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Recalibrating UK hydrogen towards a demand-led, systems-based approach
The UK's current hydrogen strategy is criticised for misaligning production targets with actual demand, leading to high public costs and inefficient funding. The author recommends prioritising hydrogen for industrial clusters and low-carbon fuels, strengthening methane emission standards, and redesigning the Hydrogen Allocation Round (HAR) to support the entire value chain from production to end-use.
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Document type: Policy brief
Deforestation in Brazil’s Cerrado reduces soy production and threatens supply chains
Analysis of 840 municipalities in the Cerrado shows that land clearing for soy creates a 3:1 productivity loss, where climate spillovers outweigh the gains from new farmland. While individual farmers profit by externalizing costs, the region lost USD 9.4 billion in potential soy production between 2013 and 2023 due to deforestation-induced drying. Global importers, particularly China and Germany, face significant supply chain vulnerabilities, with China's sourcing regions losing USD 5.0 billion in annual production capacity. The report argues for urgent conservation and intensification strategies, noting that most municipalities are still below a critical climate threshold where protection delivers maximum benefit.
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Document type: Briefing
Belém must make history: From mines to climate frontlines, communities and civil society across the Asia Pacific and beyond unite for transition mineral justice at COP30
A joint statement by civil society groups, primarily from the Asia Pacific, urging COP30 to address the human rights and environmental impacts of transition minerals. The document proposes the creation of the Belém Action Mechanism (BAM) and a Global Mineral Traceability Framework to ensure a just energy transition, highlighting the region's role as a hub for mineral reserves and green technology supply chains while noting the high risks faced by environmental defenders.
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Document type: Statement
Q3 Global Power Report
In the first three quarters of 2025, record solar and wind growth exceeded electricity demand increases, leading to a forecast of no fossil fuel growth for the full year—the first such occurrence since the Covid-19 pandemic.
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Document type: Report
Little change in warming outlook now for four years
The Climate Action Tracker reports that global warming projections have remained stagnant at 2.6°C for four consecutive years due to a lack of ambitious 2030 and 2035 climate targets. While the Paris Agreement has helped reduce projected warming from 3.6°C in 2015 to 2.6°C today, and renewable energy surpassed coal in electricity generation in 2025, continued fossil fuel expansion and policy rollbacks in the United States threaten to offset these gains. The gap between current targets and the 1.5°C pathway is expected to increase to 31 GtCO₂e by 2035.
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Document type: Briefing
Decarbonising for competitive advantage in Poland
The document examines how Poland's high-carbon, energy-intensive economy leads to higher power and gas prices for businesses compared to the EU average, as well as significant costs from the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS). It posits that transitioning to renewables and improving energy efficiency can lower production costs, stabilize energy prices through Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs), and increase GDP. The briefing highlights that achieving net-zero emissions could add 0.2% to Poland's annual GDP through 2050. It also discusses the role of emissions transparency and the growth of the service sector as additional avenues for competitive differentiation.
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Document type: Briefing
Stärkung der Pandemieresilienz in der ECOWAS: Integration von Impfbescheinigungen in grundlegende Identitätssysteme
The document examines how the lack of a harmonised digital identification system in West Africa hindered the free movement of people and goods during the Ebola epidemic and COVID-19 pandemic. It proposes that the ECOWAS Commission create a framework for digital ID interoperability and a 'health passport' linked to digital IDs to prevent future border closures and economic disruptions. The author suggests leveraging existing initiatives like the ECOWAS National Biometric Identity Card (ENBIC) and the West Africa Unique Identification for Regional Integration and Inclusion (WURI), while drawing on successful regional models from the EU's Digital COVID Certificate and ASEAN's Universal Verification Mechanism. The paper specifically recommends that the West African Health Organization (WAHO) lead the digital health trust initiative and that the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) be included in the network to ensure regional health security.
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Document type: Research paper
Building Pandemic Resilience in ECOWAS: Integrating Vaccine Certification with Foundational Identity Systems
The document examines how the lack of harmonised digital identification and health information exchange systems in West Africa hindered the ECOWAS free movement regime during the Ebola epidemic and COVID-19 pandemic. It proposes integrating vaccine certification with foundational digital IDs—such as the ECOWAS National Biometric Identity Card (ENBIC) and the West Africa Unique Identification for Regional Integration and Inclusion (WURI) initiative—to create a 'health passport'. Drawing on examples from the EU's Digital COVID Certificate and ASEAN's Universal Verification Mechanism, the author recommends that the ECOWAS Commission and the West African Health Organization (WAHO) develop a regional digital health certification framework that includes members of the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) to ensure comprehensive regional health security.
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Document type: Research paper
Reject the CRCF Delegated Act for permanent removals - it remains unsatisfactory
Carbon Market Watch and Fern call for the rejection of the CRCF Delegated Act for permanent removals, citing four primary flaws in BioCCS and biochar methodologies: insufficient consideration of biomass extraction's climate effects on land, lack of minimum capture rates for BioCCS, the use of zero baselines that ignore regulatory progress, and the failure to evaluate biomass feedstocks by carbon payback times. The authors warn that these deficiencies risk certifying projects that add emissions rather than removing them, potentially compromising the integrity of the EU ETS if these credits are integrated. They further criticize the vague rules and the potential for a 'race to the bottom' among certification bodies and auditors paid by operators.
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Document type: Statement
Fuelling the future: financing sustainable transport through expanded EU carbon market
Carbon Market Watch asserts that the EU's Sustainable Transport Investment Plan (STIP) is insufficient without expanding the EU ETS to cover all aviation and shipping emissions. The organization estimates that covering all flights leaving the EEA would generate an additional €9 billion annually, rising to €58 billion if non-CO2 effects and private aviation are included. While the STIP utilizes the EU Innovation Fund and European Hydrogen Bank for cleaner fuels, the author argues that funding should shift away from biofuels toward e-kerosene and railway infrastructure, such as the Trans European Transport Network (TEN-T), to adhere to the 'polluter pays' principle.
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Document type: Statement
Progress of major emitters towards climate targets 2025 update
The report finds that while total emissions from 25 major emitters may peak by 2026, current policies are insufficient to meet the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C goal. Fifteen countries are likely on track to meet their 2030 unconditional NDC targets, while nine are off track, including the US, UK, and Japan. Projections for the US have worsened due to policy rollbacks, and eight countries are already projected to miss their 2035 unconditional NDC targets.
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Document type: Report
Temporary carbon units from carbon farming and EU agri-food climate policy
The report argues that temporary CRCF units from carbon farming are currently of low quality due to insufficient management of non-permanence and additionality risks, making them unsuitable for offsetting emissions. It assesses proposed EU agri-food policies—including an Agricultural Emissions Trading System (AgETS) and Mandatory Climate Standards (MCS)—concluding that allowing these units as offsets would undermine environmental integrity. The authors recommend shifting toward activity-based payments, either through a reformed Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) or other public funding mechanisms, to promote carbon farming without the integrity risks associated with result-based crediting.
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Document type: Report
Open letter on MSR2 reform and suggestion to postpone ETS2
The letter argues against postponing the ETS2 and opposes changes to the MSR2, specifically the removal of the sunset clause, which the authors claim would increase emissions and jeopardize the Fit for 55 package. It emphasizes the need for robust carbon prices to drive decarbonization investments and calls for the Commission to ensure Member States strengthen national policies to compensate for any reduced effectiveness of a reformed ETS2.
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Document type: Statement
National targets still aim for a doubling instead of a tripling
National renewable energy targets for 2030 have increased by only 8% since COP28, rising from 7,238 GW to 7,793 GW. This trajectory aligns with a doubling of capacity rather than the tripling goal. While solar deployment is outstripping political ambition—with national targets at 3,110 GW despite forecasts exceeding 5,700 GW—wind targets and forecasts are more aligned but both remain below the 2,742 GW required for a global tripling.
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Document type: Report
Renewable additions in 2025 are once again expected to surge, putting tripling within reach
Global renewable capacity additions are forecast to reach a record 793 GW in 2025, driven largely by solar and China's deployment. While the actual annual growth rate of additions from 2023 to 2025 (29%) has exceeded the 21% required to triple capacity by 2030, IEA forecasts suggest a potential 15% shortfall in capacity and a 28% shortfall in generation by 2030, primarily due to lags in wind and hydro. National targets remain insufficient, aiming for just over a doubling of capacity (7,793 GW) rather than a tripling, with solar targets particularly lagging behind actual deployment trends.
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Document type: Report
COP30: No to misusing carbon markets to camouflage climate inaction
Carbon Market Watch warns that carbon markets are being promoted as a 'cure-all' for the climate crisis, which risks camouflaging climate inaction. The organization asserts that these markets are riddled with systemic flaws, often violate human rights, and cannot replace the scale of climate finance required for developing countries. It calls for COP30 to prioritize rapid, substantial emissions cuts over the use of carbon credits for offsetting.
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Document type: Statement
COP 30 key issues: trade and climate agenda
The document examines how trade tools like border carbon adjustments (BCAs) and deforestation-free regulations are being used to advance climate goals and prevent carbon leakage. It highlights the administrative challenges of BCAs, the risk of excluding smallholders in deforestation-free supply chains, and the potential for these measures to clash with the principle of Common but Differentiated Responsibilities and Respective Capabilities (CBDR-RC). The authors argue for greater transparency, support for developing countries, and harmonized standards to ensure the energy transition does not deepen global inequities.
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Document type: Briefing
Nos attentes pour la stratégie de concurrentialité climatique du Canada
The Canadian Climate Institute proposes six key policy improvements to enhance Canada's climate competitiveness: modernizing industrial carbon pricing, expanding clean electricity grids, finalizing methane regulations for the oil and gas sector, maintaining electric vehicle sales requirements, establishing a national climate investment taxonomy, and deploying the National Adaptation Strategy.
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Document type: Statement
What to look for in Canada’s climate competitiveness strategy
The Canadian Climate Institute proposes six policy priorities for Canada's upcoming climate competitiveness strategy: modernizing industrial carbon pricing, expanding clean electricity grids, finalizing methane emission rules for oil and gas, maintaining the electric vehicle mandate, establishing a national climate investment taxonomy, and implementing the National Adaptation Strategy.
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Document type: Statement
Fuel Taxation in Aviation
The report analyzes 32 Air Service Agreements (ASAs) among COFFIS member states, finding that while the Chicago Convention does not prohibit aviation fuel taxes, specific bilateral and multilateral ASAs may create legal barriers. It identifies two categories of agreements requiring reform: those with full tax prohibitions and those with non-discrimination clauses. The report suggests that while bilateral reforms are possible, a global or multilateral Joint Agreement would be a swifter method for bulk reform. For EU member states, the EU Energy Taxation Directive (ETD) is the primary barrier, though an international agreement could override it. The report also includes emission quantifications and revenue estimates for three UK-based ASAs.
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Document type: Report