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TomorrowNow— Manitoba’s Green Plan: Toward a New Provincial Climate Change and Green Economy Plan Consultations Background Paper
The document serves as a guide for public and stakeholder consultations to update Manitoba's climate strategy. It reviews the province's failure to meet its 2012 GHG reduction targets, analyzes sectoral emission drivers—notably the high relative contribution of agriculture—and proposes principles for a new plan that integrates mitigation with a stronger focus on adaptation. It also highlights opportunities for a green economy based on Manitoba's clean energy resources and bioproducts potential.
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Document type: Briefing
TomorrowNow— Manitoba’s Green Plan: Toward a New Provincial Climate Change and Green Economy Plan Consultations Background Paper
The document outlines Manitoba's current emissions profile, its history of climate action, and the need for a new integrated plan for mitigation and adaptation. It examines policies from other jurisdictions regarding larger emitters and proposes principles for Manitoba's future strategy, including the development of mandatory GHG reporting regulations.
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Document type: Briefing
Integrated Landscape Assessment, Decision-Support Process & Tool Kit
The document outlines a framework for mainstreaming climate change adaptation by combining stakeholder engagement with quantitative spatial modelling. Using the 'Farms to Regions' (F2R) project in Eastern Ontario as a case study, it describes a process of identifying regional drivers, developing qualitative and quantitative scenarios (including a Business-As-Usual baseline), and simulating these futures using the Envision modelling platform. The guide emphasizes the use of integrated decision units (IDUs) to map impacts on farm income and environmental services, providing a toolkit for planners to evaluate trade-offs and develop robust adaptation strategies.
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Document type: Guide
TomorrowNow— Manitoba’s Green Plan: Toward a New Provincial Climate Change and Green Economy Plan Consultations Background Paper
The document outlines the context for Manitoba's transition to a new climate change and green economy plan, highlighting the province's emissions profile and the critical role of peatlands. It identifies transportation and agriculture as the largest emission sources and discusses the potential for peatlands to either sequester carbon or release GHGs depending on management. The paper also reviews climate policies in other jurisdictions and proposes principles for the new provincial strategy, emphasizing the integration of adaptation and mitigation.
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Document type: Briefing
A Climate Gift or a Lump of Coal?
The policy brief analyzes the effectiveness of coal-fired electricity regulations in Canada and the United States. It finds that the U.S. approach, which targets the broader electricity sector and existing plants, will deliver significantly higher national emission reductions by 2020 and 2030 than the Canadian approach, which focuses on new plants and those reaching the end of their useful life. Despite these policies, neither country is projected to meet its Copenhagen Accord target of a 17% reduction in emissions by 2020 relative to 2005 levels.
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Document type: Policy brief
TomorrowNow— Manitoba’s Green Plan: Toward a New Provincial Climate Change and Green Economy Plan Consultations Background Paper
The document outlines the current state of greenhouse gas emissions in Manitoba, highlighting that the transportation and agriculture sectors are the largest contributors. It reviews previous efforts, such as the Beyond Kyoto plan, and examines climate policies in other jurisdictions like Quebec, British Columbia, and Sweden to inform a new provincial strategy. The paper emphasizes the need to integrate adaptation and mitigation, particularly for the vulnerable agriculture and water sectors, and proposes a set of guiding principles for the new plan. It concludes with a questionnaire designed to gather stakeholder input on barriers, opportunities, and capacity-building needs for reducing emissions and enhancing resilience in Manitoba.
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Document type: Briefing
TomorrowNow— Manitoba’s Green Plan: Toward a New Provincial Climate Change and Green Economy Plan Consultations Background Paper
The document outlines Manitoba's current emissions profile, the shortcomings of its previous 'Beyond Kyoto' plan, and the goals for a new integrated approach to climate mitigation and adaptation. It emphasizes the role of the energy and building sectors in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and enhancing resilience to extreme weather. The paper also reviews climate policies in other Canadian jurisdictions and proposes guiding principles for the new provincial strategy, including the development of mandatory GHG reporting for large emitters.
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Document type: Briefing
Regulating Carbon Emissions in Canada
The document reports a significant decline in federal political will to regulate carbon emissions in Canada during 2013, specifically noting the delay of oil and gas regulations. In contrast, provinces took leading roles: Ontario phased out coal-fired electricity, Quebec launched a cap-and-trade system linked to California, and British Columbia maintained its carbon tax. The brief highlights the 'Keystone effect,' where U.S. market access for the Keystone XL pipeline became linked to Canada's GHG performance. It concludes that federal 'equivalency' agreements—intended to align provincial and federal standards—have stalled due to complexity and lack of political will, recommending that Canada embrace a bottom-up approach to subnational policy alignment.
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Document type: Policy brief
Remarks to the Canadian-American Business Council
The document discusses the shift toward regulatory-based climate policies in both Canada and the U.S., emphasizing the need for 'equivalency' in measuring carbon reductions across different provincial and state systems. It analyzes the economic impact of proposed Canadian oil and gas regulations, noting that a 40/40 target (40% reduction with a $40 price ceiling) would cost significantly more than a 20/20 target. Finally, it suggests Canada is unlikely to meet its 17% emissions reduction target for 2020 due to delayed oil and gas regulations and increasing energy sector emissions.
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Document type: Statement
Climate Change Adaptation and Canadian Infrastructure
The report examines how climate hazards—such as permafrost degradation, sea-level rise, and extreme weather—threaten Canadian infrastructure, including transportation, buildings, and water systems. It finds that while significant economic costs are already being incurred and research is extensive, policy and regulatory responses remain nascent and investment decisions are not yet substantially driven by adaptation needs. The document details regional vulnerabilities and explores enabling factors such as updated building codes, insurance incentives, and industry-led sustainability initiatives to strengthen long-term resilience.
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Document type: Report
Government procurement: how the EU is giving away a fundamental industrial policy tool
The author contends that the EU is abandoning government procurement (GP) as a fundamental industrial policy tool in favor of a neo-liberal model based on international competition and non-discrimination. While the EU pushes for openness to third countries and supports WTO rulings that restrict the use of local content requirements, some Member States, such as France and Italy, continue to use GP to incentivize renewable energy and domestic photovoltaic sectors. The text highlights a conflict between the EU's commitment to the Government Procurement Agreement (GPA) and the needs of national governments to foster innovative sectors and create jobs during economic crises.
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Document type: Research paper
Zamówienia publiczne pod ostrzałem
The document examines the tension between the European Union's commitment to neoliberal public procurement rules and the need for strategic industrial policies to foster innovation and green energy. It highlights how the EU's adherence to international trade agreements, such as the GPA and GATT, limits the ability of member states to use local content requirements to stimulate domestic industries. The author contrasts the EU's approach with that of the US, Japan, and emerging economies like Brazil and China, who more aggressively use public procurement to support national industrial goals. A key example provided is the WTO dispute over Ontario's feed-in tariffs, where the Appellate Body's restrictive interpretation of 'public purpose' further limited the use of procurement for public policy goals. Despite this, some EU member states, such as France and Italy, have implemented local production requirements for photovoltaic energy to support their domestic sectors.
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Document type: Research paper
Policy Tools That Support Transition Into a Green Economy
This briefing describes how fiscal policy instruments—such as taxes, subsidies, and market mechanisms—can incentivize sustainable actions and discourage unsustainable practices. It highlights Germany's revenue-neutral motor vehicle tax based on CO2 emissions and discusses the applicability of similar province-specific fiscal mechanisms within the Canadian context, specifically for Manitoba.
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Document type: Briefing
Policy Tools That Support Transition Into a Green Economy
The briefing discusses institutional and policy processes (IPPs) as tools to create conditions for a green economy transition. It highlights Ontario's Green Button program as a method to increase energy-use data access for consumers to improve energy efficiency. In Manitoba, the document notes the use of sustainable development procurement guidelines and idle-free zone awareness. While IPPs are easier to implement than fiscal or regulatory mandates, the text notes they generally have a lower impact and should be balanced with other tools.
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Document type: Briefing
WTO Members, Not the Appellate Body, Need to Clarify Boundaries in Renewable Energy Support
The document critiques a May 6, 2013, WTO Appellate Body ruling regarding a dispute between Japan, the European Union, and Canada (Ontario) over renewable energy measures. The author contends that the ruling failed to provide necessary legal clarification on WTO rules for sustainable energy and may have created a problematic carve-out in the subsidy agreement. Consequently, the text argues that the responsibility for defining the boundaries of appropriate state incentives for renewable energy lies with WTO members rather than the Appellate Body.
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Document type: Research paper
Keynote address at Ontario Climate Consortium’s Inaugural Climate Change Research Symposium (speech notes)
The speech emphasizes that climate change is no longer a specialized environmental issue but a cross-sectoral risk affecting national security, health, and infrastructure. It highlights the need to rethink worst-case scenarios as temperature increases may exceed previous estimates, and argues that Canada requires a national adaptation approach to move beyond piecemeal provincial efforts. The author calls for 'climate proofing' infrastructure and using tax policy lessons from the fossil fuel sector to attract private investment into resilience.
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Document type: Briefing
Ontario Moving in the Right Direction on Climate Policy: IISD input on climate policy design to the Ministry of the Environment
The document argues that Ontario should implement a unified carbon-pricing scheme, specifically a cap-and-trade system, to preempt federal sector-by-sector regulations and ensure cost-effective mitigation. Using economic modelling, the authors suggest that full compliance flexibility—including offsets and potential linking with the Western Climate Initiative (WCI)—could reduce compliance costs to below $15 per tonne by 2020. The brief cautions against overcompensating firms through free permit allocations, particularly in the electricity sector, to avoid windfall profits, and suggests a 25,000 tonne coverage threshold to align with California and Quebec systems.
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Document type: Policy brief
A Costly Diagnosis
The report examines the health and economic impacts of Alberta's heavy reliance on coal-fired electricity, which generated 64 per cent of the province's electricity in 2012. Using the Illness Cost of Air Pollution (ICAP) model and other data, the authors estimate that coal plants contribute to hundreds of premature deaths and thousands of emergency department visits annually. The report identifies a wide range of pollutants, including nitrogen oxides, sulphur dioxide, mercury, and particulate matter, which affect respiratory, cardiovascular, and neurological health. Economically, the report argues that the true societal cost of coal—including health damages and the social cost of carbon—ranges from 3.6 to 13.7 ¢/kWh, far exceeding the market pool price of 6.6 ¢/kWh. The authors conclude that the current system effectively subsidizes coal power at the expense of public health and recommend that Alberta accelerate the retirement of coal units beyond the 50-year limit allowed by federal regulations.
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Document type: Report
Canadian Carbon Policy Year in Review and Emerging Trends, 2012
The document analyzes Canada's 2012 carbon policy transition, marked by the official withdrawal from the Kyoto Protocol and the implementation of federal sector-based regulations for transport and coal-fired electricity. It highlights a growing trend toward 'equivalency agreements' where the federal government defers to provincial policies, potentially leading to a fragmented national landscape. The report also notes provincial initiatives, such as Quebec's cap-and-trade linkage with California and Ontario's coal phase-out, while recommending greater compliance flexibility and a clearer federal policy vision to reduce costs and meet 2020 targets.
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Document type: Report
Big Green Gaps: Our inability to tackle the messy issues at the interface of trade, development and the green economy
The document addresses the tension between the pursuit of a green economy and the existing international trade system. It argues that while Rio+20 provided general guidance, it failed to establish what constitutes 'appropriate state behaviour' regarding green industrial policies, such as subsidies and local content requirements. The author highlights a rise in trade frictions—including disputes between the U.S., China, and the EU over solar and wind technology—and asserts that the WTO's Dispute Settlement Mechanism is ill-suited to resolve these issues because they stem from a lack of international consensus on policy propriety rather than simple rule breaches. The text advocates for the creation of an institutional space, such as through UNCTAD, to evaluate the effectiveness of green tools and their impacts on trading partners, particularly developing nations, to ensure a just transition.
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Document type: Statement