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2,011 documents from South African Institute of International Affairs
Developments in Africa’s Free Trade Area: Opportunities for Korean Investors
The document analyzes the AfCFTA's potential to industrialize Africa and create a market of 1.3 billion consumers. It highlights a decline in Korea-Africa trade since 2011 and suggests that Korea leverage its strengths in capital goods, specifically the automotive and shipping sectors, to integrate into emerging African regional value chains. The authors recommend that Korea pursue formal economic partnership agreements with African regional economic communities, focusing on asymmetric trade liberalization and supporting Africa's green energy transition.
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Document type: Research paper
Catalysing Sustainable Finance for the African Regional Infrastructure Agenda
The document examines the challenges African countries face in accessing sustainable finance for regional infrastructure, noting a significant financing deficit and a lack of bankable projects. It highlights the disparity between climate mitigation and adaptation finance, arguing that adaptation is more critical for Africa's vulnerability. The brief analyzes the ASEAN regional approach—specifically its sustainability taxonomies and the ASEAN Catalytic Green Finance Facility—as a model for Africa. It evaluates current AU initiatives, such as the Alliance for Green Infrastructure in Africa and the Green Infrastructure Corridor for Intra-African Trade, and recommends integrating sustainability more deeply into AfCFTA protocols to attract investment and enhance climate resilience.
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Document type: Policy brief
Safety and Security of Nuclear Facilities and Materials in Africa
The document examines the governance of nuclear safety and security in Africa, highlighting the roles of the Pelindaba Treaty, the African Commission on Nuclear Energy (AFCONE), and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). It notes that while South Africa is currently the only operator of a nuclear power reactor on the continent, Egypt is constructing one and 16 other nations are investigating nuclear programmes. The brief identifies risks including radioactive waste management, the vulnerability of materials during transit, and the potential for human error, citing specific incidents at South Africa's Koeberg and Pelindaba facilities and Namibia's Rössing Uranium Mine. It recommends increased cooperation with the IAEA, ratification of the Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear Material (CPPNM), and prioritising human resource training to prevent accidents.
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Document type: Policy brief
SAIIA YOUNG LEADERS DECLARATION 2022
The SAIIA Young Leaders Declaration 2022 outlines youth-led demands for climate justice and sustainable development, specifically targeting South Africa's energy transition and the Global South's vulnerabilities. It calls for the urgent implementation of the Just Transition Framework, the removal of the 100MW limit for renewable energy supply from Independent Power Producers, and the integration of youth and marginalized genders into policy writing. Beyond climate, the declaration advocates for the decolonization of African educational curricula, the protection of informal workers, and the eradication of the 'pink tax'. It concludes with pledges from both youth and educators to foster leadership and civic engagement to achieve a more equitable society.
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Document type: Statement
Transitions and Resilience: Natural Resource Governance Trends in Africa
The document argues that achieving a sustainable future requires 'decoupling' economic growth from resource use and waste. While the global transition toward renewable energy reduces fossil fuel reliance, it increases the demand for critical minerals and creates new challenges regarding e-waste. For Africa, this transition presents opportunities for industrialization and green technology adoption, but risks include stranded assets, economic marginalization, and governance failures in the mining sector.
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Document type: Briefing
Enhancing the transparency and accountability of climate reporting under the Paris Agreement
The document examines the operationalisation of the Paris Agreement's Enhanced Transparency Framework (ETF), which mandates that all countries submit biennial transparency reports by December 31, 2024. It highlights the shift toward standardised reporting and review processes to increase accountability for Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). While the ETF aims to build trust and facilitate ambitious climate commitments, the author notes that developing countries face significant barriers in technical capacity, particularly in greenhouse gas accounting and measurement, reporting, and verification (MRV). The brief advocates for integrating climate tracking into national budgets, enhancing stakeholder engagement, and increasing capacity building for adaptation and loss and damage reporting, particularly in Africa.
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Document type: Policy brief
The Epidemic-Terrorism Nexus and How to Safeguard Africa Against Bioterrorism
The document explores the 'epidemic-terrorism nexus,' specifically how terrorist groups exploit disease crises and disrupt public health efforts. Using the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) as a case study in Nigeria, Pakistan, and Afghanistan, the author argues that bioterrorism should be redefined to include the indirect undermining of health interventions through violence and anti-vaccination rhetoric. The paper warns that Africa's vulnerability to this nexus is under-researched, particularly following the disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Document type: Research paper
Creating triple-win solutions for nature, communities and the economy
The document highlights the interconnectedness of nature, society, and the economy, using the devastating floods in KwaZulu-Natal as a catalyst for discussing climate risks. It outlines South Africa's efforts to transition from fossil fuels via a US$8.5 billion Just Energy Transition Partnership and its progress in expanding protected land and marine areas. The text emphasizes the role of innovative financing, such as the World Bank's US$150 million "Rhino Bond," and nature-based solutions in achieving sustainable development. Finally, it situates these efforts within global frameworks like the Paris Agreement and the post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework, as well as regional initiatives like the African Union Climate Change and Resilient Development Strategy and Action Plan.
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Document type: Statement
African Participation in WTO E-Commerce Negotiations: Policy Positions and Development Issues
The document examines the digital divide and the resulting low participation of African nations in the WTO's plurilateral e-commerce negotiations. It highlights the tension between the preferred multilateral approach of the African Group and the pragmatic necessity of joining the JSI to avoid being marginalized by rules set by developed nations. The author recommends that African states align e-commerce policies with industrialization goals and leverage the African Union to negotiate as a unified bloc.
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Document type: Policy brief
Access to Tech Finance for the Peaceful Application of Nuclear Technology in Africa
The document examines the potential for nuclear energy and technology in Africa, contrasting its developmental benefits in medicine and research with the high costs and financial risks of commercial power plants. It finds that major development finance institutions generally avoid nuclear funding, leaving African nations reliant on vendor financing from countries like Russia and China. The authors argue that due to the falling costs of renewables, investing in solar, wind, and energy storage is generally a more cost-effective path to energy security for the continent.
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Document type: Policy brief
An African Perspective on Loss and Damage
The document analyzes the African perspective on 'loss and damage'—climate impacts that cannot be avoided through mitigation or adaptation. It highlights the failure of existing mechanisms like the Warsaw International Mechanism (WIM) and the Santiago Network to provide sufficient financial support, noting that developed countries resist dedicated funding due to concerns over legal liability. The authors recommend that African nations establish a transparent, inclusive position on the mandate of a potential Finance Facility, explore climate litigation against 'carbon majors', and integrate loss and damage assessments into their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs).
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Document type: Policy brief
Conference report: The Peaceful Application of Nuclear Science and Technology in the Development Agenda
The conference addressed the role of nuclear science and technology in Africa's development, focusing on institutional regulation, the inclusion of women and youth, and the future of nuclear energy and disarmament. Key discussions highlighted the potential of nuclear power to address energy deficits and the use of nuclear isotopes for climate change adaptation in agriculture. Panellists emphasized the need for 'nuclear justice' and the demystification of nuclear technology to overcome public fear and institutional roadblocks.
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Document type: Report
Mauritius’ Free Trade Agreement with China: Lessons and Implications for Africa
The Mauritius–China Free Trade Agreement (MCFTA), effective January 1, 2021, is analyzed as a likely geopolitical tool rather than an economic driver, given the extreme trade imbalance between the two nations. The authors argue that Mauritius lacks the capacity to penetrate the Chinese market, and the agreement may exacerbate its trade deficit. While the MCFTA is China's first FTA with an African nation, the paper suggests it serves as a strategic base for China to influence the broader African market and the AfCFTA, while potentially acting as a 'laboratory' for future continental engagements.
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Document type: Research paper
Leveraging the AfCFTA Under a Unified Industrial Policy for Africa
The author contends that Africa's industrialization is hindered by a fragmented policy landscape where countries are often subject to three or more overlapping industrial strategies. This coordination failure, combined with poor infrastructure and low innovation capacity, has led to 'de-industrialisation' in Sub-Saharan Africa, where the industrial sector's contribution to GDP has declined relative to the primary sector. To leverage the AfCFTA, the paper proposes a unified industrial policy focusing on pooled resources for infrastructure, regional product specialization, SME growth, clean energy transitions, and the development of indigenous technologies.
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Document type: Policy brief
Blue Metal Blues: Cobalt, the Democratic Republic of Congo, and China
The document analyzes China's strategic control over the Democratic Republic of Congo's (DRC) cobalt and copper supply chains, from extraction to refining. It examines the 'resources-for-infrastructure' model initiated under President Joseph Kabila and the subsequent efforts by President Félix Tshisekedi to renegotiate contracts. The author argues that while a 'US vs China' rivalry narrative exists, the dynamics are heavily influenced by internal Congolese political needs, including electoral goals and financial gain, and notes that Chinese firms are often preferred due to their flexibility in opaque business environments.
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Document type: Policy brief
The Climate-Conflict Nexus in Africa: A Conflict-Sensitive Approach
The document examines the relationship between climate change and conflict in Africa, asserting that climate change functions as a 'risk multiplier' that exacerbates existing political, social, and economic tensions. It highlights that while some regions like the Horn of Africa, the Sahel, and the Lake Chad Basin are particularly vulnerable, the path from climate impact to violence is indirect, often mediated by resource scarcity, forced migration, and institutional weakness. The report calls for the Global North to fulfill climate finance commitments and for African nations to adopt evidence-based, community-informed adaptation strategies that are sensitive to local conflict dynamics to prevent future instability.
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Document type: Report
Empowering Women in Africa’s Restoration Economy
The document examines the marginalisation of women within Africa's emerging restoration economy, noting that despite international and regional policy frameworks, women still lack the social, economic, and political power necessary for equitable participation. It argues that gender equity must move beyond simple benefit-sharing to include active roles in decision-making and full integration across the restoration value chain. The report identifies critical barriers, such as discriminatory customary laws regarding land and asset ownership that limit access to finance, and suggests systemic reforms, financial system updates, and knowledge empowerment to ensure women are active drivers of ecological restoration.
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Document type: Report
The Climate–Conflict Nexus in Africa: A Conflict-Sensitive Approach
The document explores the complex, indirect link between climate change and violent conflict in Africa, emphasizing that while climate change is a 'risk multiplier', it does not cause conflict in a simple cause-and-effect manner. It highlights regional examples from North Africa, the Sahel, the Horn of Africa, and Southern Africa, noting that vulnerability is often tied to existing institutional weaknesses and social inequalities. The author calls for the Global North to fulfill climate finance commitments and for African states to prioritize evidence-based, community-informed adaptation measures that account for local conflict dynamics.
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Document type: Policy brief
Integrating African Climate Priorities into the Post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework
The policy brief advocates for a synergistic approach to the climate and biodiversity crises within the post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF). It argues that Africa must take a leadership role to ensure that climate finance and implementation are 'nature-positive' and based on Nature-based Solutions (NbS) to prevent maladaptations, such as monoculture afforestation. The document emphasises that successful outcomes require the participatory inclusion of local and rural communities and the integration of urban ecological infrastructures.
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Document type: Policy brief
Macroeconomic Policy Development in Tanzania
The document assesses Tanzania's macroeconomic response to the COVID-19 pandemic, highlighting the use of accommodative monetary and fiscal policies to avoid recession. It recommends strengthening healthcare, implementing macroprudential policies, and prioritizing climate-resilient economic development and social protection for vulnerable groups.
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Document type: Policy brief