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264 documents from Energy Innovation
A TALE OF TWO COUNTRIES: RENEWABLE ENERGY IN GERMANY
The document examines Germany's 'Energiewende', a policy aimed at reducing CO2 emissions by 80 percent by 2050 and phasing out nuclear power. It highlights that while feed-in tariffs (FiT) increased residential electricity prices, they successfully reduced the cost of solar PV by more than 80 percent and wind by about half, benefiting global energy markets. The author notes that renewable growth has more than offset the reduction in nuclear power, though the transition requires new 'flexibility markets' to manage intermittency and new business models for utilities facing declining profits from conventional generation.
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Document type: Research paper
The Extremes Become the Norm
The report argues that climate change shifts the probability curve of temperature and precipitation, making once-rare extreme events common. It highlights that while a 4°C rise in average temperature may seem small, it significantly increases the likelihood of deadly heat waves and catastrophic floods. The document cites specific examples from the United States, Russia, and Australia to illustrate the economic and social risks, attributing 90% of global warming to human activity and urging immediate emissions reductions and adaptation measures.
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Document type: Report
Low-Emissivity Windows
The document analyzes how U.S. government intervention—through R&D funding, the creation of simulation tools, the establishment of performance ratings, and consumer labeling programs—catalyzed the commercialization and widespread adoption of low-emissivity windows. It highlights the transition from early government-funded research at Lawrence Berkeley National Lab and seed funding for startups to a market where low-e windows now hold an 80% share of the residential market.
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Document type: Case study
Unleashing Private-Sector Energy R&D
The report analyzes R&D management through interviews with 17 leaders from innovative companies. It finds that while centralized R&D structures promote long-term breakthroughs, a lack of STEM talent and inconsistent tax policies hinder U.S. innovation. It highlights the effectiveness of direct government grants and technology-neutral regulations in stimulating private research, while noting that restrictive immigration and IP licensing disputes with universities drive R&D overseas.
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Document type: Report
GETTING CITIES RIGHT IN CHINA
The document identifies China's urbanization as a critical factor for global climate change, noting that by 2030, China will have approximately 1 billion urban residents. It argues that the current development pattern of 'single use superblocks served by auto-centric transportation' is unsustainable and leads to congestion and pollution. To counter this, the authors propose six 'ingredients for success': permeable urban form (smaller, mixed-use blocks), transit-centered transportation (prioritizing walking, biking, and Bus Rapid Transit), effective and enforced building codes, municipal finance reform to move away from land-leasing incentives, new sustainability performance metrics for mayors, and a strengthened planning process with increased technical capacity.
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Document type: Research paper
Two kinds of demand-response
The briefing distinguishes between two types of demand-response: 'capacity' and 'balancing'. Demand-response as capacity reduces the need for new power plants by moderating peak demand events, while demand-response as balancing uses automated technology to adjust electricity use in real-time to complement variable renewable energy output.
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Document type: Briefing
Renewable Energy Policy Experience Lessons for Japan
The document identifies five key realms for renewable energy policy: direct purchase mandates, improving the business case through financial incentives, removing non-price barriers, supporting research and development, and addressing grid intermittency. It recommends that Japan maintain its generous feed-in tariffs, expand demand response, and unbundle transmission from generation to increase competition. The report provides detailed international case studies from the US, Germany, and other nations to illustrate effective mechanisms such as Green Banks, loan guarantees, and carbon taxes.
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Document type: Report
CLEAN AIR AND SUSTAINABLE CITIES IN CHINA
The briefing addresses the urgency of improving air quality in China following severe pollution events in Beijing. It argues that while fuel quality standards are a necessary first step, long-term success requires avoiding car-reliant urban development. The author advocates for 'transit-oriented development' characterized by walkable, mixed-use neighborhoods and high-quality public transit, specifically Bus Rapid Transit (BRT), to reduce transportation-related emissions. Additionally, the document highlights the role of energy-efficient building standards in reducing power plant pollution and the benefit of compact cities in preserving natural ecosystems.
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Document type: Briefing
Wild weather: the new normal?
The document discusses how shifting rainfall patterns and rising carbon dioxide levels are increasing the frequency of extreme weather events, such as droughts and floods, leading to significant economic losses and threats to global food security. It attributes 90 percent of global warming to human activity and advocates for the deployment of emissions-reduction technologies and climate adaptation measures to minimize future risks.
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Document type: Fact sheet
AN ADAPTIVE APPROACH TO PROMOTE SYSTEM OPTIMIZATION
The paper outlines an adaptive approach to electricity policy for a hypothetical jurisdiction, focusing on modernizing rate design and market structures to integrate distributed energy resources (DERs). It argues that traditional cost-of-service models are outdated due to technological advances in home automation and on-site generation. The author proposes four key principles for retail rates—cost causation, transparency, adaptability, and customer sophistication—and four principles for market structure—level playing fields, grid stability, innovation, and transparency. The framework is designed to be applicable to both vertically integrated utilities and market-based systems, emphasizing the use of Integrated Resource Plans (IRPs) and Integrated Distribution Plans (IDPs) to ensure long-term system optimization.
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Document type: Research paper
Improving reliability and environmental justice en route to 85 percent clean electricity in California by 2030
A technical analysis indicates California can reach 85 percent carbon-free electricity by 2030 even under extreme stressors, such as the August 2020 heat waves and the retirement of one-third of natural gas capacity. To support this, the brief recommends diversifying clean energy resources (including offshore wind and geothermal), phasing out natural gas plants—particularly in disadvantaged communities—and leveraging demand-side resources like energy efficiency and demand response. It also suggests improving regional coordination across Western states and refining reliability evaluation tools used by the CPUC, CEC, and CAISO.
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Document type: Policy brief
ENERGY LEADERSHIP IN A TIME OF NEED: A BLUEPRINT FOR STATES
The document argues that the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) will negatively impact the U.S. economy by increasing energy bills and reducing GDP. To counter this, it urges state governments to accelerate the procurement and permitting of wind and solar projects to ensure they qualify for federal investment tax credits (ITC) and production tax credits (PTC) before the December 31, 2027 deadline, specifically noting a 'safe harbor' eligibility for projects beginning construction by July 4, 2026.
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Document type: Guide
Advanced Clean Cars II: Electric vehicles can pave the way for clean air and a growing U.S. economy
The document argues that the adoption of California's Advanced Clean Cars II (ACC II) rule by all 16 '177 States' would significantly increase electric vehicle (EV) market share, reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and provide substantial public health and economic benefits. Modeling suggests that while federal Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) tax credits provide a temporary boost to EV sales, the ACC II mandate is necessary to sustain growth, potentially leading to 81 percent EV market share by 2050. The report highlights cumulative reductions of 1,310 million metric tons of CO2e, the prevention of 5,000 premature deaths, and the creation of 300,000 new domestic jobs by 2050.
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Document type: Fact sheet
NEW UTILITY BUSINESS MODELS: Utility and Regulatory Models for the Modern Era
The document examines the transition of the U.S. electric power sector toward a high-renewable energy future, specifically referencing NREL's goal of 80 percent renewable generation by 2050. It identifies pressures such as aging infrastructure, environmental regulations, and flat load growth that necessitate a new 'social compact' between utilities and regulators. The authors propose a spectrum of utility roles—ranging from a minimal 'wires company' to a maximum 'energy services utility'—and suggest shifting from traditional cost-of-service regulation to performance-based models like the UK's RIIO, the Iowa settlement model, or a comprehensive 'Grand Bargain' to incentivize efficiency and decarbonization.
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Document type: Report
Evaluating Policies for California to Reach 55 Percent Reductions by 2030 using the Energy Policy Simulator
The California Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) indicates that a 55 percent reduction in emissions by 2030 is achievable without new technologies and would generate significant economic and social benefits. The scenario projects a $55.4 billion increase in state GDP, the creation of 235,000 total jobs, and the avoidance of 1,829 premature deaths by 2030. Achieving this target requires accelerating the deployment of electrification, hydrogen, and carbon capture in industry, as well as reaching 90% clean energy for grid-scale generation by 2030.
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Document type: Briefing
California Energy Policy Simulator: Earlier Action Delivers Climate, Economic, Health Benefits
Energy Innovation uses the California Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) to propose a 'Deeper Decarbonization Scenario' for California. This pathway prioritizes mature technologies—such as electric vehicles, renewable energy, and electric appliances—to achieve emissions reductions of 47 percent below 1990 levels by 2030, compared to the state's current Draft Scoping Plan which relies on uncertain carbon dioxide removal. The proposed scenario includes a 100 percent zero-emission vehicle sales standard for cars and light-duty trucks by 2030, 100 percent electrification of new appliances by 2030, and a carbon neutral electricity system by 2035. These actions are estimated to add $28 billion to the state's economy and create nearly 170,000 new jobs by 2030, while preventing over 1,300 deaths and 26,600 asthma attacks annually by 2030.
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Document type: Policy brief
Closing the Emissions Gap Between the IRA and 2030 U.S. NDC
The United States aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to 50 to 52 percent below 2005 levels by 2030, but the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is projected to achieve only a 40 percent reduction. To close this gap, the document recommends stronger federal and state standards for electricity, industry, transportation, and buildings. Modeling indicates that achieving the NDC would significantly increase public health and economic benefits compared to the IRA alone, avoiding 6,800 premature deaths and adding $690 billion per year to GDP.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Coal Cost Crossover 3.0
A fact sheet analyzing 210 U.S. coal plants, finding that 99% are more expensive to operate than replacing them with new wind or solar. It highlights the potential for $589 billion in investment in energy communities and the feasibility of integrating battery storage to maintain grid reliability.
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Document type: Fact sheet
COAL POWER 28 PERCENT MORE EXPENSIVE IN 2024 THAN IN 2021
Analysis shows that the weighted average cost of coal power in the U.S. rose from $36/MWh in 2021 to $46/MWh in 2024, a 28 percent increase that outpaced inflation. This rise is attributed to higher fuel, operations, and maintenance costs, as well as declining capacity factors. Despite these economics, some U.S. federal policies and state regulators have extended the lives of expensive plants, such as Plant Bowen in Georgia and the Hunter and Huntington plants in Utah, potentially increasing the financial burden on electricity consumers.
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Document type: Report
Natural gas: not clean enough
Energy Innovation research indicates that natural gas-fired power plants offer only modest climate benefits over a 100-year timeframe and can potentially contribute to climate change if methane leaks are high or if they displace renewable energy. While using existing gas capacity to replace aging coal plants is recommended, the brief argues against investing in new large baseload gas plants. It highlights that methane is significantly more potent than carbon dioxide, with leakage rates in the United States estimated between two and four percent, which diminishes the emissions advantage of gas over coal.
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Document type: Policy brief