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The US Military on the Front Lines of Rising Seas
The document details the technical approach used by the Union of Concerned Scientists to evaluate coastal flooding risks for US military bases. It describes the use of the NOAA SLOSH model for storm surge, the NOAA Inundation Analysis tool for tidal flooding, and Mean Higher High Water (MHHW) levels for permanent inundation. The analysis utilizes localized sea level rise projections for 2050, 2070, and 2100 based on the 2013 National Climate Assessment. Key caveats include the exclusion of rainfall-induced flooding, the use of worst-case 'Maximum of the Maximum' storm surge scenarios, and the fact that the study provides illustrative snapshots rather than a comprehensive risk assessment of all bases.
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Document type: Report
Stop the Drilling Before it Starts
This fact sheet advocates for the permanent withdrawal of the U.S. Arctic and Atlantic Oceans from oil and gas leasing. It argues that such a move is necessary to meet Paris Agreement commitments, avoid 'carbon lock-in' from massive infrastructure investments, and prevent severe ecological and economic risks from oil spills. The document highlights that proven fossil fuel reserves already exceed the carbon budget for limiting warming to 2°C and that clean energy alternatives are growing rapidly enough to replace the need for these unproven reserves.
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Document type: Fact sheet
NUCLEAR WASTE CONSENT AND NON-CONSENT: A BRIEF HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE
The briefing provides a historical analysis of nuclear waste siting in the United States, asserting that the Department of Energy (DOE) has consistently failed to secure long-term consent for high-level waste (HLW) and spent nuclear fuel (SNF) repositories. The author highlights a pattern of broken promises, litigation, and the failure of both the Nuclear Waste Policy Act (NWPA) and the 'volunteer' process managed by the Nuclear Waste Negotiator. Key examples include the legal battles over the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) and the non-consent of the Nevada state government regarding Yucca Mountain. The document concludes that the DOE's lack of reliability makes it unlikely that future consent agreements for consolidated storage or repositories will be trusted or successful.
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Document type: Briefing
virginia_cpp_letter_3.2.16-bcc4ad55b9873a89.pdf
A coalition of organizations wrote to Governor Terry McAuliffe of Virginia on March 2, 2016, advocating for the maximization of energy efficiency investments to comply with the Clean Power Plan. The authors argue that efficiency is the lowest-cost demand-side resource and can provide rapid emissions reductions while creating local jobs. They specifically recommend that Virginia opt into the Clean Energy Incentive Program (CEIP) and utilize non-utility programs such as energy savings performance contracts and updated building energy codes. According to the letter, implementing a set of common efficiency policies could meet 85 percent of Virginia's 2030 compliance limit, potentially saving the state over $1.8 billion and avoiding more than 7 million tons of carbon dioxide pollution.
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Document type: Statement
Despite Stay, America’s Economy and Climate Need the Clean Power Plan
The World Resources Institute asserts that the U.S. Supreme Court's pause on the Clean Power Plan (CPP) is a temporary measure and that the policy remains legally sound and economically beneficial. The CPP is identified as a critical tool for the U.S. to meet its goal of reducing emissions 26-28 percent below 2005 levels by 2025. According to EPA estimates, the plan's health and economic benefits, valued between $25 billion and $65 billion, significantly outweigh the compliance costs of $7 billion to $9 billion. The document notes that many states, including Virginia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Missouri, are already positioned to meet or exceed their targets through existing clean energy policies and infrastructure. Furthermore, it highlights a broader trend of climate action among U.S. cities, such as New York and Chicago, and major corporations like Walmart and Microsoft, while urging global adherence to the Paris Agreement.
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Document type: Statement
Meeting the Clean Power Plan Technical Appendix
The Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) utilized the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL) Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) to assess the Clean Power Plan. The analysis incorporates modified cost and performance assumptions for various energy technologies, including a rejection of EIA 'learning' curves for mature technologies and specific adjustments for nuclear, coal, and renewables. The study compares four scenarios: a Reference Case, a CPP National Trading Case, a CPP No Trading Case, and a 'Clean Path' Case involving enhanced state-level policies in Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, and Virginia.
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Document type: Report
Meeting—and Exceeding—the Clean Power Plan in Virginia
The Union of Concerned Scientists proposes a "Clean Path" for Virginia to comply with the Clean Power Plan by transitioning from voluntary to mandatory renewable energy and energy efficiency targets and implementing a mass-based carbon emissions-trading program. The analysis suggests this approach would reduce CO2 emissions by 77 million tons through 2030 compared to a reference case, lower typical residential electricity bills by 5% by 2030, and generate an average of $241 million in annual auction revenue for state investments. The report highlights Virginia's current underutilization of its renewable potential, noting that non-hydro renewables accounted for only 2.8% of electricity generation in 2014.
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Document type: Report
Meeting and Exceeding Clean Power Plan Virginia
The document outlines a strategy for Virginia to exceed its Clean Power Plan goals through a revenue-raising carbon trading program and mandatory energy standards. It highlights the state's significant renewable energy potential and projects substantial economic and health benefits, including billions in capital investments and pollution avoidance by 2030.
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Document type: Briefing
Offshore Wind
The document provides a comprehensive overview of offshore wind energy as of early 2016, contrasting the advanced capacity in Europe with the nascent industry in the United States. It details the technical advantages of offshore wind over onshore wind, such as stronger and more consistent winds and proximity to coastal population centers. The text outlines U.S. government initiatives, including Department of Energy funding and Bureau of Ocean Energy Management leasing, while highlighting the United Kingdom, Germany, and Denmark as global leaders. It also discusses the economic impact of the sector, specifically the 'additional employment effect' in European ports and shipyards.
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Document type: Fact sheet
ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE STATE GUIDANCE FOR CLEAN POWER PLANNING
The document outlines strategies for US states to ensure that the Clean Power Plan does not disproportionately burden low-income communities and communities of color. It emphasizes the need for 'high impact' engagement, the conduct of formal Environmental Justice (EJ) analyses, and the avoidance of carbon trading mechanisms that may allow power plants to avoid on-site pollution reductions. The guide also advocates for a 'Just Transition' that provides economic development and job training in communities heavily dependent on fossil fuels.
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Document type: Guide
Meeting—and Exceeding—the Clean Power Plan in Virginia
The document details the use of the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) to model energy pathways for Virginia. It outlines specific adjustments made to capital costs, performance projections, and policy assumptions for various electricity generating technologies compared to EIA benchmarks. The analysis compares a 'Reference Case' of existing policies against a 'Clean Path Case' involving Clean Power Plan compliance, mandatory energy efficiency standards, and a Renewable Portfolio Standard for Virginia.
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Document type: Report
Local Climate Experts: The Influence of Local TV Weather Information on Climate Change Perceptions
A survey of 2,000 adult TV news viewers in Virginia found that paying attention to local weather forecasts is associated with the belief that extreme weather is increasing in the state, which subsequently correlates with stronger beliefs and concerns regarding global climate change. These effects were most pronounced among individuals who trust their local weathercaster and those identifying as politically conservative or moderate.
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Document type: Research paper
Surviving and Thriving in the Face of Rising Seas
The Union of Concerned Scientists developed a screening tool to identify coastal 'climate equity hotspots' where high climate risk overlaps with socioeconomic vulnerability. Applying this to 35 counties across the East and Gulf Coasts, the report finds that low-income and minority communities face disproportionate burdens from sea level rise and storm surges, often exacerbated by inadequate disaster recovery policies. It advocates for targeted federal funding, inclusive stakeholder engagement, and the use of actionable science to build resilience in frontline communities.
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Document type: Executive summary
Surviving and Thriving in the Face of Rising Seas
The Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) report identifies coastal communities where socioeconomic vulnerability and climate risks overlap, creating 'climate equity hotspots.' Using a pilot study of 35 counties across nine U.S. states, the report demonstrates that African American, Latino, and Native American communities often face higher exposure to sea level rise and tidal flooding while possessing fewer resources to adapt. The authors propose a screening tool based on climate and socioeconomic indicators to guide more equitable distribution of federal and state resilience funding. The report concludes with policy recommendations to upgrade affordable housing, improve transportation for evacuations, and ensure inclusive stakeholder engagement in climate planning.
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Document type: Report
Sobrevivir y prosperar ante el crecimiento de los mares
The Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) identifies a critical need for equitable climate resilience planning in the United States, specifically for frontline coastal communities. The report introduces a screening tool that combines climate risk indicators (sea-level rise and tidal flooding) with socioeconomic data (income, poverty, race, and education) to identify 'climate equity hotspots'. Applying this tool to 35 counties across nine states, the analysis finds that the Gulf Coast and Mid-Atlantic regions face the highest risks, with Orleans Parish, Louisiana, identified as the most vulnerable hotspot. The report argues that current disaster aid often fails marginalized groups due to bureaucratic hurdles and a focus on homeowners over renters. It recommends that federal and state agencies direct funding to high-risk communities, integrate the best available climate science into planning, and increase overall funding for climate resilience.
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Document type: Executive summary
Surviving and Thriving in the Face of Rising Seas
The document details a screening methodology to assess the joint vulnerability of 35 U.S. coastal counties by combining socioeconomic data and climate projections. It utilizes a linear scaling technique to normalize variables—including per-capita income, poverty rates, and projected sea level rise—into composite risk indicators. The analysis incorporates historical damage data from SHELDUS and storm surge modeling for specific case studies to identify areas of high vulnerability.
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Document type: Report
Green Banks: Transforming Clean Energy Finance in Virginia
The Union of Concerned Scientists analyzes how a hypothetical Virginia green bank with $90 million in initial capitalization could leverage $2.8 billion in total investment by 2030, significantly reducing carbon emissions and supporting the deployment of 575 MW of wind and solar capacity.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Proposed Stream Protection Rule, 80 Fed. Reg. 44,436 (Dkt. No. OSM-2010-0018) Draft Environmental Impact Statement (Dkt. No. OSM-2010-0021) Draft Regulatory Impact Analysis (Dkt. No. OSM-2015-0002)
The document is a formal comment letter from a coalition of environmental groups regarding the proposed Stream Protection Rule. The authors argue that the rule fails to adequately protect stream channels from direct damage, particularly in Central Appalachia, and relies on unproven stream restoration techniques. They contend that OSMRE ignored critical factors in its analysis, including the structural decline of coal demand, the net economic drain of mining on the region, and severe public health impacts. The coalition urges the agency to retain the 1983 stream buffer zone, strengthen water quality standards, and incorporate the social cost of carbon into its environmental impact assessments.
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Document type: Statement
3 Steps Virginia Can Take to Meet—and Then Exceed—its Clean Power Plan Targets
Virginia is required by the U.S. Clean Power Plan to reduce power sector emissions by 23 percent below 2012 levels by 2030. The document argues that by improving energy efficiency, increasing renewable energy use to meet voluntary goals, and maximizing the output of existing natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) plants, the state could reduce emissions by up to 43 percent by 2030. These actions are presented as cost-effective measures that could increase GDP, provide billions in net benefits, and generate revenue through the sale of unused emissions allowances.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Lights Out?
The Union of Concerned Scientists finds that significant portions of the U.S. East and Gulf Coast electricity grids are currently exposed to coastal flooding, a risk that will increase as sea levels rise. In the central Gulf Coast specifically, 188 major substations and 20 power plants are currently at risk from a major storm. The report argues that relying on historical flood data is insufficient and recommends a combination of infrastructure adaptation (protection, accommodation, and retreat) and the deployment of decentralized clean energy solutions—such as microgrids and solar with storage—to ensure community resilience and reduce the carbon emissions driving sea level rise.
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Document type: Report