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¿Hacia una Política Comercial Multipropósito?
The author argues that a paradigm shift is occurring in international trade, moving away from the 'establishment' view of globalization as a tool for economic efficiency toward a 'multi-purpose trade policy.' This new approach integrates objectives like sustainability, resilience, and security directly into trade goals. However, this shift creates significant national challenges—including the difficulty of balancing incommensurable goals and overcoming institutional silos—and international tensions, as states increasingly prioritize unilateral action over World Trade Organization (WTO) norms. While developed nations like the US and EU lead this trend, developing nations remain skeptical of certain goals, such as labor standards, while viewing others, like food security, as long-standing priorities.
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Document type: Research paper
El Papel de las Sanciones Tecnológicas en la Paralización de la Maquinaria Bélica de Rusia
The research paper analyzes technological sanctions against Russia, highlighting the shift from vague 2014 restrictions to the extensive 2022 controls, including the 'Foreign Direct Product Rule'. It argues that while these sanctions disrupt both military capabilities and civilian industries like automotive and aviation, they are not yet sufficient to stop the Russian war machine in the short term. The author evaluates Russia's attempts to mitigate these effects through technological sovereignty, pivoting to Chinese suppliers, and parallel imports, concluding that these strategies are largely insufficient due to deep-seated dependencies on Western technology.
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Document type: Research paper
Opportunity NOCs
The report highlights the critical role of national oil companies (NOCs) in the global energy transition, noting they produce half of the world's oil and gas and control two-thirds of reserves. It argues that investors are significantly exposed to NOC risks—through direct ownership, bonds, and banking relationships—and should use this leverage to demand climate disclosures, apply ESG frameworks, and stop financing new oil and gas expansion.
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Document type: Report
Fossil Fuel Subsidy Reform BY THE NUMBERS
The document outlines the impact of fossil fuel subsidy reform (FFSR) across 32 countries, projecting a potential reduction of 5.46 billion tonnes of CO2 emissions and government savings of nearly USD 3 trillion by 2030. It highlights that the seven countries with the highest potential for absolute reductions could each cut close to or more than 400 million tonnes of GHG emissions. The analysis suggests that combining FFSR with a 10% fossil energy tax and investing the resulting revenues into energy efficiency and renewable energy could reduce global CO2e emissions by 10.42 billion tonnes by 2030.
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Document type: Fact sheet
走向绿色的中国渔业及水产品供应链
The report analyzes the environmental, economic, and social sustainability of China's role as a global leader in seafood production and processing. It identifies critical challenges including illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) fishing, resource depletion of high-value species, and the environmental impact of intensive aquaculture. Through case studies of tilapia, cod, and live reef food fish, the document highlights the need for improved traceability systems, alignment with international certification standards (such as MSC and BAP), and a transition toward low-carbon, eco-friendly production to maintain market access in the EU and US.
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Document type: Report
Inching Forward at the Climate Talks in Buenos Aires
The Fourth Conference of the Parties (COP-4) in Buenos Aires resulted in the 'Buenos Aires Plan of Action,' a work program with deadlines to resolve six key issues necessary for the Kyoto Protocol's implementation. While the talks were characterized by deadlock and high-level closed-door negotiations, significant developments included a breakthrough in Global Environment Facility (GEF) funding for developing countries and Argentina's decision to voluntarily commit to greenhouse gas emission reductions. However, deep divisions remained regarding the capping of Kyoto mechanisms and the formalization of technology transfer.
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Document type: Research paper
Minerals & Conflict
The document examines how valuable minerals can finance violence, trigger local conflicts, and weaken state governance through corruption. It provides lessons learned for development interventions, such as empowering local communities, supporting artisanal and small-scale mining (ASM), and promoting corporate responsibility. The toolkit includes a survey instrument for risk assessment and lists USAID contracting mechanisms and international partners to address mineral-related conflict.
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Document type: Guide
Die Grünen als Feindbilder während der Gaspreiskrise 2022
The report analyzes how disinformation actors, including right-wing influencers and AfD politicians, targeted the Green Party during the 2022 gas crisis. Using a dataset of over 1.2 million Twitter posts, the study finds that the Greens were mentioned more than twice as often as any other party, frequently as targets of narratives that blamed them for energy shortages while ignoring Russia's role in the crisis. Key narrative clusters identified include claims that the stop of Nord Stream 2 was an ideological act, that the gas levy was a 'war declaration' against the people, and that Minister Robert Habeck was implementing a 'planned economy' to force a climate agenda.
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Document type: Report
CONSPIRACY THEORIES: A GUIDE FOR MEMBERS OF PARLIAMENT AND CANDIDATES
The document provides a comprehensive overview of conspiracy theories, defining them as explanations citing a secret group of powerful persons acting against the common good. It highlights the systemic link between many modern conspiracies and historical antisemitism, using case studies such as the 'Great Reset', 'QAnon', and 'The Great Replacement' to illustrate how these narratives erode trust in democratic institutions. The guide specifically addresses the risks posed by the spread of misinformation regarding Covid-19, 5G, and climate-related urban planning (15-minute cities), and offers practical recommendations for public officials to verify information and recognize conspiratorial structures.
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Document type: Guide
Czechia: Country Election Risk Assessment
The report identifies a complex threat landscape for the 2025 Czech elections, where foreign actors—primarily Russia and China—exploit domestic polarization and economic grievances. Key risks include the use of AI-generated deepfakes, the proliferation of pro-Kremlin Telegram networks, and narratives targeting the legitimacy of the new postal voting system. While Czechia's decentralized electoral infrastructure is considered resilient, the report highlights critical gaps in regulatory strength, specifically the delayed implementation of the EU Digital Services Act (DSA) and inadequate oversight of third-party campaign financing.
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Document type: Report
Identifying Sock-Puppets on Wikipedia
The research tested a semantic clustering technique to identify coordinated manipulation on Wikipedia, focusing on the Russo-Ukrainian war and 48 related pages. While the method did not consistently distinguish between legitimate and illegitimate editors globally, it successfully identified several dense clusters of sock-puppet accounts and coordinated IP-based editing. The study concludes that semantic clustering is a useful tool for grouping accounts with highly similar editing patterns, which can then be targeted for human-led investigation.
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Document type: Research paper
Information Warfare and Wikipedia
The report analyzes how Wikipedia is targeted by information warfare, including undisclosed paid editing, state-sponsored infiltration, and the use of biased sources. Through a case study of the English-language page on the Russo-Ukrainian war, researchers identified patterns where blocked editors used state-affiliated domains and split their edit histories across multiple accounts to evade detection. The document also highlights the risk of 'community capture' in non-English Wikipedias and the psychological toll on volunteer editors fighting these campaigns.
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Document type: Report
Weapons Transfers to Libya: the French and Qatar Connections
The document examines the breach of arms control systems during the Libyan conflict, specifically focusing on France and Qatar's admission of supplying arms to rebels. It highlights the failure of end-user monitoring and the potential violation of contractual obligations, noting that Qatar may have re-exported arms sourced from the US and other nations, including Swiss ammunition. The author notes the inconsistent international response and the silence of South Africa regarding these transfers despite its own claims of being a responsible arms exporter.
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Document type: Research paper
United Nations Convenes Crucial Nuclear Weapons Meeting
The briefing discusses the NPT Preparatory Committee meeting held from 4 to 15 May 2009 in New York, which serves as the final session before the 2010 Review Conference. It details the NPT's three pillars—non-proliferation, disarmament, and peaceful use of nuclear energy—and emphasizes Africa's commitment to these goals through the Treaty of Pelindaba. The document highlights the leadership of Zimbabwe's Ambassador Boniface Chidyausiku as chair of the 2009 meeting and urges African states to support the total elimination of nuclear arsenals and the entry into force of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty.
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Document type: Briefing
Boundaries of Peace Operations: The African Dimension
The document examines the gap between traditional UN peacekeeping and the more robust 'peace enforcement' operations conducted by African coalitions. It argues that while NATO and Russia have developed doctrines for complex environments, African peace operations lack a realistic, practice-informed intervention doctrine, often remaining constrained by Western preferences for 'UN-type' training and a legacy of conflicting Cold War military doctrines.
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Document type: Report
Africa Should Not Allow the Ban on Cluster Munitions to be Undermined
The document warns that a proposed Protocol to the Convention on Conventional Weapons (CCW) would allow some countries to continue trading, stockpiling, and using cluster munitions, thereby weakening the international legal standard established by the 2008 Convention on Cluster Munitions (CCM). It highlights that Africa is disproportionately affected by these weapons, with nearly a third of affected countries and territories located on the continent. The author urges African states to maintain their commitment to a total ban to avoid setting a dangerous legal precedent where a lower standard of international law is adopted after a higher one has already been agreed upon.
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Document type: Statement
Hybride Fears of A Hybride State
The document presents a statistical overview of Russia's demographics, economy, and military capabilities, alongside a strategic analysis of its 'Positive' achievements—such as energy sector consolidation and the halting of military decay—and 'Negative' challenges, including corruption and the expansion of NATO and the EU into Ukraine.
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Document type: Briefing
Private security and international law
The report analyzes the intersection of private security services and international law, specifically focusing on the definition of mercenaries under Protocol I of the Geneva Conventions and the legal obligations of states where such companies are based. It explores the legitimacy of providing military support to governments versus dissident parties, the risks of privatizing security for corporations in weak states, and the ethical and legal dilemmas humanitarian organisations face when considering armed escorts. The text concludes that the rise of 'new mercenaries' requires a coordinated UN response to prevent the erosion of national sovereignty and ensure adherence to humanitarian principles.
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Document type: Report
FUELLING FAILURE
The report 'Fuelling Failure' argues that fossil fuel dependence makes it impossible to achieve the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by driving climate change and causing widespread pollution. It details specific negative impacts across all 17 SDGs, including pushing 122 million more people into extreme poverty by 2030 and causing 8.7 million premature deaths annually from air pollution between 2012 and 2018. The authors propose a Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty to end new exploration, equitably phase down existing production, and accelerate a fair transition through financial and technological assistance, particularly from wealthy nations.
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Document type: Executive summary
LEGAL AND INSTITUTIONAL ASPECTS OF RECOGNIZING AND SUPPORTING CONSERVATION BY INDIGENOUS PEOPLES AND LOCAL COMMUNITIES
The report examines the interaction between ICCAs and international and national laws, finding that while international instruments and some national policies show progress, systemic gaps and discriminatory implementation continue to threaten these areas. It highlights the critical need for the recognition of customary land rights, self-determination, and integrated socio-ecological legislation to support community-led conservation.
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Document type: Report