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This report section analyzes the impact of commodity dependence on African economies, detailing the 'resource curse' where heavy reliance on raw material exports correlates with poor governance, political corruption, and slow economic growth. It contrasts the development trajectories of resource-rich and resource-poor nations and discusses the role of sovereign wealth funds and the global energy transition in shaping future demand.

This introduction to a special report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Algeria's socio-economic and political challenges leading up to 2040. It highlights a projected modest GDP growth rate of 1.8% between 2020 and 2040, which the authors argue is insufficient to improve livelihoods given the country's dependence on hydrocarbons, high unemployment, and a state-led economic system. The document emphasizes the urgent need for comprehensive structural reforms to address governance issues, climate change impacts on agriculture, and regional security threats.

This policy brief summarises the book 'Africa First!' by Jakkie Cilliers, which analyses Africa's current development trajectory and proposes a roadmap to 2040. It argues that while human well-being indicators are improving, Africa is diverging further from the rest of the world in terms of average income and economic productivity due to an unproductive economic structure, slow demographic transition, and a lack of basic infrastructure.

This case study assesses the economic impacts of climate change on agricultural production in three villages within the Karamoja region of Uganda: Oryeotyene North ward (Abim district), Nakayot (Napak district), and Lopedot (Amudat district). The report analyzes recent losses from droughts and floods, projects future production losses up to 2050, and evaluates adaptation strategies to improve resilience for crop and livestock farming.

This research paper analyzes the treatment of climate damages within the FUND model, specifically focusing on its agricultural projections and the technical validity of its temperature-yield equations.

This policy brief, produced by the Stockholm Environment Institute in partnership with the business leaders' initiative 3C, examines the role of biomass in transitioning to a low-carbon economy by 2035. It argues that while biomass is a promising renewable energy source, it is constrained by physical limits and competing needs for food and materials. The document evaluates four future scenarios, concluding that a 'Sustainability Transition'—which balances climate mitigation with sustainable agricultural productivity—offers the most viable path for economic growth and environmental stability.