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Nigeria in 2050
Nigeria faces severe developmental challenges including endemic corruption, insecurity, and an overdependence on oil exports. Projections indicate that without intervention, Nigeria will have the highest number of poor people globally by 2050. The report proposes a 'Super Nigeria' scenario combining improvements in governance, human capital, infrastructure, agriculture, and economic diversification to potentially make Nigeria the fifth largest economy globally by 2050.
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Document type: Report
A feminist approach to debt
The document examines the intersection of debt, capitalism, and patriarchy in Africa, arguing that neoliberal debt architectures and austerity measures externalise the costs of social reproduction onto women. It highlights how sovereign debt crises lead to cuts in public services, which in turn drives households toward predatory private lending and microfinance. The author calls for a systemic reform of the global financial architecture, including debt relief without conditionalities, progressive domestic resource mobilisation, and stricter regulation of predatory lending to protect vulnerable populations.
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Document type: Research paper
អត្ថថបទវិិភាគអំំពីីក្រ បខណ្ឌឌច្បាប់់ និិងបទពិិសោធន៍៍របស់់សហគមន៍៍តំំបន់់ការពារធម្មមជាតិិនៅព្រះរាជាណាចក្រកម្ពុុជា
The report examines the legal and operational challenges facing Community Protected Areas (CPAs) in Cambodia. It highlights critical issues such as insecure land tenure, complex and slow establishment processes, limited economic opportunities, and a lack of clear mechanisms for dispute resolution and benefit sharing. The document argues that while the legal framework recognizes community roles, it often lacks the specificity and flexibility needed to empower local and indigenous communities effectively, leaving them dependent on NGOs and vulnerable to powerful private interests.
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Document type: Report
State of Climate Action and the Scope for a Just Transition in Malawi
The report examines the 'just transition' in Malawi, focusing on agriculture and forestry. While Malawi's climate policies do not explicitly mention 'just transition', some elements of the NDC and Malawi 2063 align with it. However, risks exist, such as the potential for agricultural mechanisation and commercialisation to marginalise smallholders without secure land tenure. In forestry, efforts to curb illegal charcoal production may cause energy poverty and livelihood loss for the poor if alternative energy and income sources are not provided. The report emphasizes that external support is critical, as 78% of the NDC's emissions reductions are conditional.
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Document type: Report
POVERTY MAPPING OF THE OBUASI MUNICIPALITY AND OBUASI EAST DISTRICT
The report provides a comprehensive poverty profile of the Obuasi Municipality and Obuasi East District, highlighting a 'resource curse' where the presence of gold mining has not translated into widespread local prosperity. Key findings indicate high unemployment due to the loss of agricultural lands to mines, insufficient household incomes, and significant gender disparities in education and economic vulnerability. Environmental degradation, including water pollution and structural damage to homes from mining blasts, is prevalent. While AngloGold Ashanti has implemented some positive social interventions, such as malaria control and youth training, residents report limited direct employment and a lack of inclusive governance by local District Assemblies.
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Document type: Report
El ocaso del carbón y la necesidad de una transición justa en Colombia
The report analyzes the structural decline of Colombia's coal industry, highlighted by the 2020 crisis and the exit of companies like Prodeco. It emphasizes the extreme economic dependence of the Cesar and La Guajira regions on coal and warns that national and local actors are in a state of 'denial' regarding the sector's sunset. The authors propose a just transition based on seven principles, including active decarbonization, regional economic diversification, labor protections, and responsible mine closure regulations.
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Document type: Report
Si no es Feminista, no es Justa
The document critiques the current global energy system as a product of patriarchal extractivism and capitalism that disproportionately harms women, particularly in the Global South. It warns against 'greenwashing' (maquillaje verde) and 'purplewashing' (maquillaje violeta), where corporations use environmental and gender-equality narratives to mask continued exploitation. The authors advocate for a 'just and feminist energy transition' centered on the sustainability of life, public ownership, and the recognition of care work, rather than market-driven technological fixes.
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Document type: Report
Strengthening environmental policy in BiH with a gender equality, social equity and poverty reduction approach
The report analyzes how multidimensional inequality and poverty in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) intersect with environmental risks and policy. It finds that marginalized groups—including Roma communities, women, the elderly, and persons with disabilities—face disproportionate exposure to pollution and hazards, while social norms limit their access to natural resources. The document argues that environmental policies can either exacerbate these inequalities (e.g., through energy taxes) or mitigate them (e.g., through energy efficiency in social housing). It recommends collecting disaggregated data, increasing the representation of disadvantaged groups in decision-making, and implementing gender-responsive budgeting to ensure a more inclusive and effective environmental strategy.
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Document type: Report
Let Communities Choose
The report analyzes how Highland Park, Michigan, can transition to 100 percent locally generated clean energy to achieve energy sovereignty. It identifies a total average annual electricity demand of approximately 86,200 MWh and proposes a mix of rooftop solar, community solar, energy efficiency, distributed solar, and a community water and energy resource center (CWERC) to meet this need. The analysis highlights that current utility restrictions and state policies create long payback periods for solar investments, but a proposed policy scenario—including full retail-rate net metering and state tax credits—could increase rooftop solar's contribution from 13 percent to nearly 30 percent of the city's energy needs. The document concludes with recommendations for Michigan policymakers to eliminate distributed generation caps and for Highland Park leaders to enact solar ordinances and establish local financing mechanisms.
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Document type: Report
No mine is an island: shared infrastructure for social benefit in the African extractives industry
The document examines the historical tendency of extractive companies in Africa to build exclusive 'island mode' infrastructure, which limits integration with host economies and reinforces the 'resource curse'. It advocates for a transition toward shared-use infrastructure—such as power, rail, and ports—to convert natural resource depletion into broader societal assets. The author suggests that while 70% of resource infrastructure investment could be shared among operators and another 30% with the public, achieving this requires stronger local governance, new internal corporate competencies in socio-economic development, and government incentives like tax offsets to compensate companies for the costs of open access.
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Document type: Briefing
Development prospects for the Horn of Africa countries to 2040
The report assesses the development prospects of the Horn of Africa, highlighting how governance failure, insecurity, and climate-driven food instability hinder progress. It uses the International Futures platform to project that without intervention, no country in the region will eliminate extreme poverty by 2030. The analysis identifies a critical 'youth bulge' and severe infrastructure deficits in energy, transport, and water. To counter these trends, the authors propose an 'Integrated Development Push' scenario combining improved governance, agricultural modernisation, and investments in human capital and basic infrastructure to boost regional GDP and reduce poverty by 2040.
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Document type: Report
Plan énergie renouvelable pour une reprise juste en Afrique
The report advocates for a systemic shift in Africa's energy landscape, moving away from fossil fuels toward a decentralized, community-owned 100% renewable energy system by 2050. Based on modeling by Dr. Sven Teske, the plan suggests that achieving this goal requires an annual investment of approximately $130 billion. The document emphasizes that this transition would not only mitigate climate impacts and address severe energy poverty—where approximately half of sub-Saharan Africans lack electricity—but also create up to 7 million jobs by 2050. It calls for a 'just and feminist transition' that prioritizes gender equity and workers' rights. To fund the plan, the authors propose ending illicit financial flows, canceling African debt, and demanding that developed nations fulfill their climate finance obligations.
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Document type: Report
Decline of the United Kingdom's Steel Industry: Lessons from Industrial Transitions
The document analyzes the decline of the UK steel industry over 50 years, noting a workforce reduction from 320,000 in the early 1970s to 5-10% of that figure today. It identifies negative outcomes including job losses, environmental contamination, and barriers to reemployment such as wage differentials. The brief argues that local support organizations are insufficient and calls for wider regional economic development policies focused on diversification, supply-chain support, urban regeneration, and workforce upskilling.
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Document type: Briefing
Communities and Demographics
The lower Winnipeg River basin (LWRB) is a sparsely populated area characterized by low population density and significant seasonal population fluctuations due to cottage developments. Between 2011 and 2016, the population across six census subdivisions grew by 4%, from 11,839 to 12,292. While towns like Pinawa, Lac du Bonnet, and Powerview-Pine Falls have high occupancy rates for usual residents, rural municipalities like Alexander and Lac du Bonnet have less than half of their dwellings occupied by permanent residents. The region has a strong Indigenous presence, including the Fort Alexander First Nation/Sagkeeng Anicinabe and Métis people, who traditionally use the land and water for harvesting and spiritual activities.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Industries and Economic Activity
The lower Winnipeg River basin (LWRB) economy is driven by hydroelectric generation, tourism, and limited mining, with a history of forestry and ongoing agricultural activity. Hydroelectric stations provide approximately 10% of Manitoba Hydro's power, while the Tanco Mine is the only operational mine in the region. Tourism is a critical sector, with the broader Eastman region attracting 2.223 million visitors in 2015. While forestry is currently non-operational following a 2009 mill closure, Indigenous communities are exploring new commercial opportunities. The document emphasizes that future economic expansions in mining, forestry, and tourism must be reconciled with ecological and social priorities.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Developments in Paperless Trade: Implications for Zambia’s Small-Scale Cross-Border Traders
The document analyzes the gap between the digital goals of the WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA) and the actual capacities of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Zambia. It argues that while paperless trade and 'single window' systems aim to increase efficiency, low literacy rates and language barriers (reliance on English) create 'SPS-Plus' burdens that exclude many small-scale traders. The author recommends integrating digital skills training and AI-powered translation of trade requirements into local languages to ensure SMEs can benefit from the energy and economic transition toward a digital economy.
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Document type: Policy brief
DIE GEBROKE BELOFTE VAN BEKOSTIGBARE ENERGIE VIR ALMAL
The document examines the failure of South Africa's energy policies to ensure affordable electricity for the poor. It highlights that poor households spend up to 17% of their income on energy and identifies two main causes: the absence of a formal definition of 'affordable energy' and the systemic failure of municipalities to distribute Free Basic Electricity (FBE) grants. Specifically, in 2019, while the national budget funded basic services for 9.8 million households, only 2 million actually received free electricity, leaving 5.4 million eligible households without the benefit and resulting in a loss of R6 billion in value.
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Document type: Briefing
Ecosystem-Based Adaptation and Mitigation in Botswana’s Communal Rangelands
The Gender Action Plan for the 'Ecosystem-Based Adaptation and Mitigation in Botswana’s Communal Rangelands' project aims to integrate gender-responsive actions into rangeland restoration and livestock management. The project targets the restoration of 4.6 million hectares of degraded land and a 30% reduction in livestock emissions, while directly benefiting 160,000 people. It identifies systemic gender barriers, such as customary marriage laws affecting inheritance and the male-dominated kgotla decision-making system, and proposes targeted interventions including leadership training for women, childcare support for workers, and the employment of a full-time Gender Officer. The plan sets specific targets, such as ensuring over 40% of Stewardship Agreement signatories are women and employing 3,600 women as Ecorangers or Restoration Workers.
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Document type: Report
COOLING FOR ALL AND GENDER
The document analyzes how gender norms, poverty, and social structures exacerbate the vulnerabilities of women and girls to heat stress and limit their access to cooling services. It highlights specific risks in healthcare, domestic labor, and agriculture, while calling for sex-disaggregated data and gender-transformative policies to achieve universal sustainable cooling.
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Document type: Policy brief
Gender Equality: The Formula to Accelerate Implementation of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development
The document examines the systemic link between gender equality and sustainable development, asserting that discriminatory social norms and legal barriers hinder environmental and economic progress. It highlights the economic costs of gender inequality, the historical evolution of UN gender policies, and the specific benefits of women's leadership in climate-smart agriculture, renewable energy, and natural resource governance. The briefing concludes with recommendations for gender-responsive policies, increased funding for women-led organizations, and ensuring women's control over productive resources to meet the 2030 Agenda.
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Document type: Briefing