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The document outlines a project preparation phase to transition the Federated States of Micronesia (FSM) toward a climate-resilient health system. It focuses on mitigating the risks of vector-borne, water-borne, and food-borne diseases exacerbated by climate change. The proposed project consists of three components: creating an enabling policy environment, harmonizing climate and health information systems (including an early warning system), and implementing community-level adaptation interventions such as rainwater tanks and vector control. The PPF request seeks to fund the necessary pre-feasibility studies, risk assessments, and budget planning required to move from a concept note to a full GCF funding proposal.

The report argues that the aquaculture industry faces significant systemic risks due to high fish mortality rates and a dependence on fishmeal and fish oil (FMFO) derived from wild-caught fish. It finds that most investors fail to integrate these material risks into their policies, often relying on inadequate certification schemes. The document highlights the economic cost of fish deaths, the threat to food security in regions like West Africa due to FMFO extraction, and the potential for 'greenwashing' through green bonds. It recommends that investors require full supply chain transparency, the elimination of wild-caught fish in feed by 2025, and the adoption of robust fish-welfare standards.

The report examines Roark Capital's extensive portfolio of fast-food franchises, highlighting a pattern of wage and hour violations across brands like Dunkin' Donuts, Sonic Drive-In, and Jimmy John's. It argues that Roark faces significant legal liability due to a 2020 court ruling on joint employer status and operational risks stemming from labor shortages caused by poverty wages. Additionally, the document details Roark's lobbying efforts through Inspire Brands and the National Restaurant Association to oppose federal minimum wage increases.

The document contends that carbon capture and storage (CCS) is an expensive, energy-intensive technology that entrenches fossil fuel reliance rather than facilitating a transition to renewable energy. It identifies Louisiana as a primary target for CCS development due to existing petrochemical infrastructure and a regulatory environment managed by the Department of Natural Resources. The brief warns that CCS infrastructure, including pipelines, poses severe health and safety risks—such as toxic gas leaks and catastrophic ruptures—and would disproportionately impact Black, Brown, and Indigenous communities. Furthermore, it asserts that CCS threatens Louisiana's wetlands and that the majority of captured carbon is currently used for enhanced oil recovery to produce more oil.

The authors warn that unilateral solar geoengineering research, particularly by the United States, risks deterring fossil fuel mitigation and concentrating power among elites. They argue that any such research must be multilaterally governed under the United Nations and preceded by inclusive public deliberations to avoid the militarization of planetary-scale climate interventions.

The World Climate and Security Report 2021 assesses how climate change acts as a threat multiplier for global security, emphasizing the urgent need to move from strategic planning to concrete implementation. It introduces a new Climate Security Risk Matrix to evaluate comparative risks among countries and presents a risk perception survey where experts predict severe-to-catastrophic risks by 2031. The report details regional vulnerabilities, specifically in sub-Saharan Africa and the European Union, and analyzes the role of militaries as first responders and contributors to emissions. It concludes with recommendations for updating international law regarding the law of the sea and geoengineering governance, and calls for deeper integration of climate security into UN and EU institutional frameworks.

The 2021 edition of the Chilling Prospects series tracks immediate vulnerability and health risks resulting from a lack of access to cooling across various populations and sectors.

The report assesses coastal risks in the Dakar region, specifically within the departments of Dakar, Pikine, and Guédiawaye. It identifies high-risk areas for flooding, such as the canal of Ngor and the Port of Dakar, and high-risk areas for erosion, including the beach of Hanika. Projections indicate that without adaptation, the population at risk of coastal flooding will increase by 20-30% by 2050 and over 80% by 2100. Economic damages to buildings are expected to rise by 30% by 2050 and up to 180% by 2100 under the worst-case scenario.

The document analyzes cancer risks from air toxics in Allegheny County, PA, highlighting that the county ranks among the worst in the U.S. for point source emissions, primarily driven by coke oven emissions. It further notes that when diesel particulate matter (DPM) is included, the total cancer risk exceeds 100 per million people, with significant disparities affecting environmental justice (EJ) tracts.

The report finds that climate change will act as a risk multiplier in the India-China rivalry, increasing the likelihood of conflict through material environmental changes and perceptual misinterpretations. Key risks include increased flooding in the Brahmaputra River Basin, which may be misconstrued as Chinese water manipulation, and warming in the western border region that could facilitate more frequent military patrols and clashes. The study also highlights the role of China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) dam projects on the Indus and Brahmaputra rivers as sources of regional instability and distrust. To mitigate these risks, the authors recommend institutionalizing data-sharing, establishing joint early warning systems for natural disasters, and pursuing long-term river basin treaties.

The document identifies the lower Winnipeg River basin (LWRB) as being at high risk for the transport of aquatic invasive species (AIS) due to recreational activities. While spiny waterflea is confirmed in the LWRB, other high-concern species like zebra mussels and rusty crayfish are present in the wider Winnipeg River basin but not the lower basin. The basin is noted to have moderate suitability for zebra mussel colonization based on calcium concentrations.

The report identifies thousands of mining concessions and dozens of coal-fired power plants located in areas prone to earthquakes, floods, and landslides across Indonesia. It argues that a 'science-policy gap' exists where the Indonesian government ignores disaster risks to facilitate investments for 'extractive oligarchs,' often through National Strategic Projects (PSN). The document details specific case studies, such as the Panau Coal Steam-Power Plant and the Bener Dam project, to illustrate how these investments increase community vulnerability and environmental degradation. It concludes that recent legislative changes, including the Job Creation Law (Omnibus Law), further exacerbate these risks by loosening environmental regulations and centralizing spatial planning authority.

The report examines the legal landscape for (agro)forestry in Côte d’Ivoire, highlighting that while the state aims for 20% forest cover by 2030, land tenure insecurity remains a primary risk. It details the distinctions between land titles, land certificates, and customary rights, noting that only Ivorian individuals, the State, and public authorities can hold land titles. The analysis emphasizes that investors should prioritize contracts with land certificate holders to avoid the legal uncertainty associated with customary rights, which can lead to eviction. It also explores the potential for investors to own planted trees and benefit from carbon credits through specific agreements, though it notes that carbon regulations are still being finalized.

Climate Central's analysis indicates that a significant number of sites along the Harriet Tubman Underground Railroad Byway are currently or will become exposed to coastal flood risk by 2100. Under a high-emissions scenario (RCP 8.5), 16 locations will face at least occasional flood risk by 2050, increasing to 25 by the end of the century. Specific historic sites, including the Tubman Visitor Center and Malone's Church, are projected to experience chronic flood risk—defined as at least one event per year—by 2050 or 2060. The report also highlights risks to infrastructure, such as Taylors Island Road, and ecological threats to the Blackwater National Wildlife Refuge, where sea level rise may outpace sediment accumulation and drown habitats.

The paper examines the water-energy nexus in Argentina's Vaca Muerta region, highlighting that while shale production uses a small percentage of total water, its wastewater management poses significant pollution risks. These risks are compounded by climate change projections of decreased precipitation and increasing competition for water from agriculture and urban growth. The authors argue for an Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM) approach to replace the current fragmented provincial regulatory system.

The document argues that U.S. nuclear policy is currently operating in an "information vacuum," with the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) often prioritizing licensee cost-savings over public safety and environmental data. It highlights systemic risks in "fast-track" decommissioning, the vulnerability of thin-walled spent fuel canisters to corrosion and failure, and the lack of scientific evidence supporting 80-year license extensions for aging plants. The authors further caution against the deployment of small modular reactors (SMRs) and the establishment of consolidated interim storage facilities (CISFs) without comprehensive risk and cost analyses. The briefing concludes with ten recommendations to policymakers, including mandating ASME N3 standards for waste containers, requiring "hot cells" for repackaging damaged fuel, and reforming NRC oversight to reduce regulatory capture.

The document identifies off-site renewable power purchase agreements (PPAs) as a primary procurement method for US local governments aiming for 100% clean energy, while warning that the wholesale market nature of these agreements introduces specific financial and operational risks. It categorizes these risks into six types—price, basis, non-energy market, shape, operational, and volume—and offers nine mitigation strategies tailored to virtual and physical PPAs.

The report finds that private equity energy funds have consistently underperformed broader private equity benchmarks, with many losing money. This is attributed to high bankruptcy rates among debt-laden private equity-backed oil and gas companies, a collapse in buyer demand for fossil fuel assets, and a global transition toward renewable energy. The document highlights that the COVID-19 pandemic accelerated these trends, leading to a 'structural shift' where fossil fuel demand is unlikely to return to pre-pandemic levels.

The report argues that new natural gas developments in Appalachia are high-risk investments due to low domestic prices and the global transition toward low-carbon energy. Analysis of 216 prospective gas fields indicates that average 2020 prices for gas and oil do not support widespread expansion. The authors highlight that deep decarbonization consistent with the Paris Agreement would likely keep gas prices below the $3/Mbtu threshold required for average profitability, potentially rendering new fields and associated petrochemical infrastructure, such as ethane crackers, unprofitable.

The report argues that preventing future pandemics requires a systems-based approach to stop zoonotic spillover at its source. It identifies the 'wildlife value chain'—from tropical deforestation frontiers to urban markets—as the primary driver of risk, where human, livestock, and wildlife interactions facilitate pathogen mutation and transmission. The framework proposes a 'Planetary Health Agenda' that integrates conservation, public health, and sustainable food systems, with specific action plans for Southeast Asia, Central Africa, and South America to mitigate both current and emerging risks.