Search Climate Insights Directory
132 results
Wildcards and Megatrends: Great Power Implosion, Technology and Climate Change
The report identifies several disruptive factors that could alter global trajectories, including the potential implosion of major powers like the US or China, the risks of generative AI, and the accelerating biosphere crisis. It highlights Africa's extreme vulnerability to climate change and warns that AI may exacerbate economic inequality and state surveillance. The text also notes a growing divide between the West and the Global South, driven by perceived self-centeredness during the COVID-19 pandemic and differing geopolitical responses to conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza.
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Document type: Report
Egypt
The document describes Egypt as a lower-middle-income transcontinental country with a population of over 113 million as of 2023. It details the nation's high population density, where 99% of the population resides on only 5.5% of the land along the Nile river. The text outlines Egypt's political history from the 1952 revolution through the Arab Spring to the current presidency of Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi, noting a highly centralised administrative structure across 27 governorates. It also mentions the country's struggle with terrorism, specifically citing Islamic extremist groups like Ansar Beit Magdis in Sinai, though it suggests these groups have been defeated.
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Document type: Report
Story Spark: Violence
The document argues that climate change increases violence by exacerbating risk factors such as extreme heat, resource scarcity, and material insecurity. It highlights specific links between rising temperatures and intimate partner violence, gun violence, and group-level conflict, while advising reporters to use granular data and center marginalized voices to illustrate these social climate impacts.
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Document type: Guide
The 1911 Moment: An Artificial Intelligence Primer for National Security Professionals
The document argues that AI has entered its '1911 Moment,' shifting from experimental curiosity to real-world military and diplomatic application. It defines the spectrum of AI capabilities from Artificial Narrow Intelligence (ANI) to theoretical Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI) and details current deployments of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems (LAWS) and AI-driven decision support in conflicts in Ukraine, Gaza, and elsewhere. The authors contrast the 'normal technology' view of AI with the 'exceptional technology' view, noting that the choice between these frameworks dictates whether policy should focus on governing deployment or controlling the models themselves. Finally, it highlights the use of 'compute diplomacy' and AI chip export controls as modern instruments of economic statecraft.
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Document type: Research paper
Unlawful Strikes on Iran
The Center for International Environmental Law (CIEL) asserts that US and Israeli military strikes on Iran are illegal acts of aggression that destabilize the region and cause destruction to both human life and the environment. CIEL argues that these attacks cannot be justified as efforts to promote human rights or democracy, noting that such military actions have already resulted in hundreds of civilian deaths. The organization calls on the international community, including European leaders, to reject the normalization of force and instead prioritize diplomacy, multilateralism, and nuclear restraint to protect the environment and the rule of law.
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Document type: Statement
Aligning AU-EU interests to reshape global governance on peace and security
The document argues that the multilateral system, particularly the UN Security Council, is experiencing a 'rupture' characterized by paralysis and legitimacy deficits. While the AU seeks immediate structural changes—including permanent seats and veto power—the EU generally favors gradual procedural reforms. Despite these differences, the briefing identifies key areas of convergence: improving UNSC working methods, strengthening EU-AU-UN cooperation, and implementing UN Resolution 2719 to provide predictable financing for AU-led peace operations. It suggests that both continents must move beyond rhetorical alignment toward tangible delivery to maintain influence in a fragmented geopolitical order, especially given the US's increasing disengagement from international organizations.
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Document type: Briefing
Lurgence de la non-violence pour sauver le droit international
The author contends that recent violations of international law—including US actions in Venezuela and conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza—demonstrate the impotence of violence. The text advocates for a shift toward 'non-violence' as a political tool and a global common good, linking peace to social and environmental justice. It calls on the European Union to champion this approach by upholding the UN Charter, the Paris Agreement, and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.
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Document type: Statement
Only non-violence can save international law
The author contends that recent military actions by the US, Russia, and Israel signal a collapse of international law and a return to the 'law of the strongest'. The text argues that violence is a symptom of powerlessness and suggests that Europe should instead promote a 'new' paradigm based on non-violence, the UN's 2030 Agenda, and the Paris Climate Agreement to achieve sustainable peace and climate justice.
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Document type: Statement
Mapping Digital Hate: A Landscape Review of Online Hate Speech in Jordan
The report identifies three primary typologies of online hate speech in Jordan: gender-based abuse, religious hate speech (primarily targeting Shia communities), and exclusionary nationalist discourse. It highlights how regional conflicts in Gaza and Syria act as trigger events for spikes in hostility and notes that users exploit 'Arabizi' to bypass inadequate Arabic-language moderation. The study also criticizes the 2023 Cybercrime Law for lacking precise definitions, leading to potential over-criminalization of expression.
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Document type: Report
Backlash and Progress in a New Geopolitical Reality: Women, Peace and Security and the Ambiguous Role of the UN Security Council
The document analyzes the evolution of the Women, Peace and Security (WPS) agenda in the UN Security Council, noting a shift from consensus-based norm expansion to a period of 'backlash' and 'pushback' since 2019. It identifies specific threats to norms regarding sexual and reproductive health and rights (SRHR) and women's civil society participation, often driven by actors like Russia, China, and the US (under the Trump administration). Despite these challenges, the authors highlight the role of elected members (E10) in maintaining progress through 'shared commitments' and the integration of WPS language into day-to-day Council decisions. The paper argues that while the Council's overall legitimacy is declining due to stalemates over conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, it remains a critical arena for defending women's rights against global authoritarian trends.
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Document type: Research paper
The UN Security Council Resolution on Gaza: Age of Consent or Recipe for Conflict? – Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)
The author contends that UN Security Council Resolution 2803, which endorses a US-led plan for Gaza, is a 'recipe for further conflict' due to its lack of local legitimacy. The plan proposes a Board of Peace (BoP) for governance and an International Stabilization Force (ISF) for disarmament, but the author argues these will be viewed as instruments of occupation. Drawing on comparisons with successful disarmament in Colombia, Northern Ireland, and South Africa, the text asserts that security reform requires local ownership and a political resolution—specifically Palestinian statehood—rather than external imposition.
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Document type: Statement
Declaración de la Cumbre de los pueblos hacia la COP30
The People's Summit declaration argues that the capitalist mode of production and transnational corporations are the root causes of the climate crisis and environmental racism. It rejects market-based 'false solutions' and the current multilateral system, calling instead for the recognition of ancestral knowledge, the protection of indigenous territories, and a sovereign, popular energy transition. The document demands the end of fossil fuel extraction, the redistribution of wealth from the global north to the south as socio-environmental debt, and the implementation of agroecology and feminist care work as central to planetary survival.
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Document type: Statement
Joint Statement 2025 East Asia Quadrilateral Dialogue
The 2025 East Asia Quadrilateral Dialogue joint statement argues that geopolitical zero-sum thinking and great power competition increase the risk of military conflict in East Asia and hinder cooperation on the climate crisis. The signatories advocate for the institutionalization of Track II diplomacy—linking civil society, parliaments, and experts—to maintain peace and manage regional competition.
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Document type: Statement
Story Spark: Solar Energy
The document highlights the rapid global growth of solar energy, noting a 31% jump in generation in the first half of 2025 and its cost-effectiveness compared to fossil fuels. It advises journalists to move past 'alternative energy' framing, treat intermittency as a manageable issue rather than a fundamental obstacle, and be skeptical of 'weird solar' innovations that cannot compete with mass-produced panels. The guide also provides specific examples of solar applications, from agrivoltaics in Illinois to mini-grids in Nigeria and resilience hubs in Houston.
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Document type: Guide
No Peace without a Free Palestine
Friends of the Earth International asserts that a lasting peace requires the complete end of the Israeli occupation and full sovereignty for the Palestinian people. The statement reports that despite ceasefire claims, atrocities and humanitarian disasters persist in Gaza, where environmental damage is severe. In the West Bank, the document notes escalating settler and military violence, specifically citing 158 attacks on olive harvesters since October 2025. It rejects the 'Trump plan' as an attack on Palestinian land rights and demands accountability for crimes committed over the last 48 months.
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Document type: Statement
No hay paz sin una Palestina libre
Friends of the Earth International asserts that there can be no peace without a free Palestine, stating that current ceasefires have not stopped killings and bombings. The statement highlights a catastrophic humanitarian situation in Gaza, including toxic debris and contaminated air and water, and reports intensifying settler and military violence in the West Bank, specifically targeting olive harvests. It rejects the Trump plan as an attack on Palestinian land rights and demands full sovereignty for a Palestinian state and accountability for crimes committed over the last 48 months.
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Document type: Statement
Pas de paix sans une Palestine libre
Friends of the Earth International asserts that a sustainable peace is impossible without a free Palestine, highlighting the catastrophic humanitarian and environmental conditions in Gaza and the escalating violence against communities in the West Bank. The statement rejects the Trump peace plan as an attack on Palestinian land rights and demands full sovereignty for a Palestinian state, the end of Israeli occupation, and accountability for war crimes.
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Document type: Statement
The Middle East Paradoxon: Can a New Regional Order Emerge After Disruption?
The briefing examines the 'Middle East Paradoxon,' where Israel faces increased internal instability and lost soft power despite a lack of immediate military threats from its Arab neighbors. It analyzes the fallout from a September 9, 2025, Israeli strike in Doha, which triggered rare Arab unity and accelerated a strategic realignment away from the United States. The author discusses the 'Trump Peace Plan' for Gaza as a rupture that may bring hostages home but faces significant risks of derailment due to its vague nature and opposition from Israeli ultranationalists. Additionally, the text highlights a new nuclear shield agreement between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan and the potential for Syria to become a site of power struggle between Turkey and Israel following the toppling of Bashar al-Asad.
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Document type: Briefing
Wartime sexual violence: Recent research findings and their implications
The report argues that conflict-related sexual violence is not inevitable and varies significantly across armed actors. It highlights a shift toward analyzing 'patterns of violence'—distinguishing between military strategy, organizational policy, and tolerated social practice—while advocating for a more intersectional approach that includes men, boys, and LGBTQIA+ survivors. The authors identify critical gaps in the study of structural root causes and perpetrator motivations, and they caution that traditional policy tools like international prosecutions and state-level sanctions have limited or even counterproductive effects on prevention.
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Document type: Research paper
Grappling with a weapon: The politics and policies of conflict-related sexual violence at the United Nations Security Council
The paper analyzes the evolution of the UN Security Council's approach to conflict-related sexual violence (CRSV), arguing that while the 'weapon of war' frame successfully moved the issue onto the security agenda, it created significant gaps in protection and accountability. This framing prioritizes strategic, systematic violence over opportunistic abuse and often ignores non-traditional survivors, such as men, boys, and LGBTQ+ individuals. The author notes that geopolitical interests continue to dictate which atrocities are condemned and which are tolerated, leading to inconsistent implementation of the Women, Peace and Security (WPS) agenda.
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Document type: Research paper