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Rapport sur le Conseil de paix et de sécurité
This October 2012 report by the Institute for Security Studies provides early warning analysis and country-specific assessments for Somalia, South Sudan, and Côte d'Ivoire, focusing on political transitions, security architecture, and regional stability within the framework of the African Union's Peace and Security Council (PSC).
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Document type: Report
Somalia: surprising win for Hassan Sheikh Mohamud
Briefing on the election of Hassan Sheikh Mohamud as President of Somalia on 10 September 2012, detailing his background in civil society and the significant state-building and security challenges he faces.
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Document type: Briefing
A STITCH IN TIME WOULD HAVE SAVED NINE
This policy brief examines the delays in operationalising the African Standby Force (ASF), an African Union (AU) mechanism designed for rapid response to violent armed conflicts in Africa. Despite multiple roadmaps and timelines (2005, 2008, 2010), the force remained non-operational as of 2012, with a revised target of 2015. The author identifies systemic failures in political command, logistical infrastructure, and institutional capacity, arguing that the AU has relied too heavily on ad hoc missions rather than using actual deployments to refine the ASF architecture.
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Document type: Policy brief
Peace and Security Council Report
The September 2012 Peace and Security Council Report by the Institute for Security Studies provides analysis on early warning issues in Africa, focusing on the electoral risks in Kenya, the democratic transition in Egypt, and a retrospective of the 19th African Union (AU) Summit.
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Document type: Report
Somalia: new parliament inaugurated
On 20 August 2012, 215 parliamentarians were sworn in at the Mogadishu airport, marking the first such ceremony on Somali soil in over two decades and a key milestone in ending the country's transitional period.
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Document type: Briefing
At the end of the transition period, Somalia is going nowhere slowly
This research paper evaluates the state of Somalia's transition toward democracy as the August 20 deadline approaches, arguing that the Transitional Federal Government (TFG) has failed to establish functional statehood due to corruption, factionalism, and a lack of political will.
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Document type: Research paper
Rapport sur le Conseil de paix et de sécurité
This August 2012 report by the Institute for Security Studies provides early warning analyses on political and security crises in Mali, Libya, Angola, and Somalia, while examining the evolving role of China in African peace and security efforts.
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Document type: Report
Ten Years of a Contrasted Union: The African Union at the Crossroads or Business as Usual
This research paper evaluates the first ten years of the African Union (AU), contrasting its developmental mandate with the decolonisation focus of its predecessor, the OAU. It examines the AU's progress in governance, institutional infrastructure, and peacekeeping, while highlighting a loss of momentum in conflict resolution and a gap between ambitious goals and structural realities.
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Document type: Research paper
Coming into Our Own: an Analysis of South Africa’s voting patterns and the achievement of its foreign policy goals in the United Nations Security Council
This research paper analyzes South Africa's voting patterns and foreign policy achievements during its first (2007-2008) and second (2011-2012) terms as a non-permanent member of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC). The author assesses the country's progress toward its 'African Agenda,' including goals of South-South and North-South cooperation and the pursuit of permanent African representation on the Council.
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Document type: Research paper
Coming into its own: An analysis of South Africa’s voting patterns and the achievement of its foreign policy goals in the UNSC
This research paper analyzes South Africa's voting patterns and foreign policy achievements during its first (2007-2008) and second (2011-2012) terms as a non-permanent member of the UN Security Council (UNSC). The author finds that South Africa has become more confident, increasing its co-sponsorship of resolutions and successfully promoting its 'African Agenda,' particularly regarding cooperation between the UNSC and the African Union (AU).
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Document type: Research paper
The Articulation of Maritime Piracy in Kenya’s Foreign Policy
This research paper examines the integration of maritime piracy concerns into Kenya's foreign policy, noting a historical lack of a coherent domestic strategy despite the economic and security threats posed by piracy in the Indian Ocean and the proximity of Somalia.
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Document type: Research paper
Kenya and the pest of piracy: a prospective partner for peace
This report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the economic and security impacts of Somali piracy on Kenya and evaluates Kenya's role as a potential partner in international counter-piracy efforts. It argues that while naval deployments have not eliminated the threat, Kenya is strategically positioned to contribute through domestic legal action, regional cooperation, and efforts to stabilize Somalia.
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Document type: Report
PSC Report
This January 2012 report by the Institute for Security Studies provides an analysis of the African Union's Peace and Security Council (PSC) activities, focusing on political transitions in Egypt, the security situation in Somalia, and the internal functioning of AU mechanisms for democracy and military coordination.
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Document type: Report
les enseignements du rapport SREX rédigé par le GIEC et des catastrophes en Afrique : Gestion des extrêmes climatiques
This report, published by the Climate and Development Knowledge Network in 2012, synthesizes the findings of the IPCC's SREX report specifically for African policymakers. It examines the interaction between climate extremes, human vulnerability, and disaster risk management (DRM), emphasizing that disaster risks in Africa are increasing due to both climate change and socio-economic factors such as rapid urbanization and poor governance. The document provides regional observations and projections for temperature and precipitation extremes across Africa and advocates for the integration of DRM and climate change adaptation into national development planning to build long-term resilience.
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Document type: Report
Managing Climate Extremes and Disasters in Africa: Lessons from the SREX report
This 2012 report synthesizes the IPCC SREX findings for Africa, highlighting that disaster risk is increasing due to higher exposure of vulnerable populations. It details observed and projected increases in temperature and dryness across various sub-regions, warns that current extremes will become the 'new normal' by 2100, and emphasizes the high vulnerability of the agricultural sector and coastal cities. The document advocates for a shift from reactive to proactive, transformational disaster risk management that integrates local knowledge, high-level political leadership, and international financial support.
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Document type: Report
Globalisation and human rights in Africa
This report documents the 5th African Conference of Commandants (ACoC), held from 28–30 November 2011 in Gaborone, Botswana. The conference brought together commandants from African Staff Colleges to discuss the impact of globalisation on human rights, the proliferation of small arms, gender equality in the military, and the standardisation of military education to support the African Standby Force (ASF) and peace support operations (PSOs).
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Document type: Report
A Toolkit for African States Negotiating an Arms Trade Treaty
This 2012 guide by the Institute for Security Studies provides a comprehensive reference for African State representatives negotiating the Arms Trade Treaty (ATT) at the United Nations. It details the proposed scope of the treaty, including categories of conventional arms and types of international transactions, and outlines the criteria for authorizing arms transfers, such as risks to peace, security, and human rights. The toolkit also examines implementation requirements, including national authority systems, record-keeping, reporting, and the potential role of an Implementation Support Unit, while highlighting existing African regional and subregional obligations.
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Document type: Guide
KNOWLEDGE EMPOWERS AFRICA
This policy brief by the Institute for Security Studies examines the potential socio-economic impacts of increasing investment in basic education across Africa. Using the International Futures (IFs) modelling system, the authors simulate a scenario where African nations adopt the enrolment and completion growth rates of the continent's best-performing countries. The analysis suggests that a modest increase in GDP allocation to education could lead to significant long-term gains in GDP, poverty reduction, and public health, although these benefits would be realized over several decades.
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Document type: Policy brief
Speech by Alain Juppé Minister of Foreign and European Affairs at the South African Institute of International Affairs Johannesburg - 10 November 2011
In a speech delivered on November 10, 2011, at the South African Institute of International Affairs, French Minister of Foreign and European Affairs Alain Juppé discussed the necessity of a new global governance framework that integrates Africa's emerging influence. He outlined four primary shared challenges—economic crisis, development, security, and the environment—and advocated for the reform of the UN Security Council and the creation of a World Environment Organisation to better reflect current global realities.
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Document type: Statement
Implications of Kenya's Military Offensive Against Al-Shabaab
This briefing analyzes the implications of Kenya's 'Operation Linda Nchi', a military offensive launched in October 2011 against Al-Shabaab in Somalia. The operation aims to establish a 100 km buffer zone to prevent incursions and protect Kenya's tourism industry, but it risks transforming Kenya from a victim of Al-Shabaab's activities into a direct target, while potentially increasing economic burdens and complicating Somalia's political roadmap.
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Document type: Briefing