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Peace & Security Council Report
The February 2019 Peace & Security Council Report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the election of four new members to the African Union's Peace and Security Council (PSC), the 2019 AU chairmanship of Egypt, and South Africa's upcoming 2020 chairmanship. It also analyzes the viability of a new peace deal in the Central African Republic, the humanitarian focus on refugees in 2019, and the escalating political crisis in Sudan.
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Document type: Report
Peace & Security Council Report
The May 2018 Peace & Security Council Report examines several African Union (AU) initiatives and regional challenges, including the FemWise-Africa network for women mediators, the proposed AU Humanitarian Agency, the protocol on free movement of people, and the political situation in Liberia and the Horn of Africa. It also features an interview regarding the transformation of the NEPAD Agency into the AU Development Agency.
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Document type: Report
South Africa’s prospects under Cyril Ramaphosa
This report analyzes the political and economic implications of Cyril Ramaphosa's narrow victory at the African National Congress (ANC) 54th national conference in December 2017. The author argues that while the result averted a major party split, South Africa remains in a "muddling along" scenario characterized by deep factional divisions and economic fragility. The document examines the prospects for the 2019 elections, the potential recall of Jacob Zuma, and the need for structural reforms to avoid credit rating downgrades and stimulate growth.
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Document type: Report
Swiss vote down Green Economy proposal
A briefing by the Green Economy Coalition detailing the rejection of a Swiss Green Party popular initiative that sought a constitutional commitment to a circular economy and sustainable resource use by 2050.
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Document type: Briefing
The politics of climate change at the city level: Insights from a comparative study of Buenos Aires, São Paulo and Mexico City
This guide summarizes a comparative research project conducted by the Fundación Ambiente y Recursos Naturales (FARN) between 2013 and 2014. The study examines the political dynamics of climate-related decision-making in three Latin American mega-cities: Buenos Aires, São Paulo, and Mexico City, focusing on the gap between the adoption of climate policies and their actual implementation.
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Document type: Guide
Central Africa Report
This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the political and security crisis in Burundi triggered by President Pierre Nkurunziza's bid for a third term in 2015. It details the historical context of the Burundian civil war, the CNDD-FDD's consolidation of power through repression and the marginalization of opposition parties, and the internal fractures within the ruling party. The document examines the failure of constitutional amendments, the role of the security sector in suppressing dissent, and the subsequent impact on civil society and the media.
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Document type: Report
The nature and drivers of insecurity in Kenya
This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the drivers and types of insecurity in Kenya, arguing that while al-Shabaab receives significant attention, armed criminal groups and the nature of Kenyan politics pose more widespread threats. The document examines the role of state-led violence, historical land injustices, and regional dynamics in the Horn of Africa in shaping the country's security landscape.
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Document type: Report
Dialogue of the deaf in Togo in the run-up to the 2015 elections
This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyses the political deadlock in Togo ahead of the 2015 presidential elections. It details the failure of political dialogues to implement the 2006 Global Political Agreement, the fragmentation of the opposition, and the perceived lack of neutrality in electoral institutions. The document also examines socio-economic tensions, including youth unemployment and land disputes, and the role of the international community in attempting to mediate the crisis.
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Document type: Report
Peace and Security Council Report
The September 2012 Peace and Security Council Report by the Institute for Security Studies provides analysis on early warning issues in Africa, focusing on the electoral risks in Kenya, the democratic transition in Egypt, and a retrospective of the 19th African Union (AU) Summit.
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Document type: Report
Rapport sur le Conseil de paix et de sécurité
This August 2012 report by the Institute for Security Studies provides early warning analyses on political and security crises in Mali, Libya, Angola, and Somalia, while examining the evolving role of China in African peace and security efforts.
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Document type: Report
Mozambique Post-war socio-economic and political challenges
This situation report by the Institute for Security Studies analyses the socio-economic and political challenges facing Mozambique in 2012. It examines the dominance of the Frelimo party, the struggles of opposition parties like Renamo and the MDM, the country's heavy reliance on international donor aid, and the prevalence of the informal economic sector.
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Document type: Report
PSC Report
This December 2011 report by the Institute for Security Studies provides security analyses and early warning assessments for the African Union Peace and Security Council (PSC). It focuses on the fragile post-election landscape in Liberia, escalating border conflicts and humanitarian crises between Sudan and South Sudan, the expanding threat of Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) across the Sahel, and political instability in Burundi. Additionally, it examines the partnership and occasional divergences between the PSC and the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS).
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Document type: Report
تقرير المؤتمر نظرة نقدية في ثورات أفريقيا وتداعياتها عام 2011م في شمال
This report summarizes a conference held on May 31, 2011, in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, organized by the Institute for Security Studies (ISS). The event brought together experts, diplomats, and academics to analyze the causes and implications of the 2011 popular revolutions in North Africa, specifically in Tunisia, Egypt, and Libya, while also examining the situations in Algeria and Morocco and the potential for similar unrest in Sub-Saharan Africa.
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Document type: Report
The Politics of Fossil-Fuel Subsidies
This research paper examines the political challenges associated with the creation and removal of fossil-fuel subsidies, noting that while such subsidies often lack a legitimate purpose, they persist due to pressure from well-organized political groups.
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Document type: Research paper
Cameroun: Une analyse juridique de la mutation constitutionnelle du 10 avril 2008
This briefing provides a legal analysis of the April 10, 2008, constitutional revision in Cameroon, arguing that it reinforces presidential hegemony and undermines the principle of constitutional supremacy. The authors place this event within a broader African trend of 'authoritarian recuperation,' where leaders modify constitutions to remove term limits and perpetuate their hold on power.
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Document type: Briefing
Ghana’s 2008 election: towards a consolidated democracy?
This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Ghana's 2008 general elections, characterizing the peaceful transfer of power from the New Patriotic Party (NPP) to the National Democratic Congress (NDC) as a significant step toward democratic consolidation. It examines the role of the Electoral Commission of Ghana, the influence of ethno-regional voting patterns, and the lessons Ghana's experience offers for other African nations struggling with political stability.
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Document type: Report
Swaziland: reforms long overdue
This research paper argues that Swaziland (now Eswatini) requires urgent political and institutional reform to address severe socio-economic crises, including widespread poverty, a devastating HIV/AIDS epidemic, and an absolute monarchy that lacks accountability.
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Document type: Research paper
Angolan legislative elections: Analysing the MPLA’s triumph
This briefing by the Institute for Security Studies analyses the 5 September 2008 Angolan legislative elections, in which the ruling MPLA won a landslide victory. The author argues that the result was achieved through a combination of state resource monopoly, media manipulation, and the intimidation of opposition forces, thereby limiting the prospects for genuine democratic consolidation in Angola.
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Document type: Briefing
Will Robert Mugabe face trial?
This research paper examines the legal possibilities and political obstacles to putting Robert Mugabe on trial, analyzing the roles of universal jurisdiction and the International Criminal Court (ICC).
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Document type: Research paper
Eastern Sudan: Challenges facing the implementation of the peace agreement in Gedaref State
This briefing examines the challenges facing the implementation of the East Sudan Peace Agreement (ESPA), signed in October 2006 between the government of Sudan and the Eastern Front. While the agreement ended ten years of hostilities, the authors highlight significant obstacles, particularly regarding the representation of diverse ethnic groups and the specific political and administrative complexities of re-including Gedaref State within the Eastern Sudan region.
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Document type: Briefing