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763 documents from Peace Research Institute Oslo
Displacement in cyprus consequences of civil anD military strife
The report examines the legal complexities of property and displacement in Cyprus, focusing on the Republic of Cyprus's support systems for Greek Cypriot displaced persons and the administration of Turkish Cypriot properties in the south. It details the influence of the European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) and the European Court of Justice (ECJ) on property rights, highlighting the shift from the Loizidou case to the Demopoulos ruling, which directed claimants toward the Immovable Properties Commission (IPC). The document also critiques the 'doctrine of necessity' used to justify the Guardian of Turkish Cypriot Properties and discusses the discriminatory nature of certain property acquisition laws.
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Document type: Report
Property in the Cyprus Peace Process – Proceedings of the PCC-CePs Conference 20–21 May 2010 (Brussels)
The report details a conference in Brussels where representatives of Greek Cypriots (GCs) and Turkish Cypriots (TCs) discussed the legal, normative, and economic challenges of property restitution and compensation. Key tensions include the GCs' emphasis on the right of the legal owner to choose the remedy and the TCs' focus on the rights of current users and the principle of bizonality. The proceedings explore the role of the Immovable Property Commission (IPC), the impact of European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) rulings, and the financial impossibility of full market-value compensation, suggesting alternative market-based exchange mechanisms and the need for social reconciliation.
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Document type: Report
ENVISIONING A FUTURE: TOWARDS A PROPERTY SETTLEMENT IN CYPRUS
The document summarizes a conference held on 30 September 2011 in Nicosia, which addressed the historical, social, and legal dimensions of property disputes resulting from the displacement of Greek and Turkish Cypriots. It details the divergent political positions of the two sides, the financial challenges of compensation, and the need for sustainable development and a pragmatic, multi-dimensional approach to settlement.
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Document type: Report
Does civil war breed authoritarian values?
The study examines the link between civil war exposure and authoritarianism using survey data from Bosnia-Herzegovina, Kosovo, and Croatia. It finds that while direct personal loss does not consistently increase authoritarianism, symptoms of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) are strongly associated with a more authoritarian value orientation across all three countries. The author argues that the individual's ability to cope with trauma, rather than violence itself, is the primary driver of these values, which may hinder democratic consolidation in the region.
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Document type: Research paper
Does Education Lead to Pacification?
The review finds a general scholarly consensus that higher levels of education have a pacifying effect on civil conflict, though this relationship is complex and varies by the type of violence. While low education is often linked to recruitment in civil wars, higher education levels are frequently observed among terrorists and genocide perpetrators. The authors highlight that inter-group educational inequalities—particularly along ethnic and religious lines—significantly increase conflict risks, whereas rapid expansions in tertiary education do not appear to drive destabilization. The document concludes that while education generally promotes peace, its impact is mediated by factors such as regime type, gender equality, and the specific nature of the political violence.
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Document type: Research paper
Does Being Bound Together Suffocate, or Liberate?
The research finds a strong positive association between overall globalization and its three components—economic, social, and political—and the respect for basic human rights, contradicting 'race to the bottom' theories.
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Document type: Research paper
Don’t Mention the War! International Financial Institutions and the Gendered Circuits of Violence in Post-Conflict
The authors argue that International Financial Institutions (IFIs), such as the IMF and World Bank, exercise extraordinary leverage in post-conflict states to impose neoliberal reforms that often exacerbate gendered insecurity. By introducing the concept of 'gendered circuits of violence,' the paper demonstrates how macroeconomic policies—including austerity, debt-based financialization, and extractive resource economics—disproportionately burden women and marginalized groups. The text highlights that while IFIs have adopted the rhetoric of gender equality as 'smart economics,' these efforts are often superficial and fail to address the material realities of unpaid care work and structural violence. Case studies from Ukraine, East Timor, and the Western Balkans illustrate how IFI-mandated reforms can lead to increased household debt, the erosion of social welfare, and even the incitement of physical violence against women.
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Document type: Research paper
E pluribus unum, ex uno plures: Competition, violence, and fragmentation in ethnopolitical movements
The research examines why some ethnopolitical movements are fragmented while others are unified, using a dataset of self-determination movements and a case study of Punjab, India. The authors find that competitive dynamics—specifically state repression, the accommodation of demands, the onset of civil war, and diversifying political demands—significantly increase movement fragmentation. While transnational factors like foreign fighters and mediation also contribute to division during wartime, structural factors such as linguistic sub-cleavages and geographic dispersion showed no significant correlation. The Punjab case study illustrates how events like Operation Bluestar and the failed Rajiv-Longowal Accord triggered proliferation of militant and political organizations.
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Document type: Research paper
Eastern Mediterranean Hydrocarbons
The report examines the discovery of natural gas in the Eastern Mediterranean, focusing on the competing claims of the Republic of Cyprus, Turkey, and Turkish Cypriots. It analyzes the commercial viability of export options—such as LNG plants and pipelines to Turkey or Europe—against a backdrop of falling global gas prices due to the US shale revolution. The text argues that while hydrocarbons offer a potential 'win-win' for regional stability, their development is currently hostage to long-standing political conflicts, particularly the Cyprus problem and strained Israeli-Turkish relations. It also explores the specific challenges facing Lebanon in becoming a gas province and the role of global energy governance and major players like Russia and the EU in shaping the region's energy future.
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Document type: Report
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS AND HARDLINE PUBLIC OPINION
The research employs two survey experiments with Japanese participants to test the application of group threat theory to international relations. The findings indicate that Japanese individuals adopt more hardline attitudes toward territorial and historical disputes with South Korea specifically when they perceive Japan's economic power is declining relative to South Korea's rising economy. The study concludes that this effect is triggered by the relative shift in economic power rather than the absolute decline of the ingroup or the rise of the outgroup alone.
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Document type: Research paper
Education for Peace Building
The report argues that formal education systems can either fuel or mitigate armed conflict depending on their inclusivity, quality, and relationship with the community. Through case studies in Guatemala, Nepal, and Liberia, the author identifies four conflict-transforming concepts: equitable inclusion, positive socialization, the creation of social capital, and the provision of socio-economic benefits. The study finds that educational exclusion and authoritarian teaching methods often mirror and reinforce the structural inequalities that drive conflict, while participatory, child-centered education and equitable resource distribution can raise the opportunity costs of joining rebellions and foster a culture of non-violence. The report recommends that national governments and international donors integrate education into peacebuilding processes, prioritize social justice in curricula, and better link schooling to the labor market to ensure that education provides tangible hope and economic mobility.
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Document type: Report
Effectiveness of Aid on Educational Dropout in Post-Genocide Rwanda
The research examines the long-term effects of the 1994 Rwandan genocide on primary school dropout rates, specifically analyzing whether living near genocide-targeted areas increases dropout risk and if development aid mitigates this effect. Using a sample of 63,892 respondents and spatial data, the study finds that while proximity to genocide events alone does not significantly increase dropout probability, the presence of aid projects in those areas reduces the likelihood of dropout by 20%. This effect is most pronounced in low-income households, where the probability of dropout decreases by 10.6%. The study also identifies that child-headed households and rural residence are associated with higher dropout rates, while female students and those with educated household heads are less likely to drop out.
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Document type: Research paper
Lights and shadows of the Peace Agreement implementation in Colombia
The report presents findings from the Mapping Attitudes, Perceptions and Support (MAPS) project, based on 12,052 interviews in 73 municipalities across 16 PDET areas in Colombia. It reveals a complex landscape where 38% of respondents are satisfied with the Peace Agreement's implementation, while 58% are not. While the influence of armed groups has decreased from 55% to 30% since 2016, significant insecurity persists, and interpersonal and institutional trust remain low. The most positively perceived implementation areas are illicit crop substitution and truth, justice, and reparation for victims, whereas FARC political participation and health/education improvements are the least valued. The report emphasizes the strong correlation between perceived security and overall satisfaction with the peace process.
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Document type: Report
Environmentalism, Democracy, and Pollution Control
The research employs a lobby group model and cross-country data from 104 countries to analyze the drivers of environmental policy stringency. The authors find that a higher number of environmental lobby groups generally leads to stricter policies. Crucially, the study identifies an interaction effect where political competition increases policy stringency primarily in countries with high levels of democratic participation, whereas participation alone has no effect in pure dictatorships. The results suggest that supporting local environmental NGOs in developing countries may be an effective channel for international donors to improve global environmental quality.
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Document type: Research paper
Integration and Development: Need for Dialogue
The paper argues that a critical but overlooked link exists between the integration of migrants in settlement countries and their ability to contribute to development in their countries of origin. It identifies eight mechanisms of diaspora contribution—including remittances, entrepreneurship, and political activism—and demonstrates that these are not a zero-sum game with integration; rather, strong integration often supports stronger transnational engagement. The authors call for greater policy coherence and dialogue between the fields of integration, development, and migration management to avoid fragmented or contradictory policies that may hinder these contributions.
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Document type: Research paper
Escuchar la paz: Dimensiones y variaciones en la implementación del Acuerdo Final
The report finds that while general satisfaction with the 2016 Peace Agreement's implementation increased from 36% in 2019 to 48% in 2021, significant challenges remain. Security perceptions have deteriorated, with 43% of respondents reporting worsening conditions in the 12 months prior to 2021. While the reincorporation of ex-combatants is valued as a policy, deep mistrust persists, with 87% of respondents not trusting former FARC-EP members. The report also highlights a gap between the high value placed on the PDETs and the perceived lack of tangible infrastructure and land titles. Victims' reparation and truth-seeking are highly valued, but only 12.6% of respondents reported receiving reparations in 2021. The study emphasizes the need for regionalized peace agendas and improved state presence in health, education, and security to foster trust and sustainable peace.
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Document type: Report
Sikh Insurgency in Pre-British India: Origin, Context and Legacies
The author challenges the view that Sikh martial identity was solely a product of British recruitment or a reaction to Mughal persecution, arguing instead that it emerged from a combination of internal social shifts—such as the entry of Jat peasants—and external political pressures. The text traces the transition from Guru Nanak's peaceful teachings to the militarized Khalsa under Guru Gobind Singh and the subsequent insurgencies led by Banda Bahadur and the Misl confederacies. It further examines how the British 'Martial Race' theory reinforced this identity for strategic imperial goals, a legacy that continues to influence the military composition and political dynamics of modern India and Pakistan.
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Document type: Research paper
Ethnic inclusion, democracy, and terrorism
The research argues that ethnic terrorism declines when governments implement accommodation strategies, such as granting political power or regional autonomy to marginalized groups. Using a dataset linking the Global Terrorism Database to the Ethnic Power Relations project, the authors find that moves away from active discrimination significantly reduce the expected number of terrorist attacks. While transitions to democracy generally reduce ethnic terrorism, the effect is heterogeneous, with some Asian countries showing increased activity. The study also notes that while overall terrorism declines after accommodation, attacks by splinter groups may increase as hardliners reject settlements.
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Document type: Research paper
Ethno-Nationalist Triads: Assessing the Influence of Kin Groups on Civil Wars
The research argues that transnational ethnic ties increase the risk of civil war, but this effect is conditional on the domestic demographic size of the marginalized group. Using a triadic model and geocoded data, the authors find that larger excluded groups with kin in neighboring states are significantly more likely to engage in conflict than those without such ties, while the governmental status of the external kin group does not have a statistically significant impact.
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Document type: Research paper
Explaining External Support for Insurgent Groups
The research examines the determinants of external state support for rebel groups using a new dataset of 403 organizations. It argues that support is not merely a function of the civil war's general characteristics but depends on the specific attributes of the rebel group and the international relations of the target state. The findings indicate that moderately strong groups with transnational constituencies are most likely to receive aid, particularly when the target state is involved in an international rivalry or receives its own external support. Conversely, very strong or very weak groups, and those in democratic states, are less likely to be supported.
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Document type: Research paper