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2,011 documents from South African Institute of International Affairs
BOTSWANA APRM POPULAR SENSITISATION (BAPS) PROJECT Report of the Civil Society APRM Submission Launch
The Botswana APRM Popular Sensitisation (BAPS) Project, a collaboration between the Botswana Council of Non-Governmental Organisations (BOCONGO) and the South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA), culminated in the April 20, 2021, launch of a civil society submission to the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM). The project identified 12 key governance issues, including human rights, sustainable development, and food security, and sought to ensure the voices of marginalised groups—such as the LGBTQI+ community and indigenous communities—were included. Government representatives indicated that the submission's recommendations would inform Botswana's constitutional review process.
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Document type: Report
Optimising Agricultural Value Chains in Southern Africa After COVID-19
The document examines the impact of COVID-19 on agricultural value chains within the SADC region, noting that while the sector was less affected than others, the pandemic intensified existing vulnerabilities. Key challenges identified include a heavy reliance on subsistence farming, food insecurity, and the effects of climate change. The authors argue for a 'dual approach' that supports both small-scale and large-scale commercial farming, the adoption of climate-smart technologies, and the digitalisation of value chains. The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) is highlighted as a critical mechanism for enhancing regional trade and protecting small-scale farmers.
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Document type: Policy brief
Anticipatory Governance in SADC: Reducing Disaster Risk After COVID-19
The document argues for a shift toward anticipatory governance in SADC to manage 'wicked' problems like climate change and pandemics. It identifies systemic failures in the region's response to COVID-19 and cyclones, advocating for a holistic, cross-sectoral approach to disaster risk reduction (DRR) based on foresight, networked systems, and feedback loops.
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Document type: Research paper
The Big Governance Issues in Botswana: A Civil Society Submission to the African Peer Review Mechanism
The report identifies 12 governance challenges in Botswana, noting that while the country has a history of good governance, it now faces rising corruption and a lack of accountability. Key areas of concern include the marginalisation of smaller parties and women/youth due to the First Past the Post electoral system, poor public service performance resulting from a lack of comprehensive decentralisation policy, and economic exclusion where many citizens remain below the poverty line despite national growth. The submission recommends a Mixed Member Proportional Representation system, the creation of a national action plan on human rights, and the development of a written overarching foreign policy framework centered on the economy.
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Document type: Report
Cameroon’s authoritarianism fuels its Anglophone separatist war
The research paper examines the Anglophone separatist conflict in Cameroon, tracing its origins to long-standing grievances over marginalisation and 'Francophonisation'. It asserts that the escalation into civil war was triggered by the violent repression of peaceful protests in 2017 and is sustained by President Paul Biya's insistence on a military solution over political accountability. The author highlights the humanitarian toll, including over 3,000 deaths and 750,000 internally displaced persons, and calls for a joint UN and African Union framework to negotiate reforms regarding Anglophone autonomy and resource management.
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Document type: Research paper
New Dimensions of Growth and Development in Africa–China Cooperation
The document analyzes the evolving economic relationship between Africa and China, highlighting the need to move from an inequitable trade balance—where Africa primarily exports primary commodities and imports manufactured goods—toward increased industrialization and foreign direct investment (FDI). It emphasizes the role of Special Economic Zones (SEZs) and the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) in attracting Chinese FDI and enhancing local value addition. Regarding infrastructure, the briefing notes that while China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) fills critical financing gaps, African nations must improve institutional capacity for fiscal management to ensure debt sustainability. Finally, it addresses the Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR), suggesting that African countries leverage the AfCFTA to harmonize regulations on digital services and data flow to mitigate the digital divide and harness technological advancements.
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Document type: Policy brief
SADC and the Abuja Declaration: Honouring the Pledge
SADC member states generally struggle to meet the 2001 Abuja Declaration pledge to allocate 15% of national budgets to healthcare, with an average annual allocation of 5.3%. The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted critical gaps in healthcare infrastructure, drug supplies, and professional staffing, while simultaneously straining regional economies. To bridge funding gaps amidst declining GDP and high external debt, the paper recommends establishing a SADC regional healthcare fund backed by the African Union, forming public-private partnerships, improving domestic tax compliance, and involving civil society organisations to ensure transparency in health financing.
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Document type: Research paper
Zimbabwe shows potential to lead e-mobility transition
Zimbabwe has significant potential to lead the e-mobility transition in the SADC region, leveraging its automotive history and the need to reduce a fuel import bill that costs US$1.2 billion annually. The transition could address a fragmented public transport system dominated by 'kombis' and 'pirate taxis' through the introduction of small city EVs and electric mass transit. Strategic electrification of fleets in mining, logistics, and agriculture, combined with the country's nickel production for batteries and progressive net metering policies, offers a pathway toward a green and circular economy.
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Document type: Briefing
A no-regret option: South Africa’s nuclear future
The document examines South Africa's history of nuclear energy planning, from the 2008 Nuclear-1 plan to the current 2,500MW nuclear build programme. It identifies critical failures in governance, including the impact of state capture during the Zuma presidency and the resulting financial instability of Eskom. The brief highlights challenges such as aging infrastructure at the Koeberg Nuclear Power Plant and the SAFARI-1 research reactor, a decline in technical expertise, and budget constraints exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. It recommends updating the 2008 Nuclear Energy Policy, improving parliamentary oversight of spending, and ensuring transparency and public consultation to make future nuclear expansion financially viable and safe.
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Document type: Policy brief
Tackling South Africa’s Infrastructure Deficit: The Role of Development Finance Institutions
The document examines South Africa's reliance on international DFIs and MDBs to bridge a ZAR502 billion funding gap in its Infrastructure Build Programme, noting a historical hesitation to seek such aid. It highlights that while renewable energy has received the bulk of funding, there are significant gaps in project preparation skills and coordination. The author recommends that the Investment and Infrastructure Office (IIO) lead the coordination of donor assistance and that the government clarify funding structures and procurement processes to attract private investment.
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Document type: Policy brief
Strengthening Southern Africa’s NDCs to Bolster Farmers’ Interests
The document argues that while most Southern African NDCs mention agriculture, they often lack quantifiable commitments, detailed financing plans, and inclusive governance. It recommends that revised NDCs explicitly include farmers as active agents of change, integrate gender and youth considerations, and establish multi-stakeholder platforms to ensure agricultural interests are reflected in climate action and sustainable development goals.
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Document type: Policy brief
THE BIG GOVERNANCE ISSUES IN BOTSWANA
The report evaluates Botswana's governance across 12 thematic areas, including human rights, separation of powers, and sustainable development. While acknowledging Botswana's global reputation for stability and economic management, it highlights systemic failures such as high gender-based violence, a lack of true separation between the Executive and Parliament, and significant economic inequality. It recommends structural reforms to the electoral system, the decentralisation of public services, and the establishment of a National Human Rights Institution to ensure more inclusive and accountable governance.
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Document type: Report
SADC e-Mobility Outlook: A Zimbabwean Case Study
The document argues that Zimbabwe can overcome high transport costs and fuel shortages by transitioning to electric vehicles (EVs) and micromobility. It highlights the potential for a 'campus model' of electrification in the mining sector, the use of used EV imports to lower entry barriers, and the opportunity to leverage Zimbabwe's rich deposits of battery minerals like lithium and nickel to move from mineral export to local battery manufacturing.
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Document type: Case study
SADC e-Mobility Outlook: Accelerating Low Carbon Transport Futures
The document assesses the transition to low-carbon transport in the SADC region, focusing on the synergy between e-mobility and the power sector. Using the South Africa TIMES (SATIM) model, it compares four scenarios: Fossil-Car, Fossil-Efficiency, Electric-Car, and Eco-Mobility. The analysis finds that while modal shifts (road-to-rail and transit-oriented development) significantly reduce energy demand, the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) is the primary lever for rapid GHG emission reductions. The paper highlights that a transition to EVs would eliminate the need for new crude-oil refinery capacity in South Africa but would increase electricity demand by approximately 20% by 2050. It also explores the role of hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles (FCEVs) for heavy corridor freight and the potential for a regional value chain leveraging the mineral resources of the DRC and Zambia.
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Document type: Research paper
The City Surveillance State: Inside Johannesburg’s Safe City Initiative
The document examines Johannesburg's transition toward a 'safe city' through the Integrated Intelligence Operations Centre (IIOC), which pools CCTV networks and AI analytics. It argues that these systems, often developed via public-private partnerships with firms like IBM and Huawei, lack transparency and threaten civil liberties. The author contends that surveillance does not address the root causes of crime—poverty and inequality—and recommends banning 'nerve centres' and video analytics in public spaces in favor of community-led, low-tech safety solutions.
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Document type: Policy brief
New Dimensions of Growth and Development in Africa–China Cooperation
The document analyzes the evolving economic relationship between Africa and China, highlighting a trade imbalance where Africa primarily exports raw commodities and imports manufactured goods. It suggests that the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and Special Economic Zones (SEZs) can attract Chinese foreign direct investment to boost local manufacturing. While China is a primary source of infrastructure funding via the Belt and Road Initiative, the report notes concerns over debt sustainability, though it argues these are often tainted by geopolitics. Finally, it discusses the opportunities and risks of the Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR), urging African nations to harmonize regulations and improve digital infrastructure to avoid a widening digital divide.
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Document type: Policy brief
Nuclear Energy in Ghana
Ghana is pursuing a nuclear power programme to address chronic electricity shortages and support industrialisation, aiming for a plant by 2030. While the country has made significant progress in establishing a regulatory framework and converting its research reactor from highly enriched uranium to low enriched uranium, it still faces challenges in funding, stakeholder involvement, and the completion of a national strategy. The report also highlights Ghana's extensive use of nuclear technology in medicine, agriculture, and research.
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Document type: Report
Nuclear Power and Governance Frameworks: Egypt, Ghana and South Africa
The report analyzes the varying stages of nuclear energy development in Egypt, Ghana, and South Africa. Egypt is currently constructing a nuclear power plant with Russian assistance, though it faces criticism for a lack of transparency. Ghana is in the early infrastructure-building phase, following the IAEA Milestones Approach. South Africa possesses the continent's only operational plant, Koeberg, but struggles with ageing infrastructure and the financial legacy of previous failed expansion plans. The document emphasizes the importance of robust governance, international non-proliferation commitments, and civil society engagement to ensure the safe and sustainable use of nuclear energy in Africa.
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Document type: Report
ZIMBABWE APRM POPULAR SENSITISATION (ZAPS) PROJECT Report of the Civil Society APRM Sensitisation Workshop
The Zimbabwe APRM Popular Sensitisation (ZAPS) Project hosted a workshop on February 26, 2021, involving the Zimbabwean government, the APRM Secretariat, and civil society organisations (CSOs). The event focused on the role of CSOs in enhancing accountability and transparency through the APRM process. Participants from Botswana, Namibia, South Africa, and Zambia shared experiences, emphasizing the need to avoid politicising the review process, the value of unified CSO collaboration, and the importance of involving youth and providing civic education to ordinary citizens.
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Document type: Report
Powering Ghana's Economic Development through Nuclear Energy
Ghana is pursuing a nuclear power programme to support its goal of becoming a highly industrialised economy within four decades and to ensure a sustainable electricity supply as natural gas and oil reserves are predicted to be depleted by 2045. Despite a history of nuclear research and the operation of the Ghana Research Reactor-1 (GHARR-1) since 1994, the country has faced setbacks due to political instability and military coups. Current efforts are guided by the IAEA's Milestones Approach and Integrated Nuclear Infrastructure Review (INIR) missions, with the government aiming to incorporate nuclear energy by 2029.
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Document type: Report