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TomorrowNow— Manitoba’s Green Plan: Toward a New Provincial Climate Change and Green Economy Plan Consultations Background Paper
The document outlines the context for Manitoba's transition to a new climate change and green economy plan, highlighting the province's emissions profile and the critical role of peatlands. It identifies transportation and agriculture as the largest emission sources and discusses the potential for peatlands to either sequester carbon or release GHGs depending on management. The paper also reviews climate policies in other jurisdictions and proposes principles for the new provincial strategy, emphasizing the integration of adaptation and mitigation.
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Document type: Briefing
SÄÄSTVA ARENGU FOORUM 2014: MEREMAJANDUS TUNDLIKUS LÄÄNEMERE KESKKONNAS
The document outlines the 'blue growth' strategy of the European Commission and its application to Estonia, focusing on sectors such as international shipping, fisheries, renewable energy, aquaculture, tourism, minerals, and biotechnology. It highlights the tension between economic expansion—such as the growth in cruise tourism and offshore wind potential—and the ecological vulnerability of the Baltic Sea, which faces pressures from pollution, overfishing, and habitat loss. The briefing emphasizes the necessity of maritime spatial planning to balance these competing interests by 2020-2021.
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Document type: Briefing
TomorrowNow— Manitoba’s Green Plan: Toward a New Provincial Climate Change and Green Economy Plan Consultations Background Paper
The document outlines the current state of greenhouse gas emissions in Manitoba, identifying the transportation sector as the largest source at 38% of total emissions in 2012. It highlights the vulnerability of provincial infrastructure to extreme weather, such as the CAD$1.2 billion cost of the 2011 flood and the instability of winter roads. The paper reviews climate policies from other jurisdictions—including electric vehicle programs in Vancouver and green trucking in Quebec—to provide a basis for developing a new integrated plan that balances mitigation and adaptation while fostering a green economy.
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Document type: Briefing
Production and Protection: A First Look at Key Challenges in Brazil
The report proposes a Production and Protection (P&P) strategy for Brazil to reconcile economic growth in agriculture with environmental conservation. It identifies significant within-region productivity gaps in cattle ranching, crop farming, and small-scale agriculture, suggesting that productivity gains can be achieved without further deforestation. Key barriers to these gains include limited access to credit, underdeveloped land rental markets, poor infrastructure, and gaps in technological diffusion. On the protection side, the report highlights the need to combat small-scale Amazon deforestation, enforce the Forest Code on private lands via the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR), and develop market-based incentives for biomes like the Cerrado.
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Document type: Report
Carbon pricing and its future role for energy-intensive industries
The report assesses how carbon pricing affects the competitiveness and investment strategies of energy-intensive industries (EIIs). It finds that while carbon costs are a factor, they are often secondary to energy and raw material prices. The analysis highlights the risk of carbon leakage, where production shifts to regions with lower emissions costs, particularly as demand grows in Asia. The report emphasizes that current short-term policy horizons, such as the EU's 2020 targets, are insufficient for the 20- to 40-year investment cycles typical of these sectors, suggesting a need for longer-term regulatory certainty and support for breakthrough technologies like Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS).
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Document type: Report
Democratic Republic of Congo: Greenhouse gas emissions baseline projection
The report establishes a reference case for greenhouse gas emissions in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) from 1990 to 2030. It identifies agriculture as the largest non-LULUCF emitting sector and notes a significant historical shift where the DRC moved from being a large net carbon sink in 2000 to a small net emitter by 2010. The projections are based on GDP and population growth forecasts, though the report highlights substantial data gaps and uncertainties, particularly in the LULUCF and agriculture sectors.
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Document type: Report
Republic of Rwanda: Greenhouse gas emissions baseline projection
The report establishes a business-as-usual emissions baseline for Rwanda from 1990 to 2030, identifying agriculture as the largest non-LULUCF emitting sector. It projects a transition from a significant net carbon sink in 2000 to a net emitter by 2010, with future projections based on GDP growth, population increases, and existing policies. The analysis highlights substantial data gaps and uncertainties, particularly in the LULUCF and agriculture sectors.
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Document type: Report
A Business Guide to a DEFORESTATION-FREE SUPPLY CHAIN
The document outlines a framework for businesses to eliminate tropical deforestation from their supply chains through public pledges, transparent sourcing, and the promotion of sustainable goods. It identifies palm oil, wood/paper, and meat (specifically beef) as key drivers of forest loss and provides sector-specific recommendations, such as strengthening RSPO standards for palm oil and reducing beef in processed meats to lower land-use pressure.
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Document type: Fact sheet
International Industrial Competitiveness, Carbon Leakage and Approaches to Carbon Pricing
The report examines how unilateral carbon pricing leads to carbon leakage—where emissions are shifted to foreign locations—across energy-intensive industries (EII) such as steel, cement, and chemicals. It evaluates the effectiveness of various policy remedies, including border adjustments and output-based free allocations, across different regional contexts. Findings indicate that while the EU can mitigate leakage from a 30% reduction target at moderate cost, a mandatory Japanese ETS would significantly impact steel and cement production. In China, a carbon price of 100 Yuan/t CO2 would most affect ferrous metals, basic chemicals, refining, and cement, potentially serving as a tool to reduce carbon intensity and restrain exports during high growth periods.
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Document type: Report
The Landscape of Climate Finance in Germany
In 2010, Germany invested at least EUR 37 billion (1.5% of GDP) in climate-specific measures, with the private sector providing over 95% of this finance. Renewable energy generation was the primary recipient, attracting EUR 26.6 billion, while energy efficiency received EUR 7.2 billion in incremental investment. Public banks, particularly KfW and Rentenbank, played a critical role by providing EUR 16.5 billion in concessionary loans, which accounted for 43% of renewable energy and 72% of energy efficiency investments. The report highlights significant data gaps, noting that climate finance is not systematically tracked in public budgets or by the private sector, and recommends establishing a central registry and improved reporting standards to evaluate policy effectiveness.
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Document type: Report
The effects of carbon prices and anti-leakage policies on selected industrial sectors
The report uses three sector-specific engineering models to evaluate how carbon prices affect the competitiveness and leakage risk of Spain's cement, steel, and oil refining industries. It finds that coastal cement regions and the oil refining sector are particularly vulnerable to leakage, while the steel sector's risk is mitigated by a high prevalence of Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) technology. The authors suggest that border tax adjustments are generally more effective and practical than output-based free allocations for reducing leakage in these sectors.
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Document type: Report
Private Finance Support Climate Change Adaptation in Developing Countries?
The research examines historical private capital flows—including foreign direct investment (FDI), portfolio equity, and bank lending—to assess their suitability for climate adaptation in developing countries. It finds that private finance is heavily concentrated in a few emerging economies and resource-extraction sectors, often bypassing the Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and critical adaptation sectors like water and small-scale agriculture. The author argues that the unpredictability and sectoral bias of private investment pose significant challenges for the delivery of the USD 100 billion annual climate finance pledge, suggesting that public finance must fill these gaps rather than simply attempting to leverage private flows that naturally avoid the most vulnerable areas.
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Document type: Research paper
Ten Surprising Facts About Our Energy Landscape
The document outlines the current state of U.S. energy use across transportation, buildings, and industry, while projecting the economic and efficiency gains possible by 2050 through a transition to renewable energy and increased efficiency.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Carbon Fat Cats 2011
The report identifies the 'Carbon Fat Cats'—ten companies, primarily in the steel and cement sectors, that amassed a combined surplus of 240 million emissions allowances between 2008 and 2010, valued at approximately €4.1bn. This over-allocation is attributed to inflated growth projections and the economic recession, allowing these firms to profit through windfall sales or banking permits for future use. In contrast, the power sector faces a significant deficit, effectively subsidising industrial surpluses. The report also highlights the use of cheap international offsets, some from direct rivals in China and India, which undermines industry claims regarding competitiveness and carbon leakage. Sandbag recommends increasing the EU emissions reduction target to 30%, implementing an allowance 'set-aside' for Phase III, restricting the use of offsets from rival industries, and improving data transparency regarding company ownership and waste gas transfers.
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Document type: Report
National Strategy for Water re-use
The National Strategy for Water re-use, published by GreenCape in June 2011, outlines a framework for implementing water re-use projects in South Africa to address the country's water-stressed status. It defines various types of re-use, analyzes drivers such as cost and public perception, and identifies sector-specific needs in agriculture, industry, mining, and power generation. The strategy proposes a policy environment focused on clear guidelines, updated water quality standards, and the leveraging of private sector capacity to ensure sustainable water resource management.
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Document type: Report
Review of Low Carbon Development in China: 2010 Report
China's energy intensity decreased by 15.6% between 2005 and 2009, putting it on track to meet its 11th Five-Year Plan target of a 20% reduction. The report finds that while top-down administrative measures and plant closures were effective, much of the 'low-hanging fruit' has been picked, suggesting that future reductions in the 12th Five-Year Plan will be more costly. Sectoral analysis shows significant gains in power and manufacturing efficiency, while the building and transport sectors faced challenges from rapid urbanization and a shift toward more energy-intensive transport modes. Agriculture and forestry provided significant carbon sinks through afforestation, though fertilizer use remains a primary source of emissions.
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Document type: Report
Is there a case for the EU to move beyond 20% GHG emissions reduction by 2020?
The study uses the Imaclim-R model to analyze the economic trade-offs of EU emissions targets. It finds that a -20% target by 2020 may lead to prohibitive costs and negative GDP growth between 2040 and 2050 due to technological inertia and 'lock-in' of carbon-intensive infrastructure. While a more ambitious -30% target can reduce long-term risks and provide energy security co-benefits—especially in oil-constrained scenarios—it may impose significant short-term macroeconomic costs. The authors argue that carbon pricing alone is insufficient for 'inert' sectors like transport and residential buildings, recommending complementary sectoral policies, such as passenger car mobility reduction, to lower overall costs and avoid industrial decline.
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Document type: Research paper
Bilateral Finance Institutions & Climate Change
In 2010, four members of the UNEP BFI CCWG (AFD, EIB, JICA, and KfW) committed approximately 15.5 billion USD to climate finance in developing countries, a 22% increase over 2009. Mitigation received 80% of these funds, primarily targeting the energy (51%) and transport (31%) sectors, while adaptation funding decreased by 28% to 20% of the total, focused largely on water supply and treatment. Concessional loans were the dominant financial instrument at 70% of total flows. The report also details carbon finance initiatives managed by EIB, KfW, and NEFCO, which are tracked separately from direct climate finance.
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Document type: Report
TACKLING LEAKAGE IN A WORLD OF UNEQUAL CARBON PRICES
The report examines carbon leakage—the migration of emissions to regions with laxer carbon pricing—specifically focusing on the EU ETS Phase III. It criticizes the European Commission's broad identification of 164 sectors at risk, arguing that the criteria used were too simplistic and failed to account for the 2008 economic recession or the actual auctioning rates. The authors suggest that leakage risk is actually concentrated in a few sectors, including steel, cement, and aluminium, and recommend tailored policy responses such as border adjustments for cement and investment subsidies for aluminium, rather than a one-size-fits-all approach of free allowance allocation.
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Document type: Report
OVERVIEW OF COMPETITIVENESS ISSUES IN THE MIDWEST
The report analyzes how carbon pricing may affect the US Midwest, a region characterized by high carbon intensity due to coal dependency and a large manufacturing base. While carbon pricing could increase short-term costs for energy-intensive industries, the report argues it presents a long-term opportunity for the region to lead in low-carbon production and 'green collar' jobs. It highlights the Midwest's significant mitigation potential and the role of the Midwestern Greenhouse Gas Accord in driving this transition.
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Document type: Report