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DEADLY COMBAT OVER NATURAL RESOURCES: GEMS, PETROLEUM, DRUGS, AND THE SEVERITY OF ARMED CIVIL CONFLICT
The research finds that the location of natural resources relative to the conflict zone is critical to determining conflict severity. Gemstone mining and hydrocarbon production within a conflict zone are strongly associated with higher total combat deaths, with secessionist conflicts in hydrocarbon-rich regions being the most severe. Conversely, drug cultivation in the conflict zone and hydrocarbon production located outside the conflict zone are associated with lower combat deaths and reduced conflict intensity. The study concludes that resources influence severity by altering the incentives and organizational structures of both rebel groups and the state.
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Document type: Research paper
Environmental Impacts of the ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement on the Greater Mekong Sub-Region
The report assesses how the ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement (ACFTA) has influenced trade flows and environmental quality in the Greater Mekong Sub-region (GMS). Using a trade-environment matrix, the authors find that while two-thirds of trade is in low-pollution sectors, a third is in highly polluting sectors, with China as the primary producer of these goods. In Cambodia, the agreement has increased imports of polluting goods from China, which the authors describe as an environmental 'gain' for Cambodia at the expense of China's environment. However, the report highlights severe risks of natural resource depletion in Cambodia, specifically deforestation driven by wood and rubber exports, and overfishing. The authors conclude that the ACFTA lacks environmental provisions, which is a significant shortcoming in regional economic policy.
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Document type: Report
Cyclone Nargis: What are the Lessons from the 2004 Tsunami for Myanmar’s Recovery?
The document argues that Myanmar's recovery from Cyclone Nargis requires coordinated collective action, a balance between short-term relief and long-term sustainability, and a nuanced approach to disaster risk reduction. It highlights the 'Cluster Approach' for better humanitarian coordination and discusses the role of coastal buffer zones, such as mangroves, while warning against the risks of improper re-zoning and monoculture plantations. Additionally, it emphasizes the need for accessible credit and rigorous vulnerability assessments to ensure aid reaches the most affected populations.
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Document type: Briefing
China’s preferential trade policy for Africa
The briefing examines China's policy of offering duty-free treatment to 440 products from 30 African LDCs. While the scheme is tailored to existing export capacities, the author argues its economic impact is modest compared to its symbolic diplomatic value in signaling China's rise as a great power and alternative to Western donors.
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Document type: Briefing
重思自然资源投资:中国在湄公河地区的崛起
The policy brief examines China's increasing foreign direct investment (FDI) and trade in the Mekong region, driven by its domestic demand for natural resources. It highlights the role of Chinese state-owned enterprises and financial institutions in filling an investment vacuum left by international financial institutions. While noting the potential for economic growth, the document warns of environmental and social risks due to poor regulatory enforcement and the lack of adherence to international sustainability standards by Chinese firms.
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Document type: Policy brief
Rethinking Investments in Natural Resources: China’s Emerging Role in the Mekong Region
China is rapidly increasing its foreign direct investment (FDI) in the Mekong region to secure natural resources for its industrial growth. Driven by the 'Going Out' strategy, Chinese state-owned enterprises are filling an investment vacuum left by International Financial Institutions in hydropower, mining, and agribusiness. While this provides capital and infrastructure, it poses environmental and social risks due to a lack of compliance with international sustainability standards and poor local regulatory enforcement in Cambodia, Laos, and Vietnam.
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Document type: Policy brief
FACT SHEET Country/region: Selected Least Developed Countries in Asia and Africa
The document describes a scoping phase (January to November 2008) for a programme aimed at building long-term capacity in universities, research institutes, government, industry, and NGOs to manage climate change risks. The initiative focuses on developing research capacity, enhancing science-technology-policy networks, and stimulating science-policy dialogue to integrate climate risk management into national development policies. Proposed activities include forming national advisory groups, providing short courses on adaptation and vulnerability, hosting international experts, developing curricula, and establishing joint research fellowships. The programme is designed to support the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change Nairobi Work Programme and National Adaptation Programmes of Action.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Rapid Trade and Environment Assessment (RTEA) National Report for Lao PDR
The Rapid Trade and Environment Assessment (RTEA) for Lao PDR examines the intersection of trade liberalization—driven by ASEAN, WTO accession, and GMS integration—and environmental sustainability. The report identifies that while resource-intensive sectors like hydropower, mining, and forestry drive GDP growth, they place significant pressure on forests, water, and biodiversity. Conversely, 'green' niche sectors such as organic agriculture, ecotourism, and silk handicrafts offer sustainable export potential. The assessment emphasizes that the net environmental outcome depends on the government's ability to implement and enforce regulatory frameworks, strengthen institutional capacity, and engage the private sector in corporate social responsibility (CSR).
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Document type: Report
From Hegemony to Champion: South Africa and Strategic Balance
The document analyzes South Africa's strategic shift from its role as a dominant power in southern Africa during and after the apartheid era to a leader of the 'Global South'. It examines how South Africa uses its influence in the UN and within non-aligned blocs to challenge Western diplomatic dominance and advocate for a more equitable global order. The author highlights specific diplomatic actions regarding Iran and Myanmar as evidence of this strategy to shift power away from the UN Security Council toward the General Assembly and other non-Western constellations.
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Document type: Research paper
Energy Security in Asia: China, India, Oil and Peace
India and China are experiencing rapid economic growth and a corresponding surge in energy consumption, leading to an increasing reliance on imported oil, primarily from the Persian Gulf. Both nations are pursuing similar strategies to mitigate this vulnerability: diversifying import sources, acquiring equity oil through overseas investments, building strategic petroleum reserves (SPRs), and shifting toward natural gas and nuclear power. While there are efforts toward Sino-Indian energy cooperation, such as joint bids for oilfields in third countries, competition remains high, particularly in contested areas like Burma. The report outlines three future scenarios: 'Increased cooperation,' 'Conflict in East Asia' (centered on Taiwan and Japan), and 'The Middle East explodes' (a full-scale resource war). It recommends that Norway support energy efficiency, clean coal and gas technologies, and the inclusion of China and India in the International Energy Agency (IEA).
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Document type: Report
Growing into Risk
The report argues that China's pursuit of high GDP growth has led to severe environmental degradation, which in turn triggers internal security risks such as violent protests and mass migration. Internationally, China's need to secure energy, water, and timber resources drives an assertive foreign policy, leading to territorial disputes and the 'export' of environmental degradation to trading partners. The document highlights critical scarcity in water and energy, deteriorating air quality contributing to the 'Asian Brown Cloud', and the impact of domestic logging bans on international timber trade.
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Document type: Report
The Environment and our Security
The document analyzes how environmental degradation and natural resource management intersect with global security. It identifies four theoretical frameworks: the Toronto school's focus on resource capture and ecological marginalization; ENCOP's link between market transitions and violence; PRIO's analysis of conflict over abundant resources; and the 'network threats' perspective on global issues like climate change. The author argues that while environmental stress is rarely the sole cause of conflict, it increases the severity and duration of violence. The paper concludes with policy recommendations for managing resource scarcity and abundance, conflict-sensitizing protected areas, and using environmental cooperation as a confidence-building measure in post-conflict reconstruction.
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Document type: Research paper
The Future of Armed Conflict
The author argues that while the end of the Cold War initially saw a rise in local conflicts, the overall trend is moving toward a more peaceful world. This optimism is grounded in the observed decline in the number of armed conflicts since the late 1990s and the positive influence of global trends such as poverty reduction, democratization, and the rise of international military interventions for conflict settlement. The analysis highlights that internal conflicts (civil wars) are the dominant form of violence and are most strongly linked to poverty, though the author distinguishes between 'greed' and 'grievance' motivations. The document also notes that while ethnic polarization and resource scarcity are often cited as causes of war, systematic evidence is often ambiguous or secondary to broader economic and political factors.
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Document type: Research paper
ONE SPECIES, ONE PLANET
The report examines the symbiotic relationship between sustainable development and environmental justice, asserting that the former cannot be attained without the latter. It identifies three key legal nexuses: the right to a healthy environment, community-based property rights (CBPRs), and procedural rights to participation. The text highlights systemic failures where vulnerable populations, particularly in the Global South and minority communities in the US, bear disproportionate environmental burdens. It recommends shifting from market-based to rights-based approaches, strengthening corporate accountability, and ensuring the meaningful participation of indigenous and local communities in decision-making processes.
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Document type: Report
Hydropower Site Selection Processes in the Se San and Sre Pok Basins
The report examines hydropower planning in the Se San and Sre Pok Basins, highlighting a persistent gap between progressive regional policies—such as those of the Mekong River Commission (MRC)—and the actual practice of site selection, which remains driven by national economic interests and technical-economic feasibility. It argues that while the 1995 MRC Agreement provides a legal framework, genuine environmental governance requires a transition from project-based to programme-based approaches that incorporate local perspectives and transboundary impact assessments. The study uses the Yali Falls Dam incident as a critical example of governance failure and a potential catalyst for improved conflict resolution and information sharing.
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Document type: Report
Superhot Rock Geothermal in Myanmar
The document highlights that just 1% of Myanmar's estimated superhot rock geothermal resource could provide 413 GW of energy capacity, far exceeding the country's 2021 electricity consumption of 19,636 GWh. This resource could theoretically replace all coal and gas used for electricity production, reducing emissions by approximately 9 megatonnes of CO2eq and eliminating the need for coal imports, 45% of which currently come from Russia. Additionally, the technology is noted for its low land footprint—requiring roughly 12 km² per 1 GW—and its potential to leverage existing subsurface expertise from Myanmar's oil and gas sector.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Superhot Rock Geothermal in Thailand
The document highlights that just 1% of Thailand's estimated superhot rock geothermal resource could provide 294 GW of energy capacity, potentially replacing all coal and gas used for electricity production and reducing emissions by approximately 82 megatonnes of CO2eq. It argues that this technology offers a low land-use footprint and a reliable 24/7 power source that could significantly reduce Thailand's dependence on energy imports from Myanmar, Qatar, and Indonesia.
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Document type: Fact sheet
IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy and Climate Change Mitigation: challenges for Asian countries
The document assesses the integration of renewable energy (RE) targets in Asian countries, highlighting national goals in Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia, Lao PDR, and China. It emphasizes that while RE technologies are feasible and market-oriented, their deployment in Asia is hindered by a lack of financing mechanisms and inadequate management capacity. The author argues for the use of legal instruments, South-South collaboration for 'appropriate' (small-scale) technologies, and innovative financing like revolving funds to overcome high upfront costs.
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Document type: Briefing
Planifier la mise en œuvre de la CDN
The document outlines a three-step process for NDC implementation: preparatory work, plan elaboration, and execution. It emphasizes a holistic approach across five key modules: governance, mitigation, adaptation, finance, and measurement, reporting, and verification (MRV). The guide stresses the importance of integrating climate actions into national development planning, ensuring gender sensitivity, and aligning with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
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Document type: Guide
Tackling the trade in illegal timber: a comparative study of legal frameworks
The document examines demand-side timber legality laws across five major importing markets, comparing their scope, actor obligations, and enforcement mechanisms to identify effective legislative options for reducing illegal logging.
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Document type: Research paper