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Transforming India into a solar power
The document evaluates the Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission, launched in 2009 to make solar power affordable by 2022 and establish India as a global leader in solar energy. It highlights the success of competitive bidding in reducing tariffs but warns that a lack of expertise requirements attracted inexperienced developers, risking project defaults. The brief also notes that while off-grid subsidies exist, the market-based approach and high down payments limit access for the most energy-poor. It recommends integrating participatory models and strengthening environmental impact assessments to ensure long-term sustainability.
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Document type: Policy brief
COP 17: What Role for South Africa as an Agent of Change?
South Africa hosted COP 17 in 2011 with the goal of establishing legal guidelines for carbon emission reductions and advancing a post-2012 global climate regime. The document highlights the tension between developed and developing nations regarding binding targets, specifically the stalemate over the Kyoto Protocol. South Africa aims to act as a bridge-builder, championing African agency and adaptation needs while coordinating with the BASIC alliance. Domestically, the document notes that South Africa must finalize policies on carbon taxes and renewable energy tariffs to lead by example, as it is the world's 13th highest greenhouse-gas emitter.
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Document type: Policy brief
Climate Economics: The State of the Art
The report argues that climate economics lags behind climate science, often relying on outdated data and simplified cost-benefit frameworks. It advocates for a shift toward precautionary, standards-based decision-making to avoid catastrophic tipping points, such as the collapse of the Amazon rain forest or large-scale methane release. The authors recommend that economic models incorporate up-to-date probability distributions for climate sensitivity, account for regional vulnerabilities, and use endogenous technological change to model abatement costs. The report emphasizes that limiting warming to 2°C requires immediate, large-scale emissions reductions, as current international commitments are insufficient.
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Document type: Report
Real People, Real Impacts: The Climate Impact Equity Lens
The Climate Impact Equity Lens (CIEL) is an illustrative tool that compares individual climate damages against the savings gained from not reducing greenhouse gas emissions. By analyzing factors such as income, economic vulnerability, coastal exposure, and water availability, CIEL demonstrates that regional averages mask a wide diversity of impacts. The report finds that while some individuals are currently 'net winners' due to avoided emission costs, the majority of the global population, including the least vulnerable, will likely become 'net losers' by 2150 as climate damages escalate.
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Document type: Report
Comparison of Annex 1 and non-Annex 1 pledges under the Cancún Agreements
The report finds a robust consensus across four analyzed studies that developing country mitigation pledges are greater in absolute terms than those of developed countries. It argues that developed country pledges are insufficient and could be further eroded by lenient accounting rules regarding land use and surplus allowances. The analysis concludes that current global pledges are consistent with temperature rises between 2°C and 5°C, necessitating higher ambition from developed nations based on principles of equity and historical responsibility.
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Document type: Research paper
New actors in Africa: How is their entry affecting the continent’s relations with the EU?
The document details a high-level policy dialogue in Johannesburg focused on the complementary roles of traditional and emerging powers in Africa's development. It highlights the different priorities of the EU (governance and human rights) versus China, India, and Brazil (infrastructure and equipment), while emphasizing that Africa requires a coordinated engagement policy to avoid a 'new scramble for Africa'. The report explores triangular cooperation, sustainable natural resource management through initiatives like the ICGLR, and the challenges of regional integration and infrastructure funding, noting an annual infrastructure shortfall of US$43 billion.
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Document type: Report
Big Risks, Better Alternatives
The report argues that the Levy and Vogtle nuclear projects carry significant financial risks for ratepayers and taxpayers due to potential cost escalations and delays. It finds that both Florida and Georgia could meet their projected energy demand growth more cost-effectively through aggressive energy efficiency targets and the development of renewable energy resources, which are presented as lower-risk and lower-cost alternatives to the Westinghouse AP1000 reactor design.
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Document type: Report
Implementation of an emission trading scheme in Japan
The research evaluates the transition from voluntary to mandatory emissions trading in Japan using the CASE-ASIA model. It compares two primary designs—one including the electricity sector in the ETS and one applying a CO2 tax to it—across various allocation modes including full auctioning, border adjustments (BA), and output-based allocation (OBA). The findings highlight a critical trade-off between electricity prices and industrial product prices, noting that border adjustments for exports are essential for Japan due to its high export volume of steel and cement. While OBA is most effective at limiting production decreases, the study concludes there is no single superior design, and policy choices will depend on government priorities regarding revenue and competitiveness.
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Document type: Research paper
Use of Border Adjustment Measures
The paper examines how to equalise carbon costs between domestic and imported cement and clinker. It identifies two primary calculation requirements: the difference in carbon costs of production and the carbon intensity of imported products. The author evaluates three options for determining carbon intensity—plant-by-plant assessment, benchmarking, and default values—concluding that a system of stringent default factors with an option for plant-level evidence is the most practical compromise to balance accuracy with administrative feasibility.
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Document type: Research paper
Emerging Powers and the Changing Global Environment: Leadership, Norms and Institutions
The paper examines the rise of emerging powers, specifically the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa), and their impact on global leadership and norms. It argues that the 'decline of the West' is exaggerated, as emerging powers often emulate Western modernity and liberal economic reforms. The author critiques the BRICS forum as a 'political club' lacking a unifying agenda and suggests that South Africa's membership is a 'strategic blunder'. Instead, the paper recommends that South Africa develop a rigorous commercial diplomacy approach to leverage economic opportunities within Africa and engage emerging powers on a bilateral basis to navigate 'institutional voids' such as corruption and bureaucratic inefficiency.
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Document type: Research paper
Border Carbon Adjustments: What risk for South African exporters?
The analysis indicates that South Africa is vulnerable to border carbon adjustments (BCAs) from the US and EU, with potential annual charges of €380 million and US$210 million respectively. The non-ferrous metals and iron and steel sectors are the most exposed, facing ad valorem tax equivalents exceeding 10%. To mitigate these risks, the document suggests South Africa could pursue WTO redress or negotiate sectoral emissions reduction agreements to gain exemptions.
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Document type: Policy brief
Soft Energy Paths for the 21st Century
The author contends that the Fukushima disaster was avoidable and highlights the systemic failures in nuclear regulation and governance in Japan and the US. He argues that nuclear power is economically inferior to renewables and efficiency, noting that renewables surpassed nuclear's global installed capacity in 2010. The text calls for Japan to leverage its technological strengths in efficiency and renewables to lead a global shift away from centralized, high-risk power plants toward distributed, clean energy systems.
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Document type: Research paper
Informationsinstrumente zur Förderung von Energieeinsparungen im Wohngebäudebestand
The report evaluates information tools used to encourage residential energy retrofits, categorizing them by the stage of the decision-making process they target: creating awareness, assisting in planning, and supporting professional implementation. It finds that while individual tools like detailed billing or energy audits can trigger savings, their effectiveness often depends on implementation design, such as 'opt-out' participation and the communication skills of professionals. The document highlights that in Germany, the government aims to reduce buildings' primary energy demand for thermal use by 80% by 2050, requiring a significant increase in the annual retrofit rate.
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Document type: Report
U.S. Nuclear Power after Fukushima
The Union of Concerned Scientists asserts that U.S. nuclear plants are vulnerable to severe accidents and terrorist attacks, citing the Fukushima crisis as a warning. The report identifies failures in NRC enforcement and industry priorities, specifically regarding spent fuel storage and fire protection. It proposes eight key reforms, including extending regulations to cover severe accidents, expanding emergency planning zones beyond 10 miles, and increasing the monetary value assigned to human life in cost-benefit analyses to mandate safer reactor designs.
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Document type: Fact sheet
U.S. Nuclear Power after Fukushima
The Union of Concerned Scientists outlines 23 recommendations to improve U.S. nuclear safety, arguing that the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) prioritizes business interests over public safety. Key proposals include extending regulations to cover 'severe' accidents, expanding emergency planning zones beyond 10 miles, and mandating the transfer of spent fuel from pools to dry casks. The report also calls for more realistic terrorist threat assumptions, stricter fire protection enforcement, and an increase in the dollar value assigned to human life in cost-benefit analyses to justify necessary safety retrofits.
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Document type: Report
Strengthening the European Union Climate and Energy Package
The report assesses the EU's Climate and Energy Package, concluding that the 20% emissions reduction target by 2020 is insufficient to reach the 2050 goal of 80% reduction without incurring extreme economic costs in later decades. It recommends increasing the 2020 target to 30%, establishing a stringent 2030 EU ETS cap of 45-50% reduction, and shifting energy efficiency focus toward absolute energy savings in buildings and transport. The authors argue that these measures would reduce oil and gas dependency, foster the Low Carbon and Environmental Goods and Services (LCEGS) market, and prevent high-carbon infrastructure lock-in.
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Document type: Report
Testimony of Dr. Edwin Lyman Senior Scientist, Global Security Program Union of Concerned Scientists on S. 512, “The Nuclear Power 2021 Act” and S. 1067, “The Nuclear Energy Research Initiative Improvement Act of 2011” Before the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources U.S. Senate
Dr. Edwin Lyman of the Union of Concerned Scientists testifies that small modular reactors (SMRs) do not offer clear economic advantages over large reactors and may introduce greater safety, security, and proliferation risks. He argues that S. 512 should require the Department of Energy to prioritize designs that significantly exceed current safety standards rather than those relying on weakened regulations. Additionally, he cautions against statutory deadlines for NRC licensing and suggests that S. 1067 explicitly link cost-reduction research with the enhancement of safety and security.
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Document type: Statement
Information tools for energy demand reduction in existing residential buildings
The report identifies three categories of information tools to support residential thermal retrofits: those that raise awareness of benefits, those that assist in planning and investment, and those that train professionals. It finds that while individual tools like detailed billing or in-home displays can reduce energy consumption by 1-10% or more, their effectiveness depends on implementation factors such as 'opt-out' participation, user education, and the quality of professional certification. The document emphasizes that information tools are generally cost-effective and can significantly catalyze energy efficiency investments when tailored to consumer needs.
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Document type: Report
Sustainable Development and the Global Copper Supply Chain: International research team report
The report examines the global copper supply chain, focusing on China's role as the world's largest consumer. It analyzes two primary flows: recycled copper scrap (Flow C) and primary copper mining products (Flow D). The document identifies sustainability challenges, including the illegal import of e-waste into China and weak regulatory enforcement in mining regions like Zambia. It evaluates the impact of international policies, such as the EU's WEEE and ELV Directives, and provides recommendations for improving data quality, formalizing recycling infrastructure, and strengthening government capacity in developing nations.
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Document type: Report
THE GOVERNANCE OF CLIMATE FINANCE IN AFRICA, ASIA AND LATIN AMERICA: SOME CRITICAL REFLECTIONS
The document examines the governance of climate finance across three developing regions, arguing that funding is heavily skewed toward mitigation over adaptation and private over public sources. It highlights that this imbalance often ignores the urgent needs of the most vulnerable populations and the preference of developing nations for public finance to address historical climate debt. Additionally, it critiques the role of regional development banks, noting conflicts of interest where banks fund both fossil-fuel and renewable energy projects while prioritizing loans over grants.
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Document type: Policy brief