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Coming into its own: An analysis of South Africa’s voting patterns and the achievement of its foreign policy goals in the UNSC
The analysis finds that South Africa has become more confident in the UNSC, increasing its co-sponsorship of resolutions and successfully promoting its 'African Agenda'. While it has improved cooperation with other African members and fostered South-South and North-South partnerships, it faces ongoing challenges in securing permanent representation for Africa on the Council and maintaining its status as the continent's leading driver on international issues.
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Document type: Research paper
Build It and They Will Come: Commitment to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations’ rice policy mechanisms
The paper examines the politicized nature of the rice sector in Southeast Asia, where domestic priorities and protectionism often lead to market volatility. It highlights how the 2007–2008 food price crisis drove countries toward insular strategies and 'rice sovereignty'. The authors propose that ASEAN can improve food security by enhancing the ASEAN Food Security Information System (AFSIS) for better transparency and fully actuating the ASEAN Plus Three Emergency Rice Reserve. The document suggests that these cooperative mechanisms can build trust and stability in the international market, providing a more effective alternative to myopic domestic focuses.
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Document type: Research paper
Model Mining Development Agreement – Transparency Template
The document analyzes the International Bar Association's Model Mining Development Agreement (MMDA 1.0), providing a template and narrative to ensure mining contracts promote sustainable development, transparency, and equitable resource distribution. It details key contractual areas including land tenure, royalties, taxation, and community obligations, while emphasizing the use of international standards like the IFC Performance Standards and EITI. Additionally, the report investigates the existence of similar model agreements for the oil and gas sector, concluding that no internationally accepted model currently exists despite the availability of various national form contracts.
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Document type: Report
Report of conference held on 9-10 June 2011 at the South African Institute of International Affairs, Johannesburg
The document details a 2011 conference on India-Africa relations, highlighting the shift toward South-South co-operation and the potential for shared economic growth. It examines the role of the private sector, specifically the success of Indian firms in South Africa compared to Chinese firms, and discusses strategic cooperation in energy, pharmaceuticals, and security. The report also addresses global governance reforms, including the push for permanent seats on the UN Security Council for India and African nations, and the economic nature of climate change negotiations.
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Document type: Report
Lessons from the IPCC SREX Report and Disasters in Asia: Managing Climate Extremes
The report highlights that disaster risk in Asia is increasing due to higher exposure and vulnerability, even independent of climate change. It details observed and projected increases in temperature and precipitation extremes across various Asian sub-regions and argues for the integration of disaster risk management (DRM) with climate change adaptation (CCA) and sustainable development to build long-term resilience.
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Document type: Report
Managing Climate Extremes
The report highlights that Asia is exceptionally exposed to climate extremes, with over 90% of the global population exposed to tropical cyclones. It argues that disaster risk is driven not only by weather events but by dynamic factors of vulnerability and exposure, such as unplanned urbanisation and weak governance. The document provides observed and projected trends for temperature and precipitation extremes across Asian sub-regions and advocates for the integration of disaster risk management (DRM) with climate change adaptation (CCA) and sustainable development to build long-term resilience.
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Document type: Report
Managing Climate Extremes and Disasters in the Water Sector: Lessons from the IPCC SREX Report
The document translates the IPCC SREX report's findings into actionable insights for the water sector, emphasizing that disaster risk is increasing due to both climate extremes and rising human vulnerability. It highlights the high confidence that climate changes will seriously affect water management systems and argues for a shift from incremental to transformational changes in governance and infrastructure. The brief advocates for 'low regrets' adaptation strategies and the integration of disaster risk management (DRM) with climate change adaptation (CCA) to build long-term resilience.
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Document type: Briefing
Can Myanmar’s 2008 Constitution Be Made To Satisfy Ethnic Aspirations?
The document argues that Myanmar's 2008 constitution fails to meet the aspirations of ethnic minorities due to the military's institutionalized dominance and the rejection of federalism. It highlights that the military's 25% control of parliament allows it to block the three-fourths majority required for amendments. While the creation of regional and state assemblies offers a potential path for internal self-governance, these bodies currently lack real power and funding. The authors suggest that a long-term strategy of gradual amendments, starting with increasing the financial and administrative powers of local assemblies, is more realistic than immediate tripartite negotiations or formal parliamentary processes.
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Document type: Policy brief
Définir le développement compatible avec le climat
The document argues that traditional separations between adaptation, mitigation, and development are insufficient. It proposes 'climate compatible development' as a framework to achieve 'triple win' outcomes: low emissions, high resilience, and sustained human development. It highlights a new development landscape where climate finance, shifting trade patterns, and technological innovation redefine economic growth, particularly for developing nations.
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Document type: Briefing
Definir desenvolvimento compatível com o clima
The document argues that policymakers must move beyond treating mitigation, adaptation, and development as separate strategies. It defines 'climate compatible development' as a framework to minimize climate damage while maximizing development opportunities, aiming for 'triple wins' across emissions, resilience, and social growth. The brief highlights the shift in global finance toward the 'polluter pays' principle and provides examples of low-carbon strategies in Guyana and resilience efforts in Bolivia.
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Document type: Policy brief
Reefs at Risk Revisited: Indian Ocean
The Indian Ocean contains 13 percent of the world's coral reefs, with over 65 percent currently at risk from local threats, primarily overfishing. Projections indicate that by 2050, all areas in the region will be considered threatened due to the combined impact of local pressures and climate-related stressors such as thermal stress and acidification. While 19 percent of reefs are within marine protected areas, only 11 percent of the region's reefs are in MPAs with effective or partially effective management.
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Document type: Fact sheet
WWF LIVING FORESTS REPORT: CHAPTER 1
The report advocates for Zero Net Deforestation and Forest Degradation (ZNDD) by 2020 to protect biodiversity and mitigate climate change. Using the Living Forests Model developed with IIASA, it analyzes various scenarios, including a 'Do Nothing' baseline and a 'Target' scenario. The findings suggest that while ZNDD is technically possible in the short term, maintaining it beyond 2030 will require unprecedented increases in agricultural productivity and significant shifts in global consumption patterns, particularly regarding animal calories. The document highlights critical trade-offs, such as the risk of shifting environmental pressure to non-forest biomes like grasslands and the potential for increased agricultural pollution due to intensification.
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Document type: Report
Black Carbon and Climate Change in the Himalayan Region
The Hindu Kush-Himalayan-Tibetan (HKHT) region is warming twice as fast as the global average, with temperatures increasing by 1.2 °C over the last 120 years. This warming, driven by CO2 and black carbon (BC), is causing widespread glacier retreat and a weakening of the South Asian monsoon system. Black carbon, a byproduct of incomplete combustion from fossil fuels and biomass, reduces snow albedo and heats the lower atmosphere via Atmospheric Brown Clouds (ABCs), potentially playing a role as significant as CO2 in melting Himalayan glaciers. These changes threaten water security for millions, including 500 million people in the Ganges River Basin, and increase the frequency of glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs).
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Document type: Report
Regional implications of the AGF recommendations: Asia
The document analyzes Asia's climate investment requirements, estimating annual mitigation needs at US$90–180 billion and adaptation costs at US$40–45 billion by 2030. It argues that while private finance can drive mitigation in major economies like China and India, public resources are essential for adaptation and for less developed countries. The briefing highlights opportunities in carbon markets and public-private leveraging, but warns that the Copenhagen Accord's US$100 billion target is insufficient for Asia's needs and that transport or financial transaction levies could negatively impact Asian trade and financial hubs.
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Document type: Briefing
Defining climate compatible development
The policy brief introduces 'climate compatible development' as a framework to move beyond the traditional separation of adaptation, mitigation, and development strategies. It argues that policy makers must integrate these three pillars to achieve 'triple win' strategies that minimize climate threats while maximizing development opportunities. The document highlights the 'new development landscape' characterized by shifting trade patterns, new climate finance mechanisms based on 'polluter-pays' principles, and the need for long-term national consensus to navigate risks and uncertainties.
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Document type: Policy brief
Definiendo el Desarrollo Compatible con el Clima
The document argues that policymakers must move beyond the traditional separation of adaptation, mitigation, and development to avoid inefficiencies and conflicting strategies. It defines 'Climate Compatible Development' as a framework for 'Triple Win' strategies that minimize climate impacts while maximizing opportunities in a low-emission future. The brief details how mitigation (e.g., REDD+), adaptation (e.g., disaster risk reduction), and economic development (e.g., transitioning away from high-carbon exports) must be merged. It highlights the role of climate finance, shifting from charity to the 'polluter pays' principle, and emphasizes the need for national governance systems that integrate climate goals into budgets and plans to ensure benefits reach poor populations.
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Document type: Policy brief
Horizontal Inequalities and Ethno-Nationalist Civil War: A Global Comparison
The research argues that both economic and political horizontal inequalities (HIs) are significant drivers of ethno-nationalist civil war. Using a novel combination of geo-coded ethnic settlement data and spatial wealth measures, the authors find that ethnic groups whose wealth deviates significantly from the national average—whether they are relatively affluent or impoverished—are more prone to conflict. This effect persists even when controlling for political exclusion from executive power, which itself is a strong predictor of conflict. The findings challenge contemporary 'opportunity-based' theories of civil war that dismiss grievances, suggesting instead that structural asymmetries act as mobilizational resources for collective violence.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate Change Challenges in ASEAN-facilitated Interventions in the Mekong Subregion
The report examines the intersection of climate change and ASEAN-facilitated trade and investment in the Mekong subregion, noting that while some countries use trade liberalization for growth, their natural resources remain vulnerable to climate risks. It highlights a tension between low-carbon initiatives, such as hydroelectric dams, and the resulting loss of irreplaceable natural capital. Additionally, it notes that free trade agreements facilitating mining may be viewed as an adaptation to climate-threatened agriculture, though at a high cost to natural capital and livelihoods. The report recommends mainstreaming climate concerns into ASEAN's economic frameworks and implementing climate risk assessments for trading mechanisms.
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Document type: Report
Climate Change Challenges in ASEAN-facilitated Interventions in the Mekong Subregion
The report argues that while the Mekong subregion is highly vulnerable to climate-related risks, ASEAN-facilitated free trade agreements (FTAs) and economic partnership agreements (EPAs) largely lack explicit commitments to climate change. It highlights a tension between low-carbon initiatives, such as hydroelectric dams, and the resulting loss of natural capital. The document recommends mainstreaming climate risk assessments into trade mechanisms and fostering cooperation between ASEAN, the Mekong River Commission (MRC), and the Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) initiative.
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Document type: Report
Balancing Trade Growth and Environmental Protection in ASEAN
The report examines the tension between trade growth and environmental sustainability in the Mekong subregion, noting that environmental protections often take a backseat to industrialization and that regional efforts to balance these interests have seen little effectiveness.
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Document type: Report