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Bölüm 4: Depolama
Turkey has developed a significant battery project pipeline of 33 GW due to regulations requiring new wind and solar plants to include storage. However, these projects average a storage duration of 1.1 hours, which is lower than the global average of 2.5 hours seen in 2025. While 208 MW were commissioned by February 2026, the pipeline is expected to diminish starting in 2026 as plants enter service or licenses are cancelled.
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Document type: Report
Kömür
Turkey's coal-fired power generation reached 121 TWh in 2025, with imported coal accounting for approximately two-thirds of production due to higher capacity factors. While no new plants have been commissioned since 2022, a purchase guarantee for domestic coal plants announced in September 2025—offering 75 USD/MWh from 2026 to 2029—is expected to increase capacity utilization and potentially push coal generation to new records before a decline after 2030.
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Document type: Report
Türkiye Electricity Review 2026
In 2025, wind and solar energy reached a record 22% of Türkiye's electricity generation, though coal remained the largest source at 34%. While the country has a massive 33 GW battery project pipeline that exceeds any single EU nation, it still trails European averages for renewable energy share. Persistent drought has significantly reduced hydroelectric output, increasing reliance on natural gas imports by an estimated $1.8 billion annually. A new purchase guarantee for domestic coal plants starting in 2026 may further increase coal generation, potentially contradicting the country's 2035 target of 120 GW of wind and solar capacity.
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Document type: Report
The road to 2035
Türkiye aims for 120 GW of wind and solar capacity by 2035, requiring an annual addition of 8 GW. The primary obstacle is limited grid capacity, which necessitates an estimated $28 billion in additional investment. The report recommends resolving permitting bottlenecks for 33 GW of storage-integrated projects, diversifying energy sources through floating solar and offshore wind auctions, and leveraging regional interconnections to enhance grid flexibility. It also highlights a policy contradiction in the $8.7 billion purchase guarantee for domestic coal plants, which may hinder renewable goals and system stability.
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Document type: Report
Coal vs Renewables: ASEAN Energy Crisis
The 2026 Middle East crisis, triggered by conflict in Iran, caused a spike in oil and gas prices and led some Southeast Asian nations to switch from gas to coal for electricity. However, the report argues that coal is not insulated from geopolitical shocks and carries high hidden health and climate costs. Analysis shows that replacing planned gas expansion with solar and storage would save ASEAN USD 4 billion by 2030, whereas replacing it with coal would increase costs. Despite this, ASEAN coal demand is projected to rise by 25% by 2030, driven largely by Indonesia and Vietnam, though Indonesia has committed to phasing out fossil fuels within 10 to 15 years.
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Document type: Research paper
Scaling Solar Power for Irrigation in India
The report evaluates the PM-KUSUM scheme's grid-connected components (A and C-FLS), which aim to deploy decentralized solar power plants (1–10 MW) on farmers' land. While the economic case is strong—with land leases earning farmers an average of INR 30,000/acre annually and investments yielding 11%–16% returns—scaling has been gradual. The report identifies three primary barriers: governance challenges limiting state ownership, market barriers such as misaligned tariffs and thin financing, and structural constraints regarding land access and grid readiness. It recommends a flexible, cooperative federalism approach for the next phase, the adoption of competitive bidding for tariff discovery, and the creation of state-level 'incentive stacks' to complement Union Government incentives.
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Document type: Report
Nigeria’s Year in the Driver’s Seat for Electric Vehicles
Nigeria is positioning itself as an African EV hub by leveraging high vehicle demand and private sector innovation in battery swapping and asset financing. The proposed Electric Vehicle Transition and Green Mobility Bill seeks to drive this shift by mandating 30% local content for EVs by 2030 and providing tax incentives for manufacturers and users. While companies like Spiro and MAX are scaling infrastructure and fleets, the report suggests Nigeria could adopt a more gradual transition from imports to local manufacturing, similar to Rwanda and Ethiopia, to avoid stalling adoption.
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Document type: Report
The electric fast-track for emerging markets
The report examines the 'electrotech fast-track' for 74 Climate Vulnerable Forum (CVF) nations, arguing that rapid cost declines in solar, batteries, and electric end-use technologies allow these countries to bypass the 'fossil detour'. It highlights that 46% of CVF nations, by electricity demand, have already surpassed the US in solar penetration. The document details how solar is now less capital-intensive than fossil fuels and how decentralized solar-battery systems are becoming cheaper than grid extension for remote areas. It further argues that transitioning to electrotech reduces the $155 billion annual fossil fuel import drain and leverages CVF nations' strategic assets in critical minerals and manufacturing to gain geopolitical influence.
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Document type: Report
Shelved Again: Supermarkets’ missing action on methane
The report finds a 'leadership vacuum' in the global food retail sector regarding methane emissions. Despite the critical role of methane in short-term global warming, none of the 20 largest retailers assessed publicly reported their methane emissions or set specific targets to reduce them. While European retailers generally outperform US retailers in acknowledging the climate impact of livestock, the overall sector shows a lack of transparency and ambition. The report recommends that retailers set science-based methane reduction targets of at least 30% by 2030 and shift their product portfolios toward a 60/40 plant-to-animal protein sales split.
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Document type: Report
Rapid Transition to Energy Sovereignty
The European Union remains vulnerable to global energy shocks due to a high dependency on fossil fuel imports, nearly 60% of its primary energy supply. While the EU has reduced reliance on Russian gas, it has increased exposure to US LNG, which the report identifies as a significant political and economic risk. To achieve energy sovereignty, the report proposes five key actions: accelerating electrification (where 89% of demand is technically electrifiable), enhancing grid interconnectivity, deploying energy storage and demand flexibility, decarbonising heavy industry through green public procurement and product mandates, and leveraging the EU Methane Regulation (EU MER) to disincentivise high-emitting imports. Financing this transition will require an average of EUR1.5tn per year through 2050, primarily driven by private capital and the GSS+ bond market.
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Document type: Report
Leaning on Uncertainty
Austria aims for climate neutrality by 2040, relying on industrial carbon removals (up to 6.3 Mt CO2eq) and land sinks, yet lacks a legally binding national climate law. While the 2024 Carbon Management Strategy (CMS) provides a transparent roadmap, significant delivery risks exist regarding the technical feasibility and timing of CO2 transport and storage infrastructure. Furthermore, there is high uncertainty regarding the long-term performance of the LULUCF sector and a lack of safeguards to prevent BECCS deployment from degrading the natural land sink.
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Document type: Case study
Leaning on Uncertainty
The document argues that while the European Commission's impact assessments are detailed, the resulting policies are opaque and rely on optimistic, potentially unfeasible projections for carbon dioxide removals (CDR). It identifies critical risks, including the overestimation of Direct Air Carbon Capture and Storage (DACCS) capacity, the potential for Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS) to undermine land sinks, and a lack of transparent financing roadmaps. The report further criticises the introduction of international carbon credits in final proposals without prior impact assessments, which may reduce domestic ambition.
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Document type: Case study
Leaning on Uncertainty
Finland relies on Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS), biochar, and land sinks to reach its 2035 carbon neutrality target, but faces significant delivery risks. The government has disregarded scientific advice from the Finnish Climate Change Panel to moderate logging levels to restore the declining land sink, which currently shows rising net emissions. While the government is pursuing BECCS, it lacks domestic geological storage and must rely on international transport and storage, which are constrained by limited capacity in Northern Europe. Furthermore, current financial allocations for BECCS are significantly lower than the estimated needs to achieve projected removal volumes.
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Document type: Case study
Leaning on Uncertainty
The French government's strategy for climate neutrality relies on a combination of vulnerable land sinks and industrial carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies. While France has binding gross-emission-reduction targets, its land sink has declined by more than 20 Mt CO2eq over the last decade due to a forestry crisis. To compensate, the Draft Third National Low Carbon Strategy (SNBC3) increases reliance on industrial removals, including Direct Air Capture and Carbon Storage (DACCS) and Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS). However, the report finds that projections for these technologies are inconsistent and lack foundational assessments regarding energy demand, land-use impacts, and domestic CO2 storage capacity. Furthermore, France plans to increase wood harvesting to 60 million m3 by 2030, which may further erode the forest carbon sink.
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Document type: Case study
Leaning on Uncertainty
The document examines Ireland's climate strategy, highlighting a systemic over-reliance on carbon dioxide removals (CDR) and afforestation to bridge gaps in emission reductions. It identifies significant delivery risks for industrial removals like BECCS, which may not be operational until the mid-2030s, and notes that afforestation targets are consistently missed. The report criticizes the lack of transparency regarding residual emissions and the potential for 'temperature neutrality' goals to lower overall climate ambition.
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Document type: Case study
Leaning on Uncertainty
The report finds that Italy's long-term climate strategy prioritises carbon removals and capture technologies over structural emission reductions, creating a risk of mitigation deterrence. While Italy aims for carbon neutrality by 2050, it lacks national legislation to enforce this goal and relies on EU-level targets. The study highlights significant transparency gaps, noting that industrial carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies like BECCS and DACCS are often conflated with carbon capture and storage (CCS). Furthermore, the report warns that planned increases in forest harvesting to 40-45% by 2030 could shrink or eliminate the land sink, despite government goals to restore it to a historic maximum of 45 Mt CO2eq by 2050.
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Document type: Case study
Leaning on Uncertainty
The document argues that Norway's climate strategy relies on uncertain land-sink removals and international offsets rather than feasible domestic emission reductions. It identifies systemic deficiencies in impact assessments, a lack of separate LULUCF targets beyond 2030, and a conflict of interest where geological storage sites are evaluated based on their potential to interfere with future petroleum activity. While some industrial removal projections are cautious, the report notes a lack of binding limits on international credits and significant gaps in biomass sustainability evaluations.
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Document type: Case study
ELECTRIFYING INDUSTRIAL HEAT IN INDIA
The report argues that industrial electrification in India is economically viable across all temperature ranges when powered by low-cost solar energy. It finds that switching to electric technologies like heat pumps and thermal batteries can reduce industrial energy use by 22% and cut CO2 emissions by over half. The analysis highlights that solar-powered electrification is already cheaper than petroleum and natural gas across all temperatures and competitive with coal in several bands. To scale this transition, the report recommends streamlining Green Energy Open Access rules, reducing electricity cross-subsidies, and implementing production-linked incentives for clean commodities.
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Document type: Report
TRES VÍAS PARA UNA TRANSICIÓN JUSTA
The report analyzes the limitations of the UNFCCC's consensus-based model and the non-binding nature of Brazil's COP30 Roadmap, arguing for a binding Fossil Fuel Treaty to regulate supply and ensure a just transition.
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Document type: Executive summary
Scaling Solar Power for Irrigation in India
The report evaluates the Pradhan Mantri Kisan Urja Suraksha evam Utthaan Mahabhiyan (PM-KUSUM) scheme, specifically Components A (decentralized solar plants) and C-FLS (feeder-level solarization). While these components offer significant benefits—including reliable daytime power for farmers, reduced agricultural subsidies for DISCOMs, and rural employment—they have seen low uptake, with only 7% and 34% achievement against targets respectively as of December 2025. Key barriers include a mismatch between regulatory tariffs and market costs, inadequate rural grid infrastructure, complex land acquisition and leasing laws, and poor institutional coordination between state agencies and distribution companies (DISCOMs). The report recommends shifting toward competitive bidding, implementing GIS-based land identification, adopting virtual feeder segregation via IoT, and enhancing the leadership role of DISCOMs in project implementation.
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Document type: Report