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Submission to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development on Investment Agreements and Climate Change
The submission argues that current international investment agreements and the ISDS system create a 'regulatory chill' that discourages states from implementing urgent climate policies. It highlights the risk of fossil fuel companies using ISDS to secure massive payouts for 'stranded assets' and recommends that the OECD support multilateral termination of old treaties, the removal of protections for carbon-intensive investments, and the creation of climate-related carve-outs.
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Document type: Report
Gas Pressure: Exploring the case for gas-fired power in South Africa
The report argues that South Africa does not need new gas-fired power generation until at least 2035, if ever, due to the falling costs of renewables and battery storage. It warns that current government momentum toward gas-to-power, including the RMI4P program and proposed LNG terminals, risks creating stranded assets and increasing electricity costs for consumers. The authors recommend a moratorium on gas-to-power development, focusing instead on rapid renewable deployment and energy efficiency.
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Document type: Report
Indonesia’s Energy Policy Briefing
The document analyzes Indonesia's energy landscape, highlighting a projected increase in LPG subsidies to IDR 66.3 trillion in 2022 and a decline in diesel subsidies. It examines the National Electricity Supply Business Plan (RUPTL) 2021–2030, noting that while it targets a 24.8% renewable energy share by 2030, coal remains dominant. The briefing also discusses the challenges of coal phase-out, the introduction of a carbon tax, and the gap between Indonesia's COP 26 commitments and its actual NDC targets.
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Document type: Briefing
Exploring the Potential Role of the IMF in Supporting South Africa’s Just Transition
The report examines the intersection of the IMF's expanding climate mandate and South Africa's transition from a coal-dependent economy. It highlights the risks of the IMF's traditional austerity-driven policy toolkit and recommends a more inclusive, transparent approach that prioritizes social justice and long-term stability over short-term fiscal consolidation.
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Document type: Report
Submission on the Gas Master Plan, 2022
Natural Justice argues that South Africa's Gas Master Plan is incompatible with the country's climate commitments and the Climate Change Bill. The submission highlights risks including fugitive methane emissions, fossil fuel dependency, and the potential for inadequate compensation for land expropriation. It calls for a transition toward renewable energy, the adoption of the 'free prior and informed consent' (FPIC) principle for affected communities, and a more transparent public participation process.
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Document type: Statement
Les récentes initiatives de l’Union européenne (UE) pour mettre en place un mécanisme d’ajustement carbone aux frontières touchant certains produits ont mis de l’avant ce type de mesures, les faisant passer de la théorie à la pratique
The document discusses the transition of carbon border adjustments (CBAs) from theory to practice, driven by initiatives in the European Union, Canada, and the United States. It emphasizes the necessity of international cooperation to improve design, counter protectionism, and encourage global climate action. Specifically, it examines two axes of cooperation: understanding equivalent carbon policies and evaluating system equivalences through legal and fair frameworks. The text recommends expanding discussions within the WTO, utilizing multilateral alliances, establishing best-practice working groups, and developing information documents on the average cost of carbon pricing programs.
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Document type: Executive summary
South Africa’s Energy Fiscal Policies
The report finds that South Africa's energy fiscal policies are largely misaligned with its climate goals, with fossil fuel subsidies totaling ZAR 172 billion in FY 2020/21. These subsidies, particularly Eskom bailouts and carbon tax exemptions, outweigh the ZAR 100.5 billion in fossil fuel revenues. The social costs of fossil fuel combustion—estimated at a minimum of ZAR 550 billion annually—far exceed both revenues and subsidies. While the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme (REIPPPP) has successfully lowered renewable energy costs, investment has been hindered by political opposition and Eskom's financial instability. The report recommends tying bailouts to transition reforms, phasing out carbon tax exemptions, and using fossil fuel tax revenues to support vulnerable households and a just transition.
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Document type: Report
Race to sustainability?
The report analyzes Egypt's path to 2050, highlighting critical risks from rapid population growth (projected to reach 150 million) and severe water shortages expected by 2025. It identifies systemic economic issues, including a large informal sector and high youth unemployment, alongside health crises driven by non-communicable diseases. Through the International Futures (IFs) platform, the authors simulate seven sectoral interventions—covering demography, economy, governance, energy, health, education, and agriculture—concluding that a combined policy push could nearly double the economy's size and significantly reduce extreme poverty by 2050.
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Document type: Report
Climate Change’s Four Irelands: An Audience Segmentation Analysis
The report identifies four stable audience segments in Ireland: the Alarmed (34%), Concerned (48%), Cautious (14%), and Doubtful (4%). While belief that climate change is happening is high across all groups, significant differences exist regarding its causes, perceived urgency, and support for restrictive policies. A key finding is a widespread lack of climate literacy, with all segments underestimating the carbon impact of dietary choices and overestimating the impact of small actions like using reusable bags. Trust in scientists remains high across all groups, including the Doubtful.
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Document type: Report
Climate Change’s Four Irelands: An Audience Segmentation Analysis
The report segments the Irish adult population into four groups: the Alarmed (36%), Concerned (48%), Cautious (12%), and Doubtful (3%). These groups differ significantly in their level of worry, perceived risk, and willingness to take personal action, though a broad majority of the population supports government climate policies, particularly those framed as redistributive and fair.
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Document type: Report
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE MARKET INTELLIGENCE REPORT
The 2022 Sustainable Agriculture Market Intelligence Report by GreenCape outlines key investment opportunities in South Africa's agricultural sector, focusing on energy efficiency, renewable energy, regenerative agriculture, controlled environment agriculture (CEA), smart farming, and electric equipment. It highlights the dual nature of the South African agricultural economy and the specific role of the Western Cape as a greentech hub. The report details the drivers for sustainable transition, such as rising input costs and resource scarcity, and examines the impact of national policies like the Carbon Tax Act and international strategies such as the EU's Farm to Fork strategy.
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Document type: Report
ENERGY SERVICES MARKET INTELLIGENCE REPORT
The South African energy services market is expanding due to rising electricity costs, energy insecurity, and falling technology prices. The market is segmented into small-scale embedded generation (SSEG), energy storage, and energy efficiency, with a total available market estimated at R131 billion by 2035. Key opportunities include rooftop solar PV for commercial and industrial (C&I) and agricultural sectors, behind-the-meter battery storage, and innovative energy efficiency models like Cooling-as-a-Service (CaaS). The Western Cape is highlighted as a leading regional hub due to its supportive municipal policies and high uptake of SSEG.
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Document type: Report
ELECTRIC VEHICLES: MIR 2022
The report examines South Africa's transition from an internal combustion engine (ICE) automotive hub to an electric mobility market. It identifies key investment opportunities in public transport electrification, lithium-ion battery (LIB) production, passenger vehicle manufacturing, and industrial EV use in mining and construction. While South Africa has a strong existing automotive manufacturing base and significant mineral reserves for batteries, the EV market is hindered by high import duties, a lack of targeted subsidies, and a skills gap. The report emphasizes the risk of losing export markets as the UK and EU phase out ICE vehicles, while highlighting the Western Cape as an emerging greentech hub.
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Document type: Report
BLUEPRINT FOR SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL (SAF) PRODUCTION POTENTIAL IN SOUTH AFRICA
South Africa has the technical potential to produce 3.2 to 4.5 billion litres of SAF annually, depending on the use of green hydrogen. The most cost-efficient route is the first-generation (1G) alcohol-to-jet (AtJ) pathway using sugarcane A-molasses, while the largest volume potential comes from invasive alien plants (IAPs) and garden waste via gasification and Fischer-Tropsch (GFT) synthesis. A domestic SAF industry could create over 100,000 direct green jobs, improve the national balance of trade by up to R159.5 billion per year, and provide alternative livelihoods for coal truckers in mining regions.
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Document type: Report
KLIMAATSAKSIE HANDBOEK
The 'Klimaatsaksie Handboek' is a practical guide designed to empower South African communities to combat climate change using legal tools. It explains the science of climate change, identifies specific vulnerabilities and potential impacts—such as water scarcity and food insecurity—and outlines a framework for 'climate action.' The document details South Africa's constitutional rights, relevant environmental legislation, and international commitments. It provides a step-by-step toolkit for community organizing, including methods for gathering evidence, accessing government information via PAIA, participating in Environmental Impact Assessments, lobbying, and taking legal action as a last resort.
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Document type: Guide
CLIMATE ACTION HANDBOOK
The Climate Action Handbook is a guide designed to empower South African communities to respond to climate change by combining scientific understanding with legal action. It defines climate vulnerability and resilience, outlines South Africa's specific climate risks and legal framework—including constitutional rights and environmental legislation—and provides a ten-step practical framework for community-led climate action, ranging from advocacy and information gathering to formal legal proceedings.
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Document type: Guide
COP26: The many shades of activism
Carbon Market Watch advocates for a dual approach to carbon market activism, combining the exposure of 'brazen greenwashing'—such as 'carbon-neutral fossil fuels'—with active participation in governance bodies like the TSVCM and VCMI to ensure human rights and accounting integrity.
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Document type: Statement
Multilateral Development Banks must urgently align with the Paris Agreement
Recourse urges Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) to stop all direct and indirect fossil fuel financing and to commit to ambitious climate finance targets at COP26. The statement argues that current pledges, such as the MDBs' $175 billion commitment by 2025, are inadequate. It specifically criticizes the World Bank for promoting gas as a transition fuel through Development Policy Finance, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) for a portfolio where fossil fuel spending nearly doubles renewable energy spending, and the Asian Development Bank (ADB) for approving nearly $5 billion in gas project financing since the Paris Agreement. Recourse also calls for the World Bank to match the African Development Bank's pledge of 75 million new off-grid connections by 2025 to address energy deficits in Sub-Saharan Africa.
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Document type: Statement
Securing Sustainable Financing for Conservation Areas
The document outlines the Project Finance for Permanence (PFP) model, a holistic approach designed to secure policy changes and full funding for large-scale conservation goals over a long-term timeframe. It details a five-phase development process—identification, assessment, readiness, design, and implementation—and emphasizes the necessity of a shared vision, a robust financial model, and independent fund administration. The guide provides specific case studies from Brazil (ARPA for Life), Colombia (Heritage Colombia), and Peru (Peru’s Natural Legacy), illustrating how transition funds and sustainable financing mechanisms are used to move from donor dependency to national financial sustainability.
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Document type: Guide
Asegurando el financiamiento sostenible para áreas de conservación
The document outlines the Project Finance for Permanence (PFP) model, a holistic approach to securing long-term ecological, social, political, organizational, and financial sustainability for conservation areas. It details a five-phase process—identification, evaluation, preparation, design, and implementation—and emphasizes the need for a shared vision, a robust financial model, and independent fund management. The guide provides specific case studies from the Amazon Sustainable Landscapes Program, including ARPA for Life in Brazil, Herencia Colombia, and Patrimonio Natural del Perú, illustrating how these frameworks are applied to protect millions of hectares of biodiversity.
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Document type: Guide