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Emerging Technologies and Their Roles in a Nuclear Future
The report examines how emerging technologies are being integrated into the civil nuclear sector to support the goal of tripling nuclear capacity by 2050. It highlights US-led diplomatic initiatives like the FIRST program, which promotes the export of next-generation reactors to counter Russian and Chinese influence. The text details technical advancements in neutron detection by the Bay Area Neutron Group and the IAEA's use of AI and satellite imagery for safeguards. It further explores the symbiotic relationship between AI and nuclear energy, where advanced reactors provide stable power for AI data centers while AI optimizes reactor design and safety through physics-informed machine learning and digital twins.
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Document type: Report
The clean flexibility COP?
The report evaluates the COP29 Presidency's goals to achieve 1,500 GW of energy storage and add 25 million km of grid infrastructure by 2030. It concludes that the storage goal is highly achievable due to surging battery manufacturing capacity and falling prices, while the grid goal requires a 50% increase in the current build rate and faces significant regulatory and supply chain hurdles. The potential for green hydrogen to provide flexibility is noted, though current deployment rates remain low despite high numbers of announced projects.
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Document type: Report
BRICS und der globale Süden: Eine neue geopolitische Ära?
The paper examines the potential for a unified BRICS currency to enhance economic stability and challenge the dominance of the US dollar and euro, while highlighting significant risks stemming from economic divergence and political mistrust. Using the Optimal Currency Areas (OCA) framework, it argues that the lack of fiscal integration and synchronised business cycles among member states poses a major barrier to implementation. The author recommends a phased approach to integration and the strengthening of institutional frameworks to mitigate these risks.
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Document type: Research paper
Electricity Market Design in Southeast Asia
The document argues that Southeast Asian electricity market designs are anchored in an outdated fossil-fuel paradigm and require core redesign to leverage the cost-effectiveness of renewables. It focuses on four key economies—Indonesia, Thailand, Viet Nam, and the Philippines—noting that variable renewables contribute less than 5% of total power generation in most of the region, except for Viet Nam. The report proposes five interlinked objectives for renewables-ready power systems: long-term investment certainty, enhanced system flexibility, safeguarded system adequacy, managed retirement of carbon-intensive assets, and consumer affordability.
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Document type: Report
The Global Race for Advanced Nuclear Is On
The report updates a 2021 map of advanced nuclear projects, noting an increase from over 30 to nearly 80 demonstrations globally. While North America has seen significant commercial deals and licensing milestones, China and Russia lead in actual construction and operation. The authors argue that the U.S. must accelerate federal support for fuel supply and licensing to avoid falling further behind in a geopolitical and clean energy race.
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Document type: Report
Scaling up Climate Resilience Solutions for Burundian Smallholders
The report analyzes gender inequalities in Burundi's agricultural sector, highlighting barriers such as limited land rights, patriarchal decision-making, and low literacy among women. It outlines a Gender Action Plan by One Acre Fund (1AF) to increase female participation through tailored credit certificates, gender-sensitive training, and the collection of sex-disaggregated data to improve climate resilience for Burundian smallholders.
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Document type: Report
Governance challenges in Cabo Delgado: spinning wheels in the mud
The research paper analyzes the withdrawal of the SADC Mission in Mozambique (SAMIM) from Cabo Delgado on 15 July 2024, arguing that the exit was driven by financial constraints and poor coordination rather than security improvements. It highlights that the insurgency, involving groups like Ahlu Sunnah Waljama’a and linked to ISIS, is fueled by a complex mix of religious extremism, poverty, unemployment, and state violence. The author contends that the withdrawal may have created a security void, as attacks have increased in 2024, and argues that military intervention alone is insufficient without addressing the root governance failures and economic inequalities in Mozambique.
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Document type: Research paper
Reforming climate finance: unlocking funds from multilateral development banks
Multilateral development banks (MDBs) provided approximately USD 125 billion for climate finance in 2023, a 26% increase from 2022, yet this represents only about 1% of the USD 8.6 trillion needed annually by 2030. A G20 expert panel and credit rating agencies suggest that reforming capital adequacy frameworks (CAFs)—by increasing risk tolerance and leveraging callable capital—could unlock hundreds of billions of dollars in additional lending without risking AAA credit ratings. Specifically, current CAF progress could unlock up to USD 357 billion in lending headroom over the next decade, while S&P estimates potential increases of USD 500 billion to USD 1 trillion. The briefing also highlights the under-utilisation of guarantees, which attract USD 1.5 of private capital for every USD 1 invested, and equity finance, which currently accounts for only 1.8% of commitments. These MDB expansions are viewed as critical for the New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG), though experts argue MDB lending should complement rather than replace grant-based finance.
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Document type: Briefing
Risks and opportunities for nature-based solutions in Latin America and the Caribbean
Nature-based solutions (NbS) are being integrated into climate strategies across Latin America and the Caribbean to address biodiversity loss and climate change. While they offer significant economic and ecological potential—such as protecting coastal resilience and sequestering carbon—they cannot replace the need for deep emissions reductions from fossil fuels. The document warns that vague definitions of NbS can lead to 'greenwashing' by polluting corporations and risk the displacement of Indigenous and local communities through land grabs and monoculture plantations. For NbS to be sustainable, the author argues they must be based on local knowledge, ensure Free, Prior, and Informed Consent (FPIC), and be supported by diverse financing mechanisms beyond voluntary safeguards.
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Document type: Briefing
Industrialisation in Africa: Leading Countries and Reasons for Their Success
The document examines industrialisation trends in Africa, identifying South Africa, Morocco, and Egypt as leaders while highlighting the challenges of commodity dependence and premature deindustrialisation. It analyzes specific success stories in Ethiopia's textiles, Rwanda's ICT, and Ghana's automotive sectors, and argues for structuralist policies and increased EU support for green industries and climate finance to accelerate the transition.
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Document type: Research paper
The State of Global Air Quality Funding 2024
The report finds that international development funding for clean air is chronically underfunded, representing only 1% of total international development funding in 2022. It highlights a heavy reliance on loans over grants, significant geographic disparities in funding distribution, and a concerning increase in funding for projects that prolong fossil fuel use.
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Document type: Executive summary
New Gene Synthesis Screening Guidance in the UK: A Positive Step Towards Responsible Innovation
The Council on Strategic Risks commends the UK Government's new voluntary Guidance for Gene Synthesis Screening as a proportionate approach to managing the risks of synthetic biology. The guidance establishes baseline expectations for the provision and use of synthetic nucleic acids and benchtop equipment, aligning the UK with US standards by setting a 50-nucleotide screening threshold. While praising the collaborative regulatory environment, the Council recommends quarterly reviews of the guidance, the creation of implementation toolkits, and the establishment of international third-party screening services. It also urges UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) to make screening a condition for publicly funded research to establish safety norms in academia.
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Document type: Statement
Romania risks penalties for methane-intensive hard coal production
Romania's hard coal mines in the Jiu Valley are significantly exceeding the EU's upcoming methane intensity limits, with 2022 levels at 14.9 tonnes per kilotonne of coal compared to a 2027 limit of 5 tonnes. To avoid penalties, the document suggests Romania improve its degassing efficiency from 25% to at least 50% and implement Abandoned Mine Methane (AMM) projects, similar to those used in Germany, Poland, France, and Russia.
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Document type: Fact sheet
România riscă sancțiuni pentru producția de cărbune cu emisii crescute de metan
Romania's coal mines, particularly in the Valea Jiului region, face potential sanctions under the EU Methane Regulation due to emission levels significantly exceeding the 5 tonnes per kiloton limit set for 2027. In 2022, emissions in Valea Jiului averaged 14.9 tonnes per kiloton. To avoid non-compliance, the document suggests improving degasification efficiency—which is currently 25% compared to up to 60% in countries like Poland and Germany—and implementing 'mined methane from abandoned mines' (MMA) projects, as Romania has 173 closed underground mines that remain untapped.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Romania risks penalties for methane-intensive hard coal production
Romania faces potential penalties under the EU Methane Regulation as three of its four active underground hard coal mines in the Jiu Valley exceed the EU's methane intensity threshold. Despite reporting zero hard coal production to the EU in 2022, the state-owned Jiu Valley Energy Complex (CEVJ) continued production, with plans to increase output to 2,000 tonnes per day by June 2024. The report highlights that coal mine methane (CMM) emissions added 72% to the climate impact of burning hard coal at the Paroseni power plant in 2022. While methane capture is technically viable, Romania's average degassing efficiency was only 25% in 2019. Furthermore, Romania has failed to implement any Abandoned Mine Methane (AMM) projects across its 173 closed mines, despite such practices being common in Germany and France.
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Document type: Report
Reforming climate finance: Asia leads in transition finance
The document explores transition finance as a tool for emerging and developing economies, particularly in Asia, to decarbonise high-emitting sectors that struggle to meet strict green finance criteria. It analyses the taxonomies of Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong, and ASEAN, while highlighting risks of 'transition-washing' and the need for science-based targets and independent verification to ensure alignment with 1.5°C pathways.
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Document type: Briefing
Fortaleciendo la capacidad de adaptación de los caficultores mesoamericanos ante los cambios globales
The coffee sector in Mesoamerica, comprising approximately 580,000 producers—mostly smallholders with less than 5 hectares—is highly vulnerable to global price volatility and extreme weather events. Between 2000 and 2003, the region saw a 44% decrease in coffee trade earnings and the loss of 500,000 jobs for heads of households. While some farmers have adapted through organic production, fair trade, and social organization, others have been forced to diversify into non-agricultural activities or migrate. The document argues for a stronger public sector leadership to implement policies that combine indigenous knowledge with financial mechanisms (such as insurance and micro-credit) and social capital to improve long-term sustainability and climate resilience.
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Document type: Research paper
correction-instar-pri-letter-2024-accepted-869f7d740909a499.pdf
The Private Equity Stakeholder Project and United Farm Workers argue that Instar Asset Management has violated the PRI's integrity by ignoring labor abuses at Windmill Farms, including wage theft, gender discrimination, and union-busting, despite Instar's public ESG policies.
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Document type: Statement
The Role of Hydrogen in the Medium- and Heavy-Duty Trucking Sectors
The report argues that hydrogen fuel cell electric trucks (FCETs) are best suited for long-haul heavy-duty trucking due to superior payload capacity, range, and refueling speeds compared to battery electric trucks (BETs). However, adoption is currently stymied by a 'chicken-and-egg' infrastructure problem and high fuel costs, with public hydrogen in California costing approximately $25/kg compared to a diesel-competitive price of roughly $6.50/kg. While California is the primary driver of adoption due to regulations like the Advanced Clean Fleet and Advanced Clean Trucks rules, projections from the California Air Resources Board (CARB) suggest slow penetration unless significant interventions occur. The report recommends prioritizing the reduction of pump prices—even if it requires accepting higher carbon intensity in the short term—and streamlining infrastructure permitting to enable a transition away from diesel by 2030.
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Document type: Report
Assentamentos em Foco: Combate ao Desmatamento e Conservação na Amazônia
The report finds that while agrarian reform settlements occupy only 8% of the Amazon biome, they accounted for 24% of its forest loss in 2023. Deforestation is highly concentrated, with 5% of settlements responsible for 65% of the loss in settled areas between 2017 and 2023. The analysis suggests that large-scale clearing is likely driven by external actors rather than smallholder farmers. Geographically, 63% of this deforestation is concentrated in three Incra Regional Superintendencies: Santarém, Sul do Pará, and Amazonas. The authors recommend that the Ministry of Environment and Climate Change (MMA), Ibama, and Incra implement focalized interventions in these priority settlements to enhance conservation.
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Document type: Report