The road to 2035

Türkiye aims for 120 GW of wind and solar capacity by 2035, requiring an annual addition of 8 GW. The primary obstacle is limited grid capacity, which necessitates an estimated $28 billion in additional investment. The report recommends resolving permitting bottlenecks for 33 GW of storage-integrated projects, diversifying energy sources through floating solar and offshore wind auctions, and leveraging regional interconnections to enhance grid flexibility. It also highlights a policy contradiction in the $8.7 billion purchase guarantee for domestic coal plants, which may hinder renewable goals and system stability.

• Türkiye targets 120 GW of wind and solar capacity by 2035, which requires adding approximately 8 GW of new capacity annually, surpassing the 2025 record of 6.5 GW.
• Grid capacity is a critical bottleneck; reaching the 2035 target requires an estimated $28 billion in additional grid investment, likely necessitating external financing from institutions like the World Bank, EIB, ADB, or EBRD, and bilateral agreements with countries such as Saudi Arabia.
• Permitting processes are a major barrier, particularly for 33 GW of allocated storage-integrated projects. A 2025 "super permit" reform aims to reduce permitting timelines to 18 months for both wind and solar.
• Türkiye has significant untapped potential in floating solar (53 GW if 10% of dam surface area is used), rooftop solar (120 GW), and offshore wind, with the latter potentially seeing auctions as of 2026.
• A 2025 purchase guarantee of $8.7 billion for domestic coal plants is identified as a policy mismatch that contradicts renewable goals and may complicate grid management during periods of high solar generation.
• To improve grid flexibility, Türkiye plans to increase its interconnection export capacity to 6.75 GW and import capacity to 6.6 GW by 2035, from 2025 levels of 2.1 GW and 1.35 GW respectively.

APA

Ember (2026). The road to 2035. https://ember-energy.org/chapter/policy-recommendations-2/

Chicago

Ember. The road to 2035. 2026. https://ember-energy.org/chapter/policy-recommendations-2/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Ember |title=The road to 2035 |date=8 April 2026 |url=https://ember-energy.org/chapter/policy-recommendations-2/ |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{ember2026road, author = {{Ember}}, title = {{The road to 2035}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2026}, month = apr, url = {https://ember-energy.org/chapter/policy-recommendations-2/}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }