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SOUTH AFRICA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The report outlines South Africa's transition from apartheid to democracy, its current economic challenges including deindustrialisation and low savings rates, and the state of its mining sector and infrastructure. It details the country's political fragmentation following the 2024 elections and the formation of a Government of National Unity.
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Document type: Report
Niger: Introduction
Niger is a low-income, landlocked country in Western Africa facing severe developmental challenges, ranking 189th out of 191 countries on the 2024 Human Development Index. The country is characterized by extreme heat and rainfall variability, with desertification and climate change increasing vulnerabilities. Politically, Niger has experienced a history of instability, most recently marked by a July 2023 military coup that deposed President Mohamed Bazoum. This shift led to the withdrawal of French and US military forces and Niger's exit from ECOWAS and the G5 Sahel to join the Alliance of Sahel States and the Confederation of Sahel States. Despite seeking new partners like Russia, China, and Türkiye, the security situation remains precarious due to Islamist insurgent activity and internal dissent from groups such as the Patriotic Liberation Front.
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Document type: Report
Djibouti: Introduction
Djibouti is a lower-middle-income country at the Horn of Africa's maritime choke point, leveraging its strategic location to aim for a regional hub status under 'Vision Djibouti 2035'. The country faces extreme climate and water stress, with nearly 90% of its land classified as desert. Its governance is structured as a sovereign democratic republic with a decentralised architecture comprising five regional collectivities and the special status of Djibouti City. Historically, the 1994 Peace and National Reconciliation Accord served as a turning point for stability, which is now viewed as a prerequisite for economic transformation and investment.
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Document type: Research paper
Mali: Introduction
Mali is a low-income Sahelian nation facing severe environmental degradation and political volatility. The country is characterized by three natural zones—Sudanese, Sahelian, and Saharan—and is highly vulnerable to climate change, having experienced significant rainfall declines since the 1980s. Politically, Mali has a history of military coups and recurring rebellions, most recently leading to its withdrawal from ECOWAS in January 2024 and the formation of the Confederation of Sahel States with Burkina Faso and Niger. The document also notes the presence of violent extremist groups and the shift in external relations from France toward Russia.
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Document type: Report
Sveriges konsumtionsbaserade utsläpp i siffror
The briefing details consumption-based emissions for Swedish households in 2023, highlighting that while total emissions per person are similar across different municipality groups, the composition of these emissions varies by geography and income. It introduces the Consumption Compass 2.0 as a tool for local governments to identify emission hotspots and implement precise, inclusive climate policies.
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Document type: Briefing
Strengthening SADC’s maritime security architecture
The report finds that SADC's maritime security governance is fragmented, with a significant disconnect between blue-economy rhetoric and actual security planning. While the 2022 Integrated Maritime Security Strategy (IMSS) represents a normative advance over the 2011 strategy, its implementation remains uneven and under-resourced. Regional coordination is primarily driven by external funding and bilateral initiatives, such as South Africa's Operation Copper, rather than formal SADC mechanisms. The report highlights a structural paradox where SADC's most ocean-dependent members—the island states—are the least embedded in its collective security frameworks, preferring partnerships with the Indian Ocean Commission and external powers like India, France, and the EU.
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Document type: Report
Heat, Work and Worry: How is Outdoor Employment Linked to Concern About Extreme Heat?
The briefing examines how the prevalence of outdoor work correlates with worry about extreme heat in the U.S., finding a modest positive correlation at the county level and a stronger one at the state level, though results vary significantly by region.
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Document type: Briefing
Outdoor Workers and Extreme Heat Worry
The analysis finds a modest positive correlation between the proportion of outdoor workers and worry about extreme heat at the county level, though this relationship varies by region. While the South and West show positive correlations, the Midwest and Northeast show negative correlations. At the state level, a stronger positive correlation exists. The document also notes a gap between heat worry and the implementation of worker protections, highlighting that some high-worry states like Texas and Florida have blocked local heat safety standards, while California's 2005 standards are linked to a 30% reduction in heat-related injuries.
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Document type: Research paper
The geography of clean energy investments in the U.S.
The document analyzes how federal clean energy incentives have driven over $321 billion in investments across the U.S. between Q2 2022 and Q1 2025, highlighting that these investments are heavily concentrated in Southern and Western states and Republican-held congressional districts. It argues that rolling back these incentives would disproportionately harm these regions and jeopardize significant outstanding investments in states like Louisiana and North Dakota, as well as major projects in emerging hubs like Southern Arizona and the Southeast.
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Document type: Briefing
The geography factor: How environmental conditions shape methane monitoring from space
The report identifies that approximately 30% of global upstream coal and oil and gas infrastructure is located in regions where environmental conditions make satellite methane monitoring challenging. It details how factors such as persistent cloud cover in the tropics, low sun angles in high latitudes, and rugged terrain in mountainous regions limit data availability and accuracy. The authors argue for a multi-tiered observing system that combines satellite data with near-ground measurements to ensure comprehensive emissions monitoring across diverse geographies.
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Document type: Report
The geography factor: How environmental conditions shape methane monitoring from space
The report identifies environmental factors that hinder satellite methane detection, estimating that 30% of upstream coal and 29% of onshore oil and gas production occur in challenging-to-monitor regions. It highlights specific regional difficulties, such as persistent cloud cover in Indonesia and low winter sunlight in Russia and Canada, and advocates for a multi-tiered observing system combining satellites with near-ground measurements.
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Document type: Report
Global Landscape of Climate Finance 2024
Global climate finance more than doubled between 2018 and 2022, reaching USD 1.46 trillion in 2022, yet remains far below the USD 7.4 trillion annual average needed by 2030 for a 1.5°C scenario. Mitigation finance dominates the landscape, driven by renewable energy and electric vehicles in advanced economies and China, while adaptation finance, though growing, remains severely underfunded, particularly for Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and Small Island Developing States (SIDS). The report highlights a critical imbalance, noting that fossil fuel subsidies reached USD 1.4 trillion in 2022, nearly equaling total climate finance. It recommends reforming the global financial architecture through increased concessional finance, risk mitigation, and the redirection of fossil fuel expenditures to close the investment gap.
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Document type: Report
Understanding Global Concessional Climate Finance 2024
The report finds that international concessional climate finance grew by 50% from 2019 to reach USD 81 billion in 2022, though it remains small compared to fossil fuel subsidies. Sub-Saharan Africa is the primary recipient of these flows. The analysis highlights a gap in adaptation finance and a lack of standardized impact metrics. Domestic concessional finance is heavily concentrated in high-income economies, particularly Western Europe, and focuses primarily on mitigation. The report recommends redirecting fossil fuel subsidies, targeting fragile and conflict-affected states, and streamlining project approval processes to enhance efficiency.
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Document type: Report
China’s Coal Conundrum
China is the world's largest coal producer and importer, with a significant shift toward large-scale and mega-scale mining operations. Despite climate goals, China is developing approximately 1,280 Mtpa of new coal capacity, nearly half of the global proposed pipeline. This expansion, concentrated in provinces like Inner Mongolia and Shanxi, drives massive methane emissions, with China's operating mines alone accounting for roughly 70% of global coal mine methane emissions from similar-sized operations. State-owned enterprises (SOEs) dominate the sector, controlling 40% of production capacity and contributing nearly 40% of the nation's coal mine methane emissions.
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Document type: Report
Where Electric School Buses Are Being Used in the US
As of June 2024, the U.S. has 12,164 committed electric school buses, with 67% funded by the EPA's Clean School Bus Program. Adoption is widespread across 49 states, with California leading in total numbers, while the Southeast has seen significant recent growth. The report finds that deployment is increasingly equitable, with a majority of buses now located in high-poverty districts and areas with high air pollution, though adult asthma rates show a more even distribution.
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Document type: Report
Geographic disparity of project actors in the voluntary carbon market
The report finds a significant gap between where VCM projects are located and where the managing companies are based, with a strong prevalence of companies from wealthy countries operating in less affluent regions, particularly in Africa. This disparity, combined with a lack of financial transparency, raises concerns that the VCM may not be effectively channeling funds to intended beneficiaries in developing nations.
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Document type: Report
Weather-related Power Outages Rising
Between 2000 and 2023, 80% of major U.S. power outages were caused by weather, with a significant increase in frequency during the last decade. Severe weather, winter storms, and tropical cyclones are the primary drivers, with Texas and the Southeast region among the most affected. The document highlights the vulnerability of aging infrastructure and the disproportionate impact on marginalized and medically vulnerable populations, while suggesting grid hardening, microgrids, and emissions reductions as paths toward resilience.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Worldwide daily fingerprints of climate change during Earth’s hottest month
The analysis finds that July 2023 was likely Earth's hottest month on record, with human-caused climate change making extreme heat significantly more likely for a vast majority of the global population. Using the Climate Shift Index (CSI), the report demonstrates that 81% of people experienced at least one day where temperatures were at least three times more likely due to climate change. The strongest signals were observed in tropical regions and small island developing states, where conditions were often five times more likely due to human influence. The report highlights specific record-breaking temperatures in Africa, Asia, Europe, and North America, emphasizing that such extremes will increase in frequency as long as fossil fuel combustion continues.
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Document type: Report
Landscape of Climate Finance for Agrifood Systems
The report finds that climate finance for agrifood systems is strikingly low, representing only 4.3% of total global project-level climate finance in 2019/20, with an annual average of USD 28.5 billion. This is far below the estimated needs for climate transition, which are in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. While agriculture and forestry receive the bulk of project-level funding, essential mitigation areas like food loss/waste and low-carbon diets receive less than 1% of such investments. Geographically, East Asia and the Pacific are the largest recipients of project-level finance, while the US and Canada dominate venture capital investments. The report suggests that repurposing existing public subsidies for agriculture and fisheries (USD 670 billion per year) and tapping into available private capital (USD 630 billion per year) could bridge the funding gap.
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Document type: Report
Landscape of Climate Finance for Agrifood Systems
Climate finance for agrifood systems is critically low, representing only 4.3% of total project-level climate finance in 2019/20. The report highlights a massive investment gap, noting that current flows must increase at least sevenfold to meet conservative transition needs. While agriculture and forestry dominate project-level funding, essential mitigation areas like food loss and low-carbon diets are severely underfunded. The analysis reveals a heavy reliance on public funding (85%) and significant geographic disparities, with East Asia and the Pacific receiving the most finance, while South Asia and Latin America remain underserved relative to their emissions and vulnerability. The report advocates for repurposing harmful agricultural subsidies and leveraging private capital to scale climate-resilient and low-carbon food systems.
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Document type: Report