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From Isolation to Integration? A Study of Chinese Retailers in Dakar
The document examines the growth of a Chinese retail community in Dakar, Senegal, since the late 1990s. It details how Chinese migrants, many former employees of Henan Construction, occupied the residential area of Le Centenaire by renting front yards from financially struggling Senegalese civil servants. This created a commercial hub that provided affordable goods to the local population but sparked conflict with established Senegalese retailers, leading to a major strike in 2004. The paper highlights the disconnect between these independent retailers and the Chinese embassy, the emergence of a parallel informal market of Senegalese 'table retailers', and the eventual creation of an independent Chinese chamber of commerce to manage community interests.
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Document type: Research paper
Enhancing the Governance of Africa’s Oil Sector
The document examines the 'resource curse' in Africa, where oil wealth often correlates with poverty, corruption, and conflict. It evaluates the impact of governance initiatives like the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI), Publish What You Pay (PWYP), and Transparency International (TI) across eight oil-dependent states. The author argues that while these initiatives may be necessary for better governance, they are not sufficient on their own to overcome the systemic issues of rentier states, as evidenced by the continued prevalence of authoritarianism and corruption in several case studies.
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Document type: Research paper
China’s Engagement with the Nigerian Oil Sector
The document analyzes the failure of 'oil for infrastructure' deals in Nigeria, where Chinese companies secured oil blocs in exchange for projects like the Lagos–Kano railway and Mambilla power station. These projects were stalled after the 2007 transition to President Yar’Adua's administration, which preferred cash payments over infrastructure. Consequently, Chinese firms have shifted toward direct acquisitions of oil assets for cash, exemplified by Sinopec's $7.2 billion purchase of Addax Petroleum in 2009.
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Document type: Policy brief
The Power of Regional Economic Communities: predicting future trends and mitigating the phenomenon of unconstitutional power alteration in Africa
The document analyzes three generations of unconstitutional power shifts in Africa, from post-independence coups to modern manipulations of term limits and 'models' of military intervention. It argues that while Regional Economic Communities (RECs) like ECOWAS and SADC have the potential to mitigate these trends through sanctions and democratic protocols, their effectiveness is hindered by state sovereignty, inconsistent implementation of laws, and the influence of powerful regional leaders who support usurpers. The authors recommend that RECs focus on root causes—such as socioeconomic stagnation and weak institutions—and encourage the ratification of the AU Charter on Democracy, Elections and Governance.
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Document type: Report
Forest Governance in Africa
The document analyzes the systemic failures of forest governance in Africa, highlighting how colonial-era centralized bureaucracies and externally imposed paradigms—such as industrial logging, biodiversity conservation, and REDD—have marginalized local stakeholders. It documents widespread corruption where political elites use logging concessions for personal enrichment or political financing, and notes that while some countries have attempted decentralization, these reforms are often bureaucratic and fail to grant genuine tenure rights to communities.
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Document type: Research paper
China and Africa’s Natural Resources: The Challenges and Implications for Development and Governance
The document examines China's strategic pursuit of resource security in Africa, primarily focusing on oil and strategic minerals. It details the 'Angola mode' of infrastructure-for-resources deals and the complex internal bureaucracy of Chinese resource diplomacy. While acknowledging positive contributions to hard infrastructure, the paper highlights concerns regarding debt sustainability, environmental degradation, and the potential for 'no strings attached' loans to undermine governance reforms in neo-patrimonial regimes.
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Document type: Research paper
Elephants, Ants and Superpowers: Nigeria’s Relations with China
The document analyzes the bilateral relationship between Nigeria and China, noting a shift in strategy following the transition from President Olusegun Obasanjo to Umaru Musa Yar’Adua. It argues that the 'oil for infrastructure' model failed due to Nigeria's electoral cycle and governance issues, leading China to adopt a lower-risk strategy of purchasing established oil companies. Despite political volatility, Chinese multinational companies continue to expand their market share in Nigeria's construction, telecommunications, and power sectors due to competitive pricing and access to state-backed credit.
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Document type: Research paper
Gabon presidential election: time for change or more of the same?
The document analyzes the 2009 presidential election in Gabon, arguing that Ali-Ben Bongo is likely to succeed his father, Omar Bongo, due to a fragmented opposition and the legacy of state control. It examines the role of the ruling Gabonese Democratic Party (PDG) and the Presidential Majority, noting that while the elite are contesting state power, the use of oil revenues for cooptation has historically maintained Bongo family dominance. The author suggests that the new president's ability to manage internal party defections and opposition will determine if Gabon moves toward genuine pluralism or remains a 'virtual fiefdom'.
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Document type: Research paper
Whither Human Rights in African International Relations?
The document assesses the role of human rights in African international relations, arguing that while the continent has established significant monitoring bodies and ratified treaties, human rights often remain a "variable concern" subordinated to national interests and geopolitical strategies. It highlights the influence of "African solutions to African problems" in conflict resolution and the impact of China's non-interference policy as an alternative to Western conditionality. The author concludes that for human rights to be central to foreign policy, African states must develop a unified continental approach that harmonizes trade, security, and justice while adhering to agreed-upon democratic standards.
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Document type: Research paper
Quid des droits humains dans les relations internationales africaines ?
The document examines how human rights are integrated into African international relations, noting a gap between formal commitments to regional and international treaties and the practical application of these norms. It highlights how national interests, historical colonial ties, and the emergence of non-conditional economic partnerships—particularly with China—often supersede human rights considerations. The author analyzes specific cases, such as the African Union's response to the ICC warrant for Omar Al-Bashir and South Africa's diplomatic balancing act, to argue that human rights often remain a "variable concern" rather than a central pillar of foreign policy.
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Document type: Research paper
Greenhouse Gases and Human Well-Being
The paper examines the correlation between CO2 emissions per capita and PPP-adjusted GDP per capita across 174 countries, using China to illustrate the challenges of balancing development with emissions reductions. It finds that income is the strongest determinant of emissions and argues that current high-income lifestyles are incompatible with low-carbon stabilization targets, necessitating technological innovation.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate change, population pressure and conflict in Africa
The document examines how anthropogenic climate change and rapid population growth intensify resource competition and instability in Africa. It highlights the continent's low adaptive capacity due to poverty and weak governance, while noting that resource scarcity does not linearly lead to war but can also foster cooperation.
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Document type: Research paper
Banking on Africa: Chinese Financial Institutions and Africa
The document analyzes the evolution of China's financial sector and its strategic move into Africa. It highlights how state-owned banks, such as ICBC and CDB, support resource acquisition through project finance and infrastructure loans. The paper identifies a shift toward commercial banking, exemplified by ICBC's 2007 investment in South Africa's Standard Bank, and discusses the influence of Chinese migration and excess foreign reserves on this expansion.
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Document type: Research paper
The Private Sector, Political Elites, and Underdevelopment in Sub-Saharan Africa
The document examines the failure of the private sector to drive economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, attributing this to the political dominance of elites who extract surplus from producers. It contrasts the vulnerability of African peasants and foreign firms with the relatively stronger private sector in South Africa. The author proposes a new form of democracy that empowers producers through land ownership and independent financial institutions to foster a genuine capitalist market economy.
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Document type: Research paper
China’s Environmental Footprint in Africa
The document analyzes China's strategy of accessing previously untapped natural resources in Africa, often in ecologically fragile areas with weak governance. It highlights the central role of the China Exim Bank in financing large-scale infrastructure and extractive projects, noting a historical lack of adherence to international environmental standards. Using the Merowe Dam in Sudan as a primary case study, the author illustrates significant social and environmental failures. While the Chinese government has begun introducing social and environmental guidelines and 'green credit' policies, the report warns that stricter domestic regulations may inadvertently encourage the relocation of polluting industries to Africa.
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Document type: Briefing
France promotes new relationship with continent
The document analyzes the transition of French foreign policy in Africa from 'la Francafrique'—characterized by personal ties to corrupt elites in former colonies—to a strategy of 'partnership' between equal nations. This shift involves a move toward multilateralism through the European Union and a strategic pivot toward new markets and power-brokers, specifically South Africa. Key drivers for this change include the 'Abidjan doctrine' on economic governance, the devaluation of the CFA franc, and a desire to move beyond a relationship driven by colonial guilt. The text highlights South Africa's role as France's leading economic partner in Africa, noting cooperation in military training in the Central African Republic and nuclear energy projects involving the company Areva.
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Document type: Research paper
Force Africaine en Attente
The document provides an update on the African Standby Force (ASF), a multidisciplinary force designed for rapid deployment in peace support operations across Africa. While significant progress has been made in developing doctrine, standard operating procedures, and training, the author notes that the project has failed to meet its original ambitious timelines. Key obstacles include severe logistical deficits, a lack of leadership and staffing at the African Union (AU) level, and a heavy reliance on external funding and technical expertise from international donors. The paper details the varying levels of readiness across five African regions and argues for a more integrated partnership between the AU and the UN to ensure sustainable security operations.
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Document type: Research paper
China and Gabon: A Growing Resource Partnership
The report analyzes the growing resource-based partnership between China and Gabon, highlighting China's increasing role in Gabon's oil, timber, and mining sectors. It details the strategic importance of the Belinga iron ore project and examines how Sino-Gabonese relations are shaped by resource extraction, infrastructure development, and environmental concerns.
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Document type: Report
Democratizing Eminent Domain in East Africa
The report examines the use of eminent domain to establish protected areas (PAs) in East Africa, highlighting how irregular land acquisitions and degazettement threaten biodiversity. It argues that PAs are only sustainable when established through transparent, inclusive, and accountable processes that respect private property rights and provide fair compensation.
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Document type: Report
REGIONAL INTEGRATION IN CENTRAL AFRICA
The briefing examines regional integration in Central Africa, contrasting the deeper economic and monetary integration of the Central Africa Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) with the broader, more politically focused Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS). It highlights the influence of France and the EU, the economic role of Nigeria, and the complexities of Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) negotiations, particularly regarding revenue loss from tariffs and the asymmetric development levels of member states.
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Document type: Briefing