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The Forest-Climate Nexus for the Brazilian Amazon
The report highlights that natural regeneration in the Brazilian Amazon could capture up to 26 GtCO2, presenting a significant economic opportunity. It proposes the Reversing Deforestation Mechanism (RDM), a jurisdictional results-based payment system that could mobilize up to US$ 784 billion over 30 years at a carbon price of US$ 50 per ton. The RDM is designed to complement other financial tools: JREDD+ for reducing deforestation and the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) for maintaining standing forests. The analysis emphasizes that states like Pará and Mato Grosso have the highest restoration potential due to cumulative deforestation, while Amazonas is the primary beneficiary of standing forest payments.
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Document type: Report
Criminal networks linked to illegal gold mining in the Brazilian Amazon
The document details how illegal gold mining in the Brazilian Amazon is sustained by a complex network of corrupt politicians, logistics providers, and international smuggling routes for mercury and aviation fuel. It highlights a systemic failure of Brazilian regulatory agencies to coordinate efforts, leading to significant gold exports lacking proper documentation. The report also establishes strong links between illegal mining and other serious crimes, including drug trafficking by organizations like the First Capital Command (PCC), forced labor, and sexual exploitation. Geographically, the illicit activity extends across borders into Guyana, French Guiana, and Venezuela, with specific hotspots identified in Roraima, Rondônia, Pará, and Amapá states.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Forest Restoration in the Amazon: What is the Role of State-Level Public Policies?
The report analyzes how Brazilian states in the Amazon biome are transitioning from federal dependence to active leadership in forest restoration. While states have successfully implemented mandatory restoration frameworks tied to the Forest Code and pioneered PES and REDD+ programs, the report identifies significant fragmentation. Key barriers include burdensome bureaucracy for native species forestry, a lack of integration with carbon markets (except in Pará), and inconsistent regulations across states that hinder landscape-scale projects. Pará is highlighted as the leader with the most comprehensive framework, including a dedicated State Plan for the Restoration of Native Vegetation.
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Document type: Report
The Amazon in the New PAC: Recommendations to Promote Sustainable Infrastructure
The report analyzes the New PAC's infrastructure plans for the Amazon, finding a disconnect between project distribution and actual regional needs. It highlights contradictions between the program's green growth discourse and its inclusion of high-impact projects like the Ferrogrão railroad and BR-319 highway, as well as investments in natural gas power plants. The authors argue that the New PAC lacks transparency and fails to align with the Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Deforestation in the Legal Amazon (PPCDAM). Recommendations include creating a comprehensive regional development plan, prioritizing infrastructure in the 'Deforested Amazon', and shifting energy investments toward solar and wind power.
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Document type: Report
A Amazônia no Novo PAC: Recomendações para Impulsionar a Infraestrutura Sustentável
The report analyzes the Novo PAC's impact on the Amazon, arguing that the program lacks regional planning and fails to account for the area's socio-environmental complexity. It highlights contradictions between infrastructure projects and deforestation goals, such as the Ferrogrão railway and BR-319 paving, and criticizes the continued use of fossil fuels in energy projects. The authors recommend a comprehensive regional development plan, better alignment with the PPCDAm's zero-deforestation target, and a shift toward renewable energy and distributed generation.
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Document type: Report
Onde Estamos na Implementação do Código Florestal?
The document serves as a legal reference guide, listing the specific laws and regulations used to implement the Brazilian Forest Code (Lei nº 12.651/2012). It details federal legislation and provides a state-by-state breakdown of the legal frameworks for the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR) and the Environmental Regularization Program (PRA) in 26 Brazilian states and the Federal District. The listed legislation covers topics such as ecological-economic zoning, legal reserve compensation, the restoration of degraded areas, and the administrative procedures for validating rural property registrations.
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Document type: Report
O Código Florestal em Foco: Governança, Implementação e Soluções para o CAR e o Sicar
The document clarifies the distinction between the CAR (the national database of rural properties) and Sicar (the technological platform that operationalizes it). It details the complex shared governance between the Brazilian Forest Service (SFB) and the Ministry of Management and Innovation in Public Services (MGI), particularly following the 2024 migration of data to Dataprev. The briefing assesses the progress of CAR data analysis, noting that while all states have begun the process, only about 3.3% of registries nationwide have been concluded. It highlights the role of automation tools—such as Análise Dinamizada, CAR Digital, and CAR 2.0—in scaling these analyses, while identifying persistent barriers including low data quality and insufficient technical staff.
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Document type: Briefing
Assentamentos em Foco: Combate ao Desmatamento e Conservação na Amazônia
The report finds that while agrarian reform settlements occupy only 8% of the Amazon biome, they accounted for 24% of its forest loss in 2023. Deforestation is highly concentrated, with 5% of settlements responsible for 65% of the loss in settled areas between 2017 and 2023. The analysis suggests that large-scale clearing is likely driven by external actors rather than smallholder farmers. Geographically, 63% of this deforestation is concentrated in three Incra Regional Superintendencies: Santarém, Sul do Pará, and Amazonas. The authors recommend that the Ministry of Environment and Climate Change (MMA), Ibama, and Incra implement focalized interventions in these priority settlements to enhance conservation.
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Document type: Report
Settlements in Focus: Combating Deforestation and Conservation in the Amazon
The report finds that while agrarian reform settlements occupy only 8% of the Amazon biome, they accounted for 24% of its forest loss in 2023. Deforestation is highly concentrated, with 5% of settlements responsible for 65% of the deforested area between 2017 and 2023. Evidence suggests that forest loss is driven by external actors rather than resident settlers, as 75% of vegetation loss in these areas involves plots larger than 6.25 hectares, a pattern inconsistent with small-scale family farming. The report highlights that three INCRA regional superintendencies—Santarém, Amazonas, and Southern Pará—account for 63% of deforestation in settled areas. It recommends that the Ministry of the Environment and Climate Change (MMA), IBAMA, and INCRA implement targeted action plans for these priority settlements to enhance conservation effectiveness.
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Document type: Report
ONDE ESTAMOS NA IMPLEMENTAÇÃO DO CÓDIGO FLORESTAL?
This document is an annex listing the federal and state legislation consulted for a 2024 report titled "ONDE ESTAMOS NA IMPLEMENTAÇÃO DO CÓDIGO FLORESTAL?" (Where are we in the implementation of the Forest Code?). It provides a comprehensive bibliography of laws, decrees, normative instructions, and resolutions related to the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR) and the Environmental Regularization Program (PRA) across various Brazilian states.
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Document type: Report
Governança das Concessões Florestais na Amazônia
The report examines the implementation of the Public Forest Management Law (LGFP) in the Amazon, highlighting that federal and state concessions have fallen short of 2006 targets. Focusing on Pará, the study identifies governance failures—including frequent annulment of bidding processes, non-concession of areas, and contract terminations—driven by poor technical capacity and restrictive legal limits on the size and number of areas a single company can manage. It recommends enhancing staff training and removing legal restrictions on concession scale to attract more qualified operators.
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Document type: Policy brief
Governance of Forest Concessions in the Amazon
The document examines the implementation of the Public Forest Management Law (LGFP) in the Amazon, noting that federal and state concessions have fallen short of targets. Focusing on Pará, the study identifies governance failures—including annulled bids, non-conceded areas, and terminated contracts—driven by administrative errors and restrictive legal limits on concession size and quantity. It recommends enhancing the training of public officials and removing legal caps on the area a single company can manage to attract more qualified operators.
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Document type: Policy brief
Implementação do Código Florestal em Roraima: redução de reserva legal de 80% para 50% pode acelerar o desmatamento no estado
The report examines the implementation of the Brazilian Forest Code in Roraima, specifically the reduction of Legal Reserve requirements from 80% to 50% following the 2022 Ecological-Economic Zoning (ZEE-RR). It argues that this reduction, while legally permissible under certain conditions, acts as an 'invitation to deforestation' and risks setting a precedent for other Amazonian states like Amapá and Amazonas. The document highlights that approximately two million hectares in Roraima could lose legal protection, potentially releasing 267 million tonnes of carbon. It also notes that much of the state's public conservation units may lack the necessary land tenure regularization required by federal law to justify such a reduction.
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Document type: Report
FIGHTING DEFORESTATION IN THE AMAZON
The report identifies that deforestation in the Amazon biome is heavily concentrated in federal public areas and private properties, with a significant acceleration in both since 2019. It argues that the federal government should prioritize rural settlements and the regularization of undesignated public forests, while state governments should focus on implementing the Forest Code on private lands. The analysis emphasizes that coordination between these two levels of government is essential for territorial ordering and effective environmental enforcement.
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Document type: Report
Onde estamos na implementação do Código Florestal: radiografia do CAR e do PRA nos estados brasileiros
The report assesses the progress of the Brazilian Forest Code's implementation in 2022, highlighting a heterogeneous landscape where registration (CAR) is advanced but analysis and regularization (PRA) remain significant bottlenecks. While states like São Paulo and Espírito Santo show leadership in analysis, only 2% of national registries have completed analysis. The document identifies critical gaps in the registration of traditional territories and the slow adoption of the PRA, while noting that some states are integrating CAR data with deforestation alerts to enforce compliance.
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Document type: Executive summary
Where Does Brazil Stand and Where is it Heading in the Implementation of the Forest Code: Opportunities for the New Lula Administration
The report provides a comprehensive snapshot of the implementation of Brazil's Forest Code (Law no. 12,651/2012), focusing on the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR) and the Environmental Compliance Program (PRA). While registration in the CAR is largely consolidated, the analysis of this data remains a critical bottleneck, with only 2% of national registrations fully analyzed. The document identifies significant disparities between states, noting that a few, such as Acre, Mato Grosso, and Pará, have completed all implementation stages, while others like Pernambuco, Piauí, and Roraima have stagnated. Key challenges include institutional gaps, lack of technical resources for forest restoration, and the illegal use of CAR for land grabbing on public lands. To address these, the authors recommend a national implementation plan, strengthening the SICAR IT infrastructure, adopting dynamic analysis tools, and aligning the Forest Code with rural credit incentives and anti-deforestation policies.
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Document type: Report
Guidelines to Assess the Direct and Indirect Area of Influence of Transportation Infrastructure Projects
The guide details a market access methodology that shifts from simple geographical distance buffers to a model incorporating transportation costs, market size, and land conversion data. By converting infrastructure networks into graphs, the approach can simulate how new roads or bridges change market connectivity and subsequently drive deforestation. The document includes a practical example in Amapá, Brazil, demonstrating how a fictional road could lead to an estimated 368 km2 of deforestation and 17 million tons of CO2 emissions.
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Document type: Guide
Diretrizes para Avaliação da Área de Influência Direta e Indireta de Projetos de Infraestrutura de Transporte
The guide details a methodology that moves beyond simple geographic distance to assess the 'area of influence' of infrastructure by analyzing how projects change market access. It combines transport costs, market size, and deforestation data into a statistical model to estimate ex-ante environmental risks.
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Document type: Guide
Onde Estamos e Para Onde Vamos na Implementação do Código Florestal
The policy brief provides a detailed 'radiography' of the implementation of the Brazilian Forest Code, focusing on the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR) and the Environmental Regularization Program (PRA). It identifies a significant gap between the initial registration of properties and the final stage of environmental regularization, noting that while registration is consolidated, the analysis of data remains a primary bottleneck. The authors highlight extreme heterogeneity among states, with a few leaders like Mato Grosso and Pará, and others remaining stagnant. The document outlines systemic challenges across individual, institutional, technical-economic, and legal dimensions and recommends a national implementation plan, strengthening of the SICAR system, and better integration with agricultural credit and anti-deforestation policies.
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Document type: Policy brief
Coordenação Estratégica para o Combate ao Desmatamento na Amazônia
The report analyzes deforestation in the Amazon biome from 2012 to 2021, highlighting that federal public lands and private areas accounted for 45% and 28% of deforestation, respectively. It argues for a coordinated strategy where the federal government focuses on rural settlements and land tenure regularization, while state governments prioritize the implementation of the Forest Code on private lands. The study emphasizes a recent acceleration of deforestation in federal lands and areas without land tenure information, particularly from 2019 onwards, and calls for improved public data integration to enhance transparency and effectiveness.
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Document type: Report