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Outline of Intent to form a consortium between IAI, and the ICSU and UNESCO regional offices in support of Future Earth activities
The IAI, ICSU-ROLAC, and UNESCO are forming a consortium to implement research, capacity building, and outreach programs in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) aligned with Future Earth themes. The partnership focuses on two primary goals: developing secure, low-carbon energy systems and integrating risk prevention and management to mitigate natural disasters. The consortium aims to strengthen interdisciplinary research involving social, applied, and natural sciences to generate policy-oriented outcomes for the region.
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Document type: Statement
Síntesis sobre la intención de conformar un consorcio entre el IAI y las oficinas regionales de ICSU y UNESCO en apoyo de las actividades de Future Earth
The proposed consortium between IAI, ICSU-ROLAC, and UNESCO aims to implement an interdisciplinary research and capacity-building program in Latin America and the Caribbean, focusing on sustainable energy and risk prevention and management within the Future Earth framework.
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Document type: Statement
Beredskapspolitikk
The report examines the ethical dilemmas inherent in preparedness policy, highlighting the tension between investing in potential future threats versus immediate needs. It identifies a need for a holistic 'preparedness ethics' to manage trade-offs between military and civil security, national and international priorities, and the protection of humans versus other species.
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Document type: Report
Climate change, natural disasters and post-disaster unrest in India
The study finds that climate-related natural disasters in India have a conditional and generally weak relationship with violent conflict. While disasters can increase the risk of politically motivated violence in areas with low literacy (low development), they are associated with an increased risk of riots in areas with higher literacy. However, the author concludes that these statistical relations are not substantively large enough to suggest that post-disaster violence is a major problem in India, as the direct damages from disasters likely dwarf the damages from ensuing unrest.
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Document type: Research paper
Klimakriger? En vurdering av det faglige grunnlaget
The authors examine the causal links between climate change and armed conflict, finding a significant gap between dramatic political claims of 'climate wars' and actual empirical data. They note a paradox where global warming has accelerated while the number of ongoing conflicts has declined. The paper outlines five potential mechanisms—political instability, social fragmentation, economic instability, migration, and unintended policy consequences—through which environmental stress might indirectly influence conflict, but concludes that these effects are heavily mediated by existing state capacity and socio-political conditions.
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Document type: Research paper
Disaggregated determinants of aid: Development aid projects in the Philippines
The paper finds that while low Human Development Index (HDI) levels predict aid for excluded group-majority provinces, overall aid distribution is significantly biased in favour of the politically dominant Christian lowlanders. Previous exposure to armed conflict increases the likelihood of new projects only in Christian-majority provinces, and previous disaster exposure is a weak, sometimes negative, predictor of aid across all provinces.
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Document type: Research paper
Inside Stories on Climate Compatible Development: Bangladesh
Bangladesh faces frequent natural hazards that affect approximately 10 million citizens annually, a situation worsened by high poverty levels and projected climate change impacts. The Comprehensive Disaster Management Programme (CDMP) represents an ambitious effort to address these risks, supported by collaborative networks and government leadership. However, the programme has faced obstacles including political unrest, official turnover, and difficulties in institutionalising disaster risk reduction across government ministries.
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Document type: Case study