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Irá a intervenção estrangeira pôr fim ao terrorismo em Cabo Delgado?
The document examines the role of foreign interventions in Mozambique's Cabo Delgado province, highlighting the use of private military companies like the Wagner Group and Dyck Advisory Group, as well as the deployment of Rwandan and SADC (SAMIM) troops. It argues that while foreign forces have achieved rapid tactical successes, such as recapturing Mocímboa da Praia and consolidating control in Palma, these interventions often lack transparency and parliamentary oversight. The author emphasizes that military action alone cannot end the insurgency, recommending a comprehensive approach including deradicalization, inter-religious dialogue, and socio-economic development in the north.
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Document type: Policy brief
Third Time’s a Charm? Reflections on the First and Second APRM Reports of Kenya, Mozambique and Uganda
The report examines the governance trajectories of Kenya, Mozambique, and Uganda, the only three African countries to have completed the APRM review process twice. It finds that while all three made legislative and constitutional strides in democracy and political governance, they remain vulnerable to ethnic conflict and struggle with persistent issues of corruption, poverty, and gender inequality.
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Document type: Report
HUMANIZING SECURITY IN CABO DELGADO
The report examines the conflict in Cabo Delgado, Mozambique, highlighting that while often framed as a religious war, it is driven by resource exploitation, land grabs, and social injustice. It documents atrocities committed by both insurgents (ASWJ) and government forces (FDS), including the torture of civilians and sexual violence. The document criticises the 'Iraqization' of the region through the deployment of Rwandan and SADC troops to protect LNG infrastructure for companies like Total. It reveals how political elites have profited from mining concessions and oil and gas logistics during the conflict. The report concludes that a purely military approach is insufficient and recommends a political track, increased transparency in land concessions, and urgent humanitarian protections for internally displaced persons, particularly women and girls.
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Document type: Report
Exploring Resource and Climate Drivers of Conflict in Northern Mozambique
The conflict in Cabo Delgado is driven by a combination of political marginalisation, economic inequality, and climatic shocks. While the discovery of offshore natural gas promised development, it instead led to forced relocations, inadequate compensation, and unmet employment expectations, which Islamist militants have exploited for recruitment. These grievances are compounded by extreme weather events, including Cyclones Idai and Kenneth, which destroyed infrastructure and increased food insecurity. The document argues that military responses alone are insufficient and calls for inclusive natural resource governance and climate resilience strategies to address the root causes of the insurgency.
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Document type: Policy brief
Building Anticipatory Governance in SADC: Post-COVID-19 Conflict and Defence Outlook
The report argues that SADC's current reactive, bureaucratic, and state-centric approach to security is insufficient for the region's complex threat landscape. It proposes the adoption of anticipatory governance—a non-predictive approach using foresight and multi-stakeholder engagement—to move from reactive crisis management to proactive strategic planning. The author highlights the Cabo Delgado insurgency as a primary example of SADC's failure to act timeously and recommends a comprehensive regional security sector review and the establishment of a P/CVE unit to build adaptive capacities.
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Document type: Research paper
Will foreign intervention end terrorism in Cabo Delgado?
The document examines the shift in Mozambique's strategy from treating the Cabo Delgado insurgency as a criminal matter to accepting international military support. It details the failures of the Russian Wagner Group, the role of the Dyck Advisory Group, and the subsequent deployments of Rwandan forces and the SADC Military Mission (SAMIM). While foreign troops have achieved quick gains, such as recovering Mocímboa da Praia, the brief highlights a critical lack of transparency regarding bilateral agreements and warns that insurgents are now dispersing into smaller groups in southern districts.
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Document type: Policy brief
Russia’s Resurgence in Africa: Zimbabwe and Mozambique
The report analyzes Russia's strategic return to Africa, driven by Western sanctions and falling oil prices. It focuses on Zimbabwe and Mozambique, highlighting a pattern of elite-directed cooperation centered on extractive industries, arms trade, and political support. While Russia's economic footprint is significantly smaller than China's, it leverages an 'anti-West narrative' and a high tolerance for corruption to secure access to natural resources and political loyalty, often utilizing proxy organizations for election monitoring and paramilitary groups for security.
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Document type: Report
Cabo Delgado and the Rise of Militant Islam: Another Niger Delta in the Making?
The document examines the conflict in Cabo Delgado, Mozambique, asserting that while the violence is framed as militant Islam, it is rooted in long-term structural problems. It highlights how the discovery of rubies and offshore natural gas led to a 'resource scramble' that marginalised local communities and fostered grievances. The author notes that the Mozambican government's inept security response and the poor state of its military have further exacerbated the crisis. The brief concludes by comparing the situation to the Niger Delta in Nigeria, warning that without addressing socio-economic inequalities and improving governance, military interventions will be insufficient.
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Document type: Policy brief
Mitigating violent extremism in Southern Africa
The document argues that mitigating violent extremism in Southern Africa requires leveraging the youth demographic, who are both victims and perpetrators of the insurgency in Mozambique's Cabo Delgado province. It highlights that youth vulnerability to radicalisation is driven by governance deficits, poverty, and marginalisation. The brief recommends that the Mozambican government, SADC, and the AU move beyond military responses to include youth-led interventions such as interfaith dialogue, policy advocacy for empowerment, and support for the reintegration of former fighters.
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Document type: Policy brief
STOP THE RAVAGING OF CABO DELGADO
The document is a formal demand from a coalition of 204 organisations and 206 individuals calling for an end to gas extraction in Cabo Delgado, Mozambique. It alleges that transnational corporations and the Mozambican government have caused land grabbing, poverty, and human rights violations, while the industry's presence has exacerbated local extremism and the spread of COVID-19. The signatories demand that companies cease activities, the government transition to renewable energy, and international bodies investigate the situation.
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Document type: Statement
DETENER LOS ESTRAGOS DE CABO DELGADO
The document is a formal demand signed by over 400 organizations and individuals addressed to fossil fuel companies, financial institutions, and the Government of Mozambique. It alleges that the gas industry in Cabo Delgado has caused massive land grabbing, displaced over 100,000 people, and fueled extremist violence through the marginalization of local youth. The authors claim that the Mozambican army is deployed primarily to protect gas infrastructure rather than civilians and that the industry was responsible for introducing COVID-19 to the region. The statement calls for a transition to locally-owned renewable energy and the release of disappeared journalists and community members.
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Document type: Statement
STOP À LA DÉVASTATION DE CABO DELGADO
The document is an open letter signed by 410 organizational and individual entities calling for an end to the gas industry in Cabo Delgado, Mozambique. It alleges that multinational corporations and the Mozambican government are complicit in land grabbing, the displacement of thousands of people, and the fueling of extremist violence. The statement highlights the environmental impact on the Quirimbas Archipelago and the role of the gas industry in spreading COVID-19. It demands the release of disappeared journalists and activists, the transition to renewable energy, and the establishment of a legally binding international instrument for corporate accountability regarding human rights.
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Document type: Statement
Ruée sur le gaz, violations des droits humains, dégradation du climat, attaques de rebelles, zone à risque de Covid
A statement by Friends of the Earth International and JA! denouncing the impact of the gas industry in Cabo Delgado, Mozambique. It highlights the forced displacement of families, the militarization of the region to protect corporate interests, the destruction of the Quirimbas Archipelago biosphere, and the role of the industry in spreading COVID-19. The authors demand that multinationals cease operations and that the Mozambican government transition to renewable energy and protect human rights.
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Document type: Statement
Gas Rush, Human Rights Abuses, Climate Devastation, Insurgent Attacks, Covid Hotspot
The statement by Friends of the Earth International and JA! describes the 'gas rush' in Cabo Delgado, Mozambique, as a catalyst for severe human rights violations, land grabbing, and environmental degradation. It highlights the displacement of over 550 families and the impact of military presence requested by corporations like Exxon Mobil and Total. The document also links the gas industry to the spread of COVID-19 in the region and the disappearance of journalists and activists. It concludes with demands for the Mozambican government and transnational corporations to cease fossil fuel exploitation in favor of renewable energy and for international bodies to investigate crimes in the region.
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Document type: Statement
Fiebre del gas, violaciones de derechos humanos, estragos climáticos, ataques de insurgentes, foco de contagio del COVID-19
Friends of the Earth International and JA! denounce the impact of the gas industry in Cabo Delgado, Mozambique, citing the displacement of 550 families, the destruction of biodiversity in the Quirimbas Archipelago, and the exacerbation of the COVID-19 pandemic. The statement highlights a climate of violence where the Mozambican army is accused of protecting transnational companies like Total and ExxonMobil rather than civilians, while journalists and community members disappear. It demands that the government shift toward people-owned renewable energy and that international bodies hold corporations accountable for their actions.
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Document type: Statement
GAS IN MOZAMBIQUE A WINDFALL FOR THE INDUSTRY, A CURSE FOR THE COUNTRY
The report examines the impact of gas exploration in Mozambique, specifically in Cabo Delgado province. It alleges that French government support for energy companies like Total and financial institutions has exacerbated a cycle of corruption and violence. The document highlights a 2013 naval contract scandal that led to a financial crisis and links the militarization of gas infrastructure to the displacement of local communities and human rights abuses. Furthermore, it warns that the projected gas emissions from these projects represent a 'climate bomb' that contradicts France's stated climate goals.
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Document type: Executive summary
DE L’ELDORADO GAZIER AU CHAOS
The report details how France's economic diplomacy and financial support for gas projects in Mozambique, specifically in the Cabo Delgado region, have contributed to a cycle of debt, corruption, and violence. It highlights the 'tuna bonds' scandal involving the CMN shipyards and the subsequent militarization of gas sites, which has led to significant human rights violations and the displacement of local populations. The document further argues that these projects are 'climate bombs' that contradict France's international climate commitments and threaten the biodiversity of the Quirimbas biosphere.
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Document type: Report
DO ELDORADO do gÁs AO CAOS
The document details how French involvement in Mozambique's gas sector—through companies like Total and TechnipFMC and banks such as Crédit Agricole—has contributed to a cycle of debt, corruption, and human rights abuses. It highlights the 'tuna bonds' scandal, where illicit debts were contracted to fund a defense program under the guise of fishing. In Cabo Delgado, the report links gas projects to an insurgency that has caused over 1,100 deaths and displaced 100,000 people, noting that militarization prioritizes corporate assets over civilians. Environmentally, the report warns that three developing gas projects could emit greenhouse gases equivalent to seven years of France's total emissions, threatening the biodiversity of the Quirimbas biosphere reserve.
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Document type: Report
VISIONING FUTURES
The document argues that 20th-century infrastructure paradigms are ill-suited for 21st-century climate extremes and that current 'sustainable' infrastructure efforts focus too heavily on low-carbon goals while neglecting nature-based resilience. It highlights a critical gap in 'upstream' strategic planning, where natural capital is often ignored until the project approval stage. Through case studies in Mozambique, Mexico, Myanmar, and South Africa, the report demonstrates the value of integrating ecosystem services and climate scenarios into land-use planning. It introduces the 'Visioning Futures' framework, which emphasizes defining spatial scope, identifying future objectives, and performing sensitivity testing under various climate scenarios to avoid environmental risks and optimize infrastructure siting.
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Document type: Report
Peace & Security Council Report
The report examines the risks of increased arms sales to Africa, the fragile peace negotiations in Sudan and Mozambique, and the role of the AfCFTA in addressing structural drivers of conflict. It also critiques the AU Peace and Security Council for its lack of meeting records and discusses security threats in the Sahel.
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Document type: Report