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468 documents from Climate Strategies
Transition Indicators to broaden perspectives beyond adaptation and mitigation
The report argues that transition indicators can bridge the 'ambition gap' and 'implementation gap' by articulating the tangible socio-economic benefits of climate neutrality and resilience. Through case studies in Germany, South Korea, China, India, Indonesia, Kenya, and the Netherlands, the authors propose specific metrics for the power, industry, transport, building, and agricultural sectors. These indicators are designed to facilitate inclusive social dialogue, improve governance by clarifying sectoral responsibilities, and encourage international mutual learning, particularly within the Global South.
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Document type: Report
New SNAPFI Synthesis Report: International Climate Finance Architecture
The report examines how International Climate Finance (ICF) can better support sectoral transitions in emerging economies, arguing that current architecture is limited by insufficient funding and a reliance on loans that increase sovereign debt. Through case studies of Brazil, India, Indonesia, and South Africa, it highlights the need for ICF designs that account for sectoral characteristics, cross-sectoral linkages, and economy-wide transition needs to avoid carbon lock-ins and support just energy transitions.
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Document type: Report
A Critical Review and Analysis of Opportunities and Challenges for Just Transitions in Ghana
The report analyzes Ghana's efforts to transition to a low-carbon economy, focusing on the National Energy Transition Framework (NETF) and updated Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). While official goals align with international standards and stakeholder expectations for green job creation and sustainability, significant gaps exist. These include a contradiction between renewable energy goals and continued fossil fuel investments, such as a $12 billion oil refinery deal. Key barriers include a public debt level of 83.60% of GDP, regulatory inconsistencies, and an outdated power grid. The report recommends that the UNFCCC's Just Transition Work Programme (JTWP) provide support in policy reform, financial mobilization, and technology transfer to help Ghana achieve net-zero energy-related emissions by 2060.
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Document type: Report
Anticipating agricultural climate shocks: leveraging science to increase policy ambition, farmers’ resilience and food security in Southeastern Europe and the EU
The Augures! project uses an integrated modelling framework—combining seasonal forecasts, crop models, and economic models—to help European farmers and policymakers manage climate risks. A 2024 stakeholder workshop in Athens highlighted the need for context-specific, transparent, and actionable climate data to address structural vulnerabilities in the EU agricultural sector, particularly for small-scale farmers. The project aims to expand its analysis of maize and wheat to Greece, France, Romania, and Hungary in 2025, while developing a 'project-to-product' roadmap to transform scientific outputs into a user-friendly decision-support service.
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Document type: Report
Just Resilience: Equity-Based Climate Change Adaptation in Bangladesh
The report advocates for 'Just Resilience' in Bangladesh, combining climate resilience with climate justice to prevent marginalized groups from being overlooked in adaptation planning. It examines the disproportionate impacts of climate hazards—such as salinity intrusion affecting 53% of coastal areas and erratic rainfall causing floods—on women, children, the elderly, and landless farmers. The document analyzes three key sectors: agriculture, where it highlights the need for climate-resilient crops and the Bangladesh Delta Plan 2100; disaster risk management, focusing on the National Plan for Disaster Management 2021–2025; and energy, noting the low share of renewables (2.76%) and the need for rural energy security. It concludes with recommendations for inclusive decision-making, standardized accountability metrics, and the use of biotechnology and indigenous knowledge to build equitable resilience.
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Document type: Report
National Dialogue on Key National Priorities for Just Transitions in Colombia
The report details a National Dialogue held in Bogotá on August 30, 2024, involving 22 participants from the public sector, private sector, academia, civil society, and international organisations. The dialogue identified four primary barriers to a just energy transition in Colombia: a lack of clear definitions for the transition, inconsistent public policy, weak institutions and regulations, and inadequate social participation mechanisms. While Colombia has a robust regulatory framework, including Law 1715 and CONPES documents, stakeholders emphasized the need for evidence-based policy design, improved territorial engagement, and new incentives for private sector investment in renewable energy. The report concludes by aligning these stakeholder needs with the Colombian government's official JTWP priorities and offering recommendations to the UNFCCC to broaden the JTWP's scope, enhance financial support, and improve accountability.
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Document type: Report
Futures for the Russian Coal Sector: Alternative Paths until 2035
The Russian coal sector is facing a period of decline driven by Western sanctions, rising transport costs, and a shifting global market. While the sector initially buffered the impact of sanctions through peak prices in 2022–2023, 2024 has seen a significant drop in export profitability, with 50% of producers reporting losses in Q1. The report outlines three futures: a 'Developing Coal Sector' following a peace agreement, a 'Shift to the East' as a continuation of the current status quo, and a 'Declining Coal Sector' resulting from expanded conflict and further isolation. Regional impacts vary significantly, with Yakutia emerging as a growth center due to its proximity to Asia, while traditional Siberian hubs like Kuzbass and Khakassia face economic instability and social risk.
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Document type: Report
HOW CAN OIL SANCTIONS END RUSSIAS WAR ON UKRAINE?
The report argues that the initial impact of the G7 and EU oil price caps has faded as Russia redirected exports to China, India, and Turkey and developed a 'shadow fleet' of tankers to circumvent sanctions. While Russia's nominal GDP grew by 3.6% in 2023, the economy shows signs of overheating with labor shortages and skyrocketing military spending. The authors recommend closing the 'refining loophole,' gradually lowering the crude oil price cap to $30 per barrel, and using U.S. secondary sanctions to pressure third-country intermediaries.
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Document type: Report
Just Resilience in Kenya: Frameworks and Perspectives for Equitable Climate Adaptation
The report examines the concept of 'Just Resilience' in Kenya, emphasizing the need for climate adaptation to prioritize equity and the voices of marginalized groups. It analyzes Kenya's existing legal and institutional frameworks, identifies vulnerabilities across different sectors and populations, and reviews several community-led adaptation projects. The document highlights significant barriers to achieving just resilience, including financial constraints, governance issues, and top-down decision-making, and provides recommendations for more inclusive, self-reliant, and transparent climate action.
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Document type: Report
Just Transitions Toolkit: A Policymaker's Guide to Inclusive Planning
The guide identifies key barriers to Just Transitions—including institutional capacity gaps, structural labour market vulnerabilities, and limited financing—and offers a strategic roadmap for policymakers. It argues that Just Transitions must move beyond a narrow focus on the energy sector to become a holistic, cross-ministerial strategy integrated into national development plans. Key recommendations include adopting needs-based capacity building, establishing robust social protection systems, and shifting international climate finance toward a more participatory, social-justice-oriented model.
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Document type: Guide
Race to the Top for Climate
The report analyzes the current state of transatlantic industrial decarbonization policies, identifying a significant divergence between the EU's regulatory-led approach and the US's subsidy-driven model. It argues that while high-level negotiations on carbon pricing (such as GASSA) have stalled, there is substantial opportunity for cooperation through 'softer' market functions, including R&D, green public procurement, and the harmonization of technical standards. The document provides a detailed SWOT analysis of various policy instruments and technology-specific areas, recommending the creation of dedicated dialogue platforms and innovation hubs to foster a globally interoperable clean economy.
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Document type: Report
Transition Indicators
The fact sheet introduces 'transition indicators' as a tool to improve the implementation of Nationally Determined Contributions and national adaptation plans. Based on case studies from seven countries, the document asserts that focusing on a few tangible metrics per sector—rather than abstract CO2 targets—facilitates public dialogue, guides policy implementation, and attracts private investment. It provides specific examples of indicators for water security in India, industrial decarbonization in Germany, transport in South Korea, buildings in China, renewable energy in the Netherlands, and sustainable agriculture in Kenya and Indonesia.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Race to the Top for Climate
The report argues that while US and EU cooperation on carbon pricing and tariffs (such as GASSA and CBAM) has stalled due to diverging political visions, a 'softer' path to alignment is possible. This approach prioritizes cooperation on 'carrots' like R&D and green public procurement, and 'sticks' like the harmonization of carbon standards. The study recommends expanding collaboration beyond hydrogen and carbon capture to include circular economy practices and industrial electrification, utilizing platforms like the Trade and Technology Council (TTC) to avoid duplication and establish common technology standards.
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Document type: Executive summary
TRANSFORMATIVE SHIFTS OF THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY IN THE POST-2022 ERA
The Russian economy is undergoing a fundamental shift characterized by a surge in military spending, the loss of European energy markets, and a growing dependency on China and India. While short-term stability is maintained through state control and the '3P factor' (Power, Passiveness, Propaganda), long-term prospects are marred by severe capital asset depreciation, a shrinking and aging population, and a lack of incentive for green transition or sustainability.
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Document type: Report
Energy Transition in Brazil: Innovation, Opportunities, and Risks
The document presents findings from the EEIST programme in Brazil, arguing that risk-opportunity analysis (ROA) is a more effective tool for policymakers than traditional cost-benefit analysis (CBA) when assessing the green transition. It highlights how Brazil's specific financial and landscape dimensions can facilitate low-carbon re-industrialisation, supporting these claims with empirical and modelling case studies.
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Document type: Report
Bridging the Divide: Assessing the Viability of International Cooperation on Border Carbon Adjustments
The report examines the necessity of international cooperation to prevent the uncoordinated proliferation of divergent Border Carbon Adjustment (BCA) mechanisms, which could increase transaction costs and hinder climate diplomacy. It evaluates three emerging cooperation models: the G7 Climate Club, the Global Arrangement on Sustainable Steel and Aluminium (GASSA), and the OECD's Inclusive Forum on Carbon Mitigation Approaches (IFCMA).
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Document type: Report
Statement at the 2023 High-level Roundtable on Just Transition at COP28
Climate Strategies argues that just transitions must be multi-sectoral, inclusive of adaptation, and based on a managed phase-out of all fossil fuels to be effective. The organization calls for a broad-scope work programme that coordinates across UNFCCC streams, prioritizes human rights and SDGs, and increases research and financial support for developing countries and LDCs.
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Document type: Statement
Bridging the Divide
The report examines the potential for international cooperation to mitigate the risks of unilateral border carbon adjustments (BCAs), such as 'green protectionism' and trade retaliation. It evaluates the G7 Climate Club, GASSA, and the OECD's IFCMA using a framework of 'input legitimacy' (inclusiveness and institutional strength) and 'output legitimacy' (effectiveness in achieving five specific goals). The analysis finds that while none are currently ideal for BCA cooperation, the IFCMA shows the most promise due to its focus on data and comparability. The report warns that domestic political priorities and existing policy path dependencies, such as the EU's established CBAM, hinder the creation of a unified international approach.
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Document type: Report
The Synergy between Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation Cross-Country SNAPFI study
The study examines the interrelationship between climate change mitigation (CCM) and adaptation (CCA), arguing that integrating these actions can increase cost-effectiveness and leverage climate finance. It finds that while most analyzed countries (Brazil, India, Indonesia, South Africa) and Germany acknowledge co-benefits, they lack explicit, integrated implementation plans and face a significant funding imbalance, with mitigation receiving substantially more finance than adaptation. The report recommends a 'whole-of-government' approach, including green budgeting and standardized taxonomies, to better identify and fund synergistic projects.
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Document type: Report
How to Engage Stakeholders in Just Transition Dialogues: Lessons Learned from the South-to-South Just Transitions Network
The guide outlines strategies for engaging diverse stakeholders in just transition processes, emphasizing the need to tailor approaches to national contexts, build trust through personal relationships, and leverage existing networks. It draws on research from the South-to-South Just Transitions network in countries including Argentina, Vietnam, and Indonesia, highlighting both the effectiveness of virtual and in-person engagements and the challenges of securing high-level official participation.
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Document type: Guide