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Sudan Development Futures
This report examines Sudan's development prospects through 2043, identifying the 2023 civil war as the primary constraint on growth. While the 'Current Path' predicts stagnant GDP per capita and persistent extreme poverty, a 'Combined scenario' of reforms in agriculture, governance, trade (AfCFTA), and financial flows could significantly raise living standards and lift 17.3 million more people out of poverty. The report highlights Sudan's vast untapped renewable energy and agricultural potential but emphasizes that a political settlement and the restoration of state institutions are absolute prerequisites for any sustainable recovery.
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Document type: Report
Chilling Prospects 2022: Urban land-use and heat analysis in major cities of the Critical 9 countries
This report analyzes land-use changes between 2015 and 2019 in the most populous cities of the 'Critical 9' countries to assess the impact of urbanization on the Urban Heat Island Effect (UHIE) and cooling needs. Using Copernicus Land Monitoring Service data and the IPCC's SSP1-1.9 emissions scenario, the analysis details how the expansion of built-up areas at the expense of natural heat sinks—such as forests, wetlands, and vegetation—increases heat risks for vulnerable populations.
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Document type: Report
Eastern DRC and the protests in Sudan
This briefing from the Institute for Security Studies analyzes two distinct security and political crises: the escalating violence in the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) involving the M23 rebel group and Rwandan influence, and the economic instability and civil unrest in Sudan under President Omar al-Bashir.
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Document type: Briefing
Indicting President Bashir: The Implications for Human Security in Sudan and Beyond
An address by Ambassador Akuei Malwal of the Sudanese Embassy in Ethiopia, delivered at an Institute for Security Studies seminar on July 24, 2008. The speech argues that the International Criminal Court (ICC) Prosecutor's request for an arrest warrant against President Omer Hassan Ahmed El Bashir is politically motivated, violates state sovereignty, and threatens the fragile peace processes in Sudan.
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Document type: Statement
Breaking the Darfur Impasse
This report by Ayesha Kajee of the South African Institute of International Affairs analyzes the failure of the Darfur Peace Agreement (DPA) and the ongoing humanitarian crisis in Darfur, Sudan. It details the inadequacy of the African Union (AU) peacekeeping mission, the Sudanese government's resistance to UN intervention, and the complex drivers of the conflict, including ethnic tensions and the politics of natural resources.
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Document type: Report
Sudan: Eighteen months after the CPA
This briefing by the Institute for Security Studies examines the state of Sudan eighteen months after the signing of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) on 5 January 2005. It analyzes the fragility of the alliance between the National Congress Party (NCP) and the Sudanese Peoples Liberation Movement (SPLM), the impact of Dr. John Garang's death on the 'New Sudan' vision, and the critical challenges regarding the demarcation of the Abyei boundary. The document highlights how peripheral regions like Darfur and the Beja area continue to experience instability, threatening the overall implementation of the peace process.
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Document type: Briefing