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1,330 documents from Climate Policy Initiative
Approaches to assess the additionality of climate investments
The report introduces a framework for measuring 'additionality' in climate finance, focusing on whether public investments catalyze activity that would not have occurred under a business-as-usual scenario. It details a qualitative multi-criteria assessment (MCA) for individual projects and a quantitative 'additionality modifier' based on the IESE VCPE Index for portfolio-level analysis. The findings suggest that private equity is a viable instrument for additionality as it often targets high-risk markets where commercial investment is otherwise lacking.
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Document type: Report
Getting to India’s Renewable Energy Targets: A Business Case for Institutional Investment
India requires approximately USD 450 billion in additional capital by 2040 to reach a renewable energy capacity of 480 GW. The report argues that the sector has matured from a high-risk, high-growth stage to a low-medium risk profile with predictable yields, making it highly attractive for institutional investors such as pension funds and insurance companies. While India offers higher excess returns (3.5%) than the US (2.4%) and China (1%), significant barriers persist, most notably off-taker risk from DISCOMs, currency devaluation, and a lack of liquid financial securities. The authors propose solutions including transparent payment security mechanisms, FX hedging facilities, and the securitization of loan portfolios to attract large-scale institutional capital.
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Document type: Report
Scaling Rooftop Solar Power in India: Potential for Solar Municipal Bonds
This research paper proposes a 'solar municipal bond model' (SMB) to help India reach its 40 GW rooftop solar target by 2022. The model suggests using municipal entities as finance aggregators to provide project developers with access to debt capital markets, potentially reducing rooftop solar costs by up to 12%.
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Document type: Research paper
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS FOR RURAL CREDIT
The document examines the Brazilian rural credit system, highlighting a mismatch between the location of financial institutions and agricultural potential. It argues that the complex network of banks and cooperatives, combined with diverse and fluctuating funding sources, creates artificial uncertainties for farmers, potentially leading to poor investment decisions. The brief recommends simplifying the structure of rural credit to improve policy effectiveness and resource allocation.
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Document type: Policy brief
CANAIS DE DISTRIBUIÇÃO DO CRÉDITO RURAL
The document analyzes the Brazilian rural credit system, highlighting that the availability of financing is often determined by the distribution of banks and cooperatives rather than local agricultural potential. It identifies significant geographic concentration in the South and Southeast regions and a complex web of funding sources and programs that lead to inconsistent credit conditions for producers.
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Document type: Policy brief
NOTA TÉCNICA O NOVO CÓDIGO “FRANKENSTAL”
The briefing analyzes the legal instability resulting from the Brazilian Supreme Court's (STF) decisions regarding the 2012 Forest Code. It highlights contradictions in the court's treatment of the July 22, 2008, cutoff date, the Environmental Reserve Quote (CRA), and the amnesty for past environmental infractions, warning that these inconsistencies create a 'Frankenstal' code that threatens environmental outcomes.
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Document type: Briefing
Scaling up Rooftop Solar Power in India: The Potential of Solar Municipal Bonds
The report argues that India's 40 GW rooftop solar target by 2022 requires an estimated USD 39 billion in investment, but growth is hindered by high upfront costs and limited access to debt capital. It proposes a Solar Municipal Bond (SMB) model where municipal entities act as finance aggregators, issuing bonds to provide low-cost, long-term debt to private developers via capital lease arrangements. This model could reduce the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for rooftop solar by up to 12%. Case studies in Surat and New Delhi suggest that while the model is promising, significant barriers exist, including a lack of statutory mandates for municipalities to promote power generation and the need for high credit ratings to attract institutional investors.
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Document type: Report
THE CAUSES AND CONSEQUENCES OF AGRICULTURAL EXPANSION IN MATOPIBA
The paper finds that agricultural expansion in the Matopiba region, driven by soy cultivation, significantly increased GDP per capita and improved access to durable goods and electricity in municipalities within the Cerrado biome. While agricultural and services GDP grew, there were no significant effects on manufacturing GDP, local population, or educational outcomes.
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Document type: Research paper
Blended Finance in Clean Energy: Experiences and Opportunities
The report identifies Sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and East Asia as high-impact regions for clean energy investment, with a subset of eight countries offering over USD 360bn in potential by 2030. It argues that while clean energy costs are falling, private investment is hindered by off-taker, currency, and policy risks. The authors recommend shifting blended finance from covering viability gaps to providing risk-mitigation instruments like guarantees and local currency hedging, and creating liquid, tradable assets through securitization to attract institutional investors.
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Document type: Research paper
Blended Finance in Clean Energy: Experiences and Opportunities Annexes
The document outlines a methodology for identifying high-impact clean energy markets in developing economies based on private sector attractiveness, energy access, and climate relevance. It identifies Tier 1 countries—including India, South Africa, Kenya, and Rwanda—and analyzes their specific investment barriers, such as off-taker risk in India and currency volatility in South Africa. Additionally, it provides case studies on blended finance structures, ranging from project-level interventions like the Lake Turkana Wind Farm to fund-of-funds like GEEREF, illustrating how concessional capital and guarantees are used to leverage private investment.
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Document type: Report
Battery Subscription Facility
The Battery Subscription Facility is a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) designed to lower the high upfront costs of electric buses in India by purchasing and owning the batteries and providing them to operators on a subscription basis. By separating the battery cost from the vehicle purchase, the Facility aims to reduce upfront costs for bus owners by 40-50% and ensure that total operating costs remain lower than those of diesel or CNG alternatives. For a pilot of 30 buses in New Delhi, the total cost of ownership is projected to be 13% cheaper than CNG buses. At an intermediate scale of 1,000 buses, the Facility expects to avoid 250,000 tons of carbon emissions over 10 years and reduce the total cost of ownership to 16% cheaper than diesel buses. The model relies on a tripartite agreement between the bus operator, the Facility, and a local finance institution to secure long-term debt capital.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Socio-Climate Benefits Fund
The Socio-Climate Benefits Fund (SCBF) is designed to combat small-scale deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon by providing long-term investment and technical training to smallholders for the implementation of agroforestry systems. The instrument operates through an investment vehicle that establishes a company to manage Rural Partnership Agreements, providing upfront capital and inputs in exchange for a share of the harvest. The fund aims to increase smallholder income by at least 58% for 1-hectare implementations and 234% for 4-hectare expansions, while storing ten times more carbon than current degraded pasture vegetation over 20 years. The financial structure requires a total of $13.1 million, comprising a $1.5 million grant, $5 million in commercial equity, and $6.6 million in concessional debt across first-loss and senior tranches.
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Document type: Fact sheet
ENERGIZING FINANCE: UNDERSTANDING THE LANDSCAPE 2018
The report finds that while electricity access finance in 20 high-impact countries increased by 56% to USD 30.2 billion per year in 2015-16, it remains far below the estimated USD 52 billion needed annually. Investment is heavily skewed toward non-residential consumers and grid-connected technologies, including a significant increase in coal-fired power. Sub-Saharan Africa is falling further behind, receiving only 17% of total electricity finance. Clean cooking finance is described as 'abysmally low', dropping 5% to USD 30 million in 2015-16, representing a tiny fraction of the USD 4.4 billion annual need. The report highlights India as a 'bright spot' due to strong domestic private investment in renewables and Indonesia for its use of government subsidies to accelerate LPG adoption.
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Document type: Executive summary
Responsible Commodities Facility
The Responsible Commodities Facility (RCF) aims to redirect agricultural production in the Brazilian Cerrado to degraded lands to prevent further deforestation. It will provide low-cost crop financing and land restoration loans to 600 farms, targeting a cumulative lending amount of over US$ 3 billion over 10 years. The facility intends to generate over US$ 20 billion worth of deforestation-free soy and corn, utilizing green bonds for funding and a blockchain registry for traceability. The project expects to restore 1.2 million hectares of degraded land, potentially avoiding or sequestering up to 55 million tonnes of carbon emissions.
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Document type: Fact sheet
THE RESIDENTIAL ROOFTOP SOLAR ACCELERATOR
The Residential Rooftop Solar Accelerator is a lease model targeting the Indian residential market to overcome high upfront costs and performance risks. By using data-driven customer acquisition, standardized product offerings, and a mobile app for sales management, the instrument aims to scale rooftop solar deployment. A pilot in Kota, Rajasthan, targets 250 projects of 5 KW each by 2019, with a broader goal of installing projects for 20,000 households by 2022 to mobilize US$ 75 million and abate 130,000 tons of carbon emissions.
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Document type: Fact sheet
INSIGHTS RECENT HYDROPOWER PLANTS IN BRAZIL LEAD TO VARYING LOCAL ECONOMIC EFFECTS
The study finds that while hydropower plant construction typically provides a short-term boost to formal employment and municipal revenue, these effects generally dissipate within five to six years and rarely lead to structural economic transformation. However, significant variation exists between municipalities, with some experiencing sustained growth and others seeing declines, suggesting that the economic benefits of dam construction are not uniform and require case-by-case analysis.
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Document type: Policy brief
NOTA TÉCNICA COMENTÁRIOS AO VOTO DO MINISTRO LUIZ FUX ADIs EM FACE DA LEI Nº 12.651/2012 (NOVO CÓDIGO FLORESTAL)
The document analyzes the vote of Minister Luiz Fux on several Direct Actions of Unconstitutionality (ADIs) concerning the Brazilian Forest Code. It highlights significant legal contradictions in the Minister's approach to the July 22, 2008, cutoff date for consolidated areas and warns that declaring the entire Environmental Regularization Program (PRA) unconstitutional could undermine the Forest Code's implementation. While the Minister upheld mechanisms like the Environmental Reserve Quote (CRA) and the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR), the briefing argues that his rulings on vegetation recovery and penal amnesty create legal insecurity for landowners.
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Document type: Briefing
USINAS HIDRELÉTRICAS NO BRASIL GERAM EFEITOS ECONÔMICOS LOCAIS DIVERSOS
The study finds that the economic benefits of constructing hydroelectric power plants (UHEs) in Brazil are generally modest, short-term, and do not fundamentally transform local economies. While formal employment and municipal revenues typically increase during the first few years of construction, these effects often dissipate after five or six years. However, significant variation exists between municipalities, with some maintaining gains and others experiencing losses, suggesting that impacts must be evaluated on a case-by-case basis.
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Document type: Executive summary
FOREST AND LAND USE POLICIES ON PRIVATE LANDS: AN INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON ARGENTINA, BRAZIL, CANADA, CHINA, FRANCE, GERMANY, AND THE UNITED STATES
The document evaluates how Brazil's Forest Code (Law No. 12.651/2012) compares to the land-use and forest protection laws of six other top agricultural exporters. It focuses on two main areas: riparian buffer zones and biodiversity conservation. The analysis finds that Brazil maintains some of the most stringent rules for private lands, particularly regarding mandatory no-harvest riparian zones and the requirement for all private properties to set aside land for biodiversity (Legal Forest Reserves) without compensation. While other countries use a mix of voluntary easements, financial incentives, and targeted zoning, Brazil's approach is more universally mandatory across private rural properties, though the report notes that the effectiveness of these rules depends on full implementation and enforcement.
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Document type: Executive summary
FOREST AND LAND USE POLICIES ON PRIVATE LANDS: AN INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON ARGENTINA, BRAZIL, CANADA, CHINA, FRANCE, GERMANY, AND THE UNITED STATES
The report compares forest and land use policies in Argentina, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, and the United States. It finds that Brazil's Forest Code (Law No. 12.651/2012) maintains more stringent requirements for private landowners than the other reviewed nations, particularly regarding mandatory riparian buffer zones and the requirement to set aside land for biodiversity protection without compensation. While other countries utilize voluntary incentives, easements, or specific species-at-risk policies, Brazil's framework imposes broad, mandatory obligations across all rural properties.
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Document type: Report