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1,858 documents from Institute for Security Studies
ISS African Futures
This report provides a detailed development forecast for Equatorial Guinea up to 2043, utilizing the International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform. It contrasts a 'Current Path' scenario—based on existing policies and historical patterns—with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis highlights a severe misalignment between the country's status as an upper middle-income nation, driven by oil wealth, and its poor development indicators, including pervasive extreme poverty and low life expectancy.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a development forecast for Lesotho extending to 2043. It outlines a 'Current Path' based on existing policies and compares it against 11 sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis focuses on demographics, economics, poverty, health, and energy, highlighting Lesotho's heavy economic dependence on South Africa and its vulnerability to food insecurity and political instability.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides a comprehensive development forecast for Liberia up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' scenario (continuing current policies) against various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, infrastructure, and carbon emissions, highlighting that while GDP is expected to grow, significant challenges remain in food security, rural electricity access, and extreme poverty.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides a detailed development forecast for Namibia up to 2043, utilizing the International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform. It outlines a 'Current Path' based on existing policies and evaluates several sectoral scenarios—including stability, health, agriculture, and education—to determine their potential impact on GDP per capita and extreme poverty. The report concludes with a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario, which aggregates these interventions to project a significantly higher economic trajectory and a substantial reduction in poverty.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides development forecasts for Eritrea up to 2043. It compares a 'Current Path' scenario—based on existing policies and conditions—against various sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis focuses on demographics, economic growth, poverty reduction, and carbon emissions, highlighting the potential for significant GDP growth and poverty alleviation if comprehensive policy reforms are implemented across sectors such as trade, infrastructure, and governance.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a development forecast for Angola up to 2043. It compares a 'Current Path' scenario, based on existing policies and trends, against various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis focuses on demographics, economics, poverty, health, and carbon emissions, highlighting Angola's vulnerability to oil market volatility and the challenges of rapid population growth.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides a development forecast for the Republic of the Congo up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' (CP) trajectory based on existing policies with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis focuses on demographics, economics, poverty, health, and energy, highlighting the country's heavy reliance on oil and its high levels of urbanization.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides a detailed development forecast for Togo up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, energy transitions, and the potential impacts of targeted interventions in agriculture, education, and governance.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides development forecasts for Mauritius up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' baseline with various sectoral improvement scenarios. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, and carbon emissions, highlighting Mauritius's position as a high-income, stable island nation facing challenges such as an aging population, skilled labor shortages, and climate vulnerability.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
The document argues that reforming the UN Security Council is essential for the overall functionality and legitimacy of the United Nations. It highlights the failure of the current veto-wielding permanent members to prevent conflicts and advocates for a transition toward a Council based on electoral mechanisms and current global power and population dynamics to ensure its decisions carry greater force and legitimacy.
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Document type: Research paper
ISS African Futures
This research paper by Jakkie Cilliers for the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Africa's demographic transition, focusing on the 'demographic window of opportunity' defined by a worker-to-dependant ratio of 1.7:1. It details the varying timelines for different African regions to reach this threshold and the systemic requirements needed to convert population growth into economic dividends.
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Document type: Research paper
ISS African Futures
This report provides development forecasts for Sierra Leone up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory based on existing policies with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, energy transition, and the potential impacts of targeted interventions in agriculture, education, and governance.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report forecasts the development of Guinea-Bissau through 2043. While the 'Current Path' predicts economic growth and urbanization, it also projects persistent poverty. Various sectoral scenarios suggest that improvements in agriculture, trade, and stability could significantly boost GDP per capita and reduce extreme poverty, culminating in a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario where GDP reaches US$16.4 billion and poverty drops to 14.9%.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides development forecasts for the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) up to 2043. It compares a 'Current Path' trajectory—based on existing policies—against various sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario, analyzing impacts on GDP, poverty, demographics, and carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This document is the acknowledgment and introductory front matter for a special report titled "Development pathways for the DRC to 2050," authored by Dr Kouassi Yeboua and published by the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) as part of the African Futures & Innovation (AFI) program.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a development forecast for Eswatini up to 2043. It outlines a 'Current Path' (CP) based on existing policies and evaluates 11 sectoral intervention scenarios, culminating in a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis focuses on demographics, economic growth, poverty reduction, health, and energy transition, highlighting Eswatini's high per capita income relative to its peers despite endemic poverty and a high HIV/AIDS burden.
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This summary is written by a language model reading the source document. It is not the publisher's words and is not a substitute for the original.
Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides a development forecast for São Tomé and Príncipe up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, and energy transitions for the island nation.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides development forecasts for the Central African Republic (CAR) up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' (CP) baseline with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The report highlights CAR's status as one of the world's least developed countries, characterized by extreme poverty, low life expectancy, and high levels of violent conflict. While the CP predicts modest economic growth, the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario suggests that intersectoral policy pushes could significantly increase GDP per capita and drastically reduce extreme poverty.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the infrastructure investment gap in Africa, detailing the financial shortfalls, the role of continental frameworks like PIDA, and the challenges of mobilising both domestic and private capital to support sustainable growth.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report conclusion by the Institute for Security Studies evaluates the development trajectory of Algeria, identifying systemic barriers to prosperity and proposing a multi-sectoral policy framework to leverage the country's natural resources and human capital for sustainable growth.
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Document type: Report