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REDIRECTING MOMENTUM AMIDST GEOPOLITICAL UNCERTAINTY
The San Giorgio Group's 11th meeting focused on redirecting climate finance strategies amidst geopolitical uncertainty. Key recommendations include empowering National Development Banks (NDBs) to leverage domestic capital, reforming Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) to prioritize private capital mobilization over direct project finance, and scaling adaptation finance through better insurance coordination and risk reduction. The group emphasizes shifting the climate narrative from 'doom and gloom' to one of economic opportunity and 'kitchen-table issues' to better engage policymakers and citizens. A concrete 2025 agenda includes launching 10-15 additional country platforms, operationalizing the Baku-to-Belem Roadmap for the New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG), and creating a network of insurance regulators for climate.
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Document type: Executive summary
Climate Obstruction in the UNFCCC
The document identifies 14 distinct tactics of climate obstruction used during UNFCCC negotiations, ranging from overt rejection to subtle procedural delays. It argues that obstruction is unevenly distributed, with wealthier and fossil-fuel-producing nations exercising disproportionate influence. The brief maps these tactics across negotiation stages and predicts their likely application at COP30 in areas such as the Global Goal on Adaptation, fossil fuel phase-outs, and climate finance.
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Document type: Policy brief
Increased climate resilience of rural households and communities through the rehabilitation of production landscapes in selected localities of the Republic of Cuba (IRES)
The IRES project in Cuba is on track to achieve its expected results, though implementation of productive landscape modules is significantly behind schedule due to COVID-19, procurement delays, and fuel shortages. The project has successfully strengthened institutional capacities, improved governance, and contributed to national policy reforms. While it has a strong gender focus, the evaluation recommends moving toward a more gender-transformative approach to better capture and empower women's leadership and economic roles. The project is currently meeting its greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets, but requires improved monitoring and reporting capacities.
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Document type: Report
African cities are key to dealing with climate loss and damage
African cities face extreme climate vulnerability, with 83% rated at 'extreme risk', yet they are largely bypassed by the global climate financial architecture. The document highlights that while cities generate 80% of global GDP and are first responders in disasters, they are not parties to international conventions like the UNFCCC. It urges cities to conduct comprehensive vulnerability assessments—including non-economic loss and damage—and to leverage city networks and multi-level governance to access the Fund for responding to Loss and Damage (FRLD), the Warsaw International Mechanism, and the Santiago Network. The brief recommends that national governments integrate urban loss and damage into Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) to improve funding access and implementation.
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Document type: Policy brief
Forging Africa’s path to COP30 and beyond
The document argues that the COP29 finance goal of US$300 billion is insufficient, covering less than 4.3% of projected global needs, and that Africa receives less than 3% of total global finance for developing countries. It highlights a critical imbalance where only 36% of Africa's climate finance is dedicated to adaptation. The brief calls for African nations to transition from passive actors to co-creators at COP30, advocating for the 'Baku to Belém Roadmap' to reach US$1.3 trillion and demanding that finance be grant-based, accessible, and channeled through African institutions. It also notes the negative impact of the US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement and the need for more inclusive participation for least developed countries in UN negotiations.
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Document type: Policy brief
Progress and Learning Report 2024
The NAP Global Network's 2024 report details its progress in supporting developing countries with National Adaptation Plan (NAP) processes through technical assistance, South-South peer learning, and knowledge production. The Network has supported 70 countries to date, with over 60% of technical assistance directed toward Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and Small Island Developing States (SIDS). Key 2024 achievements include the launch of a new peer learning strategy, the publication of over 180 knowledge products, and the implementation of a monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL) framework. The report highlights specific 'stories of change' in countries like Costa Rica, Rwanda, and Côte d’Ivoire, demonstrating the transition from planning to implementation and the integration of gender and social inclusion.
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Document type: Report
Submission on South Africa’s Draft Second NDC (2025) — Ensuring Ambition Is Paired With Rights-Based Delivery
Natural Justice assesses South Africa's 2025 draft NDC, acknowledging progress in absolute emissions targets but warning that these are undermined by over-reliance on international conditionality and a lack of concrete implementation plans. The submission argues that the draft fails to meet the 'highest possible ambition' standard set by the ICJ, citing gaps in adaptation financing, the exclusion of natural disturbance emissions from accounting, and the absence of a clear fossil fuel phase-out schedule. It recommends integrating a Human Rights-Based Approach (HRBA), establishing a grant-based Loss and Damage facility funded partly by a tax on fossil fuel profits, and mandating Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC) for all climate projects.
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Document type: Statement
2025 GLOBAL FORUM REPORT
The 2025 Global Forum in Bridgetown, Barbados, brought together over 1,300 participants to advance a just energy transition and end energy poverty, resulting in the Barbados Declaration and over $500 million in new financial commitments for clean energy in the Global South.
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Document type: Report
Production Gap Report 2025
The Production Gap Report 2025 finds that governments are planning more fossil fuel production than in 2023, with projected 2030 levels exceeding 1.5°C-consistent pathways by over 120%. While some countries are advancing clean energy transitions, 17 of 20 profiled major producers still plan to increase the production of at least one fossil fuel by 2030, undermining global climate commitments.
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Document type: Executive summary
CICLO DE AMBICIÓN DEL ACUERDO DE PARÍS
The document describes the Paris Agreement's 'ambition cycle' as a four-stage iterative process: formulation of long-term strategies (LTS) and Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), implementation, monitoring via Biennial Transparency Reports (BTRs), and collective evaluation through the Global Stocktake (GST). It emphasizes the need for alignment between short-term NDCs and long-term net-zero goals, while warning against over-reliance on carbon markets and carbon capture technologies. The guide provides a national implementation roadmap and case studies from Costa Rica, the United Kingdom, Colombia, and Panama to illustrate best practices in climate governance and transparency.
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Document type: Guide
The bridge to net zero matters more than the destination
The study finds that current net-zero targets are not 'entirely zero', with remaining emissions averaging 21% of 2019 levels. It highlights a significant misalignment between long-term goals and current actions, noting that emissions under current policies are decreasing by only 0.2% per year, far below the -3.8% annual reduction rate required from 2030 to meet net-zero targets.
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Document type: Research paper
letter-to-president-von-der-leyen_gmp-leadership-30ac3e51240ffae4.pdf
A coalition of non-profits calls on the European Commission to maintain leadership of the Global Methane Pledge (GMP) amid uncertainty regarding U.S. commitment. The letter advocates for the EU to implement its Methane Regulation, transition away from industrial animal agriculture, include a methane target in its NDC, and mobilise public grants for developing countries, noting that 111 of the 159 GMP signatories are official development assistance recipients.
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Document type: Statement
Peru's Roadmap to Develop and Operationalize Its Monitoring and Evaluation System for Adaptation
Peru is implementing a four-phase roadmap to operationalize a monitoring and evaluation (M&E) system for its climate change adaptation efforts. The system tracks 84 adaptation measures across seven priority sectors: water, agriculture, fisheries and aquaculture, forest, health, tourism, and transport. A central feature of the system is the alignment between the national adaptation plan (NAP), the nationally determined contribution (NDC), and other national policies, with NAP measures being derived from the NDC.
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Document type: Briefing
Policy Incoherence and Deforestation in Colombia
The document examines policy incoherence regarding deforestation in Colombia, highlighting how vested interests in mining and agriculture, institutional rigidity, and a lack of community involvement undermine conservation efforts. While most policies show positive interactions, current mining laws and military strategies like Operation Artemisa create significant trade-offs and social conflict.
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Document type: Policy brief
Renforcer l’adaptation Harmoniser le plan national d’adaptation avec les contributions déterminées au niveau national
The document analyzes the synergy between NAPs and NDCs, finding that while most countries show partial alignment, the 2025 NDC update offers a strategic opportunity to better integrate adaptation priorities, improve data quality, and attract international finance.
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Document type: Briefing
Promoting Human Rights in Climate Action: Report from the Baku Climate Conference COP29
The report argues that COP29 failed to advance human rights-based climate action, citing a weak new climate finance goal, the operationalization of flawed carbon markets, and a restrictive civic environment in the host country. It highlights the removal of references to the right to a healthy environment and the lack of progress on just transition and gender justice, calling for stronger legal obligations and human rights safeguards in future UNFCCC processes.
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Document type: Report
Climate Finance Roadmaps
The Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) proposes a structured approach to create Climate Finance Roadmaps that match the risk profiles of specific regions and sectors with the preferences and capacities of public and private investors. The framework moves from identifying financing gaps and assessing investment risks to determining the necessary capital mix and estimating future finance flows. It aims to provide actionable guidance for policymakers and capital allocators to mobilize finance at scale, particularly in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) and underserved sectors like agriculture and industry.
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Document type: Guide
Climate Investment Planning and Mobilization Framework
The Climate Investment Planning and Mobilization Framework, developed by the NDC Partnership and the Green Climate Fund, outlines a six-stage process to bridge the gap between climate planning and implementation. It is structured into two main pillars: Investment Planning (Stages 1-3) and Finance Mobilization (Stages 4-6). The framework emphasizes the integration of financial planning with policymaking, the use of evidence-based decision-making, and the creation of enabling environments to attract public, private, and blended finance. It highlights the critical role of central coordination, stakeholder engagement, and iterative feedback loops to ensure that climate investments are socially just, sustainable, and aligned with Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), National Adaptation Plans (NAPs), and Long-Term Low-Emission Development Strategies (LT-LEDS).
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Document type: Guide
Fossil Fuel Production, Renewable Energy, and Subsidy Reform in Nationally Determined Contributions 3.0
The policy brief outlines three critical benchmarks for 1.5 °C-aligned NDCs: tripling renewable energy capacity and doubling energy efficiency by 2030, phasing out new fossil fuel projects with production declines of 65-95% by 2050, and eliminating fossil fuel subsidies by 2025 for G7 nations and 2030 for others. It highlights a significant 'production gap' where major producers plan to increase output despite climate imperatives. The authors recommend that new NDCs include quantitative phase-out targets, commitments to no new exploration licenses, and national roadmaps for subsidy reform that prioritize social protection and clean energy investment.
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Document type: Policy brief
Advancing Adaptation Action
The document analyzes the synergy between NAPs and NDCs, proposing a continuum of alignment from 'no alignment' to 'full alignment'. It finds that while most countries exhibit partial alignment, the timing of document submission significantly impacts coherence. It urges countries to use the 2025 NDC update to integrate detailed NAP findings, including costs and capacity gaps, to improve adaptation ambition and attract international finance.
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Document type: Briefing