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A 5˚C Arctic
The document outlines the severe risks facing the Arctic as global temperatures rise, noting that a 2°C global increase could lead to a 4-5°C increase in the Arctic. It calls for immediate global decarbonization, the scaling of carbon dioxide removal, and urgent support for Arctic community adaptation and relocation.
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Document type: Briefing
A 5˚C Arctic
The document argues that the Arctic is warming faster than the rest of the globe and will experience a temperature increase of 3.75C to nearly 5C even if the Paris Agreement targets are met. This amplification leads to critical global feedbacks, including sea level rise from the Greenland ice sheet and the release of carbon from thawing permafrost. The authors call for an immediate scale-up of decarbonization, the development of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies, and the establishment of a strategic, stakeholder-driven adaptation program for Arctic societies. It also emphasizes the need for a coordinated Arctic Observing System with early warning components to track rapid changes and the creation of a unified Arctic coalition to influence global climate policy.
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Document type: Briefing
Implications for Australia of a 1.5°C future
The document examines the limited global carbon budget available to restrict warming to 1.5°C and the resulting necessity for Australia to undergo a rapid energy transformation. It argues that current national pledges under the Paris Agreement are insufficient and that relying on future 'negative emissions' technologies is risky. For Australia, a 'fair share' of the carbon budget would be exhausted in less than six years at current emission levels, necessitating a shift away from fossil fuel extraction and exports.
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Document type: Research paper
Transmission Transitions
The analysis examines the institutional regime of transmission grid development in Sweden to identify obstacles to achieving a decarbonized Nordic power system by 2050. While the current regime is generally capable of implementing necessary investments, specific barriers exist that require governance interventions to ensure the grid can support decarbonization goals.
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Document type: Research paper
DEBUNKING FOUR MYTHS ABOUT THE CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION
The document addresses four perceived barriers to the clean energy transition: the 'duck curve' ramping problem, the necessity of curtailing excess generation, the high cost of renewables, and the role of natural gas in emissions reductions. It argues that demand response and battery storage can manage variability, regional electricity trading can prevent waste, and energy efficiency combined with falling technology costs keeps customer bills low. Finally, it asserts that renewable energy and energy efficiency have contributed more to U.S. carbon emission declines since 2007 than the shift to natural gas.
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Document type: Report
The climate-friendly transition of Europe’s energy-intensive industries
The document argues that emission reductions of 80% or more are possible in Europe's energy-intensive industries through process, product, and business-model transformations, provided there is strong public policy support and funding for innovation.
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Document type: Policy brief
SEI Executive Director Johan Kuylenstierna and a group of influential thinkers set out steps to a sustainable development transition
The authors call for an immediate shift from the commitments made in 2015—specifically the Sustainable Development Goals and the Paris Agreement—to concrete implementation. They identify three primary challenges: reorienting economies through investment and consumption changes, making the reduction of inequalities a central objective, and translating international agreements into national strategies. The text emphasizes the need for policy signals to redirect financial flows, the role of innovation coalitions, and the necessity of ensuring an equitable transition for workers and regions affected by the shift in energy and food systems.
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Document type: Statement
THE CLIMATE FRIENDLY TRANSITION OF EUROPE’S ENERGY INTENSIVE INDUSTRIES
The briefing argues that deep decarbonisation in Europe's energy-intensive industries is technically possible through process, product, and business-model transformations, though it requires strong public policy and funding. It details specific pathways for the chemical sector (bio-based feedstocks and circularity), steel (HIsarna, hydrogen-based DRI, and scrap-EAF production), and cement (calcium looping CCS and clinker substitution). It specifically recommends strengthening the EU ETS Innovation Fund to support the commercialisation of these capital-intensive technologies by 2030.
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Document type: Policy brief
Nigel Topping: Pricing carbon will help deliver on promises made in Paris
Nigel Topping asserts that carbon pricing is a critical tool for meeting the Paris Agreement's objectives, noting that over half of national pledges submitted before COP21 reference market mechanisms. He highlights a growing global momentum, including China's planned national emissions trading scheme and the private sector's shift toward internal carbon pricing. Topping advocates for significantly higher price levels—specifically at least $30-40 per tonne to facilitate a switch from coal to gas—and promotes the updated Carbon Pricing Pathways to guide governments and investors toward prices sufficient to limit global temperature rises to below 2°C.
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Document type: Statement
Putting a price on pollution in Europe's largest climate instrument
The document examines the role of carbon pricing within the EU's Effort Sharing Decision (ESD), which covers approximately 60% of EU emissions. It argues that while carbon pricing is a useful tool, it cannot deliver results alone and must be framed within a supportive policy context. The author critiques the EU Emission Trading System (ETS) for permit oversupply and warns against expanding the ETS into transport and heating, suggesting instead national carbon taxes, permit trading, or auctioning of permits. Specifically, auctioning half of annual reductions could generate over €9 billion between 2021 and 2030.
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Document type: Statement
Fossil fuel subsidies from Europeade carbon market
The policy brief examines Article 10c of the EU ETS Directive, which allows lower-income Member States in Central and Eastern Europe to grant free emission allowances to the power sector provided they invest the equivalent value in energy system modernisation. The author argues that this mechanism has largely subsidised coal power and fossil fuel infrastructure rather than diversifying energy mixes, citing examples in Poland, the Czech Republic, and Romania. It highlights failures in transparency, public consultation, and additionality, specifically noting investments in the Belchatow power station. The brief recommends that the post-2020 revision implement a competitive bidding process for all investments, exclude coal from eligibility, and ensure open public consultation to align the mechanism with EU decarbonisation goals.
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Document type: Policy brief
Carbon leakage myth buster GERMANY
The document analyzes how German energy-intensive industries generated €4.5 billion in windfall profits from the EU ETS between 2008 and 2014 due to free emission allowances intended to prevent carbon leakage. It highlights that the German government missed out on €29.7 billion in auctioning revenues during this period. The brief identifies the iron and steel, refineries, cement, and petrochemicals sectors as the primary beneficiaries, specifically naming ThyssenKrupp and ArcelorMittal as top earners. It concludes that these subsidies reduce incentives for decarbonization and recommends phasing out free allocations in favor of auctioning to fund climate innovation.
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Document type: Policy brief
Der Mythos von der „Verlagerung von CO2-Emissionen“ ( carbon leakage) DEUTSCHL AND
The document argues that the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) has provided excessive subsidies to German heavy industry through free allowances, resulting in €4.5 billion in windfall profits for companies like ThyssenKrupp and ArcelorMittal from 2008 to 2014. It contends that these allocations cost the German government €29.7 billion in lost auction revenues and stifle innovation by reducing the incentive to decarbonize. The briefing recommends phasing out free allocations in favor of 100% auctioning and investing the proceeds into low-carbon technologies.
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Document type: Briefing
Industry windfall profits from Europe’s carbon market
The document analyzes how the 'carbon leakage' mechanism in the EU ETS allowed heavy industry in 19 European countries to earn over €24 billion in windfall profits between 2008 and 2014. It contends that these subsidies reduce incentives for decarbonization and deprive governments of auctioning revenues, while evidence for actual carbon leakage remains absent. The brief recommends phasing out free allocations in favor of 100% auctioning to fund low-carbon innovation.
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Document type: Policy brief
Industry windfall profits from Europe’s carbon market
The document assesses the impact of 'carbon leakage' rules within the EU ETS from 2008 to 2014, finding that free pollution permits resulted in over 4 billion in windfall profits for heavy industry. It highlights that these subsidies benefit specific sectors like iron, steel, and cement, and primarily accrue in countries such as Germany and the UK. The brief contends that these rules reduce incentives for decarbonization and deprive governments of approximately 137 billion in potential auctioning revenues. It recommends phasing out free allocations in favor of 100% auctioning to align with the polluter-pays principle and the global landscape following the Paris agreement.
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Document type: Policy brief
What's changed about climate change?
The document highlights a global consensus on the threats of climate change and the necessity of a massive energy transformation to limit temperature rises to below 2°C or 1.5°C. It notes that renewables became the second largest electricity source in 2014 and that costs for solar and wind technologies are falling rapidly. The briefing also emphasizes the health and economic benefits of decarbonization, specifically citing the potential for $300 million in annual health benefits from closing coal plants in Alberta and the growth of Canada's clean energy sector. Finally, it details Canada's 2013 emissions of 726 mega-tonnes and its targets to reduce these to 622 MT by 2020 and 524 MT by 2030.
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Document type: Briefing
Climate compatible development: pathway or pipe dream?
The paper examines the 'wicked problem' of aligning poverty eradication with climate mitigation and adaptation. It proposes 'climate compatible development' as an analytical framework that integrates mitigation, adaptation, and economic transformation. The author emphasizes that achieving 'zero poverty, zero emissions' requires strong policy leadership, careful design to manage winners and losers, and cross-government implementation to avoid 'pilot phase syndrome'.
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Document type: Research paper
Paris climate summit: An agreement for humanity
The Paris agreement is characterized as a balance between ambitious emission reductions and the principle of differentiation between developed and developing nations. It emphasizes the mobilization of financial resources for decarbonization and creates space for sustainable, people-centered development for the poorest populations.
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Document type: Report
Bridging Science and Policy to Mitigate and Adapt Cities to Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities in the Context of the Basque Declaration
The document examines the intersection of science and urban policy, identifying that while research can provide robust data to validate decision-making and increase citizen trust, significant gaps exist due to differing timeframes, technical languages, and motivations. It argues that co-creating solutions and bridging the gap between researchers and practitioners is essential for the successful implementation of the Basque Declaration's sustainability goals.
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Document type: Policy brief
La cumbre de París: un éxito de la política climática
The author evaluates the Paris Climate Agreement as a success, highlighting its binding nature for nearly all countries, the establishment of a transparent five-year review system for INDCs, and the goal to limit global temperature rise to 2°C. While noting the mobilization of 100 billion dollars annually from 2020 for developing nations, the author criticizes the omission of specific terms like 'decarbonization' or 'emissions neutrality'.
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Document type: Statement