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Tracking Progress on the Integration of Nature-Based Solutions and Ecosystem-Based Adaptation in National Adaptation Plan Processes
The report finds that while most NAPs recognize the importance of ecosystems and include EbA or NbS actions, there is a significant disconnect between climate adaptation planning and national biodiversity strategies. Most countries prioritize ecosystems linked to productive economic sectors, such as forests and fisheries, while urban and mountain ecosystems remain underrepresented.
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Document type: Report
Can we come up with a meaningful number?
The document describes a 'hazard synthesis' method developed by World Weather Attribution to combine different lines of evidence into a single number representing the influence of climate change on an extreme event's intensity and likelihood. It notes that while this approach is more realistic than using models or observations in isolation, it faces limitations when events would have been impossible in a cooler world or when climate models contradict basic physics, such as the Clausius-Clapeyron relationship. The author emphasizes that human expertise and experience are necessary to evaluate these results, as automated or AI-driven analysis cannot yet account for model deficiencies or data discrepancies.
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Document type: Statement
Report on the activities of the Independent Evaluation Unit
The IEU report for May-August 2024 outlines the completion of evaluations on whistleblower protection, the GCF Investment Framework, and the energy sector portfolio. It details ongoing evaluations in Latin America and the Caribbean, health and food security, and Indigenous Peoples' approaches. The report also highlights the LORTA impact evaluation programme, evidence reviews on just transition and market-based approaches, and the progress of a Management Action Report on the Readiness and Preparatory Support Programme, where the Secretariat agreed to all 15 recommendations with varying levels of implementation progress.
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Document type: Report
Charting Africa’s blue future
The report examines the intersection of Africa's blue economy and the Youth, Peace and Security (YPS) agenda, arguing that youth inclusion is essential for sustainable development and maritime security. It identifies climate change, a burgeoning youth population, and coastal migration as critical trends that can either destabilize coastal regions or be harnessed for growth. The document highlights the potential for the blue economy to generate up to US$405 billion by 2030 and provides examples of youth-led initiatives in aquaculture, conservation, and maritime security across various African nations. It concludes that a multidimensional approach, exemplified by the Great Blue Wall initiative, is necessary to build resilience and prevent the radicalization of marginalized youth by providing viable economic alternatives.
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Document type: Report
Prospects for development and integration of African battery value chains
The document analyzes the potential for African nations to move beyond the "pit to port" model of mineral extraction by building integrated battery mineral value chains. It highlights Africa's significant reserves of cobalt, manganese, graphite, and vanadium, and examines the macroeconomic shift from fossil fuel revenues to transition mineral revenues. The paper identifies Morocco as a leader in integrating automotive assembly with battery material production and discusses the potential for South Africa to act as a regional integrator. It concludes that while a continent-wide strategy is unlikely, sub-regional strategies and national policy instruments—such as strategic non-alignment and targeted industrial policies for e-mobility—can help African countries capture more value from their mineral endowments.
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Document type: Research paper
Mobilizing Knowledge on Gender, Equity, and Justice in Climate Change Adaptation
The document unpacks the IPCC's findings on how systemic inequalities—including gender, race, and socio-economic status—increase vulnerability to climate change. It argues that adaptation efforts are more effective and less likely to be maladaptive when they incorporate inclusive participation, diverse knowledge systems, and a focus on climate justice. The brief uses illustrative examples from Africa to demonstrate how marginalized groups, such as Indigenous Peoples and women, experience disproportionate impacts and how community-based, human rights-based approaches can generate social co-benefits.
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Document type: Briefing
Critical Raw Materials: A production and trade outlook
The report examines the strategic importance of critical raw materials (CRMs) for OACPS member states, highlighting their significant global production shares in minerals like cobalt, platinum-group metals, and manganese. It identifies a critical gap in local beneficiation capacities, noting that most CRMs are exported as raw ores, which results in lost economic value. The document analyzes the impact of new industrial policies from the US, EU, and China—such as the US Inflation Reduction Act and the EU Critical Raw Materials Act—which emphasize reshoring and 'friendshoring' and may conflict with OACPS industrialization goals. It concludes that OACPS countries must move beyond extractive 'pit-to-port' models through regional cooperation, strategic partnerships, and robust regulatory frameworks to maximize socio-economic benefits while managing environmental and social risks.
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Document type: Report
Local Opportunities and Global Disputes: Tracking Japan’s Engagement with Africa amid Geopolitical Tensions
Japan is transitioning its Africa strategy from Official Development Assistance (ODA) toward private sector-led investment, specifically targeting critical minerals and green energy. This shift is driven by strategic competition with China, particularly regarding supply chain security for rare earth elements and the G7's desire to provide alternatives to Chinese infrastructure loans. While the Japanese government is actively promoting this 'business-based' approach through initiatives like the Green Growth Initiative for Africa and the Minerals Security Partnership, the transition is hindered by high risk perception among Japanese companies.
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Document type: Policy brief
Internationally Financed Adaptation: Madagascar and Mauritius
The study examines the impact of informal institutions—specifically patronage and clientelism—on the distribution of international adaptation finance in Madagascar and Mauritius. Based on 105 interviews, the authors find that while these informal institutions strongly influenced decision-making in both countries, the projects differed in their ability to reach 'particularly vulnerable' communities. The authors suggest that adaptation organizations adopt an 'imperfect equity' approach to better navigate informal institutions and improve long-term accountability.
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Document type: Case study
Innovative Financing for Local Coastal Communities in Madagascar
The document highlights the failure of top-down conservation funding in Madagascar, where biodiversity loss continues despite international investment. It advocates for community-led financing models, citing the Beolobe regranting mechanism and the MIHARI LMMA Network as pathways to increase local agency. The briefing identifies critical risks to these funds, including fraud, lack of legal status for community organisations, and threats to environmental defenders, while recommending the development of Blue Business incubators to link community leaders with private investors.
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Document type: Briefing
Ecosystem-based Adaptation (EbA) for Disaster Risk Preparedness in Africa
The document examines the role of Ecosystem-based Adaptation (EbA) and Eco-DRR in enhancing disaster risk preparedness across Africa. It highlights that while Africa is highly vulnerable to climate hazards, government capacity and financing for disaster risk reduction (DRR) are severely lacking. The author proposes three primary opportunities for improvement: aligning climate, biodiversity, and disaster risk policies; developing blended and scalable financing solutions; and empowering local communities through natural resource management models. Practical examples from Uganda, Mozambique, Madagascar, and Malawi demonstrate how nature-based solutions, such as mangrove and bamboo restoration, can mitigate disasters while supporting livelihoods.
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Document type: Policy brief
MADAGASCAR Integrated Energy Access Planning – COLD CHAINS REPORT
The report evaluates Madagascar's cold chain infrastructure, focusing on medical vaccines and four agricultural value chains: potatoes, tomatoes, fisheries, and dairy. It identifies significant gaps in electricity access and road infrastructure that lead to high post-harvest losses and inequitable vaccine coverage. The analysis proposes electrification scenarios for healthcare facilities and investment roadmaps for agricultural cooling, emphasizing the high return on investment for fisheries and dairy.
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Document type: Report
MADAGASCAR Integrated Energy Access Planning ELECTRIFICATION REPORT
The Madagascar Integrated Energy Access Planning (IEP) Electrification Report outlines a strategy to reach universal electricity access. It identifies a baseline scenario for 2030 and a conservative scenario for 2040. The plan relies on four primary modalities: grid densification, grid expansion, mini-grids (MV and LV), and standalone solar systems (SSS). SSS is the dominant modality, projected to serve 52% of the population by 2030. The report provides detailed geospatial modelling for project identification, cost assumptions for infrastructure, and financing requirements, estimating a total CAPEX of over $7 billion for the 2030 goal. It also assesses the potential for small-scale hydropower to support off-grid mini-grids, particularly on the eastern coast.
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Document type: Report
MADAGASCAR Integrated Energy Access Planning – CLEAN COOKING REPORT
The report assesses Madagascar's clean cooking landscape, where only 5% of households use clean technologies. It models two 2030 scenarios: a baseline based on the SDG7 Energy Compact and a 'Universal Access' scenario emphasizing e-cooking and biofuels. Key findings highlight that while bioethanol, biogas, and pellets have vast production potential, affordability remains the primary barrier. The transition could significantly reduce deforestation and avert thousands of deaths from indoor air pollution, particularly benefiting women who bear the brunt of fuel collection and cooking tasks.
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Document type: Report
Modernizing Artisanal and Small-Scale Mining
The report analyzes the ASM value chain, from exploration to mine closure, highlighting a stark divide between rudimentary artisanal methods and more capitalized small-scale operations. It identifies critical gaps in technology for ore extraction, transportation, and beneficiation, while showcasing promising innovations in mercury-free gold processing, blockchain-based traceability, and digital mining cadastres. The document warns that while mechanization can boost yields and critical mineral supply, it risks displacing labor—particularly women—and increasing environmental degradation if not managed through inclusive policies and strategic zoning.
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Document type: Report
Powering Healthcare in Madagascar: Market Assessment and Roadmap for Health Facility Electrification
The report identifies a significant energy gap in Madagascar's healthcare system, where approximately 75% of basic healthcare centres lack electricity or have only a single solar refrigerator. To address this, it proposes a three-phase roadmap from 2024 to 2032 targeting 2,274 facilities, requiring an estimated USD 83 million investment. Recommended solutions include stand-alone solar technology, innovative business models like Energy-as-a-Service (EaaS), and cross-sectoral integration between health and energy stakeholders.
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Document type: Executive summary
FINAL REPORT ADDRESSING CORRUPTION’S IMPACT ON CONSERVATION AND NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
The TNRC project provided a comprehensive framework for integrating anti-corruption measures into conservation, producing over 170 knowledge resources and training 1,200+ NGO staff. It emphasizes a three-step approach: learning basics, conducting corruption-aware situation analysis, and adapting programming through six thematic pillars. Key achievements include the creation of the Countering Environmental Corruption Practitioners Forum and the institutionalization of anti-corruption strategies within WWF and TRAFFIC.
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Document type: Report
WRITTEN STATEMENT UNDER ICJ PRACTICE DIRECTION XII, TO THE INTERNATIONAL COURT OF JUSTICE ON OBLIGATIONS OF STATES IN RESPECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE (REQUEST FOR AN ADVISORY OPINION)
Natural Justice argues that the ICJ should recognize a State's obligation to reduce greenhouse gas emissions based on a 'fair share' principle and ensure a just transition from fossil fuels. The document emphasizes that Africa is the most vulnerable continent despite contributing less than 4% of global emissions, facing projected annual loss and damage costs between US$ 290 billion and $440 billion by 2030. It asserts that high-income, high-emitting States owe legal obligations to provide financial support via grants rather than loans and must provide reparations—including compensation and restitution—for internationally wrongful acts that cause climate harm.
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Document type: Statement
INCREASE RESILIENCE TO CLIMATE CHANGE OF SMALLHOLDERS RECEIVING THE SERVICES OF THE INCLUSIVE AGRICULTURAL VALUE CHAINS PROGRAMME (DEFIS +)
The Gender Action Plan for the DEFIS+ programme in Madagascar details specific activities, targets, and budgets to integrate gender mainstreaming into climate resilience efforts. Key initiatives include increasing women's representation in Water User Associations (WUAs) to at least 30%, providing labour-saving equipment and renewable energy technologies to women and youth, and improving access to land. The plan also focuses on training women and youth in climate-smart agriculture, construction standards related to climate change, and the management of food production systems to enhance nutrition and food security.
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Document type: Report
Financial Benefit-Sharing Issues for Critical Minerals
The report examines how developing countries can capture a fair share of financial benefits from critical minerals, highlighting risks such as price volatility, oversupply, and opaque markets. It suggests opportunities for these nations to increase state participation, develop downstream processing capabilities, and reform fiscal incentives to maximize economic gains from the energy transition.
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Document type: Report