TRES VÍAS PARA UNA TRANSICIÓN JUSTA

The report analyzes the limitations of the UNFCCC's consensus-based model and the non-binding nature of Brazil's COP30 Roadmap, arguing for a binding Fossil Fuel Treaty to regulate supply and ensure a just transition.

• The UNFCCC and Paris Agreement lack explicit obligations to address the production of fossil fuels, and the terms 'fossil fuels', 'oil', 'gas', and 'coal' are entirely absent from the Paris Agreement text.
• The UNFCCC's consensus-based decision-making structure allows any single party to effectively veto progress, which restricts the level of ambition achievable regarding fossil fuel supply.
• Brazil, as COP30 President, is developing a non-negotiated 'Roadmap' to facilitate political dialogue on a just transition, though it cannot create binding obligations, enforcement mechanisms, or financial commitments.
• Current government production plans are projected to result in 120% more fossil fuel production by 2030 than is compatible with the 1.5 °C temperature limit.
• The proposed Fossil Fuel Treaty is based on three pillars: a legal obligation to end the expansion of new fossil fuel projects, a science-based and equitable phase-out of existing projects (with developed countries acting first), and a just transition for affected communities through debt relief and concessional financing.
• The Fossil Fuel Treaty would utilize majority decision-making rather than consensus and include incentive mechanisms, such as a buyers' and sellers' club, to attract participation and penalize non-participation.

APA

Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative (2026). TRES VÍAS PARA UNA TRANSICIÓN JUSTA. https://www.fossilfueltreaty.org/s/Developing-an-International-Regime-ES.pdf

Chicago

Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative. TRES VÍAS PARA UNA TRANSICIÓN JUSTA. 2026. https://www.fossilfueltreaty.org/s/Developing-an-International-Regime-ES.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative |title=TRES VÍAS PARA UNA TRANSICIÓN JUSTA |date=April 2026 |url=https://www.fossilfueltreaty.org/s/Developing-an-International-Regime-ES.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{fossilfuelnonproliferationtreatyinitiative2026tres, author = {{Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative}}, title = {{TRES VÍAS PARA UNA TRANSICIÓN JUSTA}}, institution = {Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative}, year = {2026}, month = apr, url = {https://www.fossilfueltreaty.org/s/Developing-an-International-Regime-ES.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }