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A Dubious Alliance: Netanyahu’s Israel and Europe’s Far-Right
The document analyzes the strategic and ideological alignment between Benjamin Netanyahu's government and European far-right actors, such as Hungary's Viktor Orbán and the Netherlands' Geert Wilders. It argues that Israel uses these 'illiberal' allies to bypass EU consensus and legitimize its policies in the Occupied Palestinian Territories, while the European parties use the relationship to deflect accusations of antisemitism. This alliance is characterized as a 'quid-pro-quo' based on shared hostility toward Islam, multiculturalism, and international law, ultimately aiming to establish 'illiberal polypore states' that exploit democratic institutions for populist ends.
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Document type: Research paper
Not in Power but Shaping It: The Ascent of Vlaams Belang
Vlaams Belang (VB) has evolved from a marginalised, racist movement into a major political force in Flanders. Despite being largely excluded from government by a 'cordon sanitaire', VB has successfully shifted the political discourse on immigration and crime, influencing other parties to adopt more right-wing stances. Recent breakthroughs in municipal elections, including an absolute majority in Ninove and a coalition in Ranst, signal a potential erosion of the political isolation that has historically defined the party's relationship with the Belgian state.
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Document type: Research paper
The courage to look elsewhere
The author analyzes the ascent of far-right populism in Europe and globally, attributing its success to the exploitation of economic insecurities and the use of 'culture wars' to fuel cultural panic. The text highlights how mainstream parties have assimilated far-right stances, particularly on immigration and climate policy. It positions political ecology as a radical alternative and argues that the most effective way to confront the far right is to mobilize majorities around a desired progressive world rather than centering the narratives of the right.
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Document type: Statement
FALSE HOPES AND BROKEN PROMISES ON THE ROAD TO WAR: THE MINSK PROCESS TO MANAGE THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT, 2014-2021
The Minsk process, led by France and Germany from 2014 to 2021, failed to resolve the Russia-Ukraine conflict and ended with Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022. The author argues that the process was doomed by a fundamental gap in strategies: while Russia used the agreements to manipulate the West and prepare for war, and Ukraine struggled with politically impossible domestic demands, the mediators remained blind to these tensions, prioritizing a 'frozen' conflict to protect economic interests and demonstrate European diplomatic autonomy.
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Document type: Research paper
The climate crisis and the rise of the far-right
The author contends that the rise of far-right parties, such as Germany's AfD, is partly a reaction to climate policies that lack social equity. To combat this, the text advocates for a 'post-growth' framework and the implementation of community-led energy solutions that prioritize human well-being over profit. It calls for developed nations to accelerate emission cuts and for the EU to shift fossil fuel subsidies toward carbon-free heating to ensure a just transition.
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Document type: Statement
Canada’s clean energy transition: Provincial road maps
The Canadian Climate Institute advocates for 'electric federalism,' where provinces lead energy transitions with federal funding and guardrails. It argues that while Canada has a strong non-emitting electricity base, meeting emission goals requires doubling or tripling grid capacity. The author contends that provincial governments lack aligned climate and energy policies, creating uncertainty for utilities. To resolve this, the document suggests the federal government adopt the Electricity Advisory Council's recommendation to replace strict 2035 net zero electricity deadlines with a single requirement: the creation of energy road maps targeting net zero domestic energy by 2050 with five-year milestones.
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Document type: Statement
A new government, a new climate story
The document argues that the Labour victory provides a mandate for ambitious climate action, including net zero electricity within five years. It suggests that public appetite for climate action remains strong and that the new Parliament is the most pro-environment in history, though it emphasizes that successful delivery of renewables and home insulation will require deep public engagement.
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Document type: Statement
Hot Issues: Battle for the climate at the ballot box
The author warns that a rightward political shift in the EU and UK could lead to the rollback of climate regulations and the weakening of the European Green Deal. While EU citizens express high levels of concern for climate change, competing priorities like security and healthcare may lead them to vote for parties hostile to green policies. The text urges activists to combat political apathy and maintain climate action on the political agenda even if climate-skeptical forces gain power.
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Document type: Statement
Evropa ve volbách: Obrát evropských lidovců proti klimatické politice
The author contends that the European People's Party (EPP) is actively undermining the European Green Deal and the Nature Restoration Law, moving away from its centrist roots toward a national-conservative ideology. This shift is framed as a strategic attempt to compete with far-right parties, which the author suggests strengthens those movements. The text highlights the precarious position of the Greens, who must now defend moderate policies they previously found insufficiently ambitious, and concludes that the 2024 elections are critical for determining whether the EU continues toward a climate-neutral future.
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Document type: Statement
Climate Change in the American Mind
A survey of 896 registered U.S. voters in Spring 2024 reveals broad support for clean energy policies and climate justice, though global warming remains a lower-ranked voting priority overall compared to the economy. While 62% of voters prefer candidates who support climate action, there is a sharp partisan divide in how important the issue is for the 2024 election. Majorities support transitioning to 100% clean energy by 2050 and the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, but few believe the U.S. government is currently responding well to the crisis.
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Document type: Report
Electoral Impasse in Senegal
The document analyzes the constitutional crisis in Senegal following President Macky Sall's decision to postpone the February 25, 2024, elections. It argues that the move is illegal and unconstitutional, reflecting a trend toward authoritarianism and 'hyper-presidentialism'. The text details the roles of key political figures like Ousmane Sonko and Karim Wade, the repression of civil society, and the potential for regional instability in West Africa if the impasse is not peacefully resolved.
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Document type: Research paper
Česká republika potřebuje zelenou sametovou revoluci
The document contends that the Czech Republic's climate policy is stalled by a 'mantra of productivism' and the dominance of fossil fuel and nuclear oligarchs who control significant media outlets. The author highlights a disconnect between the country's high per capita emissions and its political inaction, noting that progress is primarily driven by European Union pressure. The text criticizes the current government's focus on monumental infrastructure and nuclear energy over community energy and decarbonization. It calls for a new, pluralistic movement to dismantle the power of corporate interests and establish a green, social, and participatory democracy, drawing a parallel to the 1989 Velvet Revolution.
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Document type: Statement
Catatan Kritis Trend Asia atas Debat Cawapres ke IV
Trend Asia criticizes the 2024 vice-presidential candidates for offering technical 'gimmicks' rather than substantive solutions for grassroots issues. The organization argues that the candidates' visions for energy transition and sustainable development remain rooted in extractivism, ignore the legal and social vulnerabilities of local communities, and rely on 'false solutions' like CCUS and geothermal energy while failing to address the structural causes of the climate crisis and the harms of the coal industry.
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Document type: Statement
HEAD ON FACING THE FAR RIGHT
The document analyzes the ascent of the far right, highlighting its use of 'metapolitics' to shift cultural norms and its ability to capitalize on economic and social insecurities. It examines specific national contexts, such as Italy's media capture under Giorgia Meloni and the rise of Vlaams Belang in Flanders, while warning against 'conservative socialism' where left-wing parties adopt far-right rhetoric. The report concludes that defeating the far right requires a positive, inclusive vision of the future rather than mere imitation or moral condemnation.
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Document type: Report
Prospects for Dialogue and Negotiation to Address the Conflict in the Lake Chad Basin
The report assesses the potential for dialogue and negotiation to resolve the Boko Haram conflict in the Lake Chad Basin. It finds that while the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) is a more coherent and credible partner, its transnational ties to ISIL make it less likely to negotiate. Conversely, Jamā'at Ahl as-Sunnah lid-Da'wah wa'l-Jihād (JAS) is perceived as more motivated to negotiate due to military weakness and internal fragmentation, though it lacks centralized control. The study emphasizes a disconnect between hardline leadership and lower-ranking members, who are more open to exiting the group if economic needs and safety are guaranteed. It recommends a multi-faceted approach targeting individual commanders and the use of trusted intermediaries, such as traditional leaders and former associates, to build trust and facilitate demobilization.
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Document type: Report
Decades of Systematic Obstructionism: Saudi Arabia's Role in Slowing Progress in UN Climate Negotiations
The document argues that Saudi Arabia has spent three decades using procedural and substantive tactics to undermine UN climate negotiations and the IPCC scientific process. It details how Riyadh leverages consensus-based decision-making, raises opportunistic procedural objections, and contests climate science to delay the transition away from fossil fuels. The authors conclude by recommending structural changes to UN voting rules and increased transparency to combat such obstructionism.
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Document type: Research paper
Eswatini in 2023: A Data Overview
The document analyzes Eswatini's current state, highlighting low governance scores in voice and accountability, the historical impact of the HIV/AIDS epidemic on life expectancy, a high economic dependency on South Africa, and a growing public desire for democratic reform among its predominantly young population.
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Document type: Briefing
Zimbabwe's 2023 Election Dynamics, Candidates and Implications for Democracy, the Economy and International Relations
The 2023 Zimbabwean general election is framed as a high-stakes contest between incumbent Emmerson Mnangagwa (ZANU-PF) and Nelson Chamisa (CCC), with significant implications for the country's democratic legitimacy and its ability to re-engage with Western nations. The author notes a decline in voter intention and female candidacy compared to 2018, alongside an electoral environment skewed in favor of the ruling party through control of state institutions and exclusionary financial barriers. Internationally, the election is viewed as a test of Zimbabwe's willingness to return to democratic norms, which is critical for debt clearance processes and the export of strategic minerals like lithium essential for the global energy transition.
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Document type: Research paper
Europe on the ballot: how the EPP turned against climate politics
The author contends that the EPP, once a supporter of the European Green Deal, is now radicalising its position to align with far-right narratives. This shift is evidenced by the EPP's opposition to nature restoration laws, which the party claims would "lead to less food production". The text suggests that the EPP's strategy is influenced by the success of the Dutch BoerBurgerBeweging party and has led to policy alignment with the ECR and ID groups in the European Parliament. Consequently, the Greens are left defending moderate policies while the EPP moves toward climate denialism, potentially jeopardizing the EU's climate neutrality goals for 2050.
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Document type: Statement
Transformer un monde en crise pour un avenir juste et soutenable
The report by Friends of the Earth International outlines a framework for systemic change to address the interconnected crises of climate change, biodiversity loss, and social inequality. It identifies neoliberal capitalism, patriarchy, and colonialism as the root causes of these crises and proposes 'people's solutions' centered on gender justice, democratic energy systems, food sovereignty, community forest management, and a distributive economy. The document emphasizes the need to dismantle corporate power and reclaim political agency to ensure a future based on social, environmental, and gender justice.
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Document type: Report