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AFRICA LEAPFROGGING FUTURES: THEMATIC FUTURES
The document defines development leapfrogging as the ability of developing economies to skip intermediate technological stages and move directly to advanced systems. It argues that Africa is uniquely positioned for this due to limited legacy infrastructure, which reduces 'path dependency' and allows for the adoption of decentralised and digital solutions. Key examples include mobile finance, solar mini-grids, and the use of AI in agriculture and health. However, the document notes that full realisation of this potential depends on enabling conditions such as regulatory frameworks, digital infrastructure, and skilled human capital.
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Document type: Research paper
Navigating Climate Change in the Indigenous Economic Ecosystem
The document examines Quw’utsun Kw’atl’kwa Enterprises (QKE), a commercial fishing business owned by the Cowichan Tribes in British Columbia. It analyzes how the enterprise navigates the intersection of global warming, industrial pressures, and regulatory restrictions using the Nuu-chah-nulth principle of Tsawalk (interconnectedness). The study finds that while some salmon species are recovering, others like chum have reached lows not seen since the 1960s, threatening the economic and cultural viability of the community. QKE is adapting by diversifying its catch to include crab and ground fish and integrating Indigenous knowledge with Western science. The report recommends comprehensive environmental impact assessments, ecosystem mapping, and the establishment of climate-resilient partnership programs involving government and Indigenous stakeholders.
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Document type: Case study
Climate change, migration and justice
This report by the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) examines the complex nexus of climate change, migration, and justice. It argues that climate change acts as a risk multiplier that interacts with socio-economic and political factors rather than being a sole driver of migration. The document identifies eight key challenges—including the oversimplification of the climate-conflict-migration link, the risks of instrumentalizing migration as adaptation, and the impacts of slow-onset events—and proposes interdisciplinary, rights-based solutions. SEI highlights its strengths in analyzing transboundary climate impacts, conducting grounded comparative research to shift power dynamics, and fostering global cooperation for sustainable livelihoods through tools like AidAtlas and Trase.
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Document type: Report
Behind the Curtain: Unveiling Pro-Kremlin Ecosystems in Europe
The report identifies a highly interlinked ecosystem on Telegram where pro-Kremlin narratives permeate conspiracy and radical communities in Europe. It finds that while pro-Kremlin and conspiracy groups are strongly connected across France, Germany, and Italy, the level of interaction with far-right groups varies by country, being stronger in France and Germany than in Italy. The study highlights the role of Russian state-affiliated channels and influencers, such as Alina Lipp, in bridging ideological divides and amplifying disinformation, particularly regarding the Russia-Ukraine war and COVID-19.
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Document type: Report
PUBLIC PARTICIPATION AND MUNICIPAL PLANNING IN SOUTH AFRICA
The report identifies systemic failures in South African municipal public participation, where the IDP process is often viewed as a 'compliance exercise' rather than meaningful engagement. Key findings highlight the dysfunction of ward committees due to political interference and poor resourcing, a 'crisis of communication' between municipalities and residents, and a lack of accountability in performance management. It recommends moving beyond tokenistic participation toward a culture of transparency, improved civic education, and the professionalisation of the political-administrative interface to restore community trust and improve service delivery.
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Document type: Report
Exploring the impact of arts engagement on climate anxiety and to mobilise climate action in young people
The study examines the role of arts engagement in addressing climate anxiety and mobilising action among young people. Using a qualitative mixed-method approach and inductive thematic analysis, the research found that arts engagement positively impacts self-efficacy, climate hope, and mobilisation by providing a medium for expression and processing. The author suggests that both climate and arts organisations can leverage these findings to support young people in coping with climate-related emotions.
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Document type: Research paper
What do Americans think is the biggest threat from global warming?
Based on a March 2021 survey of 1,037 U.S. adults, the report finds that 'Weather extremes and changes' is the most commonly cited threat of global warming, mentioned by 20% of respondents. Perceptions of these threats vary significantly by political affiliation, with Democrats more likely to cite extreme weather and inaction, while Republicans are more likely to view climate action itself as a threat or believe global warming is not a threat. Other identified concerns include pollution, environmental harms, and food and water shortages.
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Document type: Report
Ethics in Peace Negotiations Roles and Considerations According to Experts
The document explores how ethics functions within peace negotiations, arguing that while often implicit or subordinated to power and strategy, ethical considerations significantly impact the process. Using the 'situated holism framework'—which analyzes positions, participants, practices, procedures, and principles—the author identifies key ethical dilemmas, such as the tradeoff between immediate peace and long-term justice, the legitimacy of including controversial stakeholders, and the tension between a negotiator's mandate and the urgency of reaching an agreement. The findings suggest that ethics in this field is often a matter of 'principled realism,' where normative concerns coexist with realpolitik.
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Document type: Research paper
SOUTH AFRICA FOOD LOSS AND WASTE IN FARMING
The report examines food wastage at the primary production level in South Africa, identifying environmental factors as the primary cause of food loss and behavioural issues as a key driver of food waste. It highlights a critical lack of baseline data, with fewer than 40% of surveyed farmers measuring their waste. While farmers are motivated by financial viability and moral responsibility to reduce waste, they face significant logistical, financial, and regulatory barriers, including high transport costs and strict export standards. The document recommends the development of centralised redistribution contacts and validated waste-tracking tools to help South Africa meet SDG 12.3.
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Document type: Report
South Africa’s 4IR Strategy
The analysis concludes that South Africa's 4IR strategy is uniquely home-grown and driven by socioeconomic development, although it shares commonalities with the US and China regarding the central role of government and a focus on cybersecurity. While South Africa consulted US organizations like Amazon and Cisco during its strategy formulation, it does not lean excessively toward either superpower, nor was it significantly influenced by the US-China trade war. A key distinction is that South Africa's approach is open-ended and developmental, whereas the US and China are more competitive, security-minded, and focused on a 2025 target date.
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Document type: Research paper
Visualizing connections: Mapping the landscape of adaptation research and practice through weADAPT
The CAMA project combined weADAPT's semantic tagging with Gephi visualization software to analyze the landscape of climate adaptation. By mapping relationships between organizations, keywords, and geography, the project identified 'hot topics', research gaps, and the role of bridging networks like SUMERNET in Southeast Asia. The analysis demonstrated how ICT tools can reveal patterns in complex datasets to inform strategic planning and identify potential collaborations for the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) in Africa and Asia.
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Document type: Research paper
Messages from the NYC People’s Climate March: An Analysis
The analysis of the 2014 People’s Climate March reveals that participants were primarily motivated by group affiliation, personal passion, and professional relevance. Key messages focused on replacing fossil fuels with clean energy, corporate accountability, and government influence. When associating global warming with specific imagery, participants frequently cited melting ice, floods, and catastrophe, while identifying solar power, people power, and carbon taxes as primary solutions.
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Document type: Executive summary
Riding the Sudanese Storm: China, India, Russia, Brazil and the Two Sudans
The document examines the role of 'emerging powers'—specifically China, India, Russia, and Brazil—in the two Sudans following the 2005 Comprehensive Peace Agreement and South Sudan's 2011 independence. It highlights China as the most dominant actor, particularly in the oil and infrastructure sectors, while India's role is significant but more limited. The analysis argues that the 'South-South cooperation' rhetoric used by these states masks a reality of extractive economic interests that reinforce Sudan's unbalanced political economy. The paper details how the 2011 secession of South Sudan stripped Sudan of 75% of its oil production, leading to economic decline and shifting the strategic focus of Asian investors. It also discusses the impact of conflicts in Darfur, South Kordofan, and Blue Nile on foreign investments and the role of these powers in peacekeeping and arms transfers.
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Document type: Research paper
AMPLIFYING ANTISEMITISM: How Recommender Algorithms serve harmful content to children
The research demonstrates that TikTok's algorithms can nudge users from benign lifestyle content toward antisemitic conspiracy theories and far-right tropes within hours. On Rumble, the 'Editor's Picks' section provides more direct exposure to overt antisemitism, including slurs and calls to violence, exacerbated by a lack of age-verification requirements. The report highlights the role of interactive features like stickers and sounds in amplifying hate and calls for systemic regulatory interventions by Ofcom to address passive exposure pathways.
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Document type: Report
Hopes and misguided expectations: How policy documents frame gender in efforts at preventing terrorism and violent extremism
The research examines the framing of gender in P/CVE policies from 2001 to 2017, identifying a dichotomy between a transformative approach to preventing women's radicalization and a traditionalist approach that instrumentalizes women's domestic roles as security assets. It finds that while women are heavily scrutinized as either victims or preventers, men's gendered roles are largely assumed and less analyzed, and there is a significant policy gap regarding far-right extremism in the global North.
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Document type: Research paper
Thematic analysis results for the WWF citizen science groundwater project in Cape Town
The report analyses survey data from 74 respondents in Cape Town regarding their use of boreholes and views on groundwater management. Key findings indicate that while many citizens use or consider boreholes to reduce reliance on municipal water and mitigate drought risks, there is strong support for regulating groundwater to prevent over-abstraction. The document also identifies a significant gap in the availability of local groundwater quality data and recommends the creation of a public information dashboard, preferably via a web page, to provide data on water quality, abstraction amounts, and borehole registration.
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Document type: Report