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The report analyzes how the shift toward a multipolar world, the EU Green Deal, US energy strategies, and China's dominance in critical minerals impact South Africa. It highlights the contradictions in European energy policy following the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the paradoxical nature of China's green energy support versus its fossil fuel investments in Africa. The authors argue that South Africa should adopt a strategy of 'active non-alignment,' diversify its critical mineral supply chains, and foster domestic innovation to achieve energy sovereignty and a just transition.

The South African Youth Statement outlines a comprehensive framework for climate action ahead of COP28, emphasizing the intersection of climate change with health, human rights, and social inequality. It calls for a just energy transition, the reform of global climate finance to prioritize grants over debt-burdening loans, and the legal recognition of climate migrants. The statement advocates for the meaningful inclusion of youth, women, and Indigenous peoples in decision-making and urges developed nations to lead in achieving net-zero emissions to provide developmental space for the Global South.

The document defines the 'Strategic Alliance Global Order' as a system where no single state possesses absolute dominance, forcing countries to build complex networks of alliances to maintain influence. It analyzes how this dynamic is accelerating due to the Ukraine war and is manifesting in the growth of minilateralism, the expansion of blocs like BRICS and the EU, and the strategic maneuvering of middle powers. The author suggests that South Africa and other Global South nations can leverage this environment to act as bridges between different global configurations to promote a rules-based international system.

The document analyzes the demographic transition of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, noting that all are facing population ageing while still in a middle-income economic phase. It highlights the risks of economic stagnation, fiscal pressure on pensions and healthcare, and the political challenges of raising retirement ages. The author recommends that BRICS members leverage their collective resources to invest in human capital, assistive technologies, and age-friendly urban planning, while sharing policy lessons to create a sustainable development precedent for other Global South countries.

The document examines the nexus between the AfCFTA, biodiversity, and agriculture, noting that while the agreement can boost agricultural growth and regional value chains, it lacks strong, explicit commitments to biodiversity conservation. It warns that trade liberalisation could lead to natural resource depletion, the displacement of smallholder farmers, and the promotion of monoculture. To counter these risks, the authors advocate for 'biodiversity-based agriculture' (eco-functional intensification) and the alignment of trade negotiations with multilateral environmental agreements (MEAs). Key recommendations include establishing common frameworks for non-tariff barriers, protecting indigenous genetic resources through intellectual property rights, and investing in capacity development for small-scale farmers who produce approximately 80% of Africa's food.

The report examines South Africa's transition from a coal-dependent energy system to renewable sources, emphasizing the need for a 'just' transition that integrates decarbonization with social justice and industrialization. It analyzes the role of the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP), the challenges of the national grid, the financial vulnerabilities of municipalities, and the potential for domestic and international climate finance to support the transition.

The document examines the precarious situation at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) in Ukraine, highlighting risks such as loss of offsite power and cooling water. It analyzes the existing legal protections provided by customary international law, the Geneva Conventions, and the Pelindaba Treaty, arguing that while legal norms exist, they are often undermined by political considerations and a lack of enforcement. The author concludes that strengthening existing frameworks and accountability is more critical than creating new conventions.

The document advocates for a shift from extractive-centered development to 'anticipatory governance' for critical minerals in the SADC region. It proposes transitioning to a 'Resource Balanced Economy' (RBE) that accounts for energy constraints and resource flows, rather than relying on traditional linear or circular economy models. The brief emphasizes the need for a new social contract to protect workers against automation, financial innovations to reduce risk ratings and currency devaluation, and a 'bioregional' approach to value chains to prevent regional fragmentation and ensure fair benefit distribution among member states.

The document examines the evolving integration of ocean issues into the UNFCCC climate process, noting a shift from limited recognition in the Paris Agreement to the establishment of the annual Ocean and Climate Change Dialogue. While 2022 saw significant momentum through the 'Super Year of the Ocean' and the BBNJ agreement, the author argues that COP27 outcomes were overly process-oriented and lacked strong language on finance. For COP28, the brief recommends that African stakeholders leverage regional forums and the African Group of Negotiators to shift the global dialogue from knowledge sharing to concrete implementation, utilizing regional successes like the Great Blue Wall and Seychelles' debt-for-nature swap to advocate for increased finance, capacity building, and technology transfer.

The report evaluates the ESG implementation of Chinese-financed infrastructure projects in Africa, analyzing five case studies across Egypt, Nigeria, and Ethiopia in the energy and industrial park sectors. While Chinese financing is noted for contributing to economic growth and local livelihoods, it is also associated with risks of environmental degradation and social and governance concerns. The study specifically examines compliance with local requirements and China's Traffic Light System under the Green Development Guidance for Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) projects.

The report analyzes the critical minerals ecosystem in the SADC region, emphasizing the need to move beyond 'used futures'—historical patterns of colonial extraction and corruption—toward a sustainable transition. It identifies key driving forces across social, technological, economic, environmental, political, and values (STEEP-V) dimensions, such as the risk of 'resource curse' and geopolitical competition between China, the US, and the EU. Through stakeholder workshops, the authors develop four potential scenarios for 2035, ranging from 'Dawn of Empowered Transformation' to 'Shadows of Exploitation'. The document advocates for anticipatory governance, regional collaboration, and a shift toward circular economy principles to ensure that the green energy transition benefits local communities and the environment rather than perpetuating historical inequalities.

The report critiques the current linear economy and the limitations of the conventional circular economy, proposing instead a 'resource-balanced economy' (RBE) for the SADC region. It argues that the green transition's demand for critical minerals is underestimated and faces thermodynamic and material constraints. To avoid 'financial capture' and poverty traps, the authors advocate for 'anticipatory governance'—a proactive, systems-based approach to policymaking—alongside bioregionalism, re-localisation, and the renegotiation of resource trade agreements to ensure equitable and sustainable development.

The report argues that the SADC region must move beyond 'business-as-usual' mining models to avoid repeating past failures of fragile growth and inequality. It proposes a transition toward a 'resource-balanced economy' (RBE) and a 'cooperative economy' through five strategic priorities: investing in advanced geological surveying, building mineral stewardship competencies, developing regional value chains, embedding anticipatory governance, and strengthening regulatory transparency. The authors advocate for systemic innovations, including the use of digital currencies to formalise artisanal mining, the creation of a regional metal exchange, and a shift away from US dollar reliance in trade to reduce exogenous shocks.

The report examines the SADC region's role in the global energy transition, focusing on critical minerals like copper, lithium, cobalt, graphite, manganese, nickel, and rare earth elements. It highlights the risk of SADC countries remaining raw material suppliers unless they implement robust governance and strategic value-addition policies. The analysis covers the geostrategic influence of China, the US, and the EU, while providing country-specific case studies and recommendations for regional value chain development.

The document identifies significant gaps in Africa's 'hard' (physical) and 'soft' (electronic) digital infrastructure, noting that limited wired connectivity and a lack of formal identity systems exclude large portions of the population from the digital economy. It recommends that the African Union establish continental regulatory forums to reduce policy fragmentation and that the African Development Bank prioritise wired, terrestrial networking to lower costs and increase reliability. To address 'last-mile' connectivity, the report suggests using blockchain-based social-impact bonds to attract private investment. Furthermore, it proposes adopting open-access identity and payment platforms based on the India Stack model and creating an African digital integration index to track progress.

The South African Youth Gender Action Plan (SA YGAP) is a framework developed by youth aged 13-30 to address systemic gender inequalities in South Africa. It proposes specific interventions across seven pillars: education, health, safety, gender-based violence (GBV), identity and sexuality, the public/private sector, and sustainable transformation. Key demands include the national adoption of inclusive school policies, the provision of free menstrual products, the recognition of obstetric violence as a form of homicide, and the integration of marginalised genders into 'Just Transition' climate policies. The plan emphasizes an intersectional approach to dismantle patriarchal and heteronormative structures affecting women, youth, and the LGBTQIA+ community.

The document argues that African Union (AU) member states must move from being 'rule takers' to 'rule makers' by adopting a common position in international e-commerce negotiations, particularly within the WTO's Joint Statement Initiative. It highlights the need for a harmonised digital taxation strategy to address the ambiguities of the WTO moratorium on electronic transmissions and suggests that AU members first establish non-binding e-commerce principles or guidelines based on the AU's Digital Transformation Strategy before implementing binding continental rules. The brief emphasizes that a flexible, progressive approach to regulatory harmonisation is necessary to account for the diverse digital readiness of African nations and to avoid the risks of a 'one-size-fits-all' model.

The research paper examines the role of the Wagner Group and other private military contractors (PMCs) in Africa, highlighting their involvement in human rights abuses, the smuggling of mineral resources to fund the Russian state, and the use of disinformation campaigns to undermine democratic processes and Western influence. It notes that PMCs provide 'plausible deniability' for states to conduct criminal warfare and argues that the African Union's failure to implement existing anti-mercenary frameworks hampers regional peace and security.

The policy brief examines how BRICS partnerships can accelerate the digitisation of African agriculture to drive economic growth. It identifies key barriers in Africa, such as weak coordination and low FDI, and highlights successful digital agricultural models in China, Brazil, India, Russia, and South Africa. The author recommends using the New Development Bank (NDB) and the AfCFTA to improve infrastructure and trade, while urging African nations to adopt policies that foster digital literacy and agri-tech entrepreneurship.

The document advocates for 'anticipatory governance' in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) to manage the surge in demand for critical minerals like cobalt, lithium, and graphite. It proposes moving away from extractive-centered development toward a 'Resource Balanced Economy' (RBE) that accounts for energy constraints and resource flow. Key recommendations include creating a new social contract for mining, innovating financial systems to reduce risk ratings and illicit flows, and adopting 'bioregionalism' to develop regional value chains and reduce dependence on external manufacturing centers.