high-risk areas for flooding, such as the canal of Ngor and the Port of Dakar, and high-risk areas for erosion, including the beach of Hanika. Projections indicate that without adaptation, the population at risk of coastal flooding will increase by 20-30% by 2050 and over 80% by 2100. Economic damages to buildings are expected to rise by 30% by 2050 and up to 180% by 2100 under the worst-case scenario.
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Document type: Policy brief
Embedding sustainability into the COVID recovery
The document argues that the innovative policy responses used to combat the COVID-19 pandemic can be repurposed to mitigate systemic climate-related risks. It details how prudential regulations, such as stress testing and capital buffers, and monetary instruments, including collateral frameworks and corporate financing facilities, can be 'greened' to support a sustainable recovery in the ASEAN region. The brief emphasizes the need for clear roadmaps and mandatory climate disclosures to manage both physical and transition risks.
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Document type: Policy brief
U.S. Department of Defense in Focus: Budget Priorities and New Nominees
The Council on Strategic Risks identifies critical gaps in U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) priorities, specifically noting a decline in biodefense spending and the need to operationalize climate resilience tools. The authors provide a set of targeted questions for nominees to key positions—including the Secretary of the Army and various Under Secretaries—to ensure that climate change, biological threats, and nuclear modernization are integrated into national security strategy and budget planning.
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Document type: Statement
Shareholder climate proposals in Japan
The document analyzes the legal framework for shareholder climate proposals in Japan, noting that amendments to articles of incorporation are the only viable legal pathway for such proposals under the Japanese Companies Act. It highlights a landmark proposal at Mizuho Financial Group that received 34% support and argues that such proposals, while requiring a two-thirds majority to pass, can still influence corporate behavior, as seen with Mizuho's pledge to stop financing coal projects by 2050. The briefing compares these Japanese mechanisms to 'special resolutions' used in the UK and encourages boards and investors to support proposals aligned with the Paris Agreement.
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Document type: Briefing
An Analysis of Urban Climate Adaptation Finance
The report finds that urban adaptation finance is significantly underfunded, representing only 3-5% of total global adaptation flows, with an estimated annual investment of up to USD 3.7 billion against a projected need of USD 11-20 billion for urban infrastructure protection. Analysis of the Global Landscape of Climate Finance, World Bank PPI, and CDP Cities data reveals a heavy concentration of funding in the water and wastewater sectors and a geographic bias toward East Asia and the Pacific, particularly China. Key barriers to scaling finance include limited DFI mandates for sub-national investment, poor municipal creditworthiness, and a lack of standardized outcome metrics for private investors. The report recommends developing practitioner case study databases, improving urban boundary tracking, and expanding DFI mandates to work directly with cities.
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Document type: Report
Recovery Through Reform: Export Development Canada’s role in fossil fuel subsidy reform
The document argues that Export Development Canada (EDC) provides disproportionately high levels of support for oil and gas compared to clean technology, often lacking transparency in its transactions. It highlights that EDC's domestic mandate expansion, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic, has facilitated continued fossil fuel financing. The brief recommends that EDC phase out public finance for fossil fuels, set clear climate action targets, and implement 'green strings' (climate-related conditionalities) to ensure economic recovery is aligned with the Paris Agreement and Canada's 2050 net-zero goal.
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Document type: Policy brief
Assessing Physical Risks from Climate Change: Do Companies and Financial Organizations Have Sufficient Guidance?
The paper evaluates physical climate risk guidance from six major disclosure initiatives (CDP, CDSB, NFRD, GRI, SASB, and TCFD) against IPCC standards. It finds significant gaps in terminology, hazard coverage, and the availability of quantitative metrics, suggesting that private sector entities may be overlooking critical risks. The authors propose the development of open-source scientific translations, peer-reviewed datasets, and a standardized science-based risk assessment framework to improve corporate resilience and financial decision-making.
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Document type: Research paper
Overcoming barriers to climate adaptation
The document identifies eight categories of barriers to climate adaptation: conflicting timescales/interests, leadership, resources, science, governance/institutional constraints, lack of awareness/communication, attitudes/values/motivations, and the adaptation process itself. It provides a self-evaluation survey for local authorities to identify their specific challenges and offers a curated list of resources and critical discussion questions to facilitate stakeholder engagement and problem-solving. Findings from CASCADE workshops indicate that spatial planners in the Baltic Sea Region perceive financial resource shortages as a primary barrier, while emergency management practitioners highlight climate skepticism as a significant challenge.
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Document type: Report
Belize Development Finance Corporation Capacity Strengthening for Accreditation to the Green Climate Fund
The proposal seeks USD 498,902 over 14 months to address fiduciary and operational gaps in the Belize Development Finance Corporation (DFC). Based on a PwC gap assessment, the project aims to establish an Investment Management Policy, an Asset and Liability Committee, an Environmental and Social Management System, and policies for internal audit, procurement, and communication. The Caribbean Development Bank (CDB) will serve as the implementing partner to help the DFC become a vehicle for deploying gender-responsive climate finance to Belize's private sector, particularly MSMEs.
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Document type: Report
U.S. President-Elect Biden and the Climate Security Nexus: Recommendations for the Way Ahead
The Council on Strategic Risks argues that the U.S. President should make climate change a vital national security priority. It evaluates President-elect Biden's plan to commission a National Intelligence Estimate on climate security, require annual reports from the Secretary of Defense, and invest in military base resilience. The author advocates for further steps, including the creation of senior climate security positions in the White House and the development of Regional Climate Security Plans.
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Document type: Statement
Filling the Gap: A review of Multilateral Development Banks’ efforts to scale up financing for climate adaptation
The report examines the 'adaptation gap,' noting that annual costs for adaptation in developing countries could reach USD 500 billion by 2050, while current flows remain insufficient and skewed toward mitigation. It analyzes how MDBs are transitioning from stand-alone climate projects to a 'Paris alignment' paradigm where all development finance is climate-resilient. Key barriers identified include a lack of technical expertise in developing countries, the high upfront costs of climate-proofing (10-20% of finance), and the difficulty of attracting private sector investment due to a lack of immediate revenue streams. The document recommends increased technical assistance for National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) and the use of innovative blended finance instruments to catalyze private capital.
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Document type: Report
Strengthening the capacities of national and regional development banks, which are members of the International Development Finance Club (IDFC), to access GCF resources
The document outlines a readiness project implemented by the Agence Française de Développement (AFD) to support 13 accredited and applicant Direct Access Entities (DAEs) within the International Development Finance Club (IDFC). The project aims to remove barriers to GCF accreditation and funding by providing technical assistance for fiduciary, environmental, social, and gender policies, and by developing climate finance tools for risk and impact assessment. Key deliverables include an IDFC-GCF Toolkit, a joint DAE-IDFC Work Program, and the development of multi-country concept notes focusing on climate-resilient recovery post-COVID-19, specifically targeting MSMEs and vulnerable populations in sectors like renewable energy and sustainable land use.
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Document type: Report
Strengthening the foundation for a climate responsive agricultural sector in the Caribbean
The proposal addresses the vulnerability of the Caribbean agricultural sector to climate change and its historical lack of prioritization in climate finance. It aims to increase the sector's profile by improving the collection and analysis of agricultural data, strengthening institutional capacities for GCF programming, and developing a pipeline of bankable, low-emission, and climate-resilient projects. Key activities include regional scoping studies on NDCs, the creation of a knowledge management portal, and the development of occupational competency standards for youth in climate-smart agriculture.
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Document type: Report
Integration of Climate Data in the SAVi Buildings Model
The document details how authoritative climate data from the Copernicus Climate Data Store (CDS) is integrated into the SAVi Buildings model. It provides a literature review on climate impacts on buildings—covering energy demand, rainwater harvesting, and climate hazards—and explains the methodology for translating this data into performance indicators. Simulation results demonstrate that using CDS climate data significantly alters projections compared to 'no climate' scenarios, specifically showing a 23-fold increase in forecasted rainwater harvesting yields and a reduction in projected energy expenditures for heating and cooling.
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Document type: Report