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O REVELAR DO POTENCIAL: IMPULSIONANDO O CRESCIMENTO E O DESENVOLVIMENTO INCLUSIVOS EM MOÇAMBIQUE
The report analyzes Mozambique's development prospects through 2043 using the International Futures (IFs) modeling platform. It finds that under the current trajectory, Mozambique is unlikely to meet most of its national development goals due to governance failures, infrastructure gaps, and low agricultural productivity. While liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects are expected to boost GDP, they are not projected to significantly reduce extreme poverty without broader structural reforms. The report evaluates eight sectoral scenarios, concluding that infrastructure investment has the highest impact on GDP growth, while a combined approach across all sectors—including agriculture, governance, and trade—offers the most substantial improvements in poverty reduction and per capita income.
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Document type: Report
WORKSHOP REPORT: What Now Since the State Capture Commission?
The workshop report details discussions on the progress of South Africa's recovery from state capture, highlighting systemic obstructions in law enforcement, the need for institutional independence, and proposals for a new Office of Public Integrity. It emphasizes the role of grassroots activism and the necessity of reforming public procurement and local government governance to prevent 'state capture 2.0'.
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Document type: Report
Puesta en marcha del Fondo para Pérdidas y Daños
The report outlines a framework for the Loss and Damage Fund's design, emphasizing the need for diversified funding sources, simplified access for marginalized communities, and a governance structure that prioritizes grants and local leadership. It argues for a comprehensive approach that complements existing humanitarian and development aid rather than creating rigid new categories.
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Document type: Executive summary
تفعيل صندوق الخسائر والأضرار: التعلم من فسيفساء التمويل
The document argues that the Loss and Damage Fund should avoid the bureaucratic hurdles of traditional climate finance by adopting flexible, grant-based mechanisms and inclusive governance. It emphasizes the need for direct access for local NGOs and marginalized communities, particularly in fragile states and Small Island Developing States (SIDS), while integrating with existing humanitarian and development flows to ensure a comprehensive response to climate-induced losses.
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Document type: Executive summary
The 2023 Elections in the Democratic Republic of Congo: Challenges and Opportunities
The 2023 elections in the Democratic Republic of Congo are marked by high voter registration but significant concerns over electoral fraud, institutional corruption, and insecurity in the east. The National Independent Electoral Commission (CENI) faces accusations of lack of transparency and poor quality voter identification. Security forces have reportedly cracked down on opposition candidates, and the presence of armed groups like M23 in North-Kivu and Ituri threatens to disenfranchise millions. Internationally, the outcome is linked to the control of strategic minerals, particularly cobalt, with China and the West competing for influence, and regional tensions with Rwanda and Angola complicating the political landscape.
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Document type: Research paper
Producer Inclusion in Voluntary Sustainability Standard Governance
The report evaluates the inclusion of producers—including farmers and workers—within the governance of six agricultural voluntary sustainability standard-setting organizations (VSSSOs) based on principles of representation, participation, transparency, and subsidiarity. While noting promising progress, it argues that more must be done to allow producers to influence decisions affecting their lives. The document recommends specific structural changes, such as granting producers voting and veto power in high-level governance bodies, integrating producer-led networks, and increasing transparency regarding executive and grievance decisions.
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Document type: Report
Proposed amendments to Bill C-50: The Canadian Sustainable Jobs Act
The briefing argues that while Bill C-50 provides a useful governance and accountability framework for Canada's net-zero economy, it contains gaps that limit its efficacy. It suggests amendments to improve the bill and references further recommendations for just transition legislation based on international best practices.
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Document type: Briefing
Eswatini in 2023: A Data Overview
The document analyzes Eswatini's current state, highlighting low governance scores in voice and accountability, the historical impact of the HIV/AIDS epidemic on life expectancy, a high economic dependency on South Africa, and a growing public desire for democratic reform among its predominantly young population.
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Document type: Briefing
Cascading climate risks in Hindu Kush Himalaya
The Hindu Kush Himalaya (HKH) region, spanning from Afghanistan to Myanmar, faces severe threats from cascading climate risks that propagate across national borders. The brief asserts that local and national adaptation efforts are insufficient and proposes a regional cooperation mechanism involving state and non-state actors. This mechanism would aim to reduce the costs of climate action, overcome resource constraints, and enhance climate diplomacy through four priority areas: research and knowledge exchange, governance and policy support, diplomacy and coalition building, and implementation and finance.
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Document type: Policy brief
Puesta en marcha del Fondo para Pérdidas y Daños
The document argues that the Loss and Damage Fund must be designed with transparency and inclusivity to be perceived as just by both donors and recipients. It emphasizes the need for flexible funding mechanisms, such as grants and programmatic approaches, to address underfunded areas like mental health services and ecosystem restoration. The brief highlights four critical trade-offs in the fund's setup: scope versus coordination, participatory versus delegated governance, inclusive versus rapid decision-making, and accessibility versus strict oversight. It recommends diversifying funding sources beyond public money to include philanthropic and private sectors, and suggests adopting multi-level governance structures to ensure funds reach the most marginalized local communities.
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Document type: Policy brief
Rendre opérationnel le Fonds pertes et préjudices
The document argues that the Loss and Damage Fund must be managed equitably and transparently to effectively support vulnerable countries. It recommends a participatory governance structure, flexible funding windows—including small grants for local NGOs—and a preference for grants over loans to avoid increasing debt. The brief highlights four central trade-offs: scope versus coordination, participatory versus decentralized governance, inclusive versus rapid decision-making, and accessibility versus rigorous control.
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Document type: Policy brief
Public Service Amendment Bill 2023 Submission of Public Comment
The submission supports the Public Service Amendment Bill 2023's goal of professionalising public administration but argues that the Bill does not go far enough to prevent political interference. The authors propose clarifying the distinct roles of the President/Premier versus Ministers/MECs, strengthening the role of the Head of the Presidency in managing senior career paths, and introducing robust checks and balances in the appointment of Heads of Department (HODs). They specifically advocate for de-linking HOD tenure from political terms and extending prohibitions on holding political office to all public servants to prevent the 'strategic positioning of particular individuals in positions of power' used during state capture.
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Document type: Statement
2022 Annual Implementation Report on the Policy on Prohibited Practices
The Green Climate Fund's Independent Integrity Unit (IIU) reported a significant increase in registered cases in 2022, totaling 31, which the Fund attributes to the upscaling of projects and the return of personnel to offices post-pandemic. The IIU focused on prevention through 'Ask IIU Live' training sessions, the development of AML/CFT Standard Operating Procedures, and the creation of an Administrative Remedies and Exclusion (ARE) Policy framework. Additionally, the IIU conducted two Proactive Integrity Reviews (PIRs) using data analytics to preemptively detect vulnerabilities in funded activities.
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Document type: Report
Guía Práctica: Fortalecimiento de controles internos para prevenir la corrupción en la aplicación de leyes sobre comercio ilegal de vida silvestre
The document outlines a practical approach to evaluating internal controls in the context of illegal wildlife trade (IWT) enforcement. It emphasizes using a systems-based perspective—drawing on the COSO framework—to identify vulnerabilities that could be exploited by corruption. The guide details a research process involving semi-structured interviews, document reviews, and thematic analysis to generate specific, actionable recommendations for government agencies. It specifically addresses the needs of programs in early stages of maturity where controls may be informal or ad hoc, and provides tools such as data collection instruments and terms of reference for consultants.
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Document type: Guide
Guide pratique : Renforcer les contrôles internes pour prévenir la corruption dans l’application de la loi sur le commerce illégal d’espèces sauvages
The document outlines a systematic approach to evaluating internal controls—policies, procedures, and practices—to reduce corruption risks in illegal wildlife trade (IWT) enforcement. It emphasizes a holistic, process-oriented analysis based on the COSO framework, moving beyond financial audits to address operational risks such as evidence tampering and information leaks. The guide details a research process involving semi-structured interviews with diverse stakeholders, documentary analysis, and thematic coding to identify gaps and develop actionable recommendations. It specifically addresses the needs of agencies at early stages of maturity where controls may be informal or undocumented, and provides practical tools including a data collection instrument and resource requirements for consultants.
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Document type: Guide
Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040
The report simulates the 'Algerian Dream' scenario for Algeria by 2040, projecting significant economic growth, reduced poverty, and improved food security compared to a 'Current Path'. Key outcomes include a larger economy, lower import dependence for food, and a reduced informal sector driven by diversification away from hydrocarbons and improved governance.
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Document type: Report
Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040
The report identifies poor governance, hydrocarbon dependence, and an unsustainable subsidy system as primary barriers to Algeria's growth. It projects a modest GDP growth rate of 1.8% between 2020 and 2040 under the 'Current Path' but proposes an 'Algerian Dream' scenario based on four reform pillars: improved governance, economic transformation, investment in the knowledge economy, and a transition to sustainable agriculture and renewable energy.
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Document type: Report
Development pathways for the DRC to 2050
The report analyzes the DRC's development challenges, including endemic corruption, high fertility rates, and severe infrastructure deficits. It argues that while the country possesses immense mineral and agricultural wealth, it suffers from the 'paradox of plenty.' The analysis suggests that a comprehensive strategy combining improved governance, human capital investment, agricultural intensification, and economic diversification could significantly reduce extreme poverty and increase GDP by 2050 compared to the current trajectory.
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Document type: Report
DEVELOPMENT PATHWAYS FOR THE DRC TO 2050
The document describes governance in the DR Congo as being dominated by rent-seeking elites and systemic corruption, particularly within the extractive industries. It highlights the failure of decentralisation efforts, where the central government in Kinshasa maintains control by withholding funds from provinces. Despite recent commitments from the presidency to combat corruption through the creation of the Agence de prévention et de lutte contre la corruption (APLC), the report notes that the country remains an 'anocracy' with a significant gap between nominal electoral practices and substantive liberal democracy.
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Document type: Report
Development pathways for the DRC to 2050
The DR Congo faces exceptionally high levels of extreme and multidimensional poverty, with forecasts suggesting it will fail to meet 2030 Sustainable Development Goals on its current path. Despite modest declines in extreme poverty between 2005 and 2018, the country remains one of the world's poorest, with significant regional variations and a growing urban poverty phenomenon.
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Document type: Report