Sobrevivir y prosperar ante el crecimiento de los mares

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The Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) identifies a critical need for equitable climate resilience planning in the United States, specifically for frontline coastal communities. The report introduces a screening tool that combines climate risk indicators (sea-level rise and tidal flooding) with socioeconomic data (income, poverty, race, and education) to identify 'climate equity hotspots'. Applying this tool to 35 counties across nine states, the analysis finds that the Gulf Coast and Mid-Atlantic regions face the highest risks, with Orleans Parish, Louisiana, identified as the most vulnerable hotspot. The report argues that current disaster aid often fails marginalized groups due to bureaucratic hurdles and a focus on homeowners over renters. It recommends that federal and state agencies direct funding to high-risk communities, integrate the best available climate science into planning, and increase overall funding for climate resilience.

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  • All 35 analyzed coastal counties are projected to experience a sea-level rise of more than 4 inches by 2030 and more than 10 inches by 2045 under a medium-range projection.
  • Tidal flooding events are expected to increase significantly for nearly all 25 counties with available data, with a projected three-fold increase by 2030 and a ten-fold increase by 2045 for the majority.
  • Major urban centers including Miami, Philadelphia, and Baltimore, as well as specific counties in Virginia and New Jersey, are identified as significant risk areas when combining climate and socioeconomic indicators.
  • Current disaster recovery and aid policies are insufficient because they often prioritize homeowners and car owners, neglecting renters, those in public housing, and people with mobility or health issues.
  • Sub-county analysis reveals that risk varies significantly within a single county; for example, in Fairfield County, Connecticut, cities like Bridgeport show a high overlap of sea-level rise and socioeconomic risks compared to other areas in the same county.
  • Louisiana is experiencing some of the highest relative sea-level rise rates globally, driven by land subsidence from oil and gas operations, sediment compaction, and upstream flood control, resulting in a loss of 40 square miles of wetlands per year.

Cite the original document

APA
Union of Concerned Scientists (2015). Sobrevivir y prosperar ante el crecimiento de los mares. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2015/11/surviving-and-thriving-spanish-executive-summary.pdf
Chicago
Union of Concerned Scientists. Sobrevivir y prosperar ante el crecimiento de los mares. 2015. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2015/11/surviving-and-thriving-spanish-executive-summary.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=Union of Concerned Scientists |title=Sobrevivir y prosperar ante el crecimiento de los mares |date=November 2015 |url=https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2015/11/surviving-and-thriving-spanish-executive-summary.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{unionofconcernedscientists2015sobrevivir, author = {{Union of Concerned Scientists}}, title = {{Sobrevivir y prosperar ante el crecimiento de los mares}}, institution = {Union of Concerned Scientists}, year = {2015}, month = nov, url = {https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2015/11/surviving-and-thriving-spanish-executive-summary.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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