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Summary and key findings insummary:"conflict of interest"
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  • The crisis in South Sudan has intensified regional rivalries in the Horn of Africa, drawing in neighboring states through military intervention, refugee influxes, and proxy support. Uganda has intervened militarily to support President Salva Kiir's government to protect economic interests and political influence. Sudan, while officially supporting the government, is suspected of supporting opposition forces to weaken South Sudan and re-establish influence. Ethiopia seeks to prevent a total state collapse to avoid ethnic spillover into its Gambella region and to block Eritrean infiltration. Eritrea is alleged to be covertly supporting opposition forces to undermine Ethiopia's regional predominance and strengthen its strategic relationship with Sudan.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: South Sudan
  • The document analyzes the war in northern Uganda as a dual conflict consisting of a multi-faceted rebellion against the NRM government and a violent insurgency by Joseph Kony's LRA. It argues that the LRA lacks popular support and is driven by apocalyptic spiritualism, while the government's military response and the arming of civilian militias have exacerbated instability. The authors recommend a shift toward civilian protection, a Truth and Reconciliation process to address historical injustices, and the extension of the Amnesty Act to encourage peace.

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    Document type: Report

  • President Joyce Banda of Malawi has stated the country will cooperate with the International Criminal Court (ICC) and arrest Sudanese President Omar Al-Bashir if he attends the African Union summit in July. This position contradicts the African Union's instruction to member states not to cooperate with the ICC in this case, potentially creating tension between Malawi and other AU members. The move is viewed as a pragmatic effort to restore Malawi's international image and secure necessary foreign aid, following criticism of a previous visit by Al-Bashir. Additionally, the document notes Malawi's democratic progress through the repeal of a repressive media law, while expressing concern that President Banda has weakened civil society by co-opting its members into her cabinet.

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    Document type: Briefing

    Regions: Malawi
  • The IGAD Peace Initiative on Sudan is positioned to achieve a signed peace agreement between the Sudan Peoples Liberation Movement/Army (SPLM/A) and the Government of Sudan (GoS), ending a failure of over 20 years. However, the document warns that the country remains broken, facing enormous physical reconstruction needs and a long transitional period marked by widespread regional and group grievances.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Sudan
  • The author contends that despite Equatorial Guinea's status as a major oil producer, the majority of its population lives in poverty while the ruling Obiang family amasses vast wealth through corruption. The text urges the Obama administration to denounce torture, seize ill-gotten US assets of the Obiang family, and support credible elections and independent media in Equatorial Guinea to move away from 'strongmen' toward 'strong institutions'.

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    Document type: Statement

  • The document warns that a proposed Protocol to the Convention on Conventional Weapons (CCW) would allow some countries to continue trading, stockpiling, and using cluster munitions, thereby weakening the international legal standard established by the 2008 Convention on Cluster Munitions (CCM). It highlights that Africa is disproportionately affected by these weapons, with nearly a third of affected countries and territories located on the continent. The author urges African states to maintain their commitment to a total ban to avoid setting a dangerous legal precedent where a lower standard of international law is adopted after a higher one has already been agreed upon.

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    Document type: Statement

    Regions: Africa
  • The author contends that the Darfur crisis is a manifestation of a breakdown in governance and long-term discontent with elitist rule in Sudan, rather than a simple religious or ethnic divide. The text criticizes the role of international activism and media, noting that the use of inflated fatality statistics creates a threshold for concern that ignores underlying causes. Furthermore, it suggests that reliance on international 'conflict management' by the UN and diplomats removes local agency and accountability, arguing that a sustainable solution must be driven by Sudanese civil society.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: DarfurSudan
  • The report details a seminar held in Addis Ababa on February 12, 2009, which analyzed the outcomes of the 12th Ordinary Summit of the African Union. Key discussions focused on the low implementation rate of AU Assembly decisions, the legal challenges of transforming the AU Commission into an Authority, and the AU's response to the International Criminal Court's indictment of the President of Sudan.

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: Africa
  • The report examines the Organisation of African Unity (OAU), detailing its origins in 1963 and its initial commitment to sovereignty and non-interference. It analyzes the OAU's shift in the 1990s toward conflict prevention, highlighted by the 1993 establishment of the Mechanism for preventing, managing, and resolving conflicts. The text also discusses the devastating impact of armed conflict on African development, including the destruction of infrastructure, loss of skilled manpower, and environmental degradation, while noting the OAU's challenges with funding and information gathering.

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    Document type: Report

  • The document analyzes the evolution of Disarmament, Demobilization, and Reintegration (DDR) programs in Africa, noting a shift from vague mandates in the late 1990s to highly specific programs by 2004. It emphasizes that DDR must be a voluntary process integrated into a broader national recovery framework, rather than a standalone social driver for peace. Key challenges identified include the 'quantitative' focus on counting soldiers versus the 'qualitative' need to reverse military indoctrination, the risk of DDR becoming a profit-making venture for ex-combatants, and the difficulty of accurate combatant identification. The report recommends a human-rights-based approach to DDR, better cross-border coordination to prevent combatants from moving between conflicts, and the use of strategic communication, particularly radio, to manage public expectations and support reconciliation.

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: Africa
  • The document examines the cycle of abduction, militarisation, and reintegration of children in Northern Uganda, specifically those targeted by the Lord's Resistance Army (LRA). It details the psychological brutalisation used to control child soldiers, the role of spiritual rituals in the LRA, and the effectiveness of psychosocial rehabilitation centres like GUSCO and World Vision. The authors argue that the focus on child soldiers often serves as a 'smokescreen' that obscures the underlying political disenfranchisement and economic collapse of the Acholi region, while highlighting the importance of traditional Acholi cleansing rituals in facilitating community reconciliation.

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    Document type: Report

  • This report summarizes a seminar held on October 17, 2008, at the United Nations Conference Center regarding the implications of the 2008 US Presidential Election for Africa. The event featured presentations by Dr. Steven Erkovich and Dr. Joseph Vincent Ebode, who analyzed US foreign policy motivations, the specific propositions of candidates Barack Obama and John McCain, and the strategic rationale behind Obama's candidacy.

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    Document type: Report

  • The research paper evaluates the impact of the IEMF (Operation ARTEMIS) in stabilizing Bunia, DRC, noting its success in restoring basic security and facilitating the return of displaced persons, while highlighting its failure to prevent atrocities outside its limited area of responsibility. It outlines three future scenarios—worst, best, and most likely—and recommends an integrated approach combining military peace-enforcement, political support for the Ituri Interim Administration (IIA), and the implementation of a Disarmament, Demobilization, and Reintegration (DDR) process to address the root causes of ethnic conflict between Hema and Lendu communities.

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    Document type: Research paper

  • The document serves as a comprehensive guide for the International Institute for Justice and the Rule of Law to develop its training curricula. It emphasizes the critical role of policymakers and senior officials in driving institutional change and provides a step-by-step methodology for capacity building, including needs assessments and participant selection. Additionally, it advocates for the use of immersive, simulation-based training to recreate the complexity of real-life criminal justice incidents, specifically in the context of counterterrorism.

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: World
  • The document examines the escalating border dispute between Ethiopia and Sudan over the al-Fashaga area, noting its intersection with tensions over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). It highlights how internal political instability in both countries and conflicting claims over land sovereignty hinder negotiations, warning that failure to de-escalate could lead to proxy wars and further regional destabilisation.

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    Document type: Research paper

  • The document examines the conflict between Ethiopia and Egypt over the proposed Great Millennium Dam, a project with a 5,250 megawatt capacity. Egypt has expressed concerns regarding its water quota and has threatened military action, while Ethiopia links Egyptian access to the site to the signing of the Cooperative Framework Agreement (CFA). The dispute is framed by the CFA, which is supported by several upper Nile Basin states but rejected by Egypt, and is further complicated by the independence of Southern Sudan.

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    Document type: Briefing

    Regions: EthiopiaEgypt
  • The document discusses the impact of 'negative forces' on stability in the Great Lakes Region, particularly in the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). While military force is often the preferred solution for groups like the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA), the author highlights a mediation effort led by MONUC to repatriate the ADF/NALU coalition. The ADF/NALU, consisting of approximately 1,300 fighters (60% Congolese), emerged from Ugandan political and religious marginalisation and later operated from the DRC. The document argues that addressing these smaller, often 'inactive' groups is essential for regional stability, as they contribute to arms proliferation and resource exploitation despite lacking the strength to overthrow governments.

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    Document type: Research paper

  • The author applies the 'non-offensive defence' (NOD) framework to sub-Saharan Africa, finding that most states lack the logistics, equipment, and troop density to launch large-scale offensives. This creates a 'zone of mutual defensive superiority' by default, though the author warns this is coupled with a dangerous inability to protect citizens from internal repression or external predators. The paper suggests that instead of individual state armaments, the region should pursue a 'division of labour' for power projection through multilateral organisations like the African Union.

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    Document type: Research paper

  • The document examines the link between poverty, human insecurity, and conflict in sub-Saharan Africa. It argues that the 'security first' approach of international donors is flawed because it focuses on state security while ignoring the structural economic collapse caused by neo-liberal structural adjustment programmes and unsustainable debt. The author describes 'new wars' in Africa as rational economic responses to exclusion, where warlords utilize global markets for lootable commodities. The paper advocates for a shift toward 'human security' and a significant increase in official development assistance (ODA) to meet Millennium Development Goals, warning that current donor strategies continue to prioritize market liberalization over genuine poverty alleviation.

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    Document type: Research paper

  • The document examines the legal framework of international criminal law, focusing on the 'core crimes' of the International Criminal Court (ICC): genocide, crimes against humanity, and war crimes. It details the three essential components for establishing individual criminal responsibility: the material element (conduct), the mental element (intent/knowledge), and the contextual element (the broader circumstances of mass violence or armed conflict). The text analyzes the Rome Statute, the 'Elements of Crimes' document, and jurisprudence from the ICTY and ICTR to explain how these crimes are distinguished from domestic offences and from each other. It specifically explores the 'special intent' required for genocide, the 'widespread or systematic' nature of crimes against humanity, and the distinction between international and non-international armed conflicts in the context of war crimes.

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    Document type: Guide

    Regions: World
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