Search Climate Insights Directory
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Litio 2040: Sustainably Developing Mexico’s Lithium from Ground to Grid
The briefing examines the challenges and opportunities of developing lithium in Sonora, Mexico. It highlights the tension between the global demand for clean energy minerals and the local risks of ecological damage and cartel co-option. The author criticizes the current state-led energy model, citing the debt of Pemex and the prioritization of carbon-intensive power, and suggests that Mexico should instead focus on moving up the value chain into refinement and battery production through international partnerships and stakeholder consultation.
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Document type: Briefing
A Balancing Act
The report warns that Nigeria's 'decade of gas' strategy, involving a planned USD 18.5bn investment in LNG infrastructure, risks creating stranded assets as global demand is forecast to fall by 2030. While Nigeria is currently the world's sixth largest LNG exporter, the report argues that prioritizing LNG may hinder economic diversification, increase fossil fuel subsidies, and expose the economy to external price fluctuations and climate-driven demand declines in Europe.
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Document type: Report
Lagos State Climate Adaptation and Resilience Plan (LCARP)
The Lagos State Climate Adaptation and Resilience Plan (LCARP) identifies critical climate risks—sea-level rise, extreme rainfall, and extreme heat—and proposes a $9 billion portfolio of 33 projects to mitigate these threats. The plan emphasizes diversifying financing mechanisms beyond concessional debt to include blended finance, grants, and nature-based solutions, while recommending policy and governance reforms to attract private investment.
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Document type: Report
Looming Deadlines for Coastal Resilience
The document details the technical approach for mapping disruptive flooding and its impact on critical infrastructure across US territories. It describes the use of NOAA tide gauge data, digital elevation models, and three sea level rise scenarios (low, medium, and high) to project inundation. The analysis overlays these flood maps with datasets covering housing, education, industrial sites, energy, government, and health facilities, while incorporating socioeconomic data from the White House Council on Environmental Quality to assess impacts on disadvantaged communities.
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Document type: Research paper
Looming Deadlines for Coastal Resilience
The Union of Concerned Scientists analysis finds that climate-driven sea level rise will expose over 1,600 critical infrastructure assets in the US to disruptive flooding at least twice per year by 2050. Public and affordable housing are the most vulnerable assets, with a disproportionate burden falling on disadvantaged communities. By 2100, the scale of risk depends heavily on global emissions, with the high scenario potentially affecting 15,081 assets. The report recommends science-informed planning, scaled-up funding, and a focus on reducing historical inequities to build coastal resilience.
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Document type: Report
Road to COP30 briefing pack
The document asserts that nature loss is a "macro-critical" threat to financial stability, with potential global economic costs of $5 trillion over five years. It details how policy, legal, reputational, and physical risks are already impacting corporate balance sheets, citing examples such as Tesla's Gigafactory delays and significant financial losses from mishandled nature interactions. The briefing identifies five priority themes for investors through 2025: framework alignment (e.g., TNFD), leveraging AI for deforestation data, managing ocean-related impacts in the blue economy, pursuing 'nature alpha' for financial returns, and active policy engagement to reverse biodiversity loss.
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Document type: Briefing
Climate Change and the Escalation of Global Extreme Heat: Assessing and Addressing the Risks
The report finds that human-induced climate change significantly increased the frequency, intensity, and duration of extreme heat globally from May 2023 to May 2024. Using the Climate Shift Index (CSI), the study determined that 6.3 billion people experienced at least 31 days of extreme heat made at least twice as likely by climate change. It identifies 76 extreme heat waves across 90 countries and highlights critical gaps in impact reporting, particularly in developing regions. The authors advocate for City Heat Action Plans and systemic adaptations to prevent heat-related fatalities.
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Document type: Report
Vulnerable Cities: Coastal Flood Risk
Climate Central analyzed annual coastal flood risks for 23 U.S. cities using Risk Finder and the Coastal Risk Screening Tool. The analysis highlights the impact of human-caused sea level rise, noting it contributed 13% of Hurricane Sandy's damages in the Northeast. For specific cities, the report identifies annual likelihoods of flooding at various levels above Mean Higher High Water (MHHW), such as a 20% likelihood for Norfolk at MHHW +4 feet. The document also notes that atmospheric warming is increasing the proportion of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes globally and may lead to more frequent back-to-back storms and rapid intensification.
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Document type: Report
Supporting Follow-up Screening for Flagged Nucleic Acid Synthesis Orders
The policy brief identifies critical gaps in how commercial DNA and RNA synthesis providers conduct follow-up screening when orders are flagged for sequences of concern. It highlights a lack of specialized software tools, the absence of verifiable standards for customer legitimacy, and poor information-sharing infrastructure between providers and law enforcement. To mitigate biosecurity risks, the authors propose that the US government support third-party 'Know Your Customer' (KYC) services, develop decision-support software, standardize data formats for flagged orders, mandate secure information sharing, and require a second institutional approver for high-risk orders.
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Document type: Policy brief
How Utilities Can Mitigate Risks through Robust Community Benefits Plans
The briefing explains how Community Benefits Plans (CBPs) serve as a tool for utilities to secure federal funding via the Energy Infrastructure Reinvestment (EIR) program while reducing project risks. It details how meaningful community engagement can prevent costly project delays and cancellations, how workforce training and unionization improve operational efficiency, and how addressing energy poverty and diversity goals enhances a utility's social license to operate and ESG performance.
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Document type: Briefing
¿Qué hace que un mineral o un metal sea “crítico”?
The document outlines a methodology for governments to identify 'critical' or 'strategic' minerals based on technical, economic, and geopolitical risks. It emphasizes that while advanced economies focus on supply security, producing countries should use criticality assessments to maximize financial benefits, increase industrial value-added, and position themselves as preferred partners in the energy and digital transitions. The guide proposes a four-step process: understanding criticality, conducting a comprehensive balance of risks and opportunities, making strategic decisions, and establishing a periodic review cycle. It includes detailed checklists for geological, economic, social, environmental, and geopolitical data collection.
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Document type: Guide
Climate Security and Misinformation: A Baseline
The report argues that climate change and the energy transition provide new vectors for mis- and disinformation that extend beyond simple climate denialism. It categorizes these threats into physical risks (e.g., misattributing disasters), cascading risks (e.g., xenophobic narratives around climate migration), and response risks (e.g., backlash to green policies). The document highlights the role of geopolitical competition, particularly involving Russia and China, and the amplifying effect of low institutional trust and AI technology. It recommends integrating misinformation risk assessments into climate policy design and strengthening monitoring capabilities.
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Document type: Report
A Climate Security Plan for the UK Home Office
The report identifies that climate change creates systemic stressors for the UK Home Office, ranging from direct threats to public health and infrastructure to indirect risks like societal polarization and organized crime. It argues that the Home Office must move from a reactive to a proactive posture by establishing a high-level climate security policy initiative. The proposed Action Plan is built on four pillars: exercising sustained leadership, understanding and anticipating risks through better data and literacy, collaborating with domestic and international partners, and implementing specific preventative measures to protect citizens and maintain social cohesion.
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Document type: Report
Risques d’inondation : le dilemme des assurances
The document discusses the challenges of flood insurance in Canada, where approximately 10% of households live in high-risk areas and are largely uninsurable. It evaluates the federal government's proposal for a low-cost public insurance program, warning that without strict design—such as excluding new builds, using risk-based premiums, and offering resilience discounts—the program could encourage risky development and become a financial burden. The author emphasizes that insurance must be part of a comprehensive strategy including land-use limits, mandatory risk disclosure, and reformed disaster financial assistance to ensure long-term climate resilience.
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Document type: Policy brief
Natural Gas in Africa Amid a Low-Carbon Energy Transition
The document identifies a short-term opportunity for African gas producers to fill global supply gaps caused by the war in Ukraine, but warns that new infrastructure investments face a high risk of becoming stranded assets as the world moves toward net-zero.
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Document type: Research paper
Financing coal phase-out: public development banks' role in the early retirement of coal-fired power plants
The report examines how public development banks can address barriers to coal phase-out through advisory services, technical assistance, and financing. It warns against risks such as moral hazard and the indirect support of natural gas capacity, recommending that banks seek firm commitments from governments to stop future fossil fuel investments. Specific guidance is provided for engaging national policymakers, utilities, and independent power producers (IPPs) to ensure transitions align with 1.5°C goals.
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Document type: Report
The National Security Rationale for Stockpiling Key Pharmaceutical Ingredients
The briefing identifies a critical national security risk stemming from the US pharmaceutical supply chain's dependence on China, which is the sole source for approximately 20% of API for vital medicines and 45% of KSM. It highlights that domestic generic manufacturing is severely underutilized, with plants operating at only half capacity, leaving the healthcare system and military vulnerable to shortages. The author proposes a phased strategy: immediately filling the Strategic Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient Reserve (SAPIR) with an 18-month supply of essential ingredients, providing grants and loans to transition manufacturing to US plants, and closing the 'Acetris loophole' to ensure 'manufactured in the U.S.' requires substantial transformation. The long-term goal is to achieve a domestic manufacturing capacity utilization of over 75% and reduce the number of drug shortages to below 50 within ten years.
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Document type: Briefing
Climate Change Vulnerability Assessments for Bekwai Municipal Assembly
The report identifies agriculture as the most vulnerable sector in the Bekwai Municipality, primarily due to a high dependence on rainfed farming and exposure to flooding from the Odo River. Historical data from 1980-2020 shows an increasing trend in temperatures and wet spell durations. Future projections through 2100 suggest rising annual rainfall (reaching 1,500 mm by 2080) and increased daytime and nighttime temperatures, which are expected to exacerbate flooding, water scarcity, and the prevalence of tropical diseases. The assessment highlights that rural communities are less resilient than urban centers due to a lack of critical functions like health care and disaster evacuation points. Recommended adaptation measures include the introduction of drought-resistant seeds, modern solar-powered irrigation, and improved climate information services.
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Document type: Report
Carbon Capture and Storage in Europe FAQs
The document argues that carbon capture and storage (CCS) is essential for Europe to reach net-zero emissions by 2050, particularly for hard-to-abate industrial sectors like cement and steel. It details the technical processes of capture and geological storage, asserts that leakage risks are extremely low, and outlines current project developments in the North Sea region and across the EU. The text also addresses the economic viability of CCS, noting that while costs vary by industry, the technology is often the lowest-cost path for specific industrial decarbonisation and carbon dioxide removal (CDR).
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Document type: Fact sheet
White Paper on European Climate Risk and Trade in Europe
The document argues that the European Union's high reliance on international supply chains makes it uniquely vulnerable to transboundary climate risks, which threaten the stability of essential imports and export-driven growth. It emphasizes the need for public policies to create an enabling environment for business adaptation and suggests a partnership between the EU and supply chain actors to enhance resilience for workers and communities.
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Document type: Report