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Sector-based transition compacts as an element of next-generation trade architecture
The author contends that current unilateral green industrial strategies and carbon border adjustments create an inequitable trade environment that disadvantages developing countries. To resolve this, the paper proposes 'transition compacts': plurilateral, sector-specific agreements that link market access to verified emissions performance while making equity provisions, such as technology transfer and investment, legally binding rather than aspirational. Using examples like the failed Global Arrangement on Sustainable Steel and Aluminium (GASSA) and the Agreement on Climate Change, Trade and Sustainability (ACCTS), the text suggests that these compacts should be designed to be resilient to the withdrawal of major powers and focused on cooperative management of the energy transition.
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Document type: Research paper
Currents beneath currents: Overcoming ASEAN's subsea power cable governance challenges
The report argues that the primary barriers to subsea power cable deployment in ASEAN are institutional rather than technical. It identifies gaps in regional planning, cost allocation, and maritime coordination, suggesting a phased approach to strengthen governance. Key recommendations include operationalising the ASEAN Power Grid Generation and Transmission Planning (AGTP) function, exploring cross-border cost allocation (CBCA) frameworks, and deepening the role of the Submarine Cable Working Group to manage the complexities of shared maritime spaces.
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Document type: Report
기후변화센터는 미얀마 군부 협력에 대한 본질 호도 중단하고 반인권적 사업 즉각 취소하라
Plan 1.5 criticizes the Climate Change Center for continuing a cookstove project in Myanmar after the 2021 military coup, arguing that the project provides administrative legitimacy to the junta and relies on fraudulent emission reductions. The statement highlights that the project operates in conflict-heavy regions like Sagaing and Magway, where monitoring is deemed unreliable, and claims that previous emission reductions were inflated by approximately 14.4 times.
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Document type: Statement
Management response to Independent Evaluation of the GCF's Project Preparation Facility (PPF)
The GCF Secretariat broadly agrees with the Independent Evaluation Unit's findings on the Project Preparation Facility (PPF), acknowledging its role as a strategic de-risking tool. The Secretariat commits to improving coherence between the PPF and the Readiness and Preparatory Support Programme (RPSP), differentiating support pathways for varying entity capacities, and enhancing monitoring and knowledge management. While accepting most recommendations, the Secretariat notes that some findings lacked sufficient contextualization and that the PPF Service modality represents only about 21% of approved requests.
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Document type: Briefing
ZAMBIA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The report forecasts that Zambia's GDP per capita would increase by 51% by 2043 under the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario compared to the Current Path, potentially lifting an additional 9.4 million people out of extreme poverty. While the economy would grow to US$157.5 billion, the services sector would continue to dominate, and carbon emissions are projected to rise to 6 million tons due to economic expansion.
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Document type: Report
RWANDA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The report analyzes Rwanda's development trajectories, finding that a 'Combined scenario' of sectoral improvements would significantly boost GDP and GDP per capita, potentially making Rwanda a high-income country by 2050. While this scenario drastically reduces extreme poverty and improves life expectancy, it also leads to higher carbon emissions than the Current Path and fails to meet Vision 2050's specific inequality targets. The economic structure would shift from service-led to manufacturing-led by 2050.
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Document type: Research paper
Unlocking Competitive, Affordable and Secure Electrification in Europe
The We Mean Business Coalition (WMBC) advocates for a coordinated EU framework to overcome barriers to electrification, such as high upfront costs and grid constraints. The coalition proposes a 50% electrification target by 2040 and suggests realigning financial incentives, modernising electricity grids, and mobilising public finance to de-risk private investment in clean energy technologies.
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Document type: Statement
LNG: Japan’s new export
Japan has become a major global LNG trader, significantly increasing its resales of US-sourced LNG to Asian markets between 2021 and 2025. This trade pattern, supported by Japanese government initiatives and financing, contributes to substantial lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions. The analysis shows that 16.5 billion kg of US LNG resold by Japan to Asia released 63.5 billion kg of CO2, with methane leaks and combustion being the primary drivers. The document argues that promoting LNG infrastructure in Asia risks locking in fossil fuel dependence and exacerbating climate-induced disasters in a region already vulnerable to extreme weather.
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Document type: Briefing
Our Ocean Conference Must Confront Fossil Fuels
The Center for International Environmental Law asserts that ocean protection is impossible without confronting the expansion of offshore oil and gas, which it identifies as the primary driver of the climate crisis. The organization calls on governments at the 11th Our Ocean Conference in Kenya to halt new offshore licensing, end public subsidies for expansion, and reject speculative marine geoengineering technologies that risk irreversible ecosystem damage. It further argues that states have binding legal duties under international law to prevent climate harm and protect the marine environment, which necessitates a coordinated phaseout of fossil fuel demand and supply.
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Document type: Statement
Africa Development Futures
The report analyses Africa's development path to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' baseline with various sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined' scenario. While the Current Path shows steady growth, it fails to meet Agenda 2063 targets, leaving 19.1% of the population in extreme poverty. The Combined scenario demonstrates that coordinated reforms in governance, trade (AfCFTA), education, and infrastructure could raise GDP (MER) to US$8.87 trillion, increase GDP per capita (PPP) to US$8,040, and reduce extreme poverty to 10.9%. Key findings highlight the critical role of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and governance as the most transformative levers for income growth and poverty reduction. The report also details a significant energy gap, where demand is projected to outpace production by 2043 despite massive solar potential, and a health transition marked by a 'double burden' of persisting communicable diseases and rapidly rising non-communicable diseases.
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Document type: Report
Centring Human Rights in Ecosystem-based Adaptation
The research paper advocates for centering human rights in ecosystem-based adaptation (EbA) by aligning implementation with Section C of the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (KMGBF). It highlights that while EbA can be more cost-effective and equitable than top-down approaches, it requires a human rights-based approach (HRBA) to avoid maladaptation and the displacement of communities. Through case studies in Benin (sacred forest protection) and Kenya (rangeland restoration in Mount Marsabit), the document illustrates how integrating Indigenous knowledge and participatory governance enhances resilience. The author recommends establishing national coordination mechanisms to track EbA across sectors and leveraging global networks to scale rights-based evidence, noting that currently less than 0.2% of climate finance specifically targets locally led outcomes.
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Document type: Research paper
Almost USD 1 billion in Europe-bound Brazilian soy exposed to river port disruption annually by mid-century
The report finds that by mid-century, between USD 300 million and almost USD 1 billion in annual soy trade bound for Europe could be exposed to disruption due to critically low river levels at the ports of Manaus and Santarém. This risk is driven by a combination of climate change and Amazon deforestation, which reduces rainfall and moisture cycling. The analysis highlights that major commodity traders like Cargill, Amaggi, and Bunge face significant financial exposure, and that EU importers are particularly vulnerable given their reliance on Brazilian soy for livestock feed. The document argues that protecting the Amazon forest is essential for maintaining the physical river infrastructure that compliant, deforestation-free supply chains depend on.
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Document type: Report
Tripartite Contracting for Clean Electricity
The report proposes a tripartite contracting model for Europe, where a state-backed intermediary connects clean energy suppliers and industrial consumers. This mechanism aims to solve structural barriers in bilateral Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs), such as creditworthiness requirements for SMEs and the mismatch between variable renewable generation and industrial baseload demand. By pooling diverse technologies—including renewables, storage, and clean firm capacity—the intermediary can offer 24/7 clean power products and absorb counterparty risk. The document outlines an implementation roadmap involving the European Commission and Member States, emphasizing the need for harmonized Guarantees of Origin, improved two-sided Contracts for Difference (CfDs) design, and integrated grid planning.
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Document type: Report
Indigenous-led electricity transmission projects
The paper examines the potential for Indigenous-led electricity transmission in Canada, advocating for a transition from passive equity stakes to full project leadership. It highlights the economic benefits of regulated rate-of-return models for community revenue and proposes a financing structure using Special Purpose Vehicles (SPVs) via the First Nations Finance Authority (FNFA) and the Canada Indigenous Loan Guarantee Corporation (CILGC) to overcome structural barriers like the Indian Act.
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Document type: Research paper
Dialogues autochtones, gouvernance climatique et divulgation d’information par les entreprises
The document examines the gap between corporate ESG reporting and the reality of Indigenous governance in Canada's energy transition. It finds that while many companies disclose Indigenous relations, they rarely integrate Indigenous rights into formal risk assessments or acknowledge the necessity of free, prior and informed consent (FPIC). Through dialogues with over 50 Indigenous leaders and an analysis of S&P/TSX companies, the study concludes that corporate narratives often prioritize regulatory compliance and symbolic transparency over the recognition of inherent Indigenous jurisdiction.
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Document type: Case study
projets-transport-electricite-diriges-par-autochtones
The paper advocates for Indigenous-led electricity transmission projects in Canada, moving beyond passive equity stakes to active project leadership. It highlights the economic potential of a national grid, the role of Indigenous ownership in reducing diesel dependency and funding community services, and proposes a financing model using the First Nations Financial Management Board (FNFMB) and the Canada Indigenous Loan Guarantee Corporation (CILGC) to overcome capital barriers.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate Change in the American Mind: Politics and Policy
A survey of 930 registered U.S. voters shows broad support for climate action, with 58% preferring candidates who support global warming action and 68% favoring increased renewable energy use. While 67% believe global warming affects the U.S. cost of living—particularly utility bills (66%) and groceries (61%)—there is significant political divergence on the responsibility for gas prices and the priority of clean energy. Trust in information remains highest for climate scientists (71%) and family and friends (69%), while 58% of voters oppose the construction of local data centers due to concerns over electricity costs.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Report on the activities of the Secretariat
The GCF Secretariat report for 2026 details progress in enhancing country ownership, delivering impact, and institutional strengthening. Key achievements include the launch of a revised Accreditation Framework, the establishment of regional presence in five locations, and the development of a new Commitment Authority Framework to optimize investment capacity. The report also tracks programming metrics, noting 29 funding proposals submitted to the iTAP and the approval of projects for underserved countries like Bahamas, Chad, and Jamaica.
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Document type: Report
Status of the GCF resources, portfolio and pipeline
As of March 31, 2026, the GCF has total pledged amounts of USD 30.0 billion, with USD 24.0 billion in committed funding. The Fund's accredited entity network has grown to 168 entities, with a strong emphasis on Direct Access Entities (DAEs). The portfolio shows a shift toward adaptation, which now represents 59% of funding in grant equivalent terms. The GCF is managing a pipeline of 139 concept notes and 51 funding proposals. However, several projects face implementation challenges, including the Mali solar rural electrification project, which is awaiting formal termination following the government's decision to cancel co-financing.
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Document type: Report
From Belém to Bonn: Why International Climate Spaces Matter for Latino Communities
GreenLatinos asserts that international climate spaces, such as UN COPs and specialized conferences, are critical for shaping policies and funding that affect Latino communities. The organization highlights the importance of the Belém–Antalya Mechanism and the Santa Marta Fossil Fuel Phaseout Conference in building momentum for a just transition and fossil fuel phaseout, while criticizing the lack of U.S. federal leadership under the Trump Administration.
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Document type: Statement