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This technical brief by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) assesses the vulnerability of five mineral-rich Indian states—Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, and West Bengal—to the energy transition. Using a multi-dimensional framework covering fiscal losses, physical climate risks, socioeconomic impacts, diversification potential, and political economy, the report ranks these states to identify where 'just transition' efforts should be focused. Odisha is identified as the most vulnerable state, while West Bengal is the least vulnerable among the five, although each faces distinct risks ranging from high revenue dependency to energy security concerns.

This discussion paper by the Climate Policy Initiative outlines a proposed operating model for multilateral development banks (MDBs) to increase the volume and efficacy of climate finance deployment in response to the climate crisis and other global challenges facing developing countries.

This policy brief by the Climate Policy Initiative analyzes the policy frameworks and enabling environments required to attract private investment for the decarbonization of India's steel and cement sectors. It focuses on breakthrough technologies (TRL 5-9) and identifies high-impact policy instruments and critical enablers to avoid carbon lock-in and meet India's 2070 net-zero target.

This policy brief examines the challenges of rural insurance in Brazil amidst climate change, using soybean production as a case study. It finds that while the insurance market has grown, it remains geographically concentrated in the South and Center-West, leaving high-production, high-risk areas like MATOPIBA underserved. Using machine learning, the authors identify precipitation, wind, and fire risk as primary drivers of losses. The report recommends expanding insurance coverage to vulnerable regions, utilizing yield data for pricing in areas with limited insurance history, and aligning government subsidies with sustainable agricultural practices.

This briefing by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-Rio) analyzes Provisional Measure (MP) nº 1.150/2022, which proposes changes to the rules for joining the Environmental Regularization Program (PRA) and the deadlines for the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR) in Brazil. The analysis compares the original MP text with two reports presented by Deputy Sergio Souza, highlighting risks of legal insecurity and the loss of incentives for environmental compliance.

This consultation brief by the Climate Policy Initiative examines the conflict between financial institutions' net zero portfolio targets and the need to finance the managed early retirement or retrofitting of unabated coal-fired power plants.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative/Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro (CPI/PUC-Rio) evaluates the 10-year implementation status of Brazil's Forest Code (Law no. 12,651 of 2012). It identifies the analysis of Rural Environmental Registry (CAR) data as the primary bottleneck and provides a seven-point priority agenda for the Lula administration to accelerate environmental regularization and the implementation of Environmental Compliance Programs (PRA).

This guide provides strategies for Project Preparation Facilities (PPFs) to help small and intermediary cities—defined as those with 10,000 to 200,000 residents—access climate finance. It addresses critical barriers such as limited municipal capacity, small project sizes that deter investors, and poor creditworthiness, which prevents borrowing on commercial terms. The document recommends tailored PPF interventions, including specific calls for proposals, project aggregation models, blended finance, and community-based funding instruments to unlock investment for low-carbon and resilient infrastructure.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative and PUC-Rio provides a baseline analysis of smallholders in Brazil's Caatinga and Cerrado biomes to inform a 'rural just transition.' It highlights the socioeconomic vulnerabilities of small-scale farmers, the disparities in productivity and resource access between the two biomes, and the need for tailored policies that integrate social dimensions with climate mitigation to ensure that the transition to sustainable agriculture does not exacerbate existing inequalities.

This report maps family farmers in Brazil's Caatinga and Cerrado biomes, highlighting a stark divide in productivity and vulnerability. While Cerrado farmers have larger plots and higher yields, Caatinga farmers face extreme poverty, high illiteracy (over 50%), and a heavy reliance on subsistence farming and cisterns for water. The report argues that a 'just rural transition' must move beyond generic agricultural policies to provide targeted social support for the most vulnerable and 'leapfrog' technological opportunities for those interested in commercializing sustainable, low-carbon produce.

This guide by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) presents a 'market access methodology' to quantify the direct and indirect environmental impacts, specifically deforestation and carbon emissions, of transportation infrastructure projects. Unlike traditional methods that rely on geographical distance buffers, this approach uses social and economic dynamics—specifically how a project changes the cost and ease of connecting markets—to estimate the area of influence and predict ex-ante land use conversion.

This guide by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-Rio) presents a methodology for assessing the direct and indirect areas of influence of transport infrastructure projects, specifically focusing on their impact on deforestation and carbon emissions in Brazil. Unlike traditional geographic buffer methods, this approach uses 'market access' to capture the socio-economic dynamics that drive land-use changes.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative provides a baseline analysis of smallholders in Brazil's Caatinga and Cerrado biomes to inform a 'rural just transition.' It highlights significant disparities in productivity, resource access, and socioeconomic vulnerability between the two regions, arguing that a one-size-fits-all agricultural policy is insufficient. The analysis emphasizes that smallholders in the Caatinga are particularly prone to poverty and subsistence farming, while those in the Cerrado are more integrated into commercial markets, though both face barriers to adopting sustainable, low-carbon production methods.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative analyzes energy efficiency (EE) mechanisms for electricity-intensive consumers, comparing international experiences from the European Union, USA, China, and other nations with the current policy landscape in Brazil. It identifies direct and indirect benefits of EE, such as reduced greenhouse gas emissions and increased industrial competitiveness, and evaluates various regulatory, fiscal, and market-based instruments to provide recommendations for improving Brazil's energy efficiency framework.

This 2023 report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-Rio) provides a comprehensive analysis of the implementation of the Brazilian Forest Code (Law No. 12.651/2012) across Brazilian states. It focuses on the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR) and the Environmental Regularization Program (PRA), detailing the progress in registration, data analysis, and the formalization of environmental recovery commitments. The document highlights a significant acceleration in 2023, with several states adopting automated analysis tools and expanding the number of signed commitment terms, while identifying persistent bottlenecks in communication with landowners and the lack of technical staff in certain regions.

This 2023 report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-Rio) provides a comprehensive diagnostic of the implementation of the Brazilian Forest Code (Law No. 12.651/2012) across Brazilian states as of 2022. It focuses specifically on the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR) and the Environmental Regularization Program (PRA), analyzing the progress of registration, data analysis, and the actual restoration of Permanent Preservation Areas (APP) and Legal Reserves.

The Ninth Meeting of the San Giorgio Group, convened by the Climate Policy Initiative on March 23-24, 2023, brought together financial sector actors managing over USD 25 trillion in assets to discuss scaling climate finance. The discussions focused on three primary areas: evolving the approach to just energy transitions, reframing adaptation and resilience as investment opportunities, and reforming the public finance architecture of Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs).

This briefing by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-Rio) analyzes Bill PL nº 36/2021, which proposes substantial changes to the Brazilian Forest Code. The authors argue that the bill effectively dismantles the current legal framework by extending amnesty for illegal deforestation, suspending environmental fines and embargos, and weakening the validation process of the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR).

This research paper by the Climate Policy Initiative evaluates methodologies for tracking investments in climate resilient infrastructure (CRI). The study pilots a framework based on five climate resilience principles across the water, transport, energy, and AFOLU sectors, finding that CRI investments are a small fraction of total infrastructure spending, with USD 87 spent on non-resilient projects for every USD 1 spent on CRI.

This policy brief analyzes the 10-year implementation of the Brazilian Forest Code, highlighting a severe lack of uniformity across states. While some states have fully implemented the CAR and PRA systems, others remain stagnant. The analysis of CAR data is identified as the primary bottleneck, with only 2% of national registries fully concluded. The document proposes a seven-point agenda for the federal government, including the creation of a national implementation plan, strengthening the SICAR system, and improving the integration of the Forest Code with anti-deforestation policies and rural credit incentives.