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This report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-RIO) analyzes deforestation within agrarian reform settlements in the Brazilian Amazon. It finds that while these settlements occupy only 8% of the biome, they accounted for 24% of forest loss in 2023. The analysis reveals a high concentration of deforestation in a small number of settlements and suggests that this loss is driven by external actors rather than the resident settler population, as evidenced by the prevalence of large-scale clearing.

This executive summary describes the development and validation of the Local Knowledge Scenarios (LKS) method, an interdisciplinary approach designed to evaluate how rural producers in the Americas perceive global environmental change and incorporate that knowledge into future land-use decision-making.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative/Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro (CPI/PUC-RIO) analyzes financial flows for the bioeconomy in Brazil between 2021 and 2023. It finds that while total finance averaged US$ 3.213 billion per year, the vast majority is concentrated in the planted forest and bioenergy sectors, leaving biodiversity-based products and native forests significantly underfunded.

The report "Financiando uma Bioeconomia Global Sustentável" (September 2024) analyzes the current and future interaction between finance and the bioeconomy. It advocates for a sustainable, equitable, and nature-positive bioeconomy as a cornerstone for a low-carbon global economy, emphasizing the role of the G20, international cooperation, and innovative financial instruments to bridge investment gaps and protect biodiversity.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative evaluates the effectiveness of Brazil's ABC Recuperação credit line in recovering degraded pastures, focusing on the Cerrado biome. Using satellite imagery and econometric analysis of operations between 2016 and 2018, the study finds that the credit's impact on pasture recovery is modest, with severe degradation remaining largely unchanged and some pasture being converted to crops rather than recovered. The report highlights the critical role of technical assistance and soil type in achieving results and suggests that the program contributed minimally to the ABC Plan's 2020 recovery targets.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-Rio) evaluates the effectiveness of the 'ABC Recuperação' credit line, a subsidized financing instrument designed to restore degraded pastures in Brazil. Focusing on the Cerrado biome for operations between 2016 and 2018, the study uses satellite imagery and econometric analysis to determine if the credit led to actual pasture recovery or land-use changes. The findings indicate that the credit's impact is modest, with little evidence of recovery in severely degraded areas and a tendency for the credit to facilitate the conversion of high-vigor pastures into agriculture rather than restoring low-vigor ones.

This policy brief by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-RIO) examines the link between subsidized rural credit and deforestation in Brazil between 2020 and 2022. The analysis reveals that a small number of large properties receive a disproportionate share of subsidized funds while being responsible for significant deforestation, suggesting that current economic incentives are misaligned with Brazil's environmental and climate goals.

The report details the proceedings of the 57th meeting of the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI) Executive Council, held via videoconference on 16 May 2024. The meeting focused on financial budget requests, the relocation of the IAI headquarters from Uruguay to Panama, and the establishment of formal procedures for permanent observer status.

The report details the 57th meeting of the Executive Council (EC-57) of the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI), held via videoconference on May 16, 2024. The meeting focused on the transition of the IAI headquarters from Uruguay to Panama, the approval of operating budgets for 2024-2027, and the establishment of formal procedures for permanent observer status.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) analyzes the regulatory framework of the Central Bank of Brazil (BCB) aimed at combating deforestation and ecosystem conversion. It details the BCB's transition toward sustainable finance through the 'Agenda BC#', specifically focusing on the integration of social, environmental, and climate risks into the National Financial System (SFN) and the implementation of strict environmental requirements for rural credit.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) analyzes the regulatory efforts of the Central Bank of Brazil (BCB) to combat deforestation and ecosystem conversion. It details the BCB's integration of sustainability into its 'BC# Agenda', the implementation of social, environmental, and climate risk management for financial institutions, and specific restrictions on rural credit for non-compliant producers. The document also provides context on the drivers of land-use change in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes and offers policy recommendations to further align the national financial system with environmental conservation goals.

This research paper develops an econometric climate model to value the ecosystem service of tropical forests in maintaining rainfall patterns necessary for hydropower energy generation, specifically analyzing the impact of Amazon deforestation on the Teles Pires plant in Brazil.

This executive summary details a high-level roundtable convened on March 1, 2024, to establish a climate finance dialogue agenda during Brazil's G20 presidency. The document outlines a roadmap for Brazil to leverage its leadership in the G20, BRICS, and COP30 to reform the international financial architecture, promote 'country platforms' for investment, and address gaps in adaptation and nature finance to support Emerging Markets and Developing Economies (EMDEs).

This briefing document, prepared by the IAI Directorate, presents the report of the 31st meeting of the Conference of the Parties (CoP-31) held on 21-22 June 2023 in Panama City, Panama. The document outlines the administrative, financial, and scientific decisions made during the meeting, including the approval of budgets, the election of leadership, and the establishment of new initiatives such as the Science Diplomacy Center and an Indigenous Peoples and Local Communities Advisory Committee.

This report, published by the Climate Policy Initiative in April 2024, outlines a strategic agenda for Brazil to lead global climate finance discussions during its G20 presidency and leading up to COP30. It identifies systemic gaps in climate funding for emerging markets and proposes specific reforms to the international financial architecture, the implementation of national platforms for investment, and the integration of social justice and nature-based financing into the global economic discourse.

This report by Climate Policy Initiative/Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro (CPI/PUC-Rio) analyzes the regulatory, legal, and economic frameworks for forest restoration in Brazil. It argues that current policies are designed for property-scale rather than landscape-scale restoration and identifies three essential factors—regulatory flexibility for restoration typologies, integration of public and private land tenure, and the synergy between mandatory and voluntary restoration—necessary to enable large-scale initiatives, particularly those driven by the carbon market.

This report by CPI/PUC-Rio analyzes the barriers to large-scale forest restoration in Brazil, highlighting the need for a regulatory shift from property-scale to landscape-scale management. It identifies three critical requirements: the flexibility to use multiple restoration modalities (from natural regeneration to agroforestry), the integration of public and private lands despite complex tenure issues (especially in the Amazon), and the synergy between mandatory legal obligations and voluntary restoration. The document also notes a conflict between the Forest Code and environmental licensing rules that hinders native silviculture.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-Rio) analyzes the regulatory and institutional framework for large-scale forest and vegetation restoration in Brazil. It argues that current public policies are designed for individual rural properties rather than landscape-scale initiatives and identifies three essential factors—diversifying restoration typologies, bridging public and private land barriers, and integrating mandatory and voluntary restoration—to enable the scaling of restoration, particularly driven by carbon markets.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-Rio) analyzes how deforestation in the Amazon rainforest reduces rainfall and river flow, thereby decreasing the electricity generation capacity and revenue of hydroelectric plants (HPPs) both within the Amazon and in distant regions of Brazil.

This policy brief, produced by Transforma and WWF, advocates for increased policy coherence and synergies between the three Rio Conventions (Climate Change, Biodiversity, and Desertification) ahead of COP30 in Belém do Pará, Brazil. It emphasizes that integrating national plans for climate mitigation, adaptation, and biodiversity is essential for efficient resource use and effective environmental governance, particularly in Latin America and the Caribbean.